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Author Topic: Crazy Sports Betting Idea  (Read 408 times)
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May 28, 2023, 11:46:06 PM
 #21

So I was thinking, isn't there a way to bet on managers who will most likely be fired by their club management before the season ends judging based on their performance?

In my long years of being a sports bettor, or betting on future events, I never saw that kind of betting but honestly not impossible to happen.

However, that type of betting isn't under any category of sports-related events that's why low chance to see any related betting for that in the usual sports-betting platform. Maybe if some platforms offer betting on future happenings, we can see that bet. Aside from that, that kind of bet might be taking advantage of those people who are within the circle of that club as they have inside information of what will possibly happen and bookies just created their own disadvantage.

Another idea would be, you can start a form of P2P betting, maybe on your circle of friends or to offer a challenge to anyone.

Overall though, I don't see that bet as an interesting one. It won't surely catch my interest or see it worth betting my money.

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May 29, 2023, 12:36:52 AM
 #22

I've seen Sportsbet whip up different betting markets regularly(multi bets, props, futures, etc.), so if there's a crypto sportsbook that can offer the specific line you're looking for, it's most likely them, but there's no guarantee they'll do it. Instead of one specific manager, I could see them offering a two-way market (for example an over or under for the total number of managers sacked in the EPL). Also, last weekend they offered this market where we could bet on the finalists of their prediction tournament.


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May 29, 2023, 12:37:40 AM
 #23

I think this kind of bet isn't very realistic, because everyone can have access to the length of a contract signed by the club and the coach. So gamblers would simply bet the coach is going to leave the club on the date the contract expires. Of course there are chances the coach renews the contract, but it's still a potentially predictable event without much surprises or twists, different from a match where one team can defeat the another at anytime...

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May 29, 2023, 12:47:22 AM
 #24

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?
But it's not sports? I reckon local small casinos wouldnt mind if you set it up yourself (together with payments which they won't deal with most likely) but I hardly doubt its going to be an official thing. Ever. It's also grounds for a lot of possible manipulation. I'm rather curious how this popped to your mind since I never considered betting about these kind of stuff in the first place.

And tbf, rather than this, I'd much rather bet on player transfers instead.

R


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May 29, 2023, 01:24:54 AM
 #25

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?
Everything can happen and can be a stake in gambling, so I don't be surprised if the next day any gambling site makes a new offer for who was sacked and who the best manager brings his club. But I think it's quite difficult to guess because when we look in the last session the coach is were good like Tuchel who bring the Champions League title, but fail in next session. So we could hard to guess if the coach is always windy and has experimented with style like Him, and It's different when Pep Guardiola in the list also because we can guess easily who the winning coach.

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May 29, 2023, 01:42:36 AM
 #26

If this was way back a few years ago, there’d be a market for this Grin

While it is not completely a sports thing but rather a management-related one, fans can still enjoy betting on who leaves next based on the team’s performance so in a way, it is somehow predictable. It may not be as sure as player transfers and whatnot but the grounds on which manager goes next is still there and gamblers just need to make sure that they hit the right predictions.

But yeah, the market for this will be very low though it’s a good idea still.
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May 29, 2023, 02:51:49 AM
 #27

This is just the premier league only, there are other managers who were sacked in the other leagues. So I was thinking, isn't there a way to bet on managers who will most likely be fired by their club management before the season ends judging based on their performance?

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?

This is a pretty nice idea, but the only issue here is that you will have to look for a sportsbook that offers such or perhaps suggest it to some of them that are in this forum to include it.
But to be sincere, I don't think I don't think it will be that easy to predict though, and this is the type of betting where you see some insanely high odds for some predictions like for example if this gets implemented in any casino you might come across a manager having up to 500 odds for him to get sacked those kind of managers aare the one doing extremely well and that has the lest probability of getting sacked.

Tbh, I don't alot of people will find this betting interesting they might just prefer their usual game rather thaan to bet on an impossibilty.

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May 29, 2023, 04:01:55 AM
 #28

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?

Interesting idea but will it be possible to see a bet like this exist? Because it may take a while for our bets to be settled because what we consider to be a poor performance is not valued equally by management. We'll see how Chelsea kept Potter for quite a while before finally sacking him, Juventus kept Allegri when their team was having bad luck and Bayern Munich, which we think is still in good enough condition but management decided to replace the coach in the middle of the season with Tomas Tuchel. So I don't think such a betting market will ever exist although it's quite interesting if we can bet that the most likely is to guess the next manager of a team that hasn't decided on a manager after the sack. Maybe if there is PvP sports betting you can start opening bets like this, will someone join your bet.

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May 29, 2023, 05:54:19 AM
 #29

Quote
I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?

