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Author Topic: The whales stirred. What should we expect?  (Read 939 times)
DrBeer (OP)
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July 22, 2023, 06:04:55 AM
 #1

The whales stirred. What should we expect?

Judging by the information coming in, a lot of ancient "crypto whale" wallets that have not created any movement with Bitcoin, for many years, have recently "come to life". Recently, assets have started to be transferred from these wallets to the exchanges. The withdrawal to the exchanges, kind of hints that these amounts are being withdrawn to sell Bitcoin. Question to the esteemed public ! What is this ?
- the end of the short era of cryptocurrencies ? Owners are actively moving into fiat
- the end of the Bitcoin era ? Are they selling it to change cryptoasset for storage ? And what is this crypto asset?
- regulators have "gotten their way", cryptocurrency is losing support and interest ?
- your version ?

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July 22, 2023, 06:34:41 AM
 #2

We can just make an assumption because there's no proof if the owner sold all of their coins and withdraw it in fiat, what we know is the owner move his old coins, that's all.

No, I don't think they sold because they're moving to fiat, Bitcoin and fiat are completely different, they should have sold their coins before if they not trust in Bitcoin.

No, not the end of Bitcoin era. Maybe diversification or something else.

The tightening laws about cryptocurrency shouldn't make them get rid off from Bitcoin because there's a way to exchange and cash out without KYC.

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July 22, 2023, 07:04:25 AM
 #3

Since OP doesn't include any link on the main post, I try to search on google about the recent crypto whale wallet movement, and all I can find is this article. Based on that article there the crypto whale(s) was releaseing ETH and LTC, the amount is more than 100M so it is huge amount. It should be impactful, but I don't think it will end the crypto or bitcoin era. 

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July 22, 2023, 07:12:19 AM
 #4

The whales stirred. What should we expect?

Judging by the information coming in, a lot of ancient "crypto whale" wallets that have not created any movement with Bitcoin, for many years, have recently "come to life". Recently, assets have started to be transferred from these wallets to the exchanges. The withdrawal to the exchanges, kind of hints that these amounts are being withdrawn to sell Bitcoin. Question to the esteemed public ! What is this ?
- the end of the short era of cryptocurrencies ? Owners are actively moving into fiat
- the end of the Bitcoin era ? Are they selling it to change cryptoasset for storage ? And what is this crypto asset?
- regulators have "gotten their way", cryptocurrency is losing support and interest ?
- your version ?

No, I don't think it will end the bitcoin era and cryptocurrencies era but rather shift the money towards asset class like stocks, pressure metals and real estate. If you're here long enough you'll notice that this kind of stuff happens regularly so it shouldn't be much of a concern.
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July 22, 2023, 08:20:45 AM
 #5

It seems to me in regard to an old address there are only two possibilities that exist by what some populist said. An unmoved old address meant a lost coin or an old address making a movement would mean to sell it.

About the latter, there is nothing wrong with selling the bitcoins and it does not tell and mean a single thing. Why would you automatically say that whales who have old addresses directly affect public perception toward Bitcoin in general? There is not any related link between both of these that I could think of.
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July 22, 2023, 08:38:06 AM
 #6

Far from ending the Bitcoin era. We all knew it that Bitcoin is here to stay and even the old holders are having times of thinking whether to dump the Bitcoins they have that were taken on the early days. I am just thinking that each time that we're gonna be on a bull run, there will always be these people that have come to revive their wallets that has been stuck for a long time. It's like a typical guy that just want to have some pile of cash and about to withdraw from the market and who knows what they are going to do next.

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July 22, 2023, 09:23:00 AM
 #7

Many reasonable questions here, and I will try my best to answer them one by one according to my beliefs and suspicions. You should have added links or images too as this seems overemphasized to me.

