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Author Topic: My Preparations for BTC Halving and bull market  (Read 716 times)
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September 09, 2023, 01:41:14 PM
 #61

As you know bitcoin halving is a few months away (first quarter 2024) and then we may have bull season in 2024/2025. We are all excited about the bull season but no one prepares for it. People start buying Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies when the bull market is in progress and the prices are already high. Some even have the fear of missing out and buy at the top of the bull market. The result is that most people lose money in bull season too.

So in order to have maximum benefits in the bull market, you should have a plan and start executing it unless it is too late.

I have already accumulated bitcoin in my portfolio (70% of my portfolio is in bitcoin) which i will not sell until we are above the all time high again. Similarly, i have bought some major cap coins and a few others low cap too which i think will perform well in the bull season.  I have been doing this for the last 3 to 4 months, buying some at every dump.

If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Also, to keep my bitcoin secure and to remain calm in times of dump, I have moved my bitcoins in cold storage so I never get tempted to sell on small profits like i won't be selling on 2x profit if bitcoin reaches 50,000$. My targets are clear and will sell in parts after bitcoin reaches new highs.
People do often buy when the price is suddenly getting higher, and then don't have the patience to wait for several more years for their mistake to become something more positive. So your plan, op, is very responsible. I don't believe that halving is responsible for the bull market, but I do believe we're likely to see the bull market around Q4 2024, so prepping ahead makes sense to me.
I wonder what you mean by it becoming the best bull season, though. Is it by market cap that Bitcoin gains, or is it by the multiplier of the price? Because if it's the latter, I don't think we'll see anything beyond 2-3x rise above the previous ATH this time, with or without institutional investors. As the market capitalization is getting bigger, Bitcoin is clearly growing slower in price.

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September 09, 2023, 02:08:22 PM
 #62

As you know bitcoin halving is a few months away (first quarter 2024) and then we may have bull season in 2024/2025. We are all excited about the bull season but no one prepares for it. People start buying Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies when the bull market is in progress and the prices are already high. Some even have the fear of missing out and buy at the top of the bull market. The result is that most people lose money in bull season too.

So in order to have maximum benefits in the bull market, you should have a plan and start executing it unless it is too late.

I have already accumulated bitcoin in my portfolio (70% of my portfolio is in bitcoin) which i will not sell until we are above the all time high again. Similarly, i have bought some major cap coins and a few others low cap too which i think will perform well in the bull season.  I have been doing this for the last 3 to 4 months, buying some at every dump.

If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Also, to keep my bitcoin secure and to remain calm in times of dump, I have moved my bitcoins in cold storage so I never get tempted to sell on small profits like i won't be selling on 2x profit if bitcoin reaches 50,000$. My targets are clear and will sell in parts after bitcoin reaches new highs.
People do often buy when the price is suddenly getting higher, and then don't have the patience to wait for several more years for their mistake to become something more positive. So your plan, op, is very responsible. I don't believe that halving is responsible for the bull market, but I do believe we're likely to see the bull market around Q4 2024, so prepping ahead makes sense to me.
I wonder what you mean by it becoming the best bull season, though. Is it by market cap that Bitcoin gains, or is it by the multiplier of the price? Because if it's the latter, I don't think we'll see anything beyond 2-3x rise above the previous ATH this time, with or without institutional investors. As the market capitalization is getting bigger, Bitcoin is clearly growing slower in price.
From my experience, the bull market shows it's signs months after the halving. Actually, I'm expecting it to come months after this halving because I believe that it is the pattern that the market is following. So my personal plan is to collect as many crypto as I can in our current season to be ready for the bull market in 2024/2025.

I believe that massive adaptation can boost bitcoin growth with the help of institutional investors and also for it to hit at least 5x from it's ATH in the next bull market. The higher that bitcoin hits it's all time high is the harder for it to gain multiple of its amount.
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September 09, 2023, 02:08:43 PM
 #63

So many expectations for the growth of Bitcoin after the halving reminds me of waiting for the coming of Santa, who will suddenly make everyone rich. Has anyone ever thought that suddenly something might not go according to plan? We have never been able to accurately predict Bitcoin's next move, so why are we confident that everything will be as it was before? I also hope for the best, but follow the saying, “hope for the best, but be prepared for the worst.”
Anything is possible in the extremely volatile world of cryptocurrencies as you mentioned, but investors are usually very optimistic about BTC halving events since they tend to trigger massive bull-runs and history has proven that.

