My greatest fear about Bitcoin Halving.

[John Abraham]

We know the Mining will be ended at some point. I know it's still a long way to go. But, What will happen to Bitcoin network security when miners get a few sats for a successive block and stop Mining?

Think your Chat GPT app is broken.  That's not accurate.  The reward subsidy will end at some point (after every single last one of us is dead, unless life-expectancy dramatically increases in the future).  But mining will still continue, fuelled by transaction fees alone.

I don't use Chat GPT even though I have never used it. But I heard it's not up to date. Well, I wasn't aware of it. I didn't know if people would still be able to mine Bitcoins when there were no. If transaction fees fuel it, I am not sure how profitable it will be. Miners may lose interest.

We don't know. But at very least we know it heavily depends on Bitcoin price, average transaction fee and average transaction created per seconds.

Yeah, I believe in the next Decade Bitcoin will gain price couple of times more, and we will see new ATH Every few years. I won't be able to see that because I won't be alive forever.

[m2017]

Bitcoin halving is characterised by price boom and this is a general believe of some bitcoiners and members of this forum.
My greatest fear is; what if 2024 halving comes and go without any kind of bull run? Don't you think that there will be a serious problem and panic in the industry?
This is because 2024 halving is the greatest available hype that can move the market. Besides that, I don't see any possible wave that can move Bitcoin to a new ATH. Unless US government will have to make BTC a legal tender.

And you wanted to get rid of BTC at the first opportunity? Once Bitcoin reaches new heights? But what about HODL?   If not for this halving, then for another, BTC will grow. Sooner or later.

There is still a lot of time before the halving, and during this period, more than one positive news may appear, which will be the catalyst for the start of a new bullrun. As far as I know, the bullrun usually didn't happen right after the halving and it took some extra time.

I think US government will have to make btc a legal tende , if it happens, will be the most powerful impetus for new growth, and this event alone will be enough.

You can be afraid and nervous, or you can't be afraid and relax. Why spoil your mood ahead of time.

[yazher]

Though there's still a possibility when you checked its past histories when the Bullrun seasons come, it always creates some kind of ATH even after a year of bitcoin halving but this scenario is still unsure that's why it's your own decision whether you believe it or not because if you want to earn when Bullruns happens, you need to have courage and trust yourself about it. But if you have doubt you can also stop investing but don't regret or put the blame on anybody when you see the price will rise and create another ATH because, after all, it's your own idea not to invest.

[DeathAngel]

People say this every halving, that it might not have any effect on the price. If something is in demand & you halve the supply then it is going to become more valuable. It always takes a little while for the full effect of diminished supply to be shown in price but it always happens. This will be my 3rd cycle coming up, I’ve seen it all before.
We will see a 6 figure bitcoin price before the end of 2025.

[kryptqnick]

The jury is still out on whether Bitcoin halving is crucial when it comes to bull runs. There weren't many of them to analyse the correlations, and it wasn't all clear-cut, as sometimes the bull run came way later or earlier, so I honestly don't believe in a strong connection or anything close to a causal relation here. Why worry about 2024 if the bull run might hit in 2023?
I don't see the USA making Bitcoin a legal tender any time soon, but I don't think Bitcoin needs it to grow and, especially, to recover.

[kamvreto]

Bitcoin halving is characterised by price boom and this is a general believe of some bitcoiners and members of this forum.
My greatest fear is; what if 2024 halving comes and go without any kind of bull run? Don't you think that there will be a serious problem and panic in the industry?
This is because 2024 halving is the greatest available hype that can move the market. Besides that, I don't see any possible wave that can move Bitcoin to a new ATH. Unless US government will have to make BTC a legal tender.

And you wanted to get rid of BTC at the first opportunity? Once Bitcoin reaches new heights? But what about HODL?   If not for this halving, then for another, BTC will grow. Sooner or later. ~snip~

HOLD will save everything, no one does better than HOLD and believe that high price targets will be hit. Those who dumped out in a panic after the halving ended will regret it when Price reaches a new ATH. Bitcoin will continue to grow over time, there will be a lot of adoption and use of bitcoin in the future. The 4th halving this time will be the moment we have been waiting for.

