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Author Topic: What has really been behind china's economy  (Read 1076 times)
Spaceman1000$ (OP)
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September 04, 2023, 03:26:53 PM
Last edit: September 04, 2023, 06:36:53 PM by Spaceman1000$
 #1

Sometimes as a rational thinker,  I've tried to wrap my head around how China has been able to sustain their economy with an estimated GDP growth of 3.00 percent and per CAPITAL  GDP of 18187.98 USD, Especially owing to the fact that, they have to much people heavily dependent on her economy and population of over 1.400 billion people.

I see a lot of countries with much lesser population struggling to sustain their economy at this point,  with global inflation, the after effect of COVID-19 other multi-dimensional economic problems. Because I can remember vividly that China,  are one of the highest hit of COVID-19 but yet they are still waxing stronger economically.

The other day,  Pawal7777 was talking about recession hitting CANADA, and that's how other countries are having one difficulty here and there economically. So my point is, what economical indices is china adopting to keep their economy afloat?

Source: https://www.google.com/search?q=what+the+current+GDP+of+china&oq=what+the+current+GDP+of+china+&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i22i30l2j0i390i650.14687j1j4&client=ms-android-xiaomi-rev1&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8

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September 04, 2023, 04:12:40 PM
 #2

As far as I knew, China was facing deflation. And we all know high deflation has bad impact like inflation (of course not at the same level but to emphasize the fact that they both have bad impacts). I have read many posts from stompix about china and the conditions are not good there. Prices of things are made so cheap, a gold bar is gifted to those who wanted to buy house (which in reality is just to fake the actual price) well that's another thing.

The point is people are not buying and the production level has increased so much in china but consumption is lower which caused deflation. Of course there are other factors involved too.

Well, I think you are generally comparing the economy of China with other and I think in that comparison China might be doing better than others. Like for example better than Canada and to be honest Canada really is facing situations but people still are going there for educational purposes or on work visa.

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September 04, 2023, 04:16:39 PM
 #3

These numbers are manipulated! The main aim of the communist party is to maintain a great image of China infront of the world. But the reality is very different that what you are seeing here.

A good read: https://www.cfr.org/article/chinas-homegrown-crisis

I personally work with 17 Chinese colleagues who are doing the same job since last 18 years without changing the company and with only one promotion. They are afraid of changing jobs as there's not much opportunities available outside the metro cities and it's extremely costly to live in metro cities. Do not believe things coming out of China glorifying themselves.

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September 04, 2023, 04:38:35 PM
 #4

China is a mechanistic nation which reduces its citizens to human labor. It's totally different from the occident where emotions and feelings are valued and people are sensitive and butthurted for minor reasons. It's much simpler to manage an economy composed by robotized humans instead of unstable and demanding humans.

Then you have people working more, receiving inferior payrates, producing more goods and services, without complaining about anything in the end. For the government and other people on the top of the pyramid it's great.

Moreover, the whole world consumes huge volumes of chinese exports. I believe the combination of those factors make China be the economical potency it is.

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September 04, 2023, 04:39:02 PM
 #5

Sometimes as a rational thinker,  I've tried to wrap my head around how China has been able to sustain their economy with an estimated GDP growth of 3.00 percent and per CAPITAL  GDP of 18187.98 USD, Especially owing to the fact that, they have to much people to heavily dependent on her economy and population of over 1.400 billion people.
https://i.ibb.co/kXLbkNs/IMG-20230904-WA0002.jpg
I see a lot of countries with much lesser population struggling to sustain their economy at this point,  with global inflation, the after effect of COVID-19 other multi-dimensional economic problems. Because I can remember vividly that China,  are one of the highest hit of COVID-19 but yet they are still waxing stronger economically.

The other day,  Pawal7777 was talking about recession hitting CANADA, and that how other countries are having one difficulty here and there economically. So point is, what economical indices is china adopting to keep their economy afloat?

Source: https://www.google.com/search?q=what+the+current+GDP+of+china&oq=what+the+current+GDP+of+china+&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i22i30l2j0i390i650.14687j1j4&client=ms-android-xiaomi-rev1&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8
China is world's larger exporter with multiple resources and also very opportunistic and also it has highest earnings in all the world. And they are leading in anything.
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September 04, 2023, 04:40:33 PM
 #6

China doesn't disclose clear data to the outer world. The manipulated data or data gathered by the agencies weren't that perfect. The calculation made based on the data revealed shows China's economy is strong. The small scale industries in the country were the key for the development of the country's economy. For China population served as a big issue and now different policies to control population have given effective result.

Soon after the COVID, the country hit hard in all sectors. But no clear information gets revealed to the outer world. China's economy needs to be kept aside, because the way they create export and import market is different from other countries.

