Therefore, unless we witness a fixation of interest rates for a long time or start to reduce them, all indicators now may give Inaccurate numbers eventually lead to an urgent hike in interest rates, which could lead to a violent recession.
Inflation forced the Federal Reserve to take drastic measures on the rate hike since late 2021 and was more aggressive in 2022 until the beginning of this year. I believe they would do the needful as they carefully study the path inflation is following in recent months. They've halted the rate hike now which is a good development, thanks to the recent stance on inflation.
The last released figure of the Core PCE Price Index m/m which is the primary inflation measure of the Federal Reserve was 0.3%, a value which is 0.1% lower than the value released in the preceding month.
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.postimg.cc%2Fbrhmn5Gs%2FPCE.png&t=665&c=k7vr9BOBxEmZJQ)
Also, the figures and chart representation below show a good extent to which inflation is fast dropping in months (y/y).
![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.postimg.cc%2FSRPyXrXn%2FCPI.png&t=665&c=xHz6mHqm4XpFfQ)
If it continues like this, then there can't be any reason for the FED to raise the hike anymore, but would on the contrary be getting prepared to cut rates, which is the standard practice in such a situation.
I know data in US is better than most of the countries both the western and those in the west, but I don't take these data serious because most of the time they have been cooked and padded to show that the Government is working, and the economy is doing well and in actual sense the reverse is the case. It is better to look beyond all these conventional data to see the true picture of how the economy is doing
This data seems positive however right now we don’t want extremely low unemployment figures. Why? Because it will lead to inflation and higher rates.
I guess you are missing something here, positive data can't unnecessarily cause inflation and rate hikes. And I have never heard of a situation where good employment figures are bad for a country's economy.