[Altryist]

I still believe that the price of Bitcoin will again show an impressive pump after halving but not like before. Why? Because of the changing market behavior and also the investors, not I see that these people can hold longer and can wait for the peak price but have the feeling that they will sell their Bitcoin during its early pump.
Let us see what gonna happen 2 years from now, I'm also excited to witness again but yes, we're not going to expect it like the sentiment before - it is likely different this time.

You should not expect that halving will immediately affect the price of bitcoin, there is no evidence that halving affects the price, but logically, the deflationary model should eventually lead to an increase in the price. The price of bitcoin will rise because more and more people want to own bitcoin, and this will inevitably create high demand, because as we all know, the quantity of coins is limited.

[Accardo]

I don't understand the mystery behind having a bull run after bitcoin halving, but I've experienced a bull run after halving and it was predicted that bitcoin would skyrocket after the 2020 halving. The price didn't move up immediately, and it's something you should understand, it may not move that same year or even after 2 years but the bull run is certain to happen. Trusting an immediate spike in price of bitcoin after halving can lead to reckless investment from investors that don't understand the market, hoping to make huge profits. However, halving adds more bitcoin to the market and at same time divide miners rewards, that means the price will definitely increase as people will buy because of scarcity.

[AverageGlabella]

I don't understand the mystery behind having a bull run after bitcoin halving, but I've experienced a bull run after halving and it was predicted that bitcoin would skyrocket after the 2020 halving. The price didn't move up immediately, and it's something you should understand, it may not move that same year or even after 2 years but the bull run is certain to happen. Trusting an immediate spike in price of bitcoin after halving can lead to reckless investment from investors that don't understand the market, hoping to make huge profits. However, halving adds more bitcoin to the market and at same time divide miners rewards, that means the price will definitely increase as people will buy because of scarcity.

If you think the bull run is guaranteed go happen I fear that you will lose a lot of money when it does not come and you start panic selling because it is not guaranteed.  Every halving should have less of a impact then the one before because less btc is available to everyone that could cause a increase in btc but it probably will not be like a bull run but something that increases gradually.

[redsun114]

Even if there is no bull run, I think there will still be a noticeable increase that will happen because the properties of halving makes Bitcoin scarcer. Don't you worry as it won't cause a serious problem but just a little disappointment although that doesn't make the people quit on buying and hodling a Bitcoin.

What can truly cause a panic is when Bitcoin itself has experienced a major issue, a bug or something that it won't likely be fixed anymore but I think the possibility of that to happen is only slim since Bitcoin is over 13 years old already. IDK if what makes you think that 2024 is the greatest halving when there are more halvings to come after this. There is always another chance and even not in the halving day, bull run can still come.

[Leviathan.007]

Bitcoin halving is characterised by price boom and this is a general believe of some bitcoiners and members of this forum.
My greatest fear is; what if 2024 halving comes and go without any kind of bull run? Don't you think that there will be a serious problem and panic in the industry?
This is because 2024 halving is the greatest available hype that can move the market. Besides that, I don't see any possible wave that can move Bitcoin to a new ATH. Unless US government will have to make BTC a legal tender.

This fear is right if you compare it with the last having and the current situation of the market because mostly after any bitcoin halving we had a price fall for months and this will increase fear in the market because the market situation is not stable on that time and due to this instability people will usually wait and stop doing emotional actions and then we can have the price reaching higher levels and bull run starting on the market but since so far we had one of the worst price falls of bitcoin none knows what's going to happen on the incoming halving of bitcoin to the price.
 

[Zilon]

Bitcoin halving is characterised by price boom and this is a general believe of some bitcoiners and members of this forum.

It is not just a mere believe by bitcoiner or forum members but this has to do with demand and supply. When the next halving sets in it will reduce the mining incentives and as well reduce the possible supply. Except the demand for Bitcoin doesn't increase but if it does then the boom is inevitable.

My greatest fear is; what if 2024 halving comes and go without any kind of bull run? Don't you think that there will be a serious problem and panic in the industry?

I am trying hard not to believe the bullish move experienced in January is not a preparation for the Bull run that will be experienced in 2024. But that aside. Only one thing will resist Bitcoin from experiencing a bull run which is limited demand. But as long as the demand increases it will be greenish even if it doesn't sum up to what was experienced in 2021 but it can't go bearish not after the halving.

[crypticj]

Nah, I think it will be fine. I think there will be a bull run simply because people expect it to happen. But even if nothing big will happens after the halving, I don't think anything will change.

