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Author Topic: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024  (Read 6662 times)
mv1986
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March 31, 2024, 06:50:14 PM
 #541

~

First of all, I'm glad I avoided betting on Bayern Grin By the way, I think that yesterday many bets were burned not only because Bayern again unpleasantly surprised everyone, but also because the “reliable” BTTS bet did not work out.
As for Bayer having something to fight for, yes, that’s true, but it seems to me that their priority will be winning tournaments (European League, German Cup) and not statistics in the Bundesliga, where at some point they can start as a rotation team.

My post wasn't meant to say that they would prioritize this record by any means, but going down in history against a club named Bayern Munich that has been reigning the Bundesliga for decades is quite a worthwhile goal in my opinion. This doesn't mean they would not rotate to achieve that goal. It does mean that the players will not scale down their efforts at any point in time during the season in Bundesliga games when they are getting closer to breaking that amazing record set by Heynckes' Bayern Munich over a decade ago.

By the way, the crazy thing about Leverkusen is that you don't even realize when they rotate because they have such a balanced team on and off the pitch. Alonso has done a great job to develop all players equally and to keep them being on fire. Remember when the Africa Cup took place and five players left the team, four of which were core players and played like 95% of the games? You couldn't even notice that the team suffered from any absences.

But surely titles are the main priority although records and titles quite often go hand in hand.



To everyone - what a messed up round this was! Cheesy Wow...

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cygan (OP)
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March 31, 2024, 08:16:14 PM
 #542

✂️
To everyone - what a messed up round this was! Cheesy Wow...

Spack17 won the messed up 27th matchday with 12 points and thus won a free bet on sportsbet.io - congratulations for that Smiley
so the 12 points are also the fewest so far that have been enough for a matchday win
if leverkusen hadn't won their home game, things would be even worse for some here... Wink




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KTChampions
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March 31, 2024, 08:26:22 PM
 #543

✂️
To everyone - what a messed up round this was! Cheesy Wow...

Spack17 won the messed up 27th matchday with 12 points and thus won a free bet on sportsbet.io - congratulations for that Smiley
so the 12 points are also the fewest so far that have been enough for a matchday win
if leverkusen hadn't won their home game, things would be even worse for some here... Wink




 Grin
This is probably the funniest round of the entire season! 13 participants scored 2 points, which makes the median number of points equal to 3 - in fact, if you specifically try to score that many points, it will be simply unrealistic on the first try.
I’m also seriously surprised that despite how lame Bayern is this season, no one bet against them. Only Ulven suggested that there might be a draw. If the situation is the same with money bets, then the bookmakers are simply swimming in money (and the tears of betters) after this round.

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March 31, 2024, 09:24:59 PM
 #544

~

 Grin
This is probably the funniest round of the entire season! 13 participants scored 2 points, which makes the median number of points equal to 3 - in fact, if you specifically try to score that many points, it will be simply unrealistic on the first try.
I’m also seriously surprised that despite how lame Bayern is this season, no one bet against them. Only Ulven suggested that there might be a draw. If the situation is the same with money bets, then the bookmakers are simply swimming in money (and the tears of betters) after this round.

This is actually a good way to twist the challenge in our competition. Try to score 2 points or less! Cheesy Coming from that angle, you are definitely right that it is probably harder than one would think.

When I saw Heidenheim taking the 3-2 lead against Stuttgart away from home after being down 2-0, I had to smile thinking about all the picks everyone made. Without a doubt the funniest round by far.

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buwaytress
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April 05, 2024, 08:11:19 AM
 #545

One game at a time, is there anyone here at all actually supporting Bayern? I know we've got Werder fans in here, I admit I probably only support BVB because they're the ones trying to dislodge Bayern, but absolutely everyone who doesn't support Bayern is counting 3 more wins (or, in fact, 2 draws and 2 wins actually settles it too).

KTChampions I do bet against Bayern quite a bit, just this season it's not been value... Usually with teams like City and Real you still get 10/1 even in a bad run of form but bookies have been very selfish with Bayern.

Spare a thought for Kane... or is there a Champions League twist? I say so.

