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Author Topic: Bitcoin Supercycle?  (Read 522 times)
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May 01, 2023, 06:28:37 PM
 #41

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?
I am not sure I understand what your trying to say in its entire but, I've got one or two thoughts on my mind after reading through all that you've stated thus far in OP and would like some clarification if am wrong but my take is as follows;

1. A continuous pump for Bitcoin:
This can't be and for worth is worth, it wouldn't be very healthy for the currency. By all means Bitcoin can't be compared with alts but if you take a look at what happens with alts after a long period of pump, people tak3 profit and its dumps never to rise again. This would be the bane of a continuous pump as we would have people coming in solely gor the profit, to take profit agte4 a while and leave. This would leave some other users disappointing and would reflect badly on bitcoin.

2. Bitcoin use case for businesses and organisations;
At the time it would extremely difficult to have a firm own majority of its asset to bitcoin. This is because, there atr still a vague range of disbelief in the currency and as its not backed up by the government. Also, the issue of volatility like you've rightly stated, it's a problem that would be sorted with time.

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May 02, 2023, 12:47:29 AM
 #42

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?

I am not sure that we reached that state because companies are not adapted the Bitcoin in full form, they announced they will add in the future so I don't see anything like called super cycle which will exists for nore than a year above its previous ATH but definitely ad sd know a cycle is about 4 years so 2 years for bull and 2 years for bearish so it's somehow reliable question for the title of this topic

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May 02, 2023, 01:35:24 AM
 #43

Every cycle, everyone calls for a bitcoin super cycle which has been disproved over and over again. Since 2017 everyone always calls for 100k BTC which never happens, it will be lucky to hit that cycle, why? because there is not enough money nor is people willing to invest that amount of money just to get a 5x or so return. 400k BTC this cycle is just stupid. In my opinion a super cycle for BTC this cycle would be 130k if your lucky. You can take the same amount you were going to invest in BTC and invest in it basically any top 10 coin and make so much more money.
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May 02, 2023, 02:01:29 AM
 #44

I believe there's no doubt about bitcoin reaching 100K but it's a matter of when.
It could take a couple of years or a couple of decades. And that time difference makes our economic decisions harder.
Bitcoin price is now at 28K, if it reaches 100K, it would about quadruple, i.e. x4. Depending on the individual nations, we consider 10 years to be the time for a sum of money to quadruple on safe investment for most. So, it doesn't makes sense to invest in bitcoin which is still considered to one of the unsafe investment also due to risk for its storage if it is going to hit 100K after 10 years.
But again it doesn't mean it would take that much time or bitcoin would be limited to 100K. My advice would be to diversify a small portion of your saving into crypto, mostly bitcoin to watch how it develops.



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May 02, 2023, 02:56:40 PM
 #45

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?

Many experts believe that the growing adoption of Bitcoin by individuals and companies, combined with its limited supply, could contribute to long-term price increases. Of course, this will depend on various economic and geopolitical factors, including inflation and global economic trends. This suggests that we may see extended periods of bullish activity in the crypto market, driven by a combination of growing adoption, institutional investment and broader market trends. However, like other market predictions, I don't think anything is certain in this money market world.

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May 02, 2023, 03:01:53 PM
 #46

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?

Bitcoin has been in a bull market since its inception. If you take a look at the chart and zoom out, you will see exactly that.

As far as the rather short or mid termed bull markets go: where there is something going up, the same thing must come down, sooner or later. And the more it goes up, the harder it falls down.

There has been no incredibly volatile price movements since Bitcoin has become so widely adopted and I hope it will stay that way. A gradual but slow rise is always better than a choppy back and forth which only serves to scare people out of their coins...

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May 17, 2023, 07:21:49 PM
 #47

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?
I think BTC to USD is at a risk to become a ratio with no sense due to possible main fiats infaltion. The other problem in case of inflation is the stability of BTC during the process. I suppose inflation will surely affect crypto, but it's a good idea to keep some BTC just in case.