[Quidat]

Bitcoin halving is characterised by price boom and this is a general believe of some bitcoiners and members of this forum.
My greatest fear is; what if 2024 halving comes and go without any kind of bull run? Don't you think that there will be a serious problem and panic in the industry?
This is because 2024 halving is the greatest available hype that can move the market. Besides that, I don't see any possible wave that can move Bitcoin to a new ATH. Unless US government will have to make BTC a legal tender.

You've been on this market for a while now and you arent still get used to with halving event and possible market trend after or before that? We cant really make out conclusions whether it does
really give out huge effect or not.We dont know that it doesnt really happen on point but rather it do happens on several months after such event which means that we dont know if the halving
is the main reason on why such bull run did happen or there are other possible reasons.This is why its better not to make yourself get stressed on whatever things that do happen
on the halving event because its not always necessary that the market would really be making a move.

[Bazzu]

In my opinion, there is no need to be afraid of bitcoin halving, because in my opinion, having a bitcoin halving will actually make bitcoin have a bright future, because of course in the world of bitcoin, there should have been difficult situations before a good moment occurred. but of course we won't know for the future we'll just see.

in my opinion, think positively about it.

[Hispo]

I would not worry too much about it.
It is a matter of law, the law of supply and demand.

the demand right before the halving and after the halving will be practically the same, but the supply won't.  In my eyes, an eventual increase of price it would be just matter of time.

Has anyone actually been able to defeat the such economics law to this day, by the way? I don't think so.

[uneng]

A halving without effects would mean the demand for bitcoin is decreasing, while what we see in fact is exactly the opposite. Demand for bitcoin is constantly increasing on long term and so far there aren't any evidences which lead us to believe investors are losing interest for btc. Halving is already an historical event which always brought the same positive impacts to bitcoin market. In order to speculate the opposite I think we should have a past halving which didn't trigger a bull run next. All the chances are at bitcoin's favour in this case.

[AverageGlabella]

Even if there is no bull run, I think there will still be a noticeable increase that will happen because the properties of halving makes Bitcoin scarcer. Don't you worry as it won't cause a serious problem but just a little disappointment although that doesn't make the people quit on buying and hodling a Bitcoin.

What can truly cause a panic is when Bitcoin itself has experienced a major issue, a bug or something that it won't likely be fixed anymore but I think the possibility of that to happen is only slim since Bitcoin is over 13 years old already. IDK if what makes you think that 2024 is the greatest halving when there are more halvings to come after this. There is always another chance and even not in the halving day, bull run can still come.

I define a bull run as a sudden increase in price in a short time. A lack of a bull run could mean that btc is showing it is stabilizing and becoming less volatile which can help adoption which might increase the value of btc over a longer period but keep it there instead of the drops and increases we see. We do not want a bear market but bull runs can be damaging to adoption to.

[franky1]

i never intend to sell anytime soon so i dont care about market ATH

i value my coins by looking at the periodic BOTTOMS which go up per cycle. meaning more value is protected over time. as thats roughly the underlying store of value (non zero bottom)

find the lowest low of a 2-4 year period and compare it to previous 2-4 year low
and that 'bottom', is always bull

(my actual math for "value" and judgement is a more refined number under the market using offmarket data but you can without math, observe a similar thinking by just chart plotting each cycles bottom on a chart)
dont get into the minutia of daily price whims if you are not interested in selling daily

[AverageGlabella]

i never intend to sell anytime soon so i dont care about market ATH

i value my coins by looking at the periodic BOTTOMS which go up per cycle. meaning more value is protected over time. as thats roughly the underlying store of value (non zero bottom)

find the lowest low of a 2-4 year period and compare it to previous 2-4 year low
and that 'bottom', is always bull

(my actual math for "value" and judgement is a more refined number under the market using offmarket data but you can without math, observe a similar thinking by just chart plotting each cycles bottom on a chart)
dont get into the minutia of daily price whims if you are not interested in selling daily

Do you mind me asking if you have a value that you would sell at? or are you a btc maximalist? If you do not plan on selling why not? Why not sell and then buy back more if you think btc will go up in the long future? Timing it to buy a lot of btc in the bear markets and then selling after every halving for the next couple of them should see you with more btc then you would have if you bought it and just held onto it. I think there is little risk with this if you think btc will continue to rise in the future.