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Author Topic: How succesful will AI projects be to win the house?  (Read 3169 times)
Hispo
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March 17, 2023, 01:58:45 AM
 #121

But actually I've seen friends who do use AI usefully in making great predictions and also make some big winnings and on one or two occasions I've also had the privilege of joining them and I really loved the work it did but just as the joy is there when the winnings come, so will be pains be there when the losses come.

That is actually quite interesting, the fact you already giving us confirmation there are people out there using AI to make predictions and enhance their betting chances. I thought it would take longer, honestly.

If you don't mind, would you care to give us some more information on it?
Do your friends have any knowledge about the teams and sports they are betting on?
Would you say that the win/loss ratio rate has been favorable for now, or there is no actual advantage?
Do your friends blindly trust the AI prediction or do they perform some filtering to get out those that are very unlikely to become a reality?






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March 17, 2023, 02:37:13 AM
 #122

The question is..... Is gambling still fun for many people or do they grind out many hours of gambling with zero profit at all. The house edge is so bad on many of these casinos, that you hardly see any good wins anymore.

I think many people will enjoy it more, if they can find a way to get a little more profit to extend their gambling time. I am not saying that they must find an exploit and then drain all the money in the casinos .... but rather to find a mathematical advantage to increase their win chance, with a good strategy.  Grin
Playing gambling is still fun for people who treat gambling as entertainment. But people who use gambling to make money will try to win using AI and probably spend hours gambling or looking for other sports bets. With the help of AI, they feel that they can win some money and maybe even more money because AI can provide even more information than they can find out on their own.

But surely, there will be people who will experience a lot of losses because the presence of AI can make them feel comfortable in gambling and placing bets. When a person finds comfort, he can spend more time than other people, leading to difficulties later.
By using AI (artificial intelligence ) a gambler can also increase his chances of winning in gambling but since a virtual robot will work here a gambler will never get the full enjoyment of gambling as here AI will act as a third person. But for the person who uses gambling as a source of his income, AI will be very helpful for them. Since AI depends on a program, if a program with good analytics and predictive capabilities is used for it, it will work much better for gambling and will be able to make decisions several times faster than a human.
Maybe it was because they weren't looking for information as they used to before. After all, they had started relying on AI. But the presence of AI can indeed help people to get information, and maybe that information will be more than what they got before.

And the existence of AI will bring changes in the gambling business and maybe there will be many developers who offer this AI technology to gamblers. And from the casino itself will issue AI technology to help casinos continue operating and will not allow gamblers always to win using AI. Obviously, this will make competition in the gambling business even tighter with the presence of AI.
When AI technology is used in gambling then everyone will use this technology as a result of which the casino sites will also bring their more updates due to which even using Ai it will not be possible to win gambling very easily.  As Sportbet is not a part of gambling site and it does not follow any algorithm it is played live on the field and the results are based on that score so by analyzing the previous game Ai can give a gambler a possible prediction in a short period of time. It will be a successful use of AI for gambling
But get that success still needs more time until AI technology can develop as expected. In the meantime, we can continue to use the methods we have done before while waiting for updates from each developer regarding their AI technology. Maybe in a year or two, there will be AI technology that is more advanced than the current one that will be introduced to the public so this will trigger AI for the gambling business to be launched. We cannot imagine how this AI can develop in the future, including if AI is included in the gambling business. It will become more interesting and the gambling business will be tighter because each casino can offer something different, and the developers will provide AI to gamblers.
Since the launch of ChatGPT, AI has been the talk for everyone.  And AI is being considered for crypto as well. And now a lot of hype has started about it. And artificial intelligence has gained a lot of popularity among all as a possible technology of the future.  So surely AI will be more advanced in coming days and AI will be used in almost all fields. And it will also be widely used for gambling.  Just as gamblers will use AI, gambling companies will also use AI as an advanced technology on their sites
This is what we must be aware of because if the hype about AI has started, there will be many fraudsters who are looking for new targets and trying to make offers to get huge profits from the AI project. And maybe that will happen in the gambling business, considering that the gambling business is now more advanced than a few years ago.

And it's true AI will be more advanced in the future because the technology is more developed than now and maybe it will change the appearance or something. And when a lot of AI is available to companies, it will make casinos also use AI to help their business.