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cygan (OP)
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April 05, 2024, 09:11:29 AM
Merited by KTChampions (1)
 #546

the 28th matchday in the bundesliga starts today with the game frankfurt vs. bremen
to ensure that all participants continue to submit their picks on time, i'm once again sending out the weekly reminder.
the following users have not yet submitted their picks:
Code:
KTChampions
morvillz7z
Trofo
mitchr4
LTU_btc
mv1986
bullrun2024bro
CLS63
Ulven
shogun47
Spack17
seek3r
efialtis

you all have just under 9 hours left...

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April 05, 2024, 10:27:28 AM
 #547

One game at a time, is there anyone here at all actually supporting Bayern? I know we've got Werder fans in here, I admit I probably only support BVB because they're the ones trying to dislodge Bayern, but absolutely everyone who doesn't support Bayern is counting 3 more wins (or, in fact, 2 draws and 2 wins actually settles it too).

KTChampions I do bet against Bayern quite a bit, just this season it's not been value... Usually with teams like City and Real you still get 10/1 even in a bad run of form but bookies have been very selfish with Bayern.

Spare a thought for Kane... or is there a Champions League twist? I say so.

I think many people sympathize with Bayern like me: in European competitions they are one of their favorite clubs, but in the Bundesliga I rather root for any of their competitors - Dortmund or Bayer, it doesn’t matter (however, Bayer is so good this season that it’s hard not to sympathize with them).
As for the money bets, after the previous season and many terrible games this season, it would be strange if the bookmakers were generous.
I don’t know whether Kane will be able to single-handedly influence the games with Arsenal - both teams are determined to control the ball and if Arsenal wins the center of the field, then Kane simply will not see the ball. Different scenarios are likely here, but if Arsenal wins the first game, they will dry out the second, just like in the confrontation with City.

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April 05, 2024, 09:15:26 PM
 #548


I think many people sympathize with Bayern like me: in European competitions they are one of their favorite clubs, but in the Bundesliga I rather root for any of their competitors - Dortmund or Bayer, it doesn’t matter (however, Bayer is so good this season that it’s hard not to sympathize with them).
As for the money bets, after the previous season and many terrible games this season, it would be strange if the bookmakers were generous.
I don’t know whether Kane will be able to single-handedly influence the games with Arsenal - both teams are determined to control the ball and if Arsenal wins the center of the field, then Kane simply will not see the ball. Different scenarios are likely here, but if Arsenal wins the first game, they will dry out the second, just like in the confrontation with City.

I believe Bayern will be in the driving seat in both games against Arsenal and the reason is that Arsenal seems to not be able to handle the games against top teams very well. It was shocking to see how they played against Manchester City. I thought it was supposed to be a top game with chances on both sides, but 27% ball possession for a team like Arsenal? That's not enough. I understand that playing against Manchester City away from home is no fun for any team. But that came across as a refusal to put in the work in that game. Passing accuracy was just around 70%. I think that Bayern will have control over the games, but it doesn't mean they will win. Could be more of the typical problems Bayern is fighting with. Lots of ball control and chances, but then fail to score and fall apart regardless.

It's the same for me by the way. In European competitions I am all for Bayern, but in the Bundesliga I am happy to see teams stand up to Bayern.

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April 07, 2024, 12:18:03 PM
 #549

Spare a thought for Kane... or is there a Champions League twist? I say so.

I think many people sympathize with Bayern like me: in European competitions they are one of their favorite clubs, but in the Bundesliga I rather root for any of their competitors - Dortmund or Bayer, it doesn’t matter (however, Bayer is so good this season that it’s hard not to sympathize with them).
As for the money bets, after the previous season and many terrible games this season, it would be strange if the bookmakers were generous.
I don’t know whether Kane will be able to single-handedly influence the games with Arsenal - both teams are determined to control the ball and if Arsenal wins the center of the field, then Kane simply will not see the ball. Different scenarios are likely here, but if Arsenal wins the first game, they will dry out the second, just like in the confrontation with City.

I'm blessed with a neutral outlook, and it's hard to feel sympathy for a club that's had 11 consecutive titles (or maybe even more, I can't be bothered to check) and always hard to support a team so dominant; the league is irrelevant. I can even objectively say if there comes a time Liverpool dominates their league, I can understand it will be unpopular. This is, perhaps, the way it should be.

Bayern the underdogs vs Arsenal, Kane or not, that has to be some kind of error in bookmaker estimation, don't you agree? There is such a thing as pedigree in a knockout competition, but perhaps one simply cannot ignore form.