1.What is this ?
2. - the end of the short era of cryptocurrencies ? Owners are actively moving into fiat
3. - the end of the Bitcoin era ? Are they selling it to change cryptoasset for storage ? And what is this crypto asset?
4 - regulators have "gotten their way", cryptocurrency is losing support and interest ?
5. - your version ?
1. It shows ulterior motives that no one can answer except the movers of the money.
2. Never!!! Not even the old whales can end the era of cryptocurrency this time that it has been established in the mainstream of the financial market. And no, they can't be stupid enough to move to fiat permanently when the price of Bitcoin is still low. I believe they are changing their strategy towards the safety of the coin, or have a business plan that needs urgent funding.
3. Refer to the second answer, and they might have altcoins they would want to change part of their assets to. It's their money, and these altcoins could be numerous.
4. I don't believe this, if this was true, then they would have rather moved it to self-custodial wallets, not an exchange that would further expose them to regulations.
5. Perhaps, they have special deals/contracts with exchanges that are not plain to the general public.

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July 22, 2023, 09:36:44 AM
 #8

Since OP doesn't include any link on the main post, I try to search on google about the recent crypto whale wallet movement, and all I can find is this article. Based on that article there the crypto whale(s) was releaseing ETH and LTC, the amount is more than 100M so it is huge amount. It should be impactful, but I don't think it will end the crypto or bitcoin era.  

Yes, those are huge amounts, more than $100M indeed, but let's check the impact. This is the graph for ETH during the last month:



In July 17th, the very day the article is talking about, the price dropped from $1,924 to $1,884. So, was that the impact? Maybe, but it looks like just normal fluctuations to me.

Let's check it for LTC:



The "impact" was even smaller in this case.

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July 22, 2023, 09:41:01 AM
 #9

this is more of a speculation category topic. but lets answer it anyway

things to keep in mind:
a. for every seller, there is a buyer. otherwise orders just sit unprocessed
b. when whales put funds into an exchange. their choice is not just fiat.
c. when social media report on whales. general exchange users can react in the opposite path to what people expect



lets explain (c)
if another whale has a futures contract where he does not want the price to go below X. when seeing a rival whale possible wanting to sell down the spot market. the futures whale may swallow up those dips to keep the price up

another scenario. general users may see the possibility of a sells dip event due to a whale and want the discount so they go on a buy surge to buy up the dip to bring the price back to norm

lets explain (b)
putting btc into an exchange is not a guarantee fiat grab same day, it may be done slowly over months. and it might even be a buy event for altcoin. thus not causing a instant sell dip in the BTC-USD market

lets explain (a)
imagine the price is $29,999
there may be lots of buyers that limit themselves to stop buying at $30,001
buy are happy to buy heaps of coins under $30k
so if there is a large sell under $30k then its a great buy day for all buyers willing to buy under $30k who will eat up all them orders

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Please do your own research & respect what is written here as both opinion & information gleaned from experience. many people replying with insults but no on-topic content substance, automatically are 'facepalmed' and yawned at
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July 22, 2023, 11:05:32 AM
 #10

It's really hard to see what the whales are doing right now. We are still in the middle of the bull run, so it doesn't make sense for them to sell?
Perhaps they are just moving it to a more secure bitcoin addresses or something and not necessarily that they are going to sell or not.
If they are selling after holding it for many years, then I would say that it is the wrong decision. I mean they have been holding it for years and then suddenly they will liquidate it? For me it's a stupid and bad moved.

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July 22, 2023, 11:28:21 AM
 #11

That seems really far fetched assumptions about the Bitcoin. Though you have not provided any source regarding the movement of such Bitcoin assets or older wallets are getting touched. Let us assume that this is a hypothetical situation where all the whales are touching their wallets for some reason then it could be anything from getting ready for the next halving or it could be just they are getting their funds transferred securely to another wallet. It could be just refresher movement and nothing much. It doesn’t mean we have to get so much worried about it. Just keep calm and keep our Bitcoins hang tight.
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July 22, 2023, 12:01:42 PM
 #12

Stop posting FUD or trying to believe it, there is no variable that makes whales selling abnormal, if they happen, it is either because of paying off a debt, trying to postpone payment, or liquidating positions in long term sales, all of which make some whales decide to liquidate the bitcoin they own, but such variables do not affect the price or do not move the price outside a certain price level.

