Next Bitcoin Bull Run: Is It Tied to the Next Halving?

[Crypto-NFT-Freedom]

Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts,

I hope everyone is doing well and staying excited about the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies! Lately, I've been pondering a question that I'm sure many of us have on our minds: when can we expect the next Bitcoin bull run? Could it potentially coincide with the next Bitcoin halving? Let's dive into this intriguing topic and share our thoughts.

For those unfamiliar, the Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs approximately every four years, where the number of new Bitcoins mined per block is reduced by half. This mechanism is coded into Bitcoin's protocol and is designed to control its supply and maintain scarcity over time. Previous halvings, such as the ones in 2012 and 2016, were followed by significant price increases and bull runs that captured the attention of the entire financial world.

With the next Bitcoin halving on the horizon, scheduled to happen around [estimated date], many are wondering if history will repeat itself. Will the reduction in the rate of new Bitcoin issuance spark a renewed interest and demand, potentially triggering the next bull market? Or has the market matured in a way that makes these correlations less predictable?

It's worth noting that while previous halvings have been associated with bullish trends, there are numerous other factors at play in the cryptocurrency market. These include regulatory developments, technological advancements, macroeconomic conditions, institutional adoption, and shifts in investor sentiment, just to name a few. The dynamics of the market have become more intricate over time, making it difficult to attribute price movements solely to the halving event.

So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving, or do you think the market has evolved beyond such a simple pattern? Are there any other indicators or factors that you're closely watching? Let's share our insights and engage in a constructive discussion on this fascinating topic.

Remember, none of us can predict the future with absolute certainty, but by combining our knowledge and perspectives, we can gain a deeper understanding of the complex forces driving the cryptocurrency market. Let's keep the conversation respectful and open-minded as we explore the possibilities together.

Looking forward to hearing your opinions and theories!

[pawel7777]

93% of all bitcoins have already been mined, and each next halving has 50% less effect on reduction of block reward, so obviously we can't expect bull runs to be synchronised with halvings forever. But I imagine the next halving (expected April/May 2024) will still be the catalyst for the next rally, even simply because of the psychological factor. If everyone expects something to happen, it could create the "self fulfilling prophecy" scenario. And, of course, 50% less selling pressure from the miners will also have a positive impact.

[CryptoBuds]

Looking forward to hearing your opinions and theories!

As you said, no one knows the future, so it is difficult to predict what will happen. But as a bitcoin investor, we have every right to expect the price of bitcoin to rise. For me, I believe that history will repeat itself until new history is made, which means I still believe the halving is still the most powerful catalyst to help bitcoin rise in price and generate new ATH.

There have been many theories that when everyone can predict, it is very likely that the market will not move as expected. It's still possible, but we won't be able to do anything but prepare a plan for that bad scenario if it really does happen.

[DapanasFruit]

The market is always expecting that the schedule halving will have an effect on the price of Bitcoin upwards - or what we call as a bull run though nobody can be sure if it can really happen and how long will it last. As we know, the market is moving based on generally accepted sentiment though we should also be prepared to be disappointed at times because nothing is really guaranteed here. Personally, am looking forward for a great 2024 in all of the crypto industry and this is something we should be preparing for like catching an abundance of fish in the ocean.

[PeRo]

Even though the market isn't really tied only to the halving, by history it is the most significant factor of the bull run - ATH were reached, big cash outs were withdrawn. Of course, the bull run exists without the halvings but the next one is relatively close in time so I think the market will stay somewhat stable as it is right now, until the halving gets closer.

I am definitely for holding Bitcoins at least until then since I doubt that the market will be bullish before April next year. The outcome (how high will it go?) is really for speculation only but I think it will be profitable, the question is just how much.

[kro55]

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Looking forward to hearing your opinions and theories!

If you rely on history and believe history will repeat itself, then the bitcoin price increase is related to the halving and it is the main catalyst. But to say that the block reward halving is the only factor driving bitcoin's upside momentum, I don't think so. The value of bitcoin depends on a lot of factors, not just a limited supply. So if in case we don't have a bull run after the halving, I believe that in the more distant future bitcoin will also increase in price as demand for it increases.

[CryptSafe]

As it is based on speculation, it is unpredictable. No one can tell but from previous events or occurrences in the past of bitcoin halving, there has been a surge in bitcoin price immediately after bitcoin halving so it would not be a surprise if such should happen this time but still yet, nobody knows if the reverse would be the case. Moreover, there are several factors driving the Bitcoin market, and if they come into play the next halving would be of big significant effect on the crypto community would would further drive the demand for bitcoin as the price surges high above the last ATH.