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March 17, 2023, 01:24:44 PM
 #123

This is what we must be aware of because if the hype about AI has started, there will be many fraudsters who are looking for new targets and trying to make offers to get huge profits from the AI project. And maybe that will happen in the gambling business, considering that the gambling business is now more advanced than a few years ago.

And it's true AI will be more advanced in the future because the technology is more developed than now and maybe it will change the appearance or something. And when a lot of AI is available to companies, it will make casinos also use AI to help their business.
take it easy, gamblers on this forum are not easy to fool. most of the professional gamblers here don't really believe in the predictions made by AI, they believe more in their own predictions and their own analysis.

because everyone who has been in gambling for a long time realizes that AI or ChatGPT predictions are not completely correct and some people have proven it. AI hype will probably happen but it will only last a while.

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March 17, 2023, 02:18:12 PM
 #124

A bot that makes sports betting predictions, according to the author of the first video, it seems to me that it may well be a useful tool that makes it easier for players to bet on a possible winner, because not everyone is deeply immersed in the events of different sports and an extra analysis will always be useful.

from my experience I would say that AI will not be able to bring consistent profits unless the person makes a combination of the results obtained from the AI with analyzes obtained by himself, I will give a concrete example: let's say I want to bet on the game between:

Chelsea FC - Everton FC

in this game, chelsea has an odd of @1.46 and Everton has an odd of @7.00, that is, chelsea is being seen as a favorite, for the AI there is no problem in this game, without a doubt that the AI would recommend betting on chelsea, but a person can watch the videos of the games of each of these teams and see the performance of each one of them and will conclude that in this game there is a good chance of a draw because everton has improved a lot and chelsea are still not unstable in attack

I can give example from the game:

Paris Saint-Germain FC - Stade Rennais FC

no doubt that the AI will recommend betting on PSG, but if a person does a deeper analysis of the two teams, he will see that PSG has a disastrous attack without the neymar - mbappe - messi trio and Rennes has good defense, but also has bad attack, so this is a game in which PSG can draw, so this odd of @1.50 is very low for the risk that betting on PSG represents

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March 17, 2023, 02:23:32 PM
 #125

A bot that makes sports betting predictions, according to the author of the first video, it seems to me that it may well be a useful tool that makes it easier for players to bet on a possible winner, because not everyone is deeply immersed in the events of different sports and an extra analysis will always be useful.

from my experience I would say that AI will not be able to bring consistent profits unless the person makes a combination of the results obtained from the AI with analyzes obtained by himself, I will give a concrete example: let's say I want to bet on the game between:

...
This would tell us that no perfect technology that could see what will happen next. Though we can appreciate how this AI has been created but when it comes to gambling, they are just like us humans and they can be wrong. At the end of the day, the house still makes money even though all gamblers will use this technology.

Because what I see is that everything that has been created has some limitations and so we can't expect AI's knows everything and is able to surpass theeir limitation.
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March 17, 2023, 02:29:53 PM
 #126

A bot that makes sports betting predictions, according to the author of the first video, it seems to me that it may well be a useful tool that makes it easier for players to bet on a possible winner, because not everyone is deeply immersed in the events of different sports and an extra analysis will always be useful.

from my experience I would say that AI will not be able to bring consistent profits unless the person makes a combination of the results obtained from the AI with analyzes obtained by himself, I will give a concrete example: let's say I want to bet on the game between:

...
This would tell us that no perfect technology that could see what will happen next. Though we can appreciate how this AI has been created but when it comes to gambling, they are just like us humans and they can be wrong. At the end of the day, the house still makes money even though all gamblers will use this technology.

Because what I see is that everything that has been created has some limitations and so we can't expect AI's knows everything and is able to surpass theeir limitation.
Aside from that do you expect the house will be the ones receiving the loose ends? Of course not. AI is designed to help us ease our workloads, though there're attempts to integrate AI into an existing gambling platform I don't think it'll offer much results in a long run. There're also factors internal and external that can change the outcome of the games you've been betting, so it's safe to say that even with the aid of computer there's no guarantee which outcome you will receive. There's also luck in play when gambling, but there'd be that one person who will try hard to analyze the game results not as an addict but more on making gambling as a profession.
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March 17, 2023, 07:31:40 PM
 #127

We are seeing more and more projects that are almost 100% built on Artificial Intelligence, like ChatGPT. Here are a few experiments that are linked between ChatGPT and gambling....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IDthta5sUGQ

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xw3pc-47weg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYegYNkwjR0

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tlFrI6cLD0E

Do you think AI will be more successful to get a working gambling strategy to win the house... and if they do, what will be the impact on casinos?