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July 22, 2023, 12:16:18 PM
 #13

It's not the end of the crypto era but maybe it's time to rise after being buried for years waiting for the right time to rise. And it seems they see now as the right time to get up, especially since the last highest Bitcoin price could reach $ 60k. And it's only natural that Bitcoin owners transfer their Bitcoin to exchanges because they want to withdraw their profits after holding their Bitcoins for a long time.

And I think after they've made a huge profit selling Bitcoin, they're waiting for another dip so they can buy Bitcoin again. And they also don't need to sell most of the Bitcoin because just selling a few Bitcoins can make them a millionaire. Meanwhile, they can keep most of their Bitcoins for years.

They now have to think about keeping their huge sum of money and will probably keep their money in crypto. If they send the money to a bank account, it will set off an alarm from the bank so their account will surely be checked. And the regulators will certainly also examine the account because there is a money transfer coming into the account. That's why keeping the money in separate wallets in crypto would be the solution.

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July 22, 2023, 03:06:53 PM
 #14

The whales stirred. What should we expect?

Judging by the information coming in, a lot of ancient "crypto whale" wallets that have not created any movement with Bitcoin, for many years, have recently "come to life".

This is not the first time we will be having such experience from a long time active wallet coming back to use by their users, most of this dormant wallet are the ones belonging to the whales who have bought enough, hodl over a long time and are ready to sell at their convenience.

Recently, assets have started to be transferred from these wallets to the exchanges

I don't expect seing bitcoin transaction from a decentralized personal wallet moved to a centralized exchange, why should they act that way? the AML will definitely look after them for more investigation except they are sending little by little to centralized exchanges for exchange to fiat.

! What is this ?
- the end of the short era of cryptocurrencies ? Owners are actively moving into fiat

Don't get captivated by this or distracted by whales, this isn't the first time inactive wallet comes back to life, whales are not the users alone, the network comprises of both the short time holders, crayfish holders, dolphins and whales bitcoin holder depending on individuals capacity to own bitcoin.

- the end of the Bitcoin era ? Are they selling it to change cryptoasset for storage ? And what is this crypto asset?

Bitcoin just like any other asset is a digital asset as well, once you invested and hodl it becomes your digital currency asset because in doing this, bitcoin is profitable when the market pumps.

- regulators have "gotten their way", cryptocurrency is losing support and interest ?

No but may be applicable to other cryptocurrencies but not on bitcoin because it's decentralized.



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July 22, 2023, 05:16:14 PM
 #15

The whales stirred. What should we expect?

Judging by the information coming in, a lot of ancient "crypto whale" wallets that have not created any movement with Bitcoin, for many years, have recently "come to life". Recently, assets have started to be transferred from these wallets to the exchanges. The withdrawal to the exchanges, kind of hints that these amounts are being withdrawn to sell Bitcoin. Question to the esteemed public ! What is this ?
- the end of the short era of cryptocurrencies ? Owners are actively moving into fiat
- the end of the Bitcoin era ? Are they selling it to change cryptoasset for storage ? And what is this crypto asset?
- regulators have "gotten their way", cryptocurrency is losing support and interest ?
- your version ?
Well, till now, not a whale had sell his BTC (AFAIK). Or maybe one or two might but in my version, institure are interested in buying more and more BTC, big whales like MicroStrategy had already filled there bags or maybe they are just empty now. That's why we are not seeing another buying from them. But crypto is not lossing its era nor BTC. It's just small correction that BTC is currently making.

In my Point, next week we might see another boom. Maybe BTC break $34k or $35k resistances. But these are just my assumption based on my instincts about Market. I know market doesn't predicted by instincts but trust me. i have superpowers.  Smiley

Owners are if moving towards fiat, then how they are doing it? By selling their BTC which means there is another party too exist which is buying BTC. So, try to remain positive. But, in the short time-span maybe after this slight pump of around $35k or $40k we might see BTC coming back to $29k or maybe lower. But chances for that is highly lower. So, we should be optimistic.

