Next Bitcoin Bull Run: Is It Tied to the Next Halving?

[Kasabus]

I’m definitely one of those who believe that the next bitcoin bull run will only happen right after bitcoin halving has taken its place. But of course, the possible price increase effect will only happen several months after bitcoin halving because that’s what I’ve been observed from those previous bull runs. Although this is still a prediction as no one holds what the future will bring, but looking back it’s history and if there are chances that history repeats, then the same old pattern will set to happen again.

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[GeorgeJohn]

This is like a speculation, so in this effects you can not on your own predict accurately the future bitcoin in next two to three months, what I want you to understand concerning bitcoin bullrun is that we don't know the actual time such can happen, because whatever everyone is predicting concerning the future of bitcoin is just an assumption is not something we can depends on, their is every tendency that bitcoin price can rise or fall today, but and it can be determined base on the demands and supply..actually we are expecting bitcoin to be bullish next year 2024 because it should be the next halving but it can change drastically because bitcoin value is not permanent.

[RewFrew]

Most of the Bitcoin mining has beeb completed. Near about 93% has been completed. So in future there will be crisis when it will fylly completed mining. Then Bitcoin price will go moon there has no doubt. But that near future i am not seeing any news about bull session. I think in next year a little bull session we will saw. Q1/Q2 of 2024 bull market will start i think. But it will not go new ATH that time. I think for new ATH and touch $100k we have to wait 2025. Then bitcoin price will hit $100k i think.

[Mpamaegbu]

I think the halving happenstance has become  a psychological play on the market to the point that investors now align its occurrence with bull rally. Past results have shown that Bitcoin has had favourable results around those periods that coincided with its halving and after them. So, it won't be wrong to conclude that halving has been responsible for the heightened prices we've seen Bitcoin attain to its numerous All Time High. I expect the incoming halving in 2024 to also give us something in that same light that will see the market through another ATH. I sincerely hope we don't see anything similar to what Litecoin did after its halving a few days ago. We expected price to shoot up but it slumped, disappointedly.

[Stepstowealth]

So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving,

The halving is talked about a lot and every one keeping bitcoins now has big hopes for that time. The general hope is not the next bitcoin bull run exactly, but what the prices will be after the halving. There is a hope that there will be a rise in price after the halving even if it does not set a new highest price. If many positive events favoring bitcoin happens just before the halving, it can trigger a bull run, if positive events also happen just after the halving, I think a bull run can also be triggered. I may be wrong, but this is what I think.

[Oilacris]

So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving,

The halving is talked about a lot and every one keeping bitcoins now has big hopes for that time. The general hope is not the next bitcoin bull run exactly, but what the prices will be after the halving. There is a hope that there will be a rise in price after the halving even if it does not set a new highest price. If many positive events favoring bitcoin happens just before the halving, it can trigger a bull run, if positive events also happen just after the halving, I think a bull run can also be triggered. I may be wrong, but this is what I think.

We cant really be able to avoid nor really blame out each person in the community would really be having those kind of high hopes about on the bull run after that halving event of Bitcoin. This is been

known to be that most relevant event or situation that do happen on this crypto space knowing that it is really that pertaining about Bitcoins halving, supply or block rewards had been lessen into half
and if the recognition and demand would really be that increasing even more then it would really be just that normal that value would increase too. In fact, we have seen on what are the things that happened on previous halvings on which it is really that able to kick in that bull run which coins increasing out and reach their new all time highs.

This is why it is really that normal that people or the community would really be having that high hopes and anticipation for this upcoming event. Now that the market isnt really that moving
that much then we are already that in a hurry on days on approaching the halving event so that we do really able to have at least that big movement in price which is something that it is really
absent as of this moment which we are already moving sideways for too long.

[Vaculin]

Every bitcoin halving leaves an impact to all bitcoin investors. And because of the realization that every bitcoin halving makes the market more bullish and profitable, then people will definitely put in mind that whenever there’s bitcoin halving, the next bitcoin bull run will also set to happen. However, we should never close our mind to the possibility that the opposite thing will also happen. As long as the market remains unpredictable, we can never guarantee that the same thing will always happen when bitcoin halving is around.

[lalabotax]

So, what are your thoughts? Do you believe that the next Bitcoin bull run is likely to follow the upcoming halving, or do you think the market has evolved beyond such a simple pattern? Are there any other indicators or factors that you're closely watching? Let's share our insights and engage in a constructive discussion on this fascinating topic.