Several months ago, there was a similar thread here and I replied that ChatGPT can be quite inaccurate. I have tested ChaGPT quite thoroughly since then and I can say that it's not just inaccurate it's just disastrous! At some point, it just starts to make things up for an unknown reason. It's not just an error it's almost like misleading a user on purpose! I'm not even mentioning that ChatGPT is chat bot, not a gambling bot. So, once again: never ever use ChatGPT for gambling!  Cool
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March 17, 2023, 09:59:49 PM
Last edit: March 17, 2023, 10:30:44 PM by Saint-loup
 #128

Several months ago, there was a similar thread here and I replied that ChatGPT can be quite inaccurate. I have tested ChaGPT quite thoroughly since then and I can say that it's not just inaccurate it's just disastrous! At some point, it just starts to make things up for an unknown reason. It's not just an error it's almost like misleading a user on purpose! I'm not even mentioning that ChatGPT is chat bot, not a gambling bot. So, once again: never ever use ChatGPT for gambling!  Cool
I agree with you the former version of ChatGPT, GPT-3.5 is really bad for things related to gambling and probabilities, and logic in general. I've tried to create a script to calculate the chances to get a pair in the next dealed cards of a shoe, but it failed and only produced nonsense garbage things.
But a new version has been released few days ago, the GPT-4 one, and it seems to be more powerful and efficient. Unfortunately it's not free for now.

They are now admitting and showing themselves how bad the current free version could be

https://openai.com/product/gpt-4

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March 17, 2023, 10:45:53 PM
 #129

They are already winning without the AI, what more with it? I guess that's the answer for it. Business is business, that's their motto, no emotionally inclined movements and this is why AI will be a successful feature of one gambling site.
But they should also be looking at the other way. Once gamblers find it too obvious that they are not winning anymore then losing customers will come next. Even with AI's they should not stop giving away events that can double the winnings or guaranteed money backs, this way, their clients won't just leave them if they see chances of receiving more than what they bet for is high.
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March 18, 2023, 03:48:49 AM
 #130

Recently one of the trends is the chatgpt which you can ask what are the possible outcomes with your questions and they just keep responding they are based on the data given to them and you could use for instance as possible resources but don't get carried with those came from the AI, not all the time its work most likely if you play in gambling, they just giving you a possible outcome and winnings but not all the time it works as we expect. But if you play in the sports gambling its really effective because the data you must need is they can provide instantly.

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March 18, 2023, 04:13:47 AM
 #131

-snip-
 But if you play in the sports gambling its really effective because the data you must need is they can provide instantly.
Expecting on ChatGPT as a prediction engine for sports gambling is also not reliable.
ChatGPT depends on the database it has, while the database collected and studied at this time is only in 2021, and after that ChatGPT cannot find any data.

and sports matches continue to make updates such as players, player conditions, and weather conditions at that time.
Then the prediction will not be accurate because the data used is not supporting the latest match.

And now that GPT-4 is also available and it's paid, maybe the data used has been updated to 2023.
But are you willing to pay just to make predictions that are not necessarily 100% accurate?

 
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March 18, 2023, 06:27:41 AM
 #132

This is what we must be aware of because if the hype about AI has started, there will be many fraudsters who are looking for new targets and trying to make offers to get huge profits from the AI project. And maybe that will happen in the gambling business, considering that the gambling business is now more advanced than a few years ago.

And it's true AI will be more advanced in the future because the technology is more developed than now and maybe it will change the appearance or something. And when a lot of AI is available to companies, it will make casinos also use AI to help their business.
take it easy, gamblers on this forum are not easy to fool. most of the professional gamblers here don't really believe in the predictions made by AI, they believe more in their own predictions and their own analysis.

because everyone who has been in gambling for a long time realizes that AI or ChatGPT predictions are not completely correct and some people have proven it. AI hype will probably happen but it will only last a while.
This forum has many people with experience and expertise in analyzing things so they can know if something will eventually trick them. Gamblers here are used to analyzing because they have been doing it for a long time before AI appeared, so they still rely on their skills and experience in placing sports bets.