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July 22, 2023, 06:43:17 PM
 #16

Question to the esteemed public ! What is this ?

This is just business, I guess. With the situation of dedollarization and inflation, many investors, including those whales, would not want to exchange their Bitcoin for fiat and hold only fiat. This is because they know how they will be faced with the inflation rate and dedollarization. Even if they are going to sell off their huge amount of Bitcoin, the Bitcoin market will not have any new experiences that are worse than the past. It definitely will be what it used to be; the market will crash a bit, and before or after the halving, the market will still take a bull run. Perhaps this is not even a good price to sell off their Bitcoin; there is a bull market coming, which is when those whales can get more profit. By the way, I was reading a new article where they said the Federal government sold about 8,000 bitcoins (I can't remember correctly). just my opinion.

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July 22, 2023, 07:12:25 PM
 #17


This is just business, I guess. With the situation of dedollarization and inflation, many investors, including those whales, would not want to exchange their Bitcoin for fiat and hold only fiat. This is because they know how they will be faced with the inflation rate and dedollarization. Even if they are going to sell off their huge amount of Bitcoin, the Bitcoin market will not have any new experiences that are worse than the past. It definitely will be what it used to be; the market will crash a bit, and before or after the halving, the market will still take a bull run. Perhaps this is not even a good price to sell off their Bitcoin; there is a bull market coming, which is when those whales can get more profit. By the way, I was reading a new article where they said the Federal government sold about 8,000 bitcoins (I can't remember correctly). just my opinion.

It's likely that the whole cycle will repeat, but maybe it's designed that way so people will expect the cycle to repeat after the halving, whereas everything can happen before the halving. The whales are clearly frozen in anticipation. The hardest part is getting over the uncertainty, which is why many people can't stand it and sell their coins.
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July 22, 2023, 07:26:27 PM
 #18

Question to the esteemed public ! What is this ?
- the end of the short era of cryptocurrencies ? Owners are actively moving into fiat


Moving into fiat or stable coin? I think the latter sounds more reasonable if those "ancient " wallet contained bitcoin and are now transferring to exchange then the logical analysis would be they either want to convert to stable coin to hodl in expectation that price will drop or that their big sells will eventually crash price while they are still hodling equivalent current price to sweep in more btc. I know another analysis could be selling to hodl in fiat but that may not visibly be certain because they fear inflation that is possibly hit the fiat and its value may not purchase as much btc if the crash happens. Just my thoughts anyway .
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July 22, 2023, 09:10:08 PM
 #19

We can't keep all whales to stay in crypto, they can leave freely but guess what, many had come. So, it doesn't matter if they will leave crypto and sell their assets because it was not the end of the crypto space, some whales are buying it which is why we never see a huge impact on the price of Bitcoin.

It is to say that not all will stay forever in crypto, some could find another money multiplier. So I wasn't surprised this would happen, in fact, it happens already in the past years. I'd still be optimistic about the future of Bitcoin and the crypto space as it won't die too easily when there are still people who support this.

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July 22, 2023, 09:37:26 PM
 #20

The whales stirred. What should we expect?

You should have known better mate, whales are our friend here.

- the end of the short era of cryptocurrencies ? Owners are actively moving into fiat
- the end of the Bitcoin era ? Are they selling it to change cryptoasset for storage ? And what is this crypto asset?
- regulators have "gotten their way", cryptocurrency is losing support and interest ?
- your version ?

- again, you are legendary already, and you are a crypto enthusiast, so what will it be? obviously, I doubt that investors are moving to fiat
- no, this is just the start of Bitcoin era, when we hit 6 digits in the next bull run, those haters are going to be quite
- regulators have been here since 2017, seen the last great bull run in 2021, so I so they will just continue as long as crypto exists
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