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Author Topic: What is your anticipation on bitcoin market capitalization as for 2030  (Read 608 times)
Lucius
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August 15, 2023, 02:12:33 PM
 #21

It was 3Trillions back in 2021.

No, it wasn't! It peaked at 1.2 trillion, for 19 million coins to be worth 3 trillion it would have needed a price of of more than $150k per coin, and that never happened.
~snip~

It's funny how some people pull numbers out of their hats as if there is no difference between $1 trillion or $3 trillion, and if you ask them how much $1 trillion (billions or maybe millions) is, I wonder how many of them would know the answer to that question...



No one can give a precise answer to such questions, so perhaps it is best to say that in 2030 all mined BTC will certainly be worth much more than today, even if the price remains the same as today.

If we take into account the scenario that, for example, the price of 1 BTC around 2030 will be $200 000 and that at the beginning of the same year 20 425 781.25 will be mined, then the total value would be around $4 trillion. I think that is a realistic number, although some will think that by then the price of BTC should be much higher than I assumed, but that is not an obstacle to play with the numbers a little and make your own speculation Wink

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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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September 01, 2023, 08:32:47 PM
 #22

I went on a research on the history of bitcoin, on the process of the research I found out that as of 28 march 2013 bitcoin market capitalization passed $1 billion, which I came to realize if with the high rapid spread of bitcoin global and the introduction of new ways and methods of mining and new traders what is your anticipation on bitcoin market capitalization as of 2030?

I assume that it strongly depends on dollar inflation rate. Until 2030, many dramatic things can happen to both parts of BTC/USD ratio. Capitalisation may increase not due to actual rise in the price of btc, but due to its stability: bitcoin can turn out to be more stable than dollar. In this case BTC won't be more expensive: it will just conserve its value, while dollar wont. The other things which may affect the capitalisaton include regulatory issues, changes in mining facilities, improvements in wallet networks, and changes in protocols.

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September 01, 2023, 08:51:30 PM
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 #23

This is pretty fascinating. Bitcoin has been growing really fast, and it's likely that by 2030, there will be twice as many people using Bitcoin. But here's the thing, even though there will be a lot of addresses holding Bitcoin, only a few will be holding it for a long time.

About three years ago, Bitcoin's total value went up to around $80 billion, which was even more than Facebook's value. It jumped by almost $100 billion in just one week. During all this time until now, many Bitcoins have been lost and can't be used anymore. So, the traditional market cap numbers are not very representative of what actually exists.

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September 02, 2023, 05:22:05 AM
 #24

I went on a research on the history of bitcoin, on the process of the research I found out that as of 28 march 2013 bitcoin market capitalization passed $1 billion, which I came to realize if with the high rapid spread of bitcoin global and the introduction of new ways and methods of mining and new traders what is your anticipation on bitcoin market capitalization as of 2030?
The only honest answer I can give is that its market capitalization is going to be several times higher than now, but no one really knows how high it will be as a lot can happen in seven years, after all during that period of time we will most likely see two bull runs, and it is also possible we could experiment an economic crisis at the time, increasing the awareness and adoption of bitcoin all over the world, meaning that anyone thinking about investing in bitcoin needs to do it now as it will not be long until people will be amazed you could buy bitcoin at 25k.
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September 02, 2023, 05:40:15 AM
 #25

I went on a research on the history of bitcoin, on the process of the research I found out that as of 28 march 2013 bitcoin market capitalization passed $1 billion, which I came to realize if with the high rapid spread of bitcoin global and the introduction of new ways and methods of mining and new traders what is your anticipation on bitcoin market capitalization as of 2030?
The only honest answer I can give is that its market capitalization is going to be several times higher than now, but no one really knows how high it will be as a lot can happen in seven years, after all during that period of time we will most likely see two bull runs, and it is also possible we could experiment an economic crisis at the time, increasing the awareness and adoption of bitcoin all over the world, meaning that anyone thinking about investing in bitcoin needs to do it now as it will not be long until people will be amazed you could buy bitcoin at 25k.


Predicting the capitalization of bitcoin is no different than predicting the price of bitcoin, and we all know that it is impossible. But with bitcoin's strong and almost unstoppable growth, we can only be sure that bitcoin's capitalization will skyrocket soon, but I do not believe that it can surpass gold's capitalization anytime soon, as some people predicted. As of now, the capitalization of gold is still nearly 20 times higher than bitcoin and this is quite a distance and it will not be easy for bitcoin to catch up.