Well, let's see how this AI develops because I haven't seen AI as a solution to get a lot of information in a short time. But we must realize that AI technology can develop in the next few years.

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March 18, 2023, 06:30:28 AM
 #133

No matter whatever strategy you use, how many AI you integrate, the house always wins in the legacy gambling games. I cannot explain you with a proof, but I am sure many of the gamblers will agree with me. The seeds are designed in a such manner that it’s probably fair, but at the same time it, favours the house. Moreover I don’t like AI managing our money, as at the end of the day, these are robots only. So if any mistake happens, then no one can be kept accountable for it. So I don’t think AIs will be successful in beating the house.
Definitely. AI will never be reliable enough to beat the house, as the house will always have an edge over the players. As most of the gambling games are still luck based, so even if you use the best AI tools or the best working strategies you have onhand, that will not give you an assurance to win over the house. Gambling is designed to spend our money and gamble more, and to make the house always win over its gamblers. That is how gambling casinos end up richer while making the players poorer once they leave the house.
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March 18, 2023, 08:08:53 AM
 #134

-snip-
 But if you play in the sports gambling its really effective because the data you must need is they can provide instantly.
Expecting on ChatGPT as a prediction engine for sports gambling is also not reliable.
ChatGPT depends on the database it has, while the database collected and studied at this time is only in 2021, and after that ChatGPT cannot find any data.

and sports matches continue to make updates such as players, player conditions, and weather conditions at that time.
Then the prediction will not be accurate because the data used is not supporting the latest match.

And now that GPT-4 is also available and it's paid, maybe the data used has been updated to 2023.
But are you willing to pay just to make predictions that are not necessarily 100% accurate?

Just think of a moment that the AI has all the data up to date about all the teams, players and matches but AI does not have the data of the future. No matter in the past, the player or team won many matches and AI will predict the same team to be the winner in future matches but there is no guarantee that this will happen. It is only a probability that one team has more chance of winning than the other team.

You can use AI for different purposes but using it to predict matches and to bet on the matches based on the result of the AI is not a wise thing to do. Also paying for GPT-4 or any AI software is even more stupid thing because even a paid version of the tool has no clue of the future.

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March 18, 2023, 05:13:07 PM
 #135

-snip-
You can use AI for different purposes but using it to predict matches and to bet on the matches based on the result of the AI is not a wise thing to do. Also paying for GPT-4 or any AI software is even more stupid thing because even a paid version of the tool has no clue of the future.
No matter how sophisticated AI technology is, it will not be able to provide accurate future guidance, all of that is only based on Probability because ChatGPT has complex supporting data and is studied with its intelligence.

Someone's luck cannot be detected by AI, maybe in the prediction TEAM A will win with valid supporting data, but if TEAM B is lucky and turns out to be superior in the final round, then the prediction will not be accurate.

Provided with a paid version it can be used for other knowledge purposes, there is much that can be explored apart from asking about betting predictions.

 
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March 18, 2023, 08:09:59 PM
 #136

-snip-
You can use AI for different purposes but using it to predict matches and to bet on the matches based on the result of the AI is not a wise thing to do. Also paying for GPT-4 or any AI software is even more stupid thing because even a paid version of the tool has no clue of the future.
No matter how sophisticated AI technology is, it will not be able to provide accurate future guidance, all of that is only based on Probability because ChatGPT has complex supporting data and is studied with its intelligence.

Someone's luck cannot be detected by AI, maybe in the prediction TEAM A will win with valid supporting data, but if TEAM B is lucky and turns out to be superior in the final round, then the prediction will not be accurate.

Provided with a paid version it can be used for other knowledge purposes, there is much that can be explored apart from asking about betting predictions.

I totally get what you're saying. AI has come a long way and can provide us with some pretty accurate analyzes based on historical data and trends, but there are still certain things that are outside of its capabilities. Like, you know, luck and human behavior can definitely impact the outcome of things, especially in sports competitions, so therefore I wouldn't trust AI predictions without hesitation.

