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Author Topic: sports betting - football/soccer  (Read 320 times)
walktall (OP)
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March 21, 2023, 09:12:53 AM
 #1

greetings everyone!

new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate. will try to predict any football/soccer match (prediction examples: winner, number of goals, corners, cards, HT/FT, etc; however not all type of predictions for every match you might request). can present summary for each prediction.

awaiting challenges. Cheesy
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March 21, 2023, 10:10:43 AM
Last edit: June 26, 2023, 07:06:42 PM by Westinhome
 #2

greetings everyone!

new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate. will try to predict any football/soccer match (prediction examples: winner, number of goals, corners, cards, HT/FT, etc; however not all type of predictions for every match you might request). can present summary for each prediction.

awaiting challenges. Cheesy

Most of the gamblers had their opinion towards the sportsbet as compared to the casino games.Football had huge crush all over the world,even the country of most of the people was not involved into gambling.They will have huge interest on the football because of the legend player like Messi and Ronaldo.This two players had created huge response on the game of football.Most of the predictions was made using this two players involved games as compared to other games.

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March 21, 2023, 12:33:50 PM
 #3

imo, a gambler is a gambler while a sports bettor is a sports bettor. they can however be one and the same person, but what I am trying to emphasize is the fact that sports betting after a certain degree of experience is not gambling anymore.

as for Messi and Ronaldo, there have always been great legends, as in any sport for that matter. not quite sure what you meant by "Most of the predictions was made using this two players involved games as compared to other games" as both Messi & Ronaldo are two individual players who played for various football clubs and of course for their national teams. like for example, what does Messi or Ronaldo to do with the match between say Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund?

football is by far the king of sports, world wide. and this can easily be proven by stats generated compared to other sports, even up to the financials involved.

what I wanted to my post is to offer people with predictions as surely there are some that search for them. of course, everything is optional as I could not offer a detailed analysis for any match given, however will do my best in regards to the predictions. I don't have a crystal globe but I do have a significant amount of experience. if you have any particular match in mind, feel free to post it here.
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March 21, 2023, 02:22:45 PM
 #4

Welcome to the forum.
Lately, we have had a few other people open threads offering future tips and predictions, I think this is the third one I have seen.
You are free to share what you want, as long as does not break the rules of this section.

Nonetheless, I would personally like if you (or other people considering to open a similar thread like this one) could provide some math on their efficacy on predictions and sport-betting, as well as some small proof they have been in sport-betting as long as they claim.

Anyways, to each their own with their money, I guess...

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March 21, 2023, 02:39:54 PM
 #5

[....] but what I am trying to emphasize is the fact that sports betting after a certain degree of experience is not gambling anymore.
Interesting. I haven't even thought of that.

Quote
what I wanted to my post is to offer people with predictions as surely there are some that search for them. of course, everything is optional as I could not offer a detailed analysis for any match given, however will do my best in regards to the predictions. I don't have a crystal globe but I do have a significant amount of experience. if you have any particular match in mind, feel free to post it here.
There are already topics with lots of posts about match predictions but it doesn't hurt to have a dedicated thread as it's sometimes hard to catch up on those mega threads. You probably have more experience than me so I'd love to see how you will perform. You'll probably get some haters or critics here and some may even ask for proof of your experience but you can ignore them. Just keep on posting.

R


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March 21, 2023, 02:45:04 PM
 #6

what I wanted to my post is to offer people with predictions as surely there are some that search for them. of course, everything is optional as I could not offer a detailed analysis for any match given, however will do my best in regards to the predictions. I don't have a crystal globe but I do have a significant amount of experience. if you have any particular match in mind, feel free to post it here.
Can you do well enough to post evidence of previous predictions of yours that came out as predicted by you in regard to this your thread as a way to convince us about this your significant amount of experience cause as we all know you ain't the first that have come up with such offers
in the forum and definitely you won't be that last. But just to give you a benefit of doubt cause it's a hard earned people's money we're talking about here to be used or placed on bet based on any prediction you might give with a hope of winning. So what's you're prove of experience that has always worked?

