But have you ever thought of the opposite scenario? I still think that the movement of the market is still not wholly dependent on supply and demand, the market is still manipulated by some underground forces. So when people expect a bull run after the halving, the opposite is most likely to happen. Bitcoin usually won't move according to the will of the crowd. You don't have to spread the word about the halving because most know it and all look forward to it, so that's what I'm worried about.
Yes, you mean a famous phrase on Wall Street that says: “Buy The Fear, Sell The Greed” This is very possible, but given the three times in the history of halving, a new summit is expected.
I know this is not necessarily always repeated, but I like to be optimistic.
I am not saying we should be pessimistic, we need to be optimistic because if history repeats itself, bitcoin hits a new ATH, the one who benefits is us and no one else. I mean, we also need to have a plan for the worst case scenario because if we don't have any preparation and when it happens, we will panic. Things constantly repeat themselves in the past, but I feel it was too easy this time, and everyone already knew what was going to happen, so maybe things will change. Don't forget the saying: Bitcoin is unpredictable.