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September 02, 2023, 07:30:11 AM
 #26

It's expected that the market capitalization of Bitcoin is going to be around 10 to 15 trillion by 2030 but it's still too early to predict that how high the market cap will go by then. The Bitcoin is going to get its upcoming halving event in 2024 and the next one after that is expected to be anywhere around 2028, and if we look at the history of Bitcoin then after each halving event the price as well as the market cap of Bitcoin has got quite noticeable growth.
 

And if we look in pure terms of $, from 2009 till now the market cap has grown in 14 years from 0 (let's say) to $500 billion. Now, to reach 15 trillion in 2030 it would need to grow 30 times more in half that interval, so it would need on average 60 times more investment than previously! Is it still that plausible?

I have been doing the calculation to answer the question conservatively and I believe that it will reach those levels. However, I see that you are basing your calculation on absolute figures, in millions of dollars, and I am basing it on percentages.

This cycle the maximum has been approximately 3.5X the peak of the previous cycle. Going into future cycles, as the price and market cap increases it is more difficult to move the price, I would guess an even lower percentage return of about 2.7X. That would give a peak of $0.5M for the cycle after halving, certainly by 2029 if the pattern repeats. But let's say for the sake of argument that the peak is reached by 2030. $0.5M for 20M or so Bitcoin gives us a market cap of $10T.

This is on paper, a lot can happen between now and then.

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September 04, 2023, 03:23:42 AM
 #27

I went on a research on the history of bitcoin, on the process of the research I found out that as of 28 march 2013 bitcoin market capitalization passed $1 billion, which I came to realize if with the high rapid spread of bitcoin global and the introduction of new ways and methods of mining and new traders what is your anticipation on bitcoin market capitalization as of 2030?
so you are asking for a 13 year market capitalization difference when we are in 7 years before 2030 comes,
from a billioin in 2013 look how far it crossed? https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ I don't wanna exaggerate but sure it will not fall bellow a trillion or 2?
because it already hit a trillion  

Bitcoin (BTC) had the highest market capitalization of $1.28 trillion on November 9, 2021. Any cryptocurrency's market capitalization is determined by multiplying its current price by the total number of coins or tokens in circulation.

https://www.google.com/search?q=highest+bitcoin+capitalization&rlz=1C1KNTJ_enPH946PH946&oq=highest+bitcoin+capitalization&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIICAEQABgWGB4yCggCEAAYhgMYigXSAQkxMzUwMmowajeoAgCwAgA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

so i think it will be more than doubled in that long 7 years from now.

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September 04, 2023, 10:40:30 AM
 #28

There is still a a lot of time for 2030 to be honest. During this anything and everything can happen. Yes from the past you can estimate that adoption of Bitcoins have increased a lot. Now more people is demanding to accumulate Bitcoins, but as we know that Bitcoins are limited in numbers, hence the price will go up, in order to meet the demand. I am assuming Bitcoins will become one of the biggest digital asset by the end of 2030.

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September 04, 2023, 12:02:20 PM
 #29

I went on a research on the history of bitcoin, on the process of the research I found out that as of 28 march 2013 bitcoin market capitalization passed $1 billion, which I came to realize if with the high rapid spread of bitcoin global and the introduction of new ways and methods of mining and new traders what is your anticipation on bitcoin market capitalization as of 2030?
At each bull run, Bitcoin surpasses its previous all time high price. If the halving event is added to this, the value of Bitcoin will definitely increase tremendously. Such an environment has already been created among investors. Everyone wants to increase their investment in Bitcoin. Many are already completing their investments and many are preparing. Recently Bitcoin is a bit bearish for the time being, but it is fully poised to turn bullish. If halving happens every four years then we expect a halving event in 2024 and then another one will happen before 2030. So one can easily imagine how much Bitcoin will reach at that period. But based on the market potential we can expect minimum 3 trillion market cap by 2030.

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September 04, 2023, 12:14:20 PM
 #30

The Bitcoin's market cap is currently 0.57 trillion dollars, which is already pretty significant, and since the supply is growing very slowly, I think it's ultimately the question of the price and going from there to capitalization. I believe that by 2030, Bitcoin can get to 2 trillion dollars in capitalization, perhaps a bit higher than that. But I'd be surprised if it gets above 5 trillion, to be honest, because I just feel like Bitcoin growth has been slowing down for a while (compare the jump from $1k to $19k in 2017 with $30k to $67k in 2021).