Indeed, usually, after Bitcoin has halved, the price of Bitcoin will rise and experience a bull run a few months after the halving. This happened several bullrun cycles ago. And I'm sure many people are still speculating and hoping for that, namely Bitcoin will experience a bullrun after halving later, like previous cycles, which will be followed by an increase in altcoins in the bullish era.

However, again, no one can give a 100% accurate prediction. It could be that this cycle will change because the mined Bitcoins are also decreasing. And now many factors affect the market. So this might happen again, maybe not. But then again, I personally really hope this cycle will happen again.

[kawetsriyanto]

If we learn the history of Bitcoin bullrun and Bitcoin halving, both of them are closely related. Every time Bitcoin halving happened, it triggered the new Bitcoin ATH. We already saw the same scheme from the first bullrun in 2013 until the latest bullrun in 2021. If we looked the bullrun history, Bitcoin halving always has a big role to trigger it happening. So, it makes sense if people think that Bitcoin halving will determine the next bullrun as well. However, the demand on the market doesn't only depend on the Bitcoin halving, there are also many other factors. It is not impossible if someday that the halving may not bring significant effect anymore due to some factors. Its hype may be reduced someday, or there is a big issue on crypto that can bring bigger impact on the demand. So, we must always have a plan if an unpredictable thing to happen. Don't only rely on the Bitcoin halving!  

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

Hey fellow crypto enthusiasts,

I hope everyone is doing well and staying excited about the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies! Lately, I've been pondering a question that I'm sure many of us have on our minds: when can we expect the next Bitcoin bull run? Could it potentially coincide with the next Bitcoin halving? Let's dive into this intriguing topic and share our thoughts.

From history, the last all-time high of Bitcoin happened a year after the Bitcoin halving, so it was a year after the Bitcoin halving before the bull market really kicked in. Although the price of Bitcoin was very low in 2020, after the halving, the price began to go up gradually until the end of the year. I know that we can't accurately predict the movement of the Bitcoin price, so I can't say for sure that history will repeat itself again; it might happen in another form, but I am thinking that the bull market can start after the Bitcoin halving, although we might likely experience some bullish movement in price before the end of this year. I think the real bull market might happen in 2025.

[Bitcoin_people]

Bitcoin's next bull market will begin when Bitcoin halves. We've seen Bitcoin halve every time it's had a bull market before and then the market goes up. After each halving the Bitcoin market has grown a lot and turned from a bear market to a straight sire market. So we will see the next bull market in 2024 probably when Bitcoin will halve and the market will be in a good place. Since Bitcoin halving happens every four years, we may see this as the fourth halving of Bitcoin in 2024. And when this halving basically happens, Bitcoin's bull market will start and Bitcoin's price will rise again to its all-time high.

[traderethereum]

As it is based on speculation, it is unpredictable. No one can tell but from previous events or occurrences in the past of bitcoin halving, there has been a surge in bitcoin price immediately after bitcoin halving so it would not be a surprise if such should happen this time but still yet, nobody knows if the reverse would be the case. Moreover, there are several factors driving the Bitcoin market, and if they come into play the next halving would be of big significant effect on the crypto community would would further drive the demand for bitcoin as the price surges high above the last ATH.

We cannot predict exactly where bitcoin will go and can only guess.
And many people have been wrong in guessing or giving their predictions because bitcoin's movements are now wilder.
But it is true that after a halving, there will usually be a spike in the price of bitcoin, which will be the moment to sell it at a high price.
So we can only presume that the next halving could trigger the bitcoin price to skyrocket and even surpass the last ATH price.
If that does happen, we can certainly make huge profits from bitcoin but that's only for people who already own a lot of bitcoin.

ATH can occur at any time of the year as long as there are driving market forces and these forces are factors for which Bitcoin thrive on. It is true during Bitcoin halving, Bitcoin price increases with a good price resulting to ATH but we pray minners do not self so as not to have side effects on the  Bitcoin. But one thing I know is that whales are the most beneficiaries of this whole thing because they have good volume of Bitcoin in their possession and at such would be very much in the right position to collect profit.

And we have to wait until the ATH returns to the market and we are lucky that we are still given the opportunity to accumulate again.
Having a dip today provides more opportunities for us to place a buy order at a lower price than yesterday and hope that the price will touch our order price.
Whales will definitely always benefit at every moment but we can also follow whales to be able to benefit as well as them.
We only need to analyze market conditions and determine attitudes that are in accordance with what is happening in the market.
But we shouldn't rush or even panic if something happens in the market and we must remember that our target is to make profits in the long term.

