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Texac
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July 04, 2023, 11:28:07 PM
 #61

I think BlackRock is the protagonist of the mid June decline and this week's rise. Namely when BlackRock made its Bitcoin ETF application for the first time, the SEC's negative and critical statement with the current spot Bitcoin ETF applications caused panic in the market for a short time and the market went into panic. Bitcoin was the most affected by this situation.

After the SEC stated that the spot Bitcoin ETF applications were insufficient and needed to be updated the BlackRock ETF application was brought up again and has taken the main role in the current rise. The market is buying on every positive news and the increasing demand is boosting Bitcoin and the SEC has left the door open with the update demand giving hope to the markets. I am bullish for this situation and i have full faith that demand will increase and price increases will continue.
You are right, although there are many ETFs filed with the SEC, but perhaps BlackRock is being considered the leading cause of the recent short-term fluctuations, BlackRock's ETF is getting more attention than any other ETF.  but overall, I don't see these as big news to help turn the market around, what's happening is more like someone using the news to create Fomo than ETFs are helping bitcoin rise because of demand.

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July 04, 2023, 11:37:13 PM
 #62

I don't know of a surety what was the reason for the recent pump in price but I know at a point in time all your listed factors as affected both positive and negative on Bitcoin. There was a time when just a tweet from an Icon caused reduction in the price of Bitcoin. There has been news recently that is positive about the price being increased.

The thing is, people seem to adjust so easily. Even though it seems right now that people pay less attention to some little tweet regarding some positive news about Bitcoin, that doesn't necessarily mean that there are people who still don't panic over little things.
 
If we check around the recent happenings, the halving being around the corner, the EDX exchange launch, the Bitcoin ETF, and many of those positive news items, it's enough reason to keep the Bitcoin market on the green side, adding to the fact that there might be more demand for the acquisition of Bitcoin than usual, which are all added reasons why the price is going up currently. And Bitcoin's price always seems to surprise predictors, as it has its own way of doing things.

R


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July 05, 2023, 12:04:37 AM
 #63

I'm curious about the recent pump in Bitcoin's price. What are your thoughts on the factors that contributed to this surge? Do you believe it was primarily driven by positive news, investor speculation, increased mainstream awareness, or a combination of these factors? How do you think this pump will impact the overall cryptocurrency market? Looking forward to hearing your insights and opinions!"
Many factors can bring fluctuate the bitcoin price, including what you mentioned above. but that's not always the case, sometimes, there is no good news but bitcoin price pump opposite the market. Even not so affect on the market, but usually this increase will be followed also another altcoin, so it has a direct effect on the crypto market overall. therefore do not easily hype, you have to relax to face the market, so as not to overdo selling your assets.
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July 05, 2023, 12:56:27 AM
 #64

I'm curious about the recent pump in Bitcoin's price. What are your thoughts on the factors that contributed to this surge? Do you believe it was primarily driven by positive news, investor speculation, increased mainstream awareness, or a combination of these factors? How do you think this pump will impact the overall cryptocurrency market? Looking forward to hearing your insights and opinions!"
There are many factors that can affect the price to increase and often it is the good news circulating that drives the investors to buy Bitcoin and become bullish. However the recent increase is just a recovery and not really a pump since it's not consistent. In fact currently the price is decreasing back to over $30k after reaching $31k value.

Anyway, i'm optimistic that we're already near to bullish season. We just need to wait and, if possible, ignore the negative news because it can't help you to hold firm while waiting for the right time to take profit.

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July 05, 2023, 04:09:14 AM
 #65

Honestly , my thoughts changed a bit after I saw Bitcoin jumping in 31k so easily but a lot of resistance wall around that area was gone before the jump and that makes me guess that it's just for a brief time and most likely Bitcoin will fall in 30k area again as we can see that it couldn't hold 31k. Now , after Btc dropped again in price and it doesn't look like it wants to move back up , my summer prediction is still up with Bitcoin being steady around 30k or even fall a bit under.