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March 22, 2023, 09:07:44 AM
 #7

Thanks to those that welcomed me and rest assured I will keep my posts within the platform guidelines. The purpose of the post is a mix between education & entertainment.

In regards to request on proofs, imo not much proof can be provided by anyone that claims to have experience with match predictions. The best proof is a test run on multiple matches over the course of several days, maybe even weeks. Those results speak more than any screenshot, as images today can easily be edited. Should I mention I've had pre-match bet on Real Madrid when they played on Anfield against Liverpool? Should I mentioned I've staked more, again on Real Madrid when Liverpool had 2-0 from the 14th minute? What value would those claims have? Or a screenshot with the bets for that matter. For this reason I was requesting potential challenges, basically matches for which users would be interested to see my opinion on.

As for the math behind analysis, again I believe each bettor has their own strategies. There are literally tens of variables that mix up in the decision, from sentimental value to X or Y team or even a particular player or more for that matter, up to weather, up to team mental state, the referee that will keep the match in place, the stakes as is it a battle for a certain position in a league or is it a cup event in which one of the teams get to be eliminated, and so on. What I can say on this is that through my course in the sports betting world I've learned that there are cases where it's best to make a decision based on few elements, and there are cases when you need to consider more elements in order to make a decision. The key metrics that tell me which case I have in front of me when looking at a scheduled match is a mixture between stake of the match and odds offered by 2-3 bookmakers. Odds are basically a particular metric that dictates how the market is moving, but at the same time they are benchmarks on the match outcome in many cases.

Ultimately there is another highly important aspect in regards to the odds of a match, depending on the bet that you take in consideration of course. Most of the bettors out there stake the odds, it doesn't matter we're talking about 1 match or multiple matches on an accumulator/combo ticket. I think like this when ever placing a bet, at least in the past 7-8 years: don't play the odds, play the win. If you want to place a 100 units (EUR, USD, etc) bet on a match for which say over 2.5 goals offers you a 1.6 odd, but notice another match where maybe over 1.5 goals offers you a 1.5 odd, and in your personal opinion, the 1.5 goals might be 10-20% easier to be attained, then bet on the 1.5 odd. Don't let greed overcome your judgement to place on the 1.6 odd just because you would win 10 more units.

Since no one has placed any match requests, I would like to add 2 matches I've been considering for today (22.03.2023):

France U19 - Northern Ireland U19 [ over 3.5 goals @2.05 ]
England U19 - Hungary U19 [ over 3.5 goals @2.00 ]

In both cases the favorites play at home and it's their first match in the qualification stage. At the same time, both France and England have opponents with which they can register high scored goals results. A safer run would be to clock both games for over 2.5 goals each, however lower odds of course. Will rest the analysis here.

*Would also mention that this is not a financial advice and that you are entirely responsible in regards to any decision you might take about the posted matches above.
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March 22, 2023, 09:18:29 AM
 #8

greetings everyone!

new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate. will try to predict any football/soccer match (prediction examples: winner, number of goals, corners, cards, HT/FT, etc; however not all type of predictions for every match you might request). can present summary for each prediction.

awaiting challenges. Cheesy

Welcome!
600K predictions? it means around 12-15 bets daily (not counting holidays ...) impressive amount of betting Roll Eyes

I am really curious to know... what is your % of winning? what is your median odds played? pre-match or live bets?

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March 22, 2023, 09:42:28 AM
Merited by bitbollo (1)
 #9

when you average the number on a daily basis it gets you somewhere indeed, however mostly at least in the past 8 years I've preferred live betting sessions. at the same time, most of the matches are scheduled during the weekend, therefore Friday-Sunday runs. probably my longest betting session during a weekend was close to around 30 hours. so getting back to the 12-15 average / day, that's totally offset as I've had loads of weekends with hundreds of bets placed, even some with thousands.

could not provide a precise winning % even if I wanted to. about 300k predictions I have stored and tracked, and for those the win rate would be in the 60%+, without taking in consideration correct score predictions as those are close to impossible, more like luck bets.