I think Bitcoin will surprise us in the coming years. The progress of something can be at a certain rate up to a certain level, but after a point, this progress can jump in an instant. There is also this possibility for Bitcoin. Therefore, it is very difficult to predict. I think it will be many times more than it is today, but I have no idea how many times more it will be.

For example, if governments accept Bitcoin legally in the coming years, the numbers we predict may be very low.
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September 06, 2023, 06:53:16 PM
 #31

The Bitcoin's market cap is currently 0.57 trillion dollars, which is already pretty significant, and since the supply is growing very slowly, I think it's ultimately the question of the price and going from there to capitalization. I believe that by 2030, Bitcoin can get to 2 trillion dollars in capitalization, perhaps a bit higher than that. But I'd be surprised if it gets above 5 trillion, to be honest, because I just feel like Bitcoin growth has been slowing down for a while (compare the jump from $1k to $19k in 2017 with $30k to $67k in 2021).

I think Bitcoin will surprise us in the coming years. The progress of something can be at a certain rate up to a certain level, but after a point, this progress can jump in an instant. There is also this possibility for Bitcoin. Therefore, it is very difficult to predict. I think it will be many times more than it is today, but I have no idea how many times more it will be.

For example, if governments accept Bitcoin legally in the coming years, the numbers we predict may be very low.
It is possible, we must not forget that bitcoin is a network, and just like on the early stages Facebook was only used by a small community of people, at some point the number of users reached a high level and eventually almost everyone all over the world was using Facebook in a short amount of time, so a similar situation could happen with bitcoin, however no one really knows how high the level of adoption needs to be in order for that to happen.
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September 06, 2023, 11:37:55 PM
 #32

I went on a research on the history of bitcoin, on the process of the research I found out that as of 28 march 2013 bitcoin market capitalization passed $1 billion, which I came to realize if with the high rapid spread of bitcoin global and the introduction of new ways and methods of mining and new traders what is your anticipation on bitcoin market capitalization as of 2030?

This is a rhetorical question and no one can tell you confidently and be certain that this will be the anticipated bitcoin market capitalization in 2030. All the replies you’ll get here are all based on speculations coming from past events, market movements etc. What you need to know is that the bitcoin market capitalization will continue to increase and will surpass the previous amount after every year and halving cycles. It might experiences some back drops at some point, but it is not definite to remain so for long and will have a higher price between each halving cycles.

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September 07, 2023, 02:49:03 PM
 #33

Market capitalization shouldn't be the problem because we still very far from 2030. It is better that one plan towards having a significant amount of bitcoin towards that year so that it will be very easy for you to make huge profit from your investment. The only way out is hodli with DCA,I think that the market capitalization will be in trillions by then but I can't say the specific number. It is good to plan towards the future because no one can look into the future.

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September 07, 2023, 08:09:31 PM
 #34

Without putting too much thought into this, I would expect Bitcoin’s market cap in 2030 to be around three trillion dollars. However, in a best case scenario I could see Bitcoin’s market cap peaking as high as 20 trillion dollars in that time frame. I think 3 trillion is probably a more realistic prediction though.

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September 07, 2023, 08:54:38 PM
 #35

2030 by then market could still remains in trillion dollars but who knows what could be the action or what the nature could hold as of then. Looking too well we have just less than 7 years and is something not that much as I believe to say that years often flies which you may not understand how quickly we may gets to 2030. Just as a prediction was made on a thread I came across here, and it says "what could be the price of bitcoin by 2020" I think something like this, and the replies were very funny and mostly all everyone who commented then didn't get the answer and it happens that their answers were far below the price then. So expect what you don't expect by then but mostly be optimistic about the market.

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September 08, 2023, 07:28:17 AM
 #36

Market capitalization shouldn't be the problem because we still very far from 2030. It is better that one plan towards having a significant amount of bitcoin towards that year so that it will be very easy for you to make huge profit from your investment. The only way out is hodli with DCA,I think that the market capitalization will be in trillions by then but I can't say the specific number. It is good to plan towards the future because no one can look into the future.
It could end up being a million dollars and I do believe that we are going to end up with something that will make it great for us. I mean think about it, if it is a million dollars by that time (about 2 more halvings at least) that means that we are on the verge of reaching gold marketcap and that would definitely be something to look at.