[KiaKia]

Many institutional investors and big crypto whales are targeting Bitcoin market after every successful Bitcoin halving, and that is because miners rewards will be split into two and the mining difficulty of Bitcoin will be much higher than it used to be.

Although everything about the crypto market is not entirely tied with Bitcoin halving, that is why we have charts,  it just makes sense that after every bear market comes the halving and then the bull market, it all line up perfectly.

History always tends to repeat itself and that's because the answer is all in the chart of Bitcoin, the only thing backing this up is the chart history.

[sesterceshop]

Learning a lot from everyone's perspectives on the potential connection between Bitcoin halvings and bull runs. While historical patterns do suggest a correlation, it's important to consider the evolving dynamics of the market. As we've all mentioned, there's a blend of factors driving the crypto landscape, from institutional interest to technological advancements. Whether the next bull run syncs with the halving or not, just be glad you're here right now because it's an exciting space that's changing the world for the better!

[traderethereum]

As it is based on speculation, it is unpredictable. No one can tell but from previous events or occurrences in the past of bitcoin halving, there has been a surge in bitcoin price immediately after bitcoin halving so it would not be a surprise if such should happen this time but still yet, nobody knows if the reverse would be the case. Moreover, there are several factors driving the Bitcoin market, and if they come into play the next halving would be of big significant effect on the crypto community would would further drive the demand for bitcoin as the price surges high above the last ATH.

We cannot predict exactly where bitcoin will go and can only guess.
And many people have been wrong in guessing or giving their predictions because bitcoin's movements are now wilder.
But it is true that after a halving, there will usually be a spike in the price of bitcoin, which will be the moment to sell it at a high price.
So we can only presume that the next halving could trigger the bitcoin price to skyrocket and even surpass the last ATH price.
If that does happen, we can certainly make huge profits from bitcoin but that's only for people who already own a lot of bitcoin.

[Agbe]

Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts,

I hope everyone is doing well and staying excited about the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies! Lately, I've been pondering a question that I'm sure many of us have on our minds: when can we expect the next Bitcoin bull run? Could it potentially coincide with the next Bitcoin halving? Let's dive into this intriguing topic and share our thoughts.

This is not the first time this has been discussed in this year. The bitcoin bull will start from the second quarter of the year 2024 after the halving in late this year and early next year. The bull is expected to occure next year or the upper year of 2025. The Preliminary bull market be next while the main bull market is 2025. The bull and the halving had not meet at the same time so the coincidence is not possible. It is better for you to acquire more bitcoin before the halving even starts. And after the halving is the bull market your hand.

[jeraldskie11]

Technically speaking, Bitcoin bull run has something relation with halving. If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving which is happens only every 4 years the price increases drastically to the upside with huge volume. Maybe there's a lot of investors who waits for this to take the opportunity to buy and to profit in the future.
Aside from that, I still believe that bull run can possibly happen without Bitcoin halving.

[348Judah]

So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving, or do you think the market has evolved beyond such a simple pattern?

If you truly understand the reason for halving then maybe this question could have not come in place, the simple idea i want to give here is that, the more we attain each successful halving is the reward on bitcoin reduced by half and we keep getting closer to the remaining blocks to be mined, while the more the value of bitcoin increases through this, the market demands increases while the supply is reduced thereby increasing it value, this is part of the reasons that orchestrates the bullrun after halving has taken place.

[Wapfika]

Technically speaking, Bitcoin bull run has something relation with halving. If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving which is happens only every 4 years the price increases drastically to the upside with huge volume. Maybe there's a lot of investors who waits for this to take the opportunity to buy and to profit in the future.
Aside from that, I still believe that bull run can possibly happen without Bitcoin halving.

Halving is always the catalyst for the pump because the miner will get less Bitcoin to mine after halving which means they will lessen their sell pressure. But since only few Bitcoin already left to mine, I think Bitcoin Halving should be technically negligible since miners is just mining less compared before and their sell pressure will not gonna give huge impact. I think Bitcoin Halving is now becomes a symbol for hype for all crypto trader because of its benefits in the past since everyone looks on the chart.

But if we think about the technical perspective. Bitcoin halving now should be less effective compared before since only few Bitcoin left to mine while the difficulty is increasing.