It was shocking to see how they played against Manchester City. I thought it was supposed to be a top game with chances on both sides, but 27% ball possession for a team like Arsenal?

Well, they have become more mature, they never won in Etihad, their past results were hammerings. I think 0-0 when you planned, and restricted City to one attempt (also a record for them), was a victory. Whether or not they can display the same game management and maturity against Bayern, one of the most mature sides left in the UCL, we'll find out.

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April 07, 2024, 04:14:50 PM
 #550

It was shocking to see how they played against Manchester City. I thought it was supposed to be a top game with chances on both sides, but 27% ball possession for a team like Arsenal?

Well, they have become more mature, they never won in Etihad, their past results were hammerings. I think 0-0 when you planned, and restricted City to one attempt (also a record for them), was a victory. Whether or not they can display the same game management and maturity against Bayern, one of the most mature sides left in the UCL, we'll find out.

You may have a point in saying that Manchester City was restricted to one attempt. That's indeed a good achievement, yet I think it is not enough of an objective for a game that ends with 27% ball possession for a team aspiring to become the next Premier League winner. That is far too chicken-hearted.

I guess you call. Bayern one of the most mature sides because of their past, but right now I can't see any of their maturity. The loss against Heidenheim was rather the peak of their immaturity. But who knows what will happen over the coming days as Eberl said a few things about an entire overhaul of the team in the near future.

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April 07, 2024, 05:01:30 PM
 #551

I think many people sympathize with Bayern like me: in European competitions they are one of their favorite clubs, but in the Bundesliga I rather root for any of their competitors - Dortmund or Bayer, it doesn’t matter (however, Bayer is so good this season that it’s hard not to sympathize with them).
As for the money bets, after the previous season and many terrible games this season, it would be strange if the bookmakers were generous.
I don’t know whether Kane will be able to single-handedly influence the games with Arsenal - both teams are determined to control the ball and if Arsenal wins the center of the field, then Kane simply will not see the ball. Different scenarios are likely here, but if Arsenal wins the first game, they will dry out the second, just like in the confrontation with City.

I'm blessed with a neutral outlook, and it's hard to feel sympathy for a club that's had 11 consecutive titles (or maybe even more, I can't be bothered to check) and always hard to support a team so dominant; the league is irrelevant. I can even objectively say if there comes a time Liverpool dominates their league, I can understand it will be unpopular. This is, perhaps, the way it should be.

Bayern the underdogs vs Arsenal, Kane or not, that has to be some kind of error in bookmaker estimation, don't you agree? There is such a thing as pedigree in a knockout competition, but perhaps one simply cannot ignore form.
~

After yesterday's games, I was finally convinced that Arsenal are rightfully considered the favorites. And maybe now they should be bigger favorites than the bookmakers quote them, but it’s that same pedigree that distorts the picture.
But if you look at the facts, last year Bayern could not show any competition in the games with City, and a year earlier they were knocked out by Villarreal. If you look at the trends, Arsenal is clearly progressing, while Bayern is regressing.
I don’t know if I’ll bet on Arsenal, but I definitely won’t bet on Bayern.

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April 07, 2024, 07:23:36 PM
Merited by jeremypwr (1)
 #552

jayce won the 28th matchday.
with a total of 14 points, he can secure a free bet on sportsbet.io - congratulations!
there has been a change at the top of the table - Little Mouse has moved up from KTChampions to second place... in any case, it remains exciting up there



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April 07, 2024, 08:01:06 PM
 #553

Surprise, Surprise nobody got Bayern result correct.

I guess it is all but official now, Leverkusen is the new champion, really glad to see Bayern dominance ended. Feel bad about Kane though, there will be a lot of memes on his account  Grin

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April 08, 2024, 02:43:21 PM
 #554

Surprise, Surprise nobody got Bayern result correct.

I guess it is all but official now, Leverkusen is the new champion, really glad to see Bayern dominance ended. Feel bad about Kane though, there will be a lot of memes on his account  Grin

Bayern can score 18 points in the remaining games and have 78 points at the end of the season. Bayer now have 76 points, which means that if Bayer wins the game against Werder in the next round, they will officially become champions. Bayern can do them a dirty trick and lose 2 points in the game with Cologne, and since this game will be a day earlier, Bayer’s game will no longer matter and the celebration will take place prematurely.
Kane is doomed  Grin But being an eternal Tottenham player, it seems to me that he has an iron psyche and a habit of ignoring attacks against him, so most likely this will not affect him.