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September 04, 2023, 04:58:54 PM
 #7

China is an industrial country and they have found ways to make use of their human resources to their favor, so far this move has worked out very well for them. Also they have strict laws unlike most Western country and this laws allows the government detect majorly how This are ran in the country with the willing or unwilling cooperation of their citizens.

Also china is a country that has invested in lots of countries especially in the developing countries mostly through loans or building/purchase of industries in those countries this gives china revenues and long term profits
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September 04, 2023, 05:01:59 PM
 #8

I want you to think outside the box. Maybe they're able to maintain their status afloat even if it's known that the majority is suffering from the global crisis. But it's possible that even with the side motion of their economy, they're able to control what's going to come in and out with the media since their government is controlled by the CCP. So, data and numbers can be modified and they're only allowed to project what's good inside and outside the country.

For example: THE FALL OF EVERGRANDE: A CASE STUDY OF CHINA’S FINANCIAL TURMOIL IN 2022 AND THE IMPLICATION TO CHINA-BOUND INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL IN 2023 AND BEYOND

That incident surely have a big impact to their economy and probably they're tailoring it as if nothing is negatively happening to them and they're in control. But it can't also be denied that during the covid-19 pandemic height, they're able to spread their investments since majority of the stocks from that time were low. Well, go back to the first sentence of what I've said.

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September 04, 2023, 05:26:03 PM
 #9

If you take time to study the history of many of these powerful countries like China, you would understand that their success and growth dates back to previous monarchs or leaders. They have many of their citizens migrate to Europe and the Western countries to study and develop their knowledge. They come back home and use the knowledge to better their economy.
Their growth is a result of long term plan followed consistently, intentionally and with great discipline.
Anyone wondering how they just happen to have a good economy should care much to know about its history, wars, natural disasters and outbreaks it has had to fight through as a country to be where it is today.
Still it remains one of the best commercial hubs in the world.

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Spaceman1000$ (OP)
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September 04, 2023, 05:29:42 PM
Last edit: September 04, 2023, 06:32:57 PM by Spaceman1000$
 #10

I want you to think outside the box. Maybe they're able to maintain their status afloat even if it's known that the majority is suffering from the global crisis. But it's possible that even with the side motion of their economy, they're able to control what's going to come in and out with the media since their government is controlled by the CCP. So, data and numbers can be modified and they're only allowed to project what's good inside and outside the country.

For example: THE FALL OF EVERGRANDE: A CASE STUDY OF CHINA’S FINANCIAL TURMOIL IN 2022 AND THE IMPLICATION TO CHINA-BOUND INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL IN 2023 AND BEYOND

That incident surely have a big impact to their economy and probably they're tailoring it as if nothing is negatively happening to them and they're in control. But it can't also be denied that during the covid-19 pandemic height, they're able to spread their investments since majority of the stocks from that time were low. Well, go back to the first sentence of what I've said.

I can agree with you about the fact that, china would want to control whatever that is going out on the media space, but you can as well point out to the fact that, they have lots of companies owned by Chinese in other countries that are doing very well, in my country for instance, there are lot's of Chinese companies doing very well, for instance is EECC, a frontline construction giant in my country, that is just one out of a lot, some are also into oil and gas. So to large extent, this investments are generating a lot to the growth of their GDP,

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September 04, 2023, 05:48:42 PM
 #11

China is a mechanistic nation which reduces its citizens to human labor. It's totally different from the occident where emotions and feelings are valued and people are sensitive and butthurted for minor reasons. It's much simpler to manage an economy composed by robotized humans instead of unstable and demanding humans.

Though it is true that human labor is the key for China, there is the other side where automation also runs at full capacity within China. Another important aspect is outsourcing. This is not done by China but the entire global network depends on China's power of acting as a contract-based entity meaning everyone manufactures from China and they assemble within China. Imagine the amount of money they get from other nations. They produce cheap and other nations need to pay the tax toll all the time. No wonder why they also turned into deflation this time.

Things are getting worse for ever nation out there. China is one mysterious country with the truth hidden all the time.
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September 04, 2023, 06:05:14 PM
 #12

GDP means nothing to people. its a useless stat that is made by using debt as an asset to project any countries "power" in the world rankings

here is the thing. if 2 countries never changed its PRODUCTION of goods and services.. the numbers can change upto 15% just by having the numbers calculated different by simply seeing a different forex rate

to add to this
when countries own bonds of other countries and are receiving 1-5% interest. again doing nothing adds 1-5%
then adding more 'money print' cash into circulation adds a few percent on too.. all without any goods or service production increase

so in short. stop caring about GDP it means nothing is not based on anything meaningful and can be manipulated on many factors that dont affect real life tangible change

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September 04, 2023, 06:35:31 PM
 #13

Sometimes as a rational thinker,  I've tried to wrap my head around how China has been able to sustain their economy with an estimated GDP growth of 3.00 percent and per CAPITAL  GDP of 18187.98 USD, Especially owing to the fact that, they have to much people to heavily dependent on her economy and population of over 1.400 billion people.