We should reach to gold marketcap level because we do believe that we should be reaching that level to say that we could actually make a big profit. That should not really be something it's untouchable for us, we should definitely see this possible and that should be doing that by that time. It could definitely do much better than I expect it to be doing at this point.

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September 09, 2023, 11:09:34 AM
 #37

2030 by then market could still remains in trillion dollars but who knows what could be the action or what the nature could hold as of then. Looking too well we have just less than 7 years and is something not that much as I believe to say that years often flies which you may not understand how quickly we may gets to 2030. Just as a prediction was made on a thread I came across here, and it says "what could be the price of bitcoin by 2020" I think something like this, and the replies were very funny and mostly all everyone who commented then didn't get the answer and it happens that their answers were far below the price then. So expect what you don't expect by then but mostly be optimistic about the market.

It's really hard to anticipate and predict what will be the price or the market capitalization by 2030. Similar maybe way back 2015, we don't know what will it be in 2020.

And if we could go back and look for old threads here, all their predictions are way short back then because they don't know have any idea how big it will be in the future. Just like what we are right now this year and then how it is going to be in 2030. Our predictions could really fall short with trillions in difference for all we know.

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September 09, 2023, 08:10:40 PM
 #38

It's really hard to anticipate and predict what will be the price or the market capitalization by 2030. Similar maybe way back 2015, we don't know what will it be in 2020.

And if we could go back and look for old threads here, all their predictions are way short back then because they don't know have any idea how big it will be in the future. Just like what we are right now this year and then how it is going to be in 2030. Our predictions could really fall short with trillions in difference for all we know.
Yeah this will be very difficult to know it is still a mystery if for example the market capitalists reach trillions then the price of bitcoin could be $100K more, then what do we expect of course to see high bitcoin prices if capitalists increase.

We can only analyze the rest of the time that will answer and see in the next 7 years, this is not a short time bitcoin will definitely go through various things, maybe this scenario will be different and beyond expectations.
Yeah a lot of people certainly see in terms of history and its cycles, if for example trillions it is very possible considering bitcoin will remember every 4 years as a cycle.

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September 09, 2023, 08:15:39 PM
 #39

2030 by then market could still remains in trillion dollars but who knows what could be the action or what the nature could hold as of then. Looking too well we have just less than 7 years and is something not that much as I believe to say that years often flies which you may not understand how quickly we may gets to 2030. Just as a prediction was made on a thread I came across here, and it says "what could be the price of bitcoin by 2020" I think something like this, and the replies were very funny and mostly all everyone who commented then didn't get the answer and it happens that their answers were far below the price then. So expect what you don't expect by then but mostly be optimistic about the market.

It's really hard to anticipate and predict what will be the price or the market capitalization by 2030. Similar maybe way back 2015, we don't know what will it be in 2020.

And if we could go back and look for old threads here, all their predictions are way short back then because they don't know have any idea how big it will be in the future. Just like what we are right now this year and then how it is going to be in 2030. Our predictions could really fall short with trillions in difference for all we know.
And that is the problem with predicting the future, when we take into account what we knew at the time of making the prediction the prediction makes all the sense on the world, but once you begin to compare it with what it actually happened there are many deviations from your prediction, as the world does not have to comply with our vision, this is why when we look at some of the threads which were created many years ago we see such low predictions, as I remember there were predictions the 2017 bull run will only reach 2k and then the bear market will come, and we know how wrong that prediction was.
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September 09, 2023, 08:19:12 PM
 #40

-snip-
We can only analyze the rest of the time that will answer and see in the next 7 years, this is not a short time bitcoin will definitely go through various things, maybe this scenario will be different and beyond expectations.
Yeah a lot of people certainly see in terms of history and its cycles, if for example trillions it is very possible considering bitcoin will remember every 4 years as a cycle.
People are certainly optimistic about the good prospects for bitcoin's future. There are many things that can be used as benchmarks to analyze it, but none of us can be sure. Bitcoin can move in any direction and its price volatility will not stop. Increased adoption cases will support high demand that keeps its value moving up, but of course the two cycles attached to it will never go away.

I believe bitcoin has a good future despite some of the concerns people have about it. This has motivated me to hold bitcoin longer than before even though at some day I will also put it on the market to sell.

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