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April 12, 2024, 08:46:19 AM
 #555

in less than 10 hours the 29th matchday in the bundesliga will start with the game augsburg vs. union berlin and therefore the next chance to win a sportsbet.io free bet in our bl-pool
so that everyone has the same opportunities and no one forgets their picks, here is my weekly reminder to all participants who have not yet submitted any picks:
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April 12, 2024, 01:53:59 PM
 #556

Kane is doomed  Grin But being an eternal Tottenham player, it seems to me that he has an iron psyche and a habit of ignoring attacks against him, so most likely this will not affect him.

Poor guy, seriously. At least (to my knowledge) he has never whined about it, but he's human, he's feeling all of it, just not letting it affect his game -- though I do recall the season before he left that lost look in his eyes, you know, the one you see in Rashford's eye now.

When he retires he'll write a book about it. Rooney opened up about his alcoholism, recently Danny Murphy spoke about cocaine addiction :p

I wonder in Germany, do players also "open up" or is that just an English phenom?

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April 12, 2024, 03:36:31 PM
 #557

Kane is doomed  Grin But being an eternal Tottenham player, it seems to me that he has an iron psyche and a habit of ignoring attacks against him, so most likely this will not affect him.

Poor guy, seriously. At least (to my knowledge) he has never whined about it, but he's human, he's feeling all of it, just not letting it affect his game -- though I do recall the season before he left that lost look in his eyes, you know, the one you see in Rashford's eye now.

When he retires he'll write a book about it. Rooney opened up about his alcoholism, recently Danny Murphy spoke about cocaine addiction :p

I wonder in Germany, do players also "open up" or is that just an English phenom?

Hmmm... I don't know. Maybe it’s just that not everyone writes books, but the fact that the old school is mostly alcoholics is quite widely known and, in principle, no one hid it. In fact, in the old days this was the norm.
As for Kane, he has a great reason to end the season "in the right mind": the European Championship, where England are among the main favourites. I think that he will be 100% in focus while this tournament is going on. Another question is how it will end and what will happen if Kane finds himself a complete loser everywhere this season. I hope he can withstand this load.

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April 14, 2024, 02:48:45 PM
 #558

Bayern has won against relegation candidate FC Köln yesterday but maybe we can already congratulate Leverkusen today to take the title.
It's really strange but in a positive way, to see a different team as Bayern Munich to win Bundesliga.

And especially for Leverkusen, it's a big moment after getting called "Vizekusen (Vicekusen)" repeatedly in the past (because Leverkusen came second several times in the past).
But not right now, it's very certain for Leverkusen to win it.
And it's also very deserved, in my opinion. After Bayern dominated so long, Leverkusen showed an incredible performance and Leverkusen really dominated by probably winning by a double-digit margin.

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April 14, 2024, 03:03:52 PM
 #559

Bayern has won against relegation candidate FC Köln yesterday but maybe we can already congratulate Leverkusen today to take the title.
It's really strange but in a positive way, to see a different team as Bayern Munich to win Bundesliga.

And especially for Leverkusen, it's a big moment after getting called "Vizekusen (Vicekusen)" repeatedly in the past (because Leverkusen came second several times in the past).
But not right now, it's very certain for Leverkusen to win it.
And it's also very deserved, in my opinion. After Bayern dominated so long, Leverkusen showed an incredible performance and Leverkusen really dominated by probably winning by a double-digit margin.

It is a much deserved title for Bayer in all fairness, and they are doing it in a very remarkable fashion at that, a kind of dominance that would have been expected of no other team but Bayern Munich. Leverkusen are still unbeaten in the league despite being behind on several occasions, they've always managed to turn it around, they have the best goal difference and the least goal conceded, what else could have been required of them to go down in the history of books of the Bundesliga ? There's nothing else I can possibly think of.

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April 14, 2024, 04:10:10 PM
 #560

From 1st place to 4th. I had a terrible 2 match day, got total 6 points.

Leverkusen has won 2 trophies in their history if I'm not wrong but there's a chance that they will end up winning 3 trophies this season alone. Bundesliga title is almost confirmed. DFB-Pokal is in pipeline and they are a strong candidate for UEL. What a season they are having under the real Xavi.

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