I see a lot of countries with much lesser population struggling to sustain their economy at this point,  with global inflation, the after effect of COVID-19 other multi-dimensional economic problems. Because I can remember vividly that China,  are one of the highest hit of COVID-19 but yet they are still waxing stronger economically.

The other day,  Pawal7777 was talking about recession hitting CANADA, and that how other countries are having one difficulty here and there economically. So point is, what economical indices is china adopting to keep their economy afloat?

Source: https://www.google.com/search?q=what+the+current+GDP+of+china&oq=what+the+current+GDP+of+china+&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i22i30l2j0i390i650.14687j1j4&client=ms-android-xiaomi-rev1&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8

China us a country that is well disciplined and principled, they control their own system from within and also try to manage themselves without depending on any other country for sustainability, they encourage their local production and develope nee inventions, their productivity is very high and competitive, all these are part of what constitute to the growth of their economy and they make their law very strict against any importation of foreign items than what they locally produced from their own country, we can also see their population growth as part of what make their economy boom because they plan and control their population, as you can see the massive growth from their GDP.

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ZAINmalik75
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September 04, 2023, 06:44:59 PM
 #14

China is world's larger exporter with multiple resources and also very opportunistic and also it has highest earnings in all the world. And they are leading in anything.
I agreed with your point as if we see at the bigger picture and try to compare the GDP of China with all other countries besides the fact that China is facing deflationary situation and other countries are facing inflationary situation then if we would compare the numbers and stats then we will definitely find China as the biggest  seller or exporter. China is famous for making all kinds of thing at any cost. For example if we say we need a memory card at the cost of only $2 then they will make that for you and if we ask them to make a memory card for $20 then they will also make that for you. People are so hard working that home industries has grown so much in china that now products are more and consumer are less in the market. Which is causing yuan to lose value and now they are trying hard to maintain that. And I think it will be manages easily.

I personally work with 17 Chinese colleagues who are doing the same job since last 18 years without changing the company and with only one promotion. They are afraid of changing jobs as there's not much opportunities available outside the metro cities and it's extremely costly to live in metro cities. Do not believe things coming out of China glorifying themselves.
Thanks for the verification as I was also confused to read this because from pat few days I have reading that China is facing some severe financial problems like deflation, no buying of things. And people of there are trying hard to sell there products which are in abundant form. Yuan will slowly lose its value. And still OP was saying the GDP of China has improved in compared to Canada or some other country. He might having this discussion from some another angle but things are really not so go there roo because where inflation could put the financial status of a country at risk there deflation also has bad impact and it could effect the import and export plus selling will be lesser then before.

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September 04, 2023, 06:46:18 PM
 #15

I want you to think outside the box. Maybe they're able to maintain their status afloat even if it's known that the majority is suffering from the global crisis. But it's possible that even with the side motion of their economy, they're able to control what's going to come in and out with the media since their government is controlled by the CCP. So, data and numbers can be modified and they're only allowed to project what's good inside and outside the country.

For example: THE FALL OF EVERGRANDE: A CASE STUDY OF CHINA’S FINANCIAL TURMOIL IN 2022 AND THE IMPLICATION TO CHINA-BOUND INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL IN 2023 AND BEYOND

That incident surely have a big impact to their economy and probably they're tailoring it as if nothing is negatively happening to them and they're in control. But it can't also be denied that during the covid-19 pandemic height, they're able to spread their investments since majority of the stocks from that time were low. Well, go back to the first sentence of what I've said.

I can agree with you about the fact that, china would want to control whatever that is going out on the media space, but you can as well point out to the fact that, they have lots of companies owned by Chinese in other countries that are doing very well, in my country for instance, there are lot's of Chinese companies doing very well, for instance is EECC, a frontline construction giant in my country, that is just one out of a lot, some are also into oil and gas. So to large extent, this investments are generating a lot to the growth of their GDP,
Yes, there's no denying with those successful companies outside China that are doing well and contributes to China's GDP and growth. And for sure that they're also backed by the CCP and they have their share back to the mainland. But with all of the stuff that's going outside their country, if we're going to talk about things inside, there's a lot that could have been manipulated already when reported to the mass media.
Another incident are the following below, I wouldn't go into detail but there's something that's happening there that we'll never know.


Although that news was from last year, it's not that far and I'm still trying to look for some updates.

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September 04, 2023, 06:55:18 PM
 #16


Rich countries do have debts in China. If China falls all the rest will fall as well just as the US will fall, the rest of the West may also crumble.

