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Author Topic: Hypothetical Question  (Read 573 times)
NAPK1NS_RA3 (OP)
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August 28, 2023, 07:49:02 AM
 #1

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink
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BenCodie
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August 28, 2023, 08:05:43 AM
Merited by The Sceptical Chymist (3)
 #2

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink

I don't understand...if the odds are well and truly 100℅, that means there is 0℅ chance of losing...

However, the market wouldn't be available for you to bet on if the odds were 100℅ in your favor, the casino or sports book would be handing money out especially if there is a larger payout to be made on the bet.

If the outcome is not determined before you make the bet, it's not truly 100% and there is definitely risk that you aren't aware of. If you are so certain that you want to risk your livelihood on something where the odds aren't truly 100%, that would be unwise.

If the odds are actually 100% and there is provably 0% chance of losing...then why not. The outcome is certain? This is entirely unrealistic though
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August 28, 2023, 08:11:44 AM
 #3

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink

A better question to ask is if you had a $10k bankroll and the bet is 90% chance to win how much would you bet?

and then reask the question again if you had 100k, then 1m, then 10m how much would you bet and at what stage would your approach be to protect your networth instead of growing it. Tongue I think that would be much more interesting.
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August 28, 2023, 09:00:46 AM
 #4


Depends on who exactly said 100% chance of winning. If it was the organization that held the sports event, I'd go all in. If it's just someone who overheard that the fight is a fixed fight, then probably just 10%. But this is if I see people are actually betting on that team as well.

When it's a fixed fight people usually know but still leave doubt like Ngannou vs Fury. Pretty sure this is a fixed fight but it may still depend on who is running the show and sometimes politics are involved.


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August 28, 2023, 09:06:28 AM
 #5


Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.



No never, there is no guaranteed win in sports betting. How does your friend know with 100% certainty that one team is going to win? I would be very sceptical when it comes to such statements and don't believe it. Why would anybody give you the information for free? The more people know about it the higher the chance the scam will be uncovered. Taking out a loan short term without collateral will lead to very high interest rate and you could be stuck with repaying the loan for many years if things go wrong.
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August 28, 2023, 09:34:29 AM
 #6

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

I wouldn't bet all my money, I will still keep some, just in case, because we all know that in gambling there is no 100% chance of winning.

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

No, I wouldn't go all in, sorry, I will simply walk away and not bet anything.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

I will not take a loan just to gamble, simply as that.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink

Just weigh the risk, but then again, this is just me, I will just put a bet that I can afford to lose, easy as that. No regrets whether I win or lose.

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August 28, 2023, 09:59:47 AM
 #7

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?
nothing at all

Quote
If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.
even $1 I would not bet

Quote
Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.
will never torture my own life just to gamble

Quote
Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?
there is no other way than just betting for happy fun. not all bettors put money first but at least for most gamblers there is still space left for gamblers looking for fun.

maybe my answer is a little more like a person who is skeptical of other people betting predictions because no matter how good other people predictions or analysis I will never trust and spend my money just to bet after being told if it guarantees a win. for me any gambling will never give a 100% guarantee which gives me positive thoughts to bet according to my own analysis even though its always not right but this is about satisfaction not a matter of money.

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August 28, 2023, 10:21:47 AM
 #8

If I had $10k in capital I probably wouldn't risk it all, even though people say it's a bet with 100% chance of winning, still I wouldn't believe it because I would still find risks so I would avoid big bets, because I'm a small gambler so it's better to split the money into many small bets, why not try it with $ 500 if lucky it's good but if I lose I still keep the rest of my money. lol

I also won't get stuck with fomo let alone borrow money to bet in large amounts, I know that it will be a high risk, the higher the bet, the higher the risk, I often find someone who bets big with a 99% chance of winning Of course, you can lose, no matter how you bet, you have to use calculations. Don't be rash to bet big, let alone follow someone's predictions. It's best to follow your own research. After all, to get big profits, it all depends on how we do research, as well as luck. because everything can not be separated from luck. unless I'm the richest person in the world I'd bet over $10k  Grin

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August 28, 2023, 10:22:00 AM
 #9

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink
Hmm, there is no guarantee in anything gambling, since gambling has a higher risk there is also no guarantee of Winning in it is just luck that own everything in gambling, instead of me taking a loan that I will use in staking any bet I rather use all my money to bet so if by any means the bet get lost I will not have to hide from anybody and I will not look for a story to tell anyone as well.
If I have the $10k I will bet according to the odds provided for the game if the the odd is a 2 odd game I will put $5k on it so I can win times two (2×) of it and if I won the bet I will not still complain about me not putting all the money I have on the bet because I don't know if when I stake the whole money I have maybe that's when I will loss the bet.

R


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August 28, 2023, 10:27:41 AM
 #10

~
This is assuming the 100% chance of winning is factual, and not the person themself "assuming" that the chance of winning is 100%. If so, then yes, I'd bet 100% on it. No I won't take a loan, I don't see the need to do so, assuming that the $10k was my bankroll. I don't aim to maximize profit in the first place in gambling, I just play for fun so I don't really have strategies or avenues in trying to actually aim for something, regardless of whether it's guaranteed or not. I set bets on increments that I think appeal to my confidence level, I don't set bets assuming I'd hit X amount if I bet Y amount, it sounds like a rather dumb way to bet.