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July 05, 2023, 01:56:51 PM
 #66

~snip~
In other words this recent small rise doesn't really need a major news. However if price broke out of $35k resistance, that would be a different story.
Maybe there is some truth to it, but I wouldn't get too excited even if the price reached $35k, because despite all the "good news" that makes the market behave "optimistically", only one bad can very easily take us backwards. From whichever angle I look at the current situation I think that the market behaves in accordance with what has already happened many times in the past, and someone explained it nicely on the example of a child who can not get sweets, but does not give up on getting them at all costs. In other words, there is a time for everything, and it seems to me personally that this is not the time for big things.
Depends on the bad news to be fair. I would say categorize them by impact points, so lets say a bad or good news could have a scale from 1 to 10, 1 being I sold my coins so the market didn't even notice, and 10 being Biden said bitcoin is a crime, that's the scale. So, if there are 2 good news with 7-8 scale, and just one bad news with 5 scale, then it will not drop backwards that quickly, but if there is just one good news with 5 scale and back to back 2 bad news with 8 scale then yeah it will drop for sure.

I believe that's the trouble and we shouldn't really change it all that much. I know that it is not going to be easy to decide just yet, but I believe good and bad news impact the world based on their scale and that's how it moves eventually.
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July 05, 2023, 02:59:23 PM
 #67

Honestly , my thoughts changed a bit after I saw Bitcoin jumping in 31k so easily but a lot of resistance wall around that area was gone before the jump and that makes me guess that it's just for a brief time and most likely Bitcoin will fall in 30k area again as we can see that it couldn't hold 31k. Now , after Btc dropped again in price and it doesn't look like it wants to move back up , my summer prediction is still up with Bitcoin being steady around 30k or even fall a bit under.
And the fact is it is true that Bitcoin cannot penetrate more than $ 31K, and precisely today returns to the $ 30k level, if calculated Bitcoin has often broken up to conquer $31, but as you say that too many walls need to be on Break to really be able to penetrate the next level of the level, I think Bitcoin will have a sideways trip if there is no meaningful FUD and positive sentiment to boost prices on Bitcoin.
Because maybe this summer is still early, it is possible that on the journey of Jully we will see a surge in prices back to Bitcoin to try to touch the $ 35K price level.
Hopefully so.Grin

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July 05, 2023, 03:28:28 PM
 #68

We are less than a year far from the next Bitcoin Halving and this is known by almost every individual who is invested in Crypto or Bitcoin especially.
So the market is making moves and setting itself before the halving, which results in price jump and that result could be seen by you yourself in Nov 2025.
Best bet would be to invest in the Halving month or you can continue DCAing like me. Cheesy

Now those who follow the crypto market are aware of many things. It is very easy to reach a lot of information such as expectations, dates, places where bitcoin is exchanged, institutions accumulating bitcoins. In the meantime, it is very normal for bitcoin to prepare itself. We will all see price increases before or after the halving. I don't know exactly when, but what we are sure of is that the price of Bitcoin will rise.

These prospects are good news for Bitcoin. Until now, bitcoin has gone through many phases and is standing firm. There is a little time left. With a little patience, we can see the value of our investments increase.

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July 05, 2023, 07:31:41 PM
 #69

-snip-
Now those who follow the crypto market are aware of many things. It is very easy to reach a lot of information such as expectations, dates, places where bitcoin is exchanged, institutions accumulating bitcoins. In the meantime, it is very normal for bitcoin to prepare itself. We will all see price increases before or after the halving. I don't know exactly when, but what we are sure of is that the price of Bitcoin will rise.

These prospects are good news for Bitcoin. Until now, bitcoin has gone through many phases and is standing firm. There is a little time left. With a little patience, we can see the value of our investments increase.
No one knows when - but we're on track for now.
Bitcoin has recovered and left last year's low of almost 100% - it has been much better to call a recovery.