Why do you think it's crazy? This idea doesn't seem crazy at all. Since the events cannot be easily predicted by the bettors, there's no problem for the bookies to include such betting options in their platforms. I'm thinking about different ways to manipulate such betting options. What if the owner of a football team secretly places bets on sacking the manager of his football team? Wouldn't this be unfair? Maybe this is the main reason why the bookies won't implement such bets. The outcome of such events can be decided by a small amount of people, which makes those events easy to get manipulated.

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May 29, 2023, 06:31:48 AM
 #30

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?
This bet will be highly unpredictable because some coaches are sacked even when they are performing well. The case of Chelsea's Thomas Tuchel and Totthenham's Antonio Conte is my case study. They show that they were good coaches because the clubs they left became worst after their sack and departure. Such bets will not be daily or weekly because coaches are rarely sacked and their numbers are few. So the bets might be every month, middle of the season, or at the end of the season. The idea sounds funny but I appreciate OP for this creative and innovative thinking that gave birth to this idea. Maybe OP can recommend this idea to sports bookies, they might consider this new invention and adopt it.

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May 29, 2023, 06:58:44 AM
 #31

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?
This bet will be highly unpredictable because some coaches are sacked even when they are performing well. The case of Chelsea's Thomas Tuchel and Totthenham's Antonio Conte is my case study. They show that they were good coaches because the clubs they left became worst after their sack and departure. Such bets will not be daily or weekly because coaches are rarely sacked and their numbers are few. So the bets might be every month, middle of the season, or at the end of the season. The idea sounds funny but I appreciate OP for this creative and innovative thinking that gave birth to this idea. Maybe OP can recommend this idea to sports bookies, they might consider this new invention and adopt it.

Apart from the fact that they will be extremely unpredictable, as you say, even coaches with good results are replaced for various reasons. I think that it might be too easy to manipulate this.

I also think that this idea sounds funny, it's creative and maybe it would be interesting for some people to bet on this, but I doubt it would attract much attention.

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May 29, 2023, 08:21:34 AM
 #32

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?

I don't really see anything wrong with such kind of bets, morally they might be a bit questionable but that shouldn't be an obstacle. We can bet on players getting transferred, so why not also bet on managers getting sacked. If there is enough demand for such kind of bets the bookmakers would add them for sure. There has been a lot of trainer changes this season and it would have been cool to make some money of it. After a few bad matches and getting knocked out in a big tournament it should be no issue to find new candidates that are getting fired. The only issue will be to convince bookmakers to offer such bets for a wide range of leagues and teams, and once it becomes clear that someone is getting fired the odds should become pretty one sided.
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May 29, 2023, 09:50:23 AM
 #33

So I was thinking, isn't there a way to bet on managers who will most likely be fired by their club management before the season ends judging based on their performance?

In my long years of being a sports bettor, or betting on future events, I never saw that kind of betting but honestly not impossible to happen.

However, that type of betting isn't under any category of sports-related events that's why low chance to see any related betting for that in the usual sports-betting platform. Maybe if some platforms offer betting on future happenings, we can see that bet. Aside from that, that kind of bet might be taking advantage of those people who are within the circle of that club as they have inside information of what will possibly happen and bookies just created their own disadvantage.

Another idea would be, you can start a form of P2P betting, maybe on your circle of friends or to offer a challenge to anyone.

Overall though, I don't see that bet as an interesting one. It won't surely catch my interest or see it worth betting my money.
Intriguing viewpoint, pal! Yet, aren't we laying our bets on shaky ground? I mean, does winning at betting hinge on gauging human error? It's a real brain teaser, right? Indeed, sports betting typically zeroes in on the game's outcome, not the behind-the-scenes melodrama. But doesn't this type of betting teeter on the edge of a moral gray zone, kind of like insider trading? Betting on someone's job loss, based on privileged intel, seems a bit too 'spy novel' for my taste, wouldn't you agree?

As an aside, your suggestion about P2P betting piques my interest. It injects an extra layer of thrill and rivalry amongst buddies. However, could it inadvertently tiptoe into risky gambling territory? This subject is as slippery as a rain-soaked football pitch!

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May 29, 2023, 10:16:06 AM
 #34

Nothing is impossible for casinos to add sports betting betting like this because we know for this season alone a lot in some leagues are sacking their managers, sometimes we see a club can change more than 2x managers in one season that's why I think the idea it's also good for gambling platforms to add bets like this in the next season.