Personally, I advise investing only what you are willing to lose at the end of the day.
Bitcoin halving still cannot guarantee us that everything will end up rising. Who knows if history will never  repeat itself, and it might end up the opposite way far from our expectation. Investing in bitcoin and preparing for a bitcoin halving is always good, but we should never forget to always invest with high caution. Invest at your own risk, so that if things fall out from the original plan, you will never see yourself in a worst situation.

Optimism is good, but don't put all your faith, expectations and assets in bitcoin, that's the approach I took for myself. The future is unpredictable and sometimes will not turn out as we expect so I always prepare myself a backup plan. In case bitcoin does not increase in price and the market is no longer potential. I will immediately start looking for other avenues, other ways to make money because there are many other important things in life besides bitcoin.

My life has improved somewhat thanks to bitcoin, but before knowing about bitcoin I could still live and survive so there is no reason for me to be depressed because bitcoin is not increasing in price.

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September 09, 2023, 05:45:06 PM
 #64

Bitcoin halving still cannot guarantee us that everything will end up rising. Who knows if history will never  repeat itself, and it might end up the opposite way far from our expectation. Investing in bitcoin and preparing for a bitcoin halving is always good, but we should never forget to always invest with high caution. Invest at your own risk, so that if things fall out from the original plan, you will never see yourself in a worst situation.
It's possible that history won't repeat itself and a bloodbath could take place, but the chances of something like that happening are on the lower side based on my extensive research.

I advise investing in less popular coins/tokens that have a solid foundation since they could explode in value thanks to the halving event.

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September 10, 2023, 12:20:59 PM
 #65

Bitcoin halving still cannot guarantee us that everything will end up rising. Who knows if history will never  repeat itself, and it might end up the opposite way far from our expectation. Investing in bitcoin and preparing for a bitcoin halving is always good, but we should never forget to always invest with high caution. Invest at your own risk, so that if things fall out from the original plan, you will never see yourself in a worst situation.
It's possible that history won't repeat itself and a bloodbath could take place, but the chances of something like that happening are on the lower side based on my extensive research.

I advise investing in less popular coins/tokens that have a solid foundation since they could explode in value thanks to the halving event.
Although we could say that the market behavior had already changed and shown something different trend unlike before but I still believe that not all the time we see the market is in a bloodbath. We currently experienced a huge price fall over a month already but this won't say that we will experience like this until the end as I was sure that the market would recover. It is all about faith and we can't be hopeless either knowing that there is always sunshine after the rain.

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September 10, 2023, 12:51:39 PM
 #66


If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Have you done any research to know what was the real driver of the 2020/2021 bull run?, well, if you haven't, I have, and I will like to let you know what institutional investors coming into crypto and investing heavily was the real driver of the last bull season we had ..

Now, speaking of the supposed coming bull run, we have only one thing we are sure about, and several things we are not sure about ..

Now, what are we sure about ?? - we are sure of when the next Bitcoin halving will occur, there is a date and time fixed for this event, so every one of us can indeed monitor and watch the event take place ..

Things we are not sure about is ..
1. If there will be another bull run .
2. When the next bull run will be if there is going to be another .
3. What the new all time high for Bitcoin will be .

I say this things because, it is high time we all begin to realize that bull run are not tied to Bitcoin halving, That is, it is not a mandate that there must always be a bull run or season any time Bitcoin halves, so in as much as it is not wrong to invest in Bitcoin, please do so with the right mindset, and also only invest what you can afford to lose....


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September 10, 2023, 01:08:33 PM
 #67

I don't see why the tradition of bull run after btc halving will change, I know it will happen, lots of speculations from big names already in the open. Besides, if btc can dump more than 30% from previous ath I don't see why it should trade at this current price even after btc halving.