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August 28, 2023, 10:33:47 AM
 #11

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink
I will not risk a penny of my money, especially if I have to borrow money to make this bet.

it would be stupid if I had to risk a large amount of my money. And I realized that there's no such thing as a perfect chance until it reaches 100%. Even if there are people who are able to analyze until they reach a 100% chance, they will not tell other people about it and that person will try their best to get capital, including by borrowing money.

and when someone offers this, it is clear that this is an attempted fraud.

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August 28, 2023, 10:36:32 AM
 #12

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink

Hypothetically answering here  Grin.If it is a sure thing that the sport match is a guaranteed win,I would go put all the money I have available in my bank account and if it is not enough I would even borrow money from the bank so I can add up and put the maximum amount that the sport book would allow me to bet.I would not be that much greedy as it is enough for me if the sport bet odd is well over 2,let's suppose is 2.5 and I would be very happy if I put the max amount that I am supposing is 100.000 dollars and I would get an extra 150.000 dollars profit,right now that profit is the average pay rate of a good profession in all Europe and even better than average after this lay offs crisis in technology where I happen to work.

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August 28, 2023, 10:38:20 AM
 #13

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

Zero amount, then ask him how much did he stake on same bet? how did he know there's a guarantee in that bet? if he truly knows that it's a sure bet then he would have go for it first before telling me, they do this to pull us in when they know that there's no more hope for them and they don't have enough money to bet for themselves, there's no sure vet in gambling, we all take risk for betting to win or loose, if you think it's worth taking a risk on then stake the amount of money you could afford to loose on the bet.

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

The more you're being desperate for winning is the more the increase in the chances of loosing the entire for on that bet, no guarantee on any bet as 100% newbie should not be decieved

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Sometimes trouble will be sleeping and we will be going around disturbing it to wake up on our request, did i just heard you with an alternative of taking a loan? any person involved in this kind of mess should definitely be a novice in gambling and needs to be oriented before they enter into debt which is a big time trouble.



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August 28, 2023, 10:43:14 AM
 #14

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink

It's a bit of a nonsensical question really, because a bet would naturally involve some degree - even the tiniest fraction - of risk involved. Otherwise you're just carrying out a transaction, like getting paid an interest rate from a bank for storing money their for a certain time period. The answer would be yes to such a proposition, because as you state - a hundred percent chance of winning guaranteed, is a zero risk proposition. However, what you're really like to be asking is if you have a bet that has a 97% or even 99% chance of winning, would you take it? In which case the answer would be no, because from personal experience I have seen such bets fail several times and fortunately only had tiny amounts at stake.

R


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August 28, 2023, 10:47:15 AM
 #15

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  Wink
I don't think that we can see such wins,for it to be 100% true. It is better that you gamble with the amount of money that you can afford to loss so that if the game doesn't turn out as expected,you have nothing to worry about. The answer to your question is that if I can get someone to lend me a good sum of money,I will do that, so that after the game is over and I have withdrawn my wins,I will payback the lender.

R


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inthelongrun
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August 28, 2023, 10:48:11 AM
 #16

So are you involved in fixed matches? Let's say you are directly in contact with the player or team, there is still no such thing as a 100% sure win. I heard about basketball-fixed matches in our local league here after a player made a confession. But there is still no 100% guarantee because not all of the players and coaches are part of the shameful acts. Fixed matchmaking is a little near 100% correct on individual sports since the player has 99% control over his own results.

If I have a $10k bankroll and I have direct connections with the player or the team itself then I'll go all in. But I will never take a loan or even withdraw all possible savings because educated bettors don't believe in a 100% sure win.

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August 28, 2023, 11:02:44 AM
 #17

If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

No, I won't be tempted on the offer,  I experience this kind of stuff when someone DM me on telegram giving me an offer to win 100% on some gambling platform.  He said that all I need is to agree and he can even give me credit on the platform.  The only condition is that I will give him half of the winnings.  Although his offer is convincing, I did not accept the offer because of the possible trouble that lie ahead if I accept the deal.

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Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

No, I won't try to be greedy, what if the promise is just bait?  Then I f*cked up big time.

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Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Nothing, in a hypothetical situation everything is possible.  Even conning the other party is also possible.  So better not greedy to avoid any troubles.

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August 28, 2023, 11:22:32 AM
 #18

Obviously, at first I would be extremely skeptical of that option having a 100% of chance of being correct, but assuming I got convinced I think I would go in with about 25% of my capital or even up to 50% of it.

I would not go all in or take a loan to take advantage of such scenario, because I have seen and read so many cases online of how people end up losing everything to a bet which was an easy guess.

It does not matter how high the chances are in a bet, one is never supposed to take a loan or sell one's stuff to gamble or bet, there is always a tiny chance things won't go as intended, even in those so-called "fixed" matches. Always use common sense.

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August 28, 2023, 11:31:24 AM
 #19

Is it really possible to have a 0% chance of losing I don't think so and if there is I don't think I can take a loan, I will check the credibility of that someone if he is someone who can guarantee what I will put in then I'll go for it.
I have seen people almost committing suicide because they trust a person to tell them that they cannot lose and they should put everything, they have put all their savings only to lose everything.

When it comes to we should always be on the safe side. There is no such thing as guaranteed winning in gambling, it's not gambling if it's guaranteed to win.  

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August 28, 2023, 11:35:48 AM
 #20

In such situation what will come to my mind is no gambling stake has a 100% winning chance and no guarantee to that and I would reflect on the past incidence of such thing happening when someone beat his chest that it was a sure game but it never happened that way. So if someone is telling me that it is a 100% certainty, I will still bet reasonably. I won't go for loan because it is not advised, I won't empty my account either but I will put a bet to my satisfaction that if I lose it will be like the usual occurrence too.

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