I think the owner of the gambling platform will see your idea and then add it so that gamblers can bet bets like this, I know every club that loses will usually change its manager just because of an ordinary failure, but we see from this thread it seems that many gamblers agree with the idea you crazy.  Cheesy

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May 29, 2023, 10:21:29 AM
 #35

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?
This bet will be highly unpredictable because some coaches are sacked even when they are performing well. The case of Chelsea's Thomas Tuchel and Totthenham's Antonio Conte is my case study. They show that they were good coaches because the clubs they left became worst after their sack and departure. Such bets will not be daily or weekly because coaches are rarely sacked and their numbers are few. So the bets might be every month, middle of the season, or at the end of the season. The idea sounds funny but I appreciate OP for this creative and innovative thinking that gave birth to this idea. Maybe OP can recommend this idea to sports bookies, they might consider this new invention and adopt it.

Apart from the fact that they will be extremely unpredictable, as you say, even coaches with good results are replaced for various reasons. I think that it might be too easy to manipulate this.

I also think that this idea sounds funny, it's creative and maybe it would be interesting for some people to bet on this, but I doubt it would attract much attention.
The coaches who have a history of doing well would be the coaches that have the highest odds. That's where the money would be.

Most sportsbooks futures bets for certain sports. You can bet on the number of wins a team will have in a season. It's not the same as betting on what coach will get fired, but if a team is shitty with a new coach, you might make some money betting on the under in games they will win.

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May 29, 2023, 01:27:51 PM
 #36

It would be an interesting bet and I wonder how the managers of each club would feel if they saw their names on the sports betting register. It definitely won't be comfortable seeing their names there and maybe it will make them exert their energy and mind so they can still be managers at their club.

If there is a suggestion for these managers to be put into betting in crypto casinos, the casinos may try it into the new link in their casino. But it doesn't look like the casinos will put it on their betting list yet.

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May 29, 2023, 02:18:54 PM
 #37

It seems to me that in the past there were some kind of custom bets where the player asked to bet on something, and the bookmaker then made it possible for him or not - if I'm not mistaken, that was possible on the UK market. And I just remembered one example that was talked about a lot about ten years ago.


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I don't see why it would be crazy to include a type of bet on coaches in the offer, because clubs change them very often, and realistically, many of these people should not be coaches because they are not for that job, regardless of whether some of them are were good players.

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May 29, 2023, 02:33:19 PM
 #38

At least sport bettors should have the pleasure of making these kind of bets too. I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?
I don't know, what would happen if every online bookie had an idea like that, I personally don't know all football league managers, especially the English league and so on, plus the Spanish, Saudi Arabia, Italian, etc.

Maybe, if that kind of bet happens, obviously we have to see all the data managers in the whole league, I think it's a little boring, but if it really happens how to make a bet for them.

Whether, the manager is staying or the one being sacked during the league season, confused as well if such a bet happens, it's absolutely as crazy as the topic title.

R


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May 29, 2023, 03:24:57 PM
 #39

Quote
I know it sounds crazy but that's what has been on my mind. Do you think it is feasible? Do you think sports bookies will incorporate this type of betting?

Why do you think it's crazy? This idea doesn't seem crazy at all. Since the events cannot be easily predicted by the bettors, there's no problem for the bookies to include such betting options in their platforms. I'm thinking about different ways to manipulate such betting options. What if the owner of a football team secretly places bets on sacking the manager of his football team? Wouldn't this be unfair? Maybe this is the main reason why the bookies won't implement such bets. The outcome of such events can be decided by a small amount of people, which makes those events easy to get manipulated.

I doubt this kind of manipulation is possible since the owner will not sacrifice his business for a mere bet. His reputation might put in danger since he will need a huge bet for that manipulation to become worth it since he is sacrificing ther team for the bet while casino will surely KYC himfor having that kind of bet.

An investigation will surely commence on his bet since its huge and win on a controversial pick. Only crazy owner will do this kind of manipulation because its not worth it.



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May 29, 2023, 07:00:52 PM
 #40

I am sure that most bettors would love this type of bet.They are totally unpredictable though as they are different than most sport bets.In most sport bets we saw some games of certain teams and then we have a clear idea of this team form and we keep this in mind when we place our bets.In the sacking of coaches though it is totally unpredictable because no one of the bettors have the slightest idea of what the management of a team who is ready to sack a coach and the odds of such bets should be extremely high as even the bookies know no sh*t of what is going on in the mind of a management or board of directors of a team.
Indeed as ridiculous as this OP idea sounds, I think a lot of us here will be willing to test it if any bookies should eventually have the type of bet. But I wonder how they'll go about the bets. Will the odds be on a manager to be sacked during the season or at the end of the season? Or also on a coach whose team will be moved to the relegation zone due to poor coaching skill? If this happens, we may see a case where the a coach may likely bet against himself.
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