The price of bitcoin will surely rise - but the path to the moon may not be as smooth as it seems. We're about to be in another trough - maybe especially when you analyze the daily TF, but it's only a stepping stone as that support will help price break above resistance.

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July 06, 2023, 08:50:29 AM
 #70

Honestly , my thoughts changed a bit after I saw Bitcoin jumping in 31k so easily but a lot of resistance wall around that area was gone before the jump and that makes me guess that it's just for a brief time and most likely Bitcoin will fall in 30k area again as we can see that it couldn't hold 31k. Now , after Btc dropped again in price and it doesn't look like it wants to move back up , my summer prediction is still up with Bitcoin being steady around 30k or even fall a bit under.
The whole summer? Maybe not, but the initial stage will mostly go with Bitcoin being at either $30k or somewhere around it, the resistance at $31k is too strong, you are right about that, so it might go back down from where it came up earlier if it doesn't manage to cross the resistance pretty soon which doesn't seem to happen so far, some very good news might boost it up and make retail investors gain more confidence in the market.

However, I'm personally more eagerly waiting for the next year and I would probably not be selling at any price even if it manages to go around $40k, because I have a higher target in my mind, and I'm optimistic for it to reach that mark by the end of next year, hopefully.

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July 06, 2023, 10:12:27 AM
 #71

We are less than a year far from the next Bitcoin Halving and this is known by almost every individual who is invested in Crypto or Bitcoin especially.
So the market is making moves and setting itself before the halving, which results in price jump and that result could be seen by you yourself in Nov 2025.
Best bet would be to invest in the Halving month or you can continue DCAing like me. Cheesy
I think to continue DCAing is better because even in the halving month, one may not know exactly when to buy. This is because halving would be characterised by many speculative dramas. So, it is better to continue with DCA until the halving bull run.
If you ignore this strategy, you may end up not being involved in the bull run. Once the market is up and running, you will be reluctant to join.

R


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July 06, 2023, 10:17:40 AM
 #72

Do you believe it was primarily driven by positive news, investor speculation, increased mainstream awareness, or a combination of these factors? How do you think this pump will impact the overall cryptocurrency market?
It can be said to be driven by positive news and demand.
For example, BlackRock proposed a spot Bitcoin ETF even though the SEC is still on their stance, but it had a very positive impact on Bitcoin's price movement.
A few hours ago, most of the day traders were already making profits as I monitored the price moving a little slowly towards $31,479 from $30,441.

As others have argued that we are very close to the halving, so hold.

R


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July 06, 2023, 06:19:44 PM
 #73

Though we can't pinpoint the specific factors involved but it is the combination of various factors like the mentioned by the OP.
Up until now, even so-called experts can't identify a single source of why the market is going green.
But we can all speculate what will happen to the market, depending on the news surrounding at that time period.
So if there is someone who will guarantee what will happen next, then, for sure, he is bluffing as no one can give you such context.

We just work according to speculations and we don't have actual knowledge because if everyone knows that fact then everyone will get success and no one will face any failure. Crypto is volatile and all discussion is based on prediction which sometimes comes true and other time it doesn't happen at all.

As halving is just known to happen next year is also just a speculation but who knows the reality? The knowledge about future is very hard to know and in crypto there is not a single second which can be identify due to volatility so 2024 is far now but the people just focus and increase demand due to speculations without realizing the fact.









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July 06, 2023, 06:45:42 PM
 #74

I think to continue DCAing is better because even in the halving month, one may not know exactly when to buy. This is because halving would be characterised by many speculative dramas. So, it is better to continue with DCA until the halving bull run.
If you ignore this strategy, you may end up not being involved in the bull run. Once the market is up and running, you will be reluctant to join.

Doing DCA until the halving happens is a good decision, I agree with the plan. We're still a few months away before the halving, so when they do DCAing then of course their average buying price will be lower than buying with a lump sum.