the odds I usually like playing are within the 1.80-2.20 range but it depends on multiple variables as I described in my previous reply on the post. I won't disconsider an event that has a say 1.40 odd, however will get quite mad losing on that. Cheesy overall the mindset is "play to win" not "play the odd" or "play Messi" or "play Chelsea" etc.

between pre-match & live betting I will always go for live betting. there's no level of comparison from multiple points of view, but it also depends a lot on the bookmaker/platform.
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March 22, 2023, 12:28:27 PM
 #10

[.....]
Since no one has placed any match requests, I would like to add 2 matches I've been considering for today (22.03.2023):

France U19 - Northern Ireland U19 [ over 3.5 goals @2.05 ]
England U19 - Hungary U19 [ over 3.5 goals @2.00 ]

In both cases the favorites play at home and it's their first match in the qualification stage. At the same time, both France and England have opponents with which they can register high scored goals results. A safer run would be to clock both games for over 2.5 goals each, however lower odds of course. Will rest the analysis here.

*Would also mention that this is not a financial advice and that you are entirely responsible in regards to any decision you might take about the posted matches above.
It's not really my style to bet on total goals exceeding 2.5 but I will give the England vs Hungary a try. Hopefully we get a good start. Odds is now @2.08 for over 3.5 goals by the way.

You can edit your original post and add your recent predictions along with the results. Some suggested a color coding in other threads and I think it's not bad if you do something like that too. My personal preference would be:
- black: prediction
- green: win
- red: loss

This is your thread so it's all up to you.

R


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March 22, 2023, 12:52:29 PM
 #11


new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate.
awaiting challenges.

With this great experience with decent bet, I think you can join prediction contest in the game and rounds section or here that hosted by sportsbook like sportsbet.io. They usually have multiple active prediction contest . There’s an ongoing huge prediction contest from sportsbet which you can check on this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5438071 . Most of the participants were veteran so I’m sure that you will be challenged and excite at the same time for competing for the massive reward sponsored by sportsbet.

You should organize your tipster by compiling it on the OP. Just marked it as finished or indicate the result to know whether the prediction is still active or not.

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March 22, 2023, 04:54:53 PM
 #12

appreciate all you guys for your inputs. I must admit, I am not very familiar with using the form, like using quotes or tagging users. will try to keep up with any potential predictions that I post here in order to keep things as clean as possible, and this includes formatting of course. will try to improve over time with using the form on quotes and things like this. Cheesy

I'm not into tipsters contests or anything like this. have some things on my own and attending those businesses take a considerable chunk of my time & attention.
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March 22, 2023, 08:11:16 PM
 #13

Oh well, another bettor offering to help people with their betting strategies to get decent win results in their games. Surely all help is welcome in this forum, after all this was made with that in mind. But I implore you to back your basis with evidences and mathematics to ensure that people don't follow your stuff blindly. What works for you may not work for them, but if you are advertising a universal trick that everyone can use and abuse, surely there has to be some math behind it that enables the system to work in your favor right? Although I'll take your word for it, since you seem like a decent person and you don't look like you're getting anything from this anyway so it practically looks like you're doing this out of your own volition, in that case, Thanks!

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March 22, 2023, 09:30:08 PM
 #14

Casdinyard, no need to implore. I've stated above why posting "evidence" is pointless as anything can be manipulated these days.

the math behind the first match has nothing to do with the result. excluding the goal, France had 4 shots on target in the 1st half, and only 2 in the 2nd half. still 6 extra shots to score against Northern Ireland. another vertical to be considered, France had 6 corners while Northern Ireland had 5. a match with good numbers overall, except for the score table where almost nothing happened.

for the 2nd match stats were even worse. England had 2 shots on target beside the goal they scored, 1 shot in each half. there were 11 corners in total and for some weird reason 7 minutes of extra time.