And yes, I also have my target point to sell, there is no doubt btc will surpass previous ath, and I don't want to play the diamond hand when I can easily flip my btc position with such given opportunity. Lots of price speculation but I want to be in that moment first then everything else will be a breeze  Cool

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Blitzboy
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September 10, 2023, 02:43:10 PM
 #68


If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Have you done any research to know what was the real driver of the 2020/2021 bull run?, well, if you haven't, I have, and I will like to let you know what institutional investors coming into crypto and investing heavily was the real driver of the last bull season we had ..

Now, speaking of the supposed coming bull run, we have only one thing we are sure about, and several things we are not sure about ..

Now, what are we sure about ?? - we are sure of when the next Bitcoin halving will occur, there is a date and time fixed for this event, so every one of us can indeed monitor and watch the event take place ..

Things we are not sure about is ..
1. If there will be another bull run .
2. When the next bull run will be if there is going to be another .
3. What the new all time high for Bitcoin will be .

I say this things because, it is high time we all begin to realize that bull run are not tied to Bitcoin halving, That is, it is not a mandate that there must always be a bull run or season any time Bitcoin halves, so in as much as it is not wrong to invest in Bitcoin, please do so with the right mindset, and also only invest what you can afford to lose....


A link doesnt automatically imply a causation. Geopolitical events, technological improvements, and market sentiment can affect market movement. Your prediction about bull runs' uncertain future is correct. Even though the Bitcoin halving event and timing are known, tying it to a bull run may be too straightforward. Bitcoin is a volatile market with no algorithm or formula that can predict the future. Thus, investors should only risk what they can afford. Can you explain how buyers should prepare for these unknowns?

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September 10, 2023, 02:52:45 PM
 #69

If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Also, to keep my bitcoin secure and to remain calm in times of dump, I have moved my bitcoins in cold storage so I never get tempted to sell on small profits like i won't be selling on 2x profit if bitcoin reaches 50,000$. My targets are clear and will sell in parts after bitcoin reaches new highs.
What about the latest news from FTX which has been given permission by the court to liquidate its assets totaling more than $3.4 billion and the sales process will be done in stages every week, namely selling assets of around $200 million. At the same time, this is also a threat or blessing for us smallholders if we really have cold funds to accumulate. Then this moment will increasingly make the bitcoin ETF initiated by Blackrock et al buy at cheap prices. So are you ready for this massive sale to maintain your confidence in Bitcoin's ATH?

Following are some of the assets that will be liquidated.

https://twitter.com/WhaleChart/status/1700490945471414690

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September 10, 2023, 03:46:45 PM
 #70

As you know bitcoin halving is a few months away (first quarter 2024) and then we may have bull season in 2024/2025. We are all excited about the bull season but no one prepares for it. People start buying Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies when the bull market is in progress and the prices are already high. Some even have the fear of missing out and buy at the top of the bull market. The result is that most people lose money in bull season too.

So in order to have maximum benefits in the bull market, you should have a plan and start executing it unless it is too late.

I have already accumulated bitcoin in my portfolio (70% of my portfolio is in bitcoin) which i will not sell until we are above the all time high again. Similarly, i have bought some major cap coins and a few others low cap too which i think will perform well in the bull season.  I have been doing this for the last 3 to 4 months, buying some at every dump.

If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Also, to keep my bitcoin secure and to remain calm in times of dump, I have moved my bitcoins in cold storage so I never get tempted to sell on small profits like i won't be selling on 2x profit if bitcoin reaches 50,000$. My targets are clear and will sell in parts after bitcoin reaches new highs.
Putting down a prepared plan on how you'll be accumulating your portfolio  that you can make big profit in the next bitcoin ATH is also tied to your source of income, how steady it is and how much is left on you when you take away a spare amount for your investment plan. Your plan is good but it may not work for those with low income, except they wanna starve while stacking.

And I think a good portfolio plan towards the ATH is one invested only in bitcoin, those altcoins ain't dependable and the risk is that they may not pump along with bitcoin when the ATH eventually take place. I don't really see investment in altcoins as reliable one counting the risk involved with alts.

Am going to agree with you that in the aspect of not selling in a hurry when the bull arrives and also buying in within such period too is not duly profitable compared to buying now in the dip.