After all, price volatility continues and it is also possible to find bitcoin dropping to around $28k this year. The strong support is $29k, so when DCA is implemented as an investment strategy then of course they will accumulate more bitcoin instead of a lump sum. There are times when a lump sum is better, that is when the bitcoin price dump more than 10% - 15% in 1 day.

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Lamkuthang
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July 06, 2023, 06:55:25 PM
 #75

Everything that OP said is related and interconnected and contributes to making the market go up and down in price, in this case, especially BTC and altcoins in general. Yes. Our job is to be good at reading situations and conditions and keep them updated, but there is one thing that is most important, namely not going against the mainstream and rushing into decisions.

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Dr.Bitcoin_Strange
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July 06, 2023, 08:33:05 PM
 #76

Do you believe it was primarily driven by positive news, investor speculation, increased mainstream awareness, or a combination of these factors?

@OP, Positive news can make the price of Bitcoin experience a high uptrend, as can high demand, but investor speculation is not a factor that contributes to market trends. There is a lot of high-level speculation by Bitcoiners, of which if it were possible for the price to reach $100k, it would have, but the speculation is just the thoughts of people or some analysts who study the market with some trading tool and give some prediction about the expected price.



Cheers 🥂, Dr.Bitcoin_Strange 👺👺

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July 06, 2023, 09:10:19 PM
 #77

I'm curious about the recent pump in Bitcoin's price. What are your thoughts on the factors that contributed to this surge? Do you believe it was primarily driven by positive news, investor speculation, increased mainstream awareness, or a combination of these factors? How do you think this pump will impact the overall cryptocurrency market? Looking forward to hearing your insights and opinions!"
First I can't mention any factor that directly impacted the price to move to the direction where it reach but then also we must know that this type of price movement has been evident and noticeable with Bitcoin ever since its inception and due to these patterns of unpredictability it what makes Bitcoin to be a volatile asset.


But then also a lot of buy have been made all to accumulate Bitcoin against the next halving and this has contributed to a lot of scarcity in Bitcoin sell order that leadordershe price to skyrocket recently but still relying on around 30k+.

R


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goaldigger
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July 06, 2023, 09:41:44 PM
 #78

Everything that OP said is related and interconnected and contributes to making the market go up and down in price, in this case, especially BTC and altcoins in general. Yes. Our job is to be good at reading situations and conditions and keep them updated, but there is one thing that is most important, namely not going against the mainstream and rushing into decisions.
The pump happens because of a big investor buying more Bitcoin slowly but again someone will take profit out of that pump and that why we are still suffering from a strong resistance. Anyway, this is just a normal pump and dump trend so its not new anymore, if you know how to timing the market then making profit will be more easy for you. The price will soon pump, be more patient and store more holdings now.

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July 06, 2023, 11:48:35 PM
 #79

Relief rally is what can happen often enough, with BTC the supply is constricted making such dynamics quite easy to happen with just steady ongoing demand.  Less supply same demand is a higher price on many days, can be quite simple.
  Today the price got enough upset that we can moved from the weekly average for the first time in a few days.   BTC often tries to go sideways, now its deviated from that course my estimate is a downside target of 50 day average is quite fair.  Its risen as high as 28k so 50 day pull back is still quite positive.

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July 07, 2023, 03:22:16 AM
 #80

The pump happens because of a big investor buying more Bitcoin slowly but again someone will take profit out of that pump and that why we are still suffering from a strong resistance. Anyway, this is just a normal pump and dump trend so its not new anymore, if you know how to timing the market then making profit will be more easy for you. The price will soon pump, be more patient and store more holdings now.
Apart from the fact that big investors are starting to come in, this also happens because of FOMO.
Those who come in because of FOMO will continue to pump the price up to the top resistance limit and then others try to sell at the highest price and leave the market.

Pump and dump trends often occur, to overcome this kind of thing we as traders must also know where to enter and where to exit, so that there are no losses after the pump is over.

Must organize the strategy well and don't follow the flow of FOMO.
Those whales will take the opportunity of high prices to start selling and cycles like this will continue to be repeated.

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