[Fuso.hp]

Since the beginning of 2023 till now, the Bitcoin market has increased rather than decreased, so considering the positive side of the market, it can be expected that the Bitcoin market will be in a very good position in 2024. Bitcoin investors are holding onto their investments in anticipation of better things in 2024, and those with more money to invest are increasing their investments. At the moment the market position is from 29 thousand dollars to 30 thousand dollars, it will not be a difficult equation to go from this situation to 50 thousand dollars in the Bitcoin market within a year. If there is no bad news in the market then the market will go to a good state within 24 years.

[icalical]

Not always and instantly but Coin Halving definitely reducing bitcoin supply, using the basic economy when supply is decreasing but the demand is still and even increasing the price should be raising. All that being said with the current market, politic and economic condition in the world, I doubt the bitcoin halving will lead to a new ATH, I still think bitcoin will finally make a bull run, but new ATH is quite difficult to achieve.

[xSkylarx]

It is really tied to the next halving because Bitcoin is getting rarer to mine at that time, meaning it is more valuable. That is why there is a rally on it. In the past halving, this was really the cycle, which is why a lot of people and holders right now are already accumulating bitcoin for their own good. But again, the market is always mysterious, and we don't know if it will reach its ATH again next halving.

[laurenB7742]

Every bitcoin halving leaves an impact to all bitcoin investors. And because of the realization that every bitcoin halving makes the market more bullish and profitable, then people will definitely put in mind that whenever there’s bitcoin halving, the next bitcoin bull run will also set to happen. However, we should never close our mind to the possibility that the opposite thing will also happen. As long as the market remains unpredictable, we can never guarantee that the same thing will always happen when bitcoin halving is around.

There is nothing wrong with people expecting bitcoin to increase in price every time the havling approaches because the past has shown us that. But the future is unpredictable, and there is no guarantee that history will always repeat itself. So let's just expect what we want but always prepare ourselves with a plan for the worst case scenario. If history doesn't repeat itself and bitcoin goes up as history has proven, what do we do next? We should all be prepared for that scenario instead of being subjective that bitcoin will always go up after the halving.

[rat03gopoh]

Historically, yes. But this is by no means a conclusion to convince people to invest like crazy. Assuming history will repeat itself isn't an excuse not to spend a few bitcoins today if it's necessary. If you see bitcoin as a benefit over profit, then you won't pay attention to the price to own it.

[cheezcarls]

There’s no guarantee that halving would be the reason for another Bitcoin bull run. It may be a catalyst in my opinion and insight, but it’s better to expect the unexpected.

Last 2020 halving, BTC hasn’t really picked up for months until December where suddenly it pumped to as much as $30k.

The following year, it was mostly Elon boy who hyped the entire crypto market by being a DOGE fanatic and bought a bunch of BTCs that made the price skyrocket to almost $70k before it came crashing due to China crackdown.

Despite the uncertainties, we always have to be ready for some unexpected circumstances and “surprises” along the way.

[kryptqnick]

There's no strong evidence that Bitcoin bull markets are causally related to halving events. There haven't been enough of those to count as statistically significant, and there is a lot of vagueness that makes the hypothesis very hard to test. For instance, how much time should pass after halving for the bull run to still count as related to it? Can it start earlier and still count? How fast should the price be rising and over which periods of time? Do temporary setbacks count as counter-evidence? If so, how big they should be, and how long should they last to count as evidence toward refuting the claim that halving is related to bull runs?
As everyone does their own thing and many don't ponder these questions at all, that makes it hard to answer whether bull runs are tied to halving events.
I expect the bull market to hit in the second half of 2024, but to me, that's not based on halving.

[Latviand]

Historically, yes. But this is by no means a conclusion to convince people to invest like crazy. Assuming history will repeat itself isn't an excuse not to spend a few bitcoins today if it's necessary. If you see bitcoin as a benefit over profit, then you won't pay attention to the price to own it.

There's already 3 halvings and I think it's already a safe conclusion that most bull runs will follow. If you're spending bitcoin for something that needs immediate attention then you need to start making more ways to make money at the least because if you're investing in bitcoin and you're lacking money for your daily expenses then you need to get your priorities straight. It's rare to see a person that's going to be preferring benefit over profit nowadays, those who spend their bitcoins most of the time still prioritizes profit.