[CryptSafe]

As it is based on speculation, it is unpredictable. No one can tell but from previous events or occurrences in the past of bitcoin halving, there has been a surge in bitcoin price immediately after bitcoin halving so it would not be a surprise if such should happen this time but still yet, nobody knows if the reverse would be the case. Moreover, there are several factors driving the Bitcoin market, and if they come into play the next halving would be of big significant effect on the crypto community would would further drive the demand for bitcoin as the price surges high above the last ATH.

We cannot predict exactly where bitcoin will go and can only guess.
And many people have been wrong in guessing or giving their predictions because bitcoin's movements are now wilder.
But it is true that after a halving, there will usually be a spike in the price of bitcoin, which will be the moment to sell it at a high price.
So we can only presume that the next halving could trigger the bitcoin price to skyrocket and even surpass the last ATH price.
If that does happen, we can certainly make huge profits from bitcoin but that's only for people who already own a lot of bitcoin.

ATH can occur at any time of the year as long as there are driving market forces and these forces are factors for which Bitcoin thrive on. It is true during Bitcoin halving, Bitcoin price increases with a good price resulting to ATH but we pray minners do not self so as not to have side effects on the  Bitcoin. But one thing I know is that whales are the most beneficiaries of this whole thing because they have good volume of Bitcoin in their possession and at such would be very much in the right position to collect profit.

[buwaytress]

Technically speaking, Bitcoin bull run has something relation with halving. If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving which is happens only every 4 years the price increases drastically to the upside with huge volume. Maybe there's a lot of investors who waits for this to take the opportunity to buy and to profit in the future.
Aside from that, I still believe that bull run can possibly happen without Bitcoin halving.

I love how people like to speak "technically" when speculating on price, commenting on correlation, and joyfully wrapping conveniently-picked cherries into a happy bundle of causation.

If we look at the chart, we can see that after the halving, we also have a leap year. We also have major global economic events in between.

P.S. I do think (purely arbitrarily) that we'll continue a cycle post-halving but with increasingly lower amplitudes each cycle, to a certain point it may no longer qualify as a bull run

[Faisal2202]

So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving, or do you think the market has evolved beyond such a simple pattern? Are there any other indicators or factors that you're closely watching? Let's share our insights and engage in a constructive discussion on this fascinating topic.

I can not agree more with you about halving and my personal views about bull run is. After Halving Bull run 100% comes because in halving the supply reduced by half through miner but the demand still increasing which means the demand will take over supply which will increase the price of BTC. But, you asked about other factors which in my sight are only Fundamental Factors.

Like the ETFs and other good news like release of new exchanges which will boost BTC to reach new ATH. I just read a topic you can read it too in my post history that where OP was concerned about lesser interest rate which helped BTC in the last bull run to reach new ATH. And he said this time the interest rate is not less so how and which factor will help BTC to make New ATH along with the halving event.

And my answer was same which is ETFs.

[Franctoshi]

Not exactly that the bull run is programmed or tied to Bitcoin's halving, but rather the psychological part of it on investors that Bitcoin gets cut into halves and the inflation rate reduced, instigating the buying pressure that brings about a bull market thereafter.
We may get or may not get the usual super bull run, where we do see crazy price movement because of diminishing returns, an example is seen from the previous bull market where almost everyone was expecting the price to go way high $100k-$250k per BTC.

[Silberman]

93% of all bitcoins have already been mined, and each next halving has 50% less effect on reduction of block reward, so obviously we can't expect bull runs to be synchronised with halvings forever. But I imagine the next halving (expected April/May 2024) will still be the catalyst for the next rally, even simply because of the psychological factor. If everyone expects something to happen, it could create the "self fulfilling prophecy" scenario. And, of course, 50% less selling pressure from the miners will also have a positive impact.

This is most likely the future of the bull runs caused by the halving, the halving is becoming less and less significant as miners are becoming more reliant on the fees they get from each block they mine, however it is to be expected that a residual effect will still last for a very long time and after each halving there is a moderate increase in price, even if this is not justified anymore as speculators will push the price up high enough for retail traders to notice and join the movement.

[yazher]

Most of the time when the bitcoin halving happens, the price of bitcoins also rises up to the point it creates a new ATH but that's not always the case because last time we needed to wait for about a year to see the massive result of the price increase which was the best scenario we could ever see in the crypto market and to be honest, there's no wrong if the bull runs won't gonna happen just after the bitcoin halving because we know that certainly, the price will go up once again just like what happened in the past 10+ years of bitcoin's history in the halving times.