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May 17, 2023, 10:13:53 PM
 #48

Since 2017 everyone always calls for 100k BTC which never happens, it will be lucky to hit that cycle, this suggests that we may see extended periods of bullish activity in the crypto market, driven by a combination of growing adoption, institutional investment and broader market trends. There has been no incredibly volatile price movements since Bitcoin has become so widely adopted and I hope it will stay that way. A gradual but slow rise is always better than a choppy back and forth which only serves to scare people out of their coins.

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May 17, 2023, 11:36:00 PM
 #49

Supercycle seems new to be interesting but what you are asking for is not possible in my perspective because in the market cycle, we have seen there most of the time 3 out of 4 years market stays Bullish, and 1 year of a Bearish run. But in those, even Bullish years market stays non-contiguously Bullish over all year can be called Bulllish in general. The fact is in different time frames market behaves differently last week was a bloodbath so it was bearish but we can't call it a bear run because the total return at the end of the year is not negative.

Take the market on a wider time frame as 7 years or 10 years you will find it contiguously Bullish for shorter timeframes you'll find volatility which is the beauty of the market.

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May 17, 2023, 11:42:22 PM
 #50

Companies and people using Bitcoin for purchases is possible. But the more we get closer to the halving not just for next year but also for the other ones, the scarcer it will be.

And that lead for most of the people to keep it instead of using it for most transactions. Well, we grow and this is going to be something unpredictable if these speculations might come to reality or won't be.

But as for the supercycle, we're talking here about the price of Bitcoin and that's where everyone will agree about it's price going to another peak that we've never seen yet.

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May 17, 2023, 11:58:22 PM
 #51

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Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years?

Supercycle isnt 2 years just to clarify correct time frames.   2 years is still a speculative position, a gambit on a possible outcome where you might just sell it when the tide does not turn your way.   6 years is a business cycle, thats the minimum to be talking about a cycle I think.  Unless we consider seasons and farming commodities but commodity cycles are speculative, nobody knows when surplus or crop failure might occur exactly so by nature commodity trading has always been quite fast but still even those terms a supercycle is a decade or more.  (This decade to 2033 is a commodity ascending cycle I think, greater demand vs supply)
   Really the correct frame of thinking for a supercyclic change is generational, what happens when an entire economy changes direction.  This is happening right now quite obviously Japan has a change in direction forced by demographics, lack of birth rate and rapidly declining working population.  More surprisingly for some perhaps China also has a falling working population, this doesnt have to matter today or next week its a small change but it is a tide change it cant be altered back easily and falling working population for sure will force alterations.  Because China is a giant in its size and because of exports influential in many other markets I maybe cant balance my business without that large cheap manufacturing from China, this 'lack of people' alters the whole world;  that is a super cycle.  Musk mentions it and maybe its much disagreed on.  

  The Japan QE story since 1990 is a super cycle, thats a heck of a long time but its relevant to all our economies over that entire duration and we replicated what Japan did so now its the story we are written into.  If we are writing in BTC in the eternal tomes of economic history its just a foot note some say in pencil ready to first be revised then erased so many in this larger context dismiss it.

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May 18, 2023, 12:29:12 AM
 #52

It's actually hard to imagine. But if Bitcoin adoption suddenly gains so much acceleration, I don't know, it could happen. If within that couple of years very significant steps are taken by powerful economies, central banks, and the largest commercial banks and other businesses in the world in favor of Bitcoin, it becomes very possible. But that's a big if. Will these happen? Possibly in the future, but it is going to be gradual.

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May 18, 2023, 03:30:28 AM
 #53

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?


I think a bull run can happen at any time due to many factors, but what makes us optimistic is that bitcoin will continue to shine because the stock is limited because mining is getting more difficult, and of course the number of users continues to increase so that there will be an explosion in demand and of course a price explosion or bull run.


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May 18, 2023, 03:36:34 AM
 #54

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?


I think a bull run can happen at any time due to many factors, but what makes us optimistic is that bitcoin will continue to shine because the stock is limited because mining is getting more difficult, and of course the number of users continues to increase so that there will be an explosion in demand and of course a price explosion or bull run.
That's going to be a problem if the number of users decreases. We can never be so sure that it's going explode and have that supercycle again but it's possible to h appen but it's possible that it's the other way around. Make sure that you are going to be ready with the investment that you are going to bring and accept wins or losses fairly. Don't be emotional with it.