France U19 - Northern Ireland U19 [ over 3.5 goals @2.05 ] (final score 1-0)
England U19 - Hungary U19 [ over 3.5 goals @2.00 ] (final score 1-0)

interesting how 2 matches with favorites having under 1.20 odd to win had each only 1 goal scored. moving further.
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March 22, 2023, 10:41:48 PM
 #15

I have seen a few of this kind of thread but I think ignoring them is best for as I have this perception about people's predictions as invalid, because I don't see any special features that differentiate you from every other human and I have this believe that gambling is actually a game of luck and no one is too smart or too brilliant to actually gather fix predictions successful without experiencing any lost in their predictions.

R


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March 23, 2023, 08:13:55 AM
 #16

greetings everyone!

new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate. will try to predict any football/soccer match (prediction examples: winner, number of goals, corners, cards, HT/FT, etc; however not all type of predictions for every match you might request). can present summary for each prediction.

awaiting challenges. Cheesy
What is your purpose for creating this thread to offer gamblers your predicted results to get them to use them and pay you?
The gamblers here consist of many people who are sports fans or sports observers and of course can predict sports matches themselves because everyone already has insight, so there is no need to use other people's predictions or what you offer to bet.
We as gamblers are also required to be able to do our own analysis and predictions so that in the future we are not too dependent on other people because in gambling usually someone will be addicted and bet for a long time so that knowledge and insight can be obtained. is very important here.

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len01
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March 23, 2023, 09:56:52 AM
 #17

greetings everyone!

new here. over 600.000 predictions made in the past decade with decent win rate. will try to predict any football/soccer match (prediction examples: winner, number of goals, corners, cards, HT/FT, etc; however not all type of predictions for every match you might request). can present summary for each prediction.

awaiting challenges. Cheesy
doesn't seem new Smiley
anyway welcome to this forum mate, I'm always interested in sports betting predictions made by other people and usually I would appreciate it more before considering making a bet like your prediction.

but anyway people here are very interested and want to see the predictions you make here.
please always update whatever happens about your prediction and we will discuss it here.


but there is a question from me, will you also predict the english league?

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March 23, 2023, 12:28:33 PM
 #18

but there is a question from me, will you also predict the english league?

purpose of the post was for me to offer my predictions to any match other user(s) might request. as for the Premier League, that's one of the top interests among sports betting fans. if you have any particular requests, just post them here. also huge thanks for the positive welcome. Smiley
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March 23, 2023, 12:48:58 PM
 #19

I have seen a few of this kind of thread but I think ignoring them is best for as I have this perception about people's predictions as invalid, because I don't see any special features that differentiate you from every other human and I have this believe that gambling is actually a game of luck and no one is too smart or too brilliant to actually gather fix predictions successful without experiencing any lost in their predictions.

appreciate your input. not judging, but based on your logic, there is literally 0 difference between a person who has sold TV's for 10 years vs a person who has started selling TV's a month ago. I personally beg to differ. you also stated that "gambling is actually a game of luck" and that as a general statement might be true. however sports betting has been around humans for the past 2.000 years, and basically represents the backbone of trading. I wouldn't mix it with other gambling activities like for example slots, craps, roulette, etc. and of course, democracy so have no problem with you ignoring the post. Smiley

What is your purpose for creating this thread to offer gamblers your predicted results to get them to use them and pay you?
The gamblers here consist of many people who are sports fans or sports observers and of course can predict sports matches themselves because everyone already has insight, so there is no need to use other people's predictions or what you offer to bet.
We as gamblers are also required to be able to do our own analysis and predictions so that in the future we are not too dependent on other people because in gambling usually someone will be addicted and bet for a long time so that knowledge and insight can be obtained. is very important here.

I don't have any intentions of getting any compensations from people on this forum. it's just something I felt doing, similar to going for a walk for example. rest assured that I will assume my results over time. in my personal opinion, gamblers & sports bettors might intersect, but at the same time often are different people. I do however agree that every sport bettor should be able to carry his own analysis for the bets he/she plays. again, I never claimed to have any crystal globe or anything like this. don't see the reason why you brought addiction into discussion, but will add that it's a huge problem and those that face it should require proper help and distance themselves from temptations.
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March 23, 2023, 12:53:18 PM
 #20

Off to a bad start hehe. I lost that one too but that's fine. What do you have next?

R


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