So many reports that are not really accurate as we are in economic warfare and sanctions are getting out of hand but the real things are happening right there. Diplomats visiting China to ask China to buy their treasury bonds so why are they asking China to buy their debts? France and Germany are about to flip to China.

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September 04, 2023, 07:02:51 PM
 #17

Sometimes as a rational thinker,  I've tried to wrap my head around how China has been able to sustain their economy with an estimated GDP growth of 3.00 percent and per CAPITAL  GDP of 18187.98 USD, Especially owing to the fact that, they have to much people heavily dependent on her economy and population of over 1.400 billion people.

I see a lot of countries with much lesser population struggling to sustain their economy at this point,  with global inflation, the after effect of COVID-19 other multi-dimensional economic problems. Because I can remember vividly that China,  are one of the highest hit of COVID-19 but yet they are still waxing stronger economically.

The other day,  Pawal7777 was talking about recession hitting CANADA, and that's how other countries are having one difficulty here and there economically. So my point is, what economical indices is china adopting to keep their economy afloat?

Source: https://www.google.com/search?q=what+the+current+GDP+of+china&oq=what+the+current+GDP+of+china+&aqs=chrome..69i57j0i22i30l2j0i390i650.14687j1j4&client=ms-android-xiaomi-rev1&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8

To get the answer - just read up on China, over the last 50 years. I will tell you very primitively and simplistically Smiley
In the beginning - a huge but backward, agrarian-oriented country. No offense, there's nothing wrong with that. But they managed to become almost the second economy of the world.
So what went wrong in China, like other third world countries?
China started offering its territory as a site for manufacturing. That was the first stage, and it started to work. Yes, the country had a communist dictatorship (no, not at the level of North Korea, of course), but they realized that they could make money and develop their economy. Many western manufacturers came to the country, built their factories, and got good labor, and cheap labor.
Then manufacturers realized that it is possible to produce not only primitive goods, but also high-tech products. Plus - the AMAZING position for reducing logistics costs in the Africa-Asia-Oceania region.
And so it began - everyone who could not help themselves came to China and brought technology! And the technological revolution in China began. New technologies, whole production facilities were brought to China for decades, local specialists were trained.....
And that's what jump-started all other sectors of the economy. China from resource-agrarian China became a technological giant with a well-developed industry.
But this is very simplistic Smiley

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September 04, 2023, 07:41:15 PM
 #18

First of all, echoing the previous comments, you can't trust data from CCP. Then, you can search the following keywords "Why GDP is not a good measure of economic growth" and you'll find a lot of articles explaining the problem with GDP as a metric. Anyway, it doesn't mean the China economy is so bad that it would lead to revolution or whatever. I'm just saying that they got hit hard by COVID and they aren't superpower like their propaganda as well. They have a big economy, but the fact that they also have the #1 population, will scream a poor GDP per capita. So most people are still poor by 1st world standards.

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September 04, 2023, 11:03:44 PM
 #19

Well, I am not an expert in Asian economics or geopolitics but if anyone asked me what is behind China´s success I would say it is about production, education and development of technologies.

They are major producers of almost every product I can think of, I am sure you all have stumbled with the fact many things have the "Made in China" phrase engraved on them, they remain to be highly competitive which only helps them economically. Perhaps that competition exist in detriment of the life style of workers, but that is a different topic.

On the other hand, they have fairly good education programs, if we ignore that those are probably politicized so the youth would obey and respect the CCP, they are seemly also quite competent when comes to development of science.

Also, Canada & USA are quite vulnerable to drug trafficking and the entrance of fentanyl and other synthetic drugs, in China there are harsh penalties against traffickers, usually death. Keeping drugs as far as the streets seems to be a priority for them.

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September 05, 2023, 03:13:34 AM
 #20

I personally work with 17 Chinese colleagues who are doing the same job since last 18 years without changing the company and with only one promotion. They are afraid of changing jobs as there's not much opportunities available outside the metro cities and it's extremely costly to live in metro cities. Do not believe things coming out of China glorifying themselves.
Thanks for the verification as I was also confused to read this because from pat few days I have reading that China is facing some severe financial problems like deflation, no buying of things. And people of there are trying hard to sell there products which are in abundant form. Yuan will slowly lose its value. And still OP was saying the GDP of China has improved in compared to Canada or some other country. He might having this discussion from some another angle but things are really not so go there roo because where inflation could put the financial status of a country at risk there deflation also has bad impact and it could effect the import and export plus selling will be lesser then before.

GDP calculation and market cap calculation are same things and means very little. For example -

A country has 999 residents living in poverty and one billionaire. So as per the GDP calculation, their per capita income is 1 million.

Similarly, a cryptocurrency has 1000 units in the market and one unit got sold at 1 million. The market cap of that cryptocurrency becomes 1 billion.

Both are flawed!

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