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May 18, 2023, 04:34:10 AM
 #55

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?

Of course, for me Bitcoin will still be a viable investment option even though its volatility is a publick issue which is always a hot topic of conversation and for those who already understand this, they will smile. Why should be afraid of the volatility, for me this is an opportunity for potential profits, because traders or anyone can take advantage of price fluctuations. See also Growth, increased adoption and acceptance of cryptocurrencies by large institutions and investors who knowingly or unknowingly contribute to Bitcoin's legitimacy and long-term growth potential.

Well, these factors combined make Bitcoin an attractive investment option in our ever-expanding global economy and it will work as a potential hedge against inflation going forward.

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May 20, 2023, 07:32:58 AM
 #56

The bitcoin market is generally cyclical so it is difficult to predict how much bitcoin will grow in a few years. But the market is expected to return to the bull run that will make bitcoin a supercycle. Bitcoin may break all previous records. It is likely that the use of cryptocurrencies will continue to grow and develop as technology and financial systems change. It is important for individuals to carefully consider the risks and benefits of investing in cryptocurrencies and do their own research before making an investment decision.



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May 20, 2023, 11:25:14 AM
 #57

I think a bull run can happen at any time due to many factors, but what makes us optimistic is that bitcoin will continue to shine because the stock is limited because mining is getting more difficult, and of course the number of users continues to increase so that there will be an explosion in demand and of course a price explosion or bull run.
The effect of another bullrun on Bitcoin does exist, it's just that this might not happen this year even though Bitcoin is starting to be difficult to mine and the enthusiasts are increasing. Because the very basic influence for a bullrun to occur is the effect of more demand through the market, because as long as it doesn't happen to Bitcoin this year, it looks like a bullrun will still be difficult to happen to Bitcoin, especially if it's expected this year.

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May 20, 2023, 02:42:36 PM
 #58

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?
Everything is possible, but number of users and use cases doesn't need to correlate with the price growth. All it needs it's right people speaking for it and the hype they bring. After every bear run we hear that bitcoin is dying and holders are basically laughed at. So it isn't sexy for a while to talk for bitcoin, until it starts rising over ath again, and just that will push the nonbelievers in brink of fomoing in. Markets often respond rumors more then fundamentals, and psychology is more important than tech if you are only looking at bull/bear cycles.

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May 20, 2023, 02:47:12 PM
 #59

Will the bull run happen in the next 2 years? Nobody knows. Is it possible? Absolutely. Is it likely? Let's think about it.
In December 2013, Bitcoin went very close to $1k before gradually dropping. The price started consistently rising near the end fo 2016, and then there was a bull market throughout 2017. So, it took Bitcoin 3 years to start consistently growing, a bit more for the price to fully recover and then go up from there. Then the price had its occasional ups and downs but was largely down enough to call 2018-2020 the bear market years, till around October 2020 when the price started rising. So it took almost 3 years for the bull market to come and 3 years for the full recovery (and then some). Then it was pretty much the bull market till the beginning of May 2021, then a few unfortunate months and the price went up again, so August-November 2021 were months of the bull market. Then the bear market started, which also had its ups and downs, but 2022 wasn't great and 2023 is so-so. We've been 1.5 years into the bear market, and the previous two times it took the price around 3 years to recover and to definitely show the signs of the bull market.
History doesn't have to repeat itself, and there isn't enough data to make strong predicitons based on what we have so far with Bitcoin. But it's the only thing we have, so to me it seems that the next 2 years should be enough, and a bull run is likely.

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May 20, 2023, 02:55:27 PM
 #60

Is it possible to have a bull run for the next couple of years? I mean more people and companies start using bitcoin often and knowing there's a limited supply of it, the demand for the crypto will go up eventually. Do you think it's possible considering inflation and our global economy today? I know its a very volatile asset but what do you think?

It is really difficult to predict the future of any asset, many people believe that Bitcoin's limited supply and increasing adoption could potentially lead to a bull run in the future. Bitcoin's price is merely influenced by a variety of factors including demand and supply, relative news and events that is currently happening, and market sentiment. It is important to remember that the past performance of Bitcoin is not indicative of future results and that investing in any asset including Bitcoin comes with a risk.

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