But, that being said, AI technology still has so many other amazing uses! I mean, think about it - it can help us automate certain tasks, identify patterns and trends, and even make recommendations. For example, in the world of sports, AI algorithms can analyze a team's past performance, player statistics, and other relevant factors to make predictions about the outcome of a game. While these predictions are not always accurate, they can still be helpful in making informed decisions.
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March 18, 2023, 09:36:50 PM
 #137

-snip-
You can use AI for different purposes but using it to predict matches and to bet on the matches based on the result of the AI is not a wise thing to do. Also paying for GPT-4 or any AI software is even more stupid thing because even a paid version of the tool has no clue of the future.
No matter how sophisticated AI technology is, it will not be able to provide accurate future guidance, all of that is only based on Probability because ChatGPT has complex supporting data and is studied with its intelligence.

Someone's luck cannot be detected by AI, maybe in the prediction TEAM A will win with valid supporting data, but if TEAM B is lucky and turns out to be superior in the final round, then the prediction will not be accurate.

Provided with a paid version it can be used for other knowledge purposes, there is much that can be explored apart from asking about betting predictions.

Another thing, AI also cannot detect the present conditions of the player.  Also, it cannot detect the game strategy of the team.  AI is good for data analysis of the previous event but it is not good in predicting the present activities thus that made AI less effective in predicting the game results.  There are also a situation that is unseen by AI like injuries, current game performance, and many more.  So as for me, AI is only good in comparing team data, the history of strengths and weaknesses of the team's performance but not the current events so depending on AI is disastrous if there are several changes and development in teams right before their game.

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March 18, 2023, 09:55:34 PM
 #138

-snip-
You can use AI for different purposes but using it to predict matches and to bet on the matches based on the result of the AI is not a wise thing to do. Also paying for GPT-4 or any AI software is even more stupid thing because even a paid version of the tool has no clue of the future.
No matter how sophisticated AI technology is, it will not be able to provide accurate future guidance, all of that is only based on Probability because ChatGPT has complex supporting data and is studied with its intelligence.

Someone's luck cannot be detected by AI, maybe in the prediction TEAM A will win with valid supporting data, but if TEAM B is lucky and turns out to be superior in the final round, then the prediction will not be accurate.

Provided with a paid version it can be used for other knowledge purposes, there is much that can be explored apart from asking about betting predictions.

Another thing, AI also cannot detect the present conditions of the player.  Also, it cannot detect the game strategy of the team.  AI is good for data analysis of the previous event but it is not good in predicting the present activities thus that made AI less effective in predicting the game results.  There are also a situation that is unseen by AI like injuries, current game performance, and many more.  So as for me, AI is only good in comparing team data, the history of strengths and weaknesses of the team's performance but not the current events so depending on AI is disastrous if there are several changes and development in teams right before their game.

That's the blind spot of AI. They can only use the previous history of the event.
But as you said, the current conditions or techniques of the team, they won't know it.
So for me, AI may get a good prediction for the event, but they will always miss something, so it won't be 100% accurate.
Also, if the sportsbooks already learned that AI are giving them trouble, which means, the percentage of winnings are getting higher, definitely,
they will act on this situation. I don't think they will let the AI bankrupt their business.
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March 18, 2023, 10:16:10 PM
 #139



from my experience I would say that AI will not be able to bring consistent profits unless the person makes a combination of the results obtained from the AI with analyzes obtained by himself, I will give a concrete example: let's say I want to bet on the game between:

Chelsea FC - Everton FC

in this game, chelsea has an odd of @1.46 and Everton has an odd of @7.00, that is, chelsea is being seen as a favorite, for the AI there is no problem in this game, without a doubt that the AI would recommend betting on chelsea, but a person can watch the videos of the games of each of these teams and see the performance of each one of them and will conclude that in this game there is a good chance of a draw because everton has improved a lot and Chelsea are still not unstable in attack

I can give example from the game:

Paris Saint-Germain FC - Stade Rennais FC


You are right, AI will always choose the club with the sure odds and cannot double chance the bets, so at the end of the day, you still need individual contribution to make a bet decision and there is no way an Artificial intelligence will beat that.

-The use of AI in the casinos is an attempt but the house is always ahead and will not give chances to any development that will lead to loss of money for the casino.

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March 18, 2023, 10:48:15 PM
 #140

Was it to win against the house or for the casino to win more?
Maybe it will depend on the script.
If it's against the house, then I seriously doubt that. They have all the resources to trace this kind of anomaly and tweaking the system will be easy for them.
If it's the house adding more percentage for them to win then I guess this will be too unfair for the gamblers. Why would they even add more chance to win against us if they are already swimming in money due to the higher number of gamblers losing than winning?

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