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eightdots
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September 10, 2023, 04:07:25 PM
 #71

As you know bitcoin halving is a few months away (first quarter 2024) and then we may have bull season in 2024/2025. We are all excited about the bull season but no one prepares for it. People start buying Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies when the bull market is in progress and the prices are already high. Some even have the fear of missing out and buy at the top of the bull market. The result is that most people lose money in bull season too.

So in order to have maximum benefits in the bull market, you should have a plan and start executing it unless it is too late.

I have already accumulated bitcoin in my portfolio (70% of my portfolio is in bitcoin) which i will not sell until we are above the all time high again. Similarly, i have bought some major cap coins and a few others low cap too which i think will perform well in the bull season.  I have been doing this for the last 3 to 4 months, buying some at every dump.

If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Also, to keep my bitcoin secure and to remain calm in times of dump, I have moved my bitcoins in cold storage so I never get tempted to sell on small profits like i won't be selling on 2x profit if bitcoin reaches 50,000$. My targets are clear and will sell in parts after bitcoin reaches new highs.

People who act in a planned manner usually achieve their goals. People who buy coins after the bull season comes also make a profit. Not everyone's economic conditions are the same, so not everyone can afford to buy coins now and wait. So I can't blame them. We can enter the crypto market early or late. We can make a profit in both options. Those who invest early and save coins, of course, make more profit. If they can manage to wait. However, some people can buy crypto with large amounts of money and earn more profit after the bull season starts. So this may differ from person to person. The crypto market can generate income for every investor.

Another situation is this. People who invest in the long term and say they will not sell Bitcoin before it reaches a certain level are generally more comfortable in the crypto market. Because they generally do not use the money they invest because they have the capital to use when they need it urgently and they can wait for their investments to appreciate. This is a big advantage.

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September 10, 2023, 06:52:06 PM
 #72

If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Also, to keep my bitcoin secure and to remain calm in times of dump, I have moved my bitcoins in cold storage so I never get tempted to sell on small profits like i won't be selling on 2x profit if bitcoin reaches 50,000$. My targets are clear and will sell in parts after bitcoin reaches new highs.
What about the latest news from FTX which has been given permission by the court to liquidate its assets totaling more than $3.4 billion and the sales process will be done in stages every week, namely selling assets of around $200 million. At the same time, this is also a threat or blessing for us smallholders if we really have cold funds to accumulate. Then this moment will increasingly make the bitcoin ETF initiated by Blackrock et al buy at cheap prices. So are you ready for this massive sale to maintain your confidence in Bitcoin's ATH?

Following are some of the assets that will be liquidated.

https://twitter.com/WhaleChart/status/1700490945471414690

If you look at the capitalization of the entire crypto market (currently more than $1 trillion), it seems to me that this won't be a big problem for prices. Moreover, there will always be those who will buy at cheaper prices, this will happen sooner or later. Perhaps even in 2024, after the Bitcoin halving, which will be the reason for the start of a bullish rally. This seems to me the most likely scenario at the moment.

I wouldn't want larger Bitcoin holders such as MicroStrategy, who control 152,800 BTC (which is equal to 0.7% of the total BTC supply) to sell. If several of these large campaigns sell out in a short period of time, it will be a nightmare.

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September 10, 2023, 06:53:45 PM
 #73

Looks interested with OP preparation for BTC halving will happen in few months later keep accumulate and dominance investing in Bitcoin more than 70%, I have started last five months later and keep left my capital for preparation when Bitcoin suddenly dump and hold it until close with halving for bitcoin chance can raise to $50k. Based on current halving time in last several edition, always promising with Bitcoin will pump drastically and I am so excited with accumulate Bitcoin as many possible in every moment when bitcoin dump. But not all investor braves for investing in Bitcoin actually with moment Bitcoin have down drastically and panic moment for cut loss and sell Bitcoin in lower price. Have chance with bad habit actually with panic moment when investing in bitcoin, no doubt although Bitcoin dropped drastically always has chance for recovering and Bitcoin back to higher price.

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September 10, 2023, 07:17:33 PM
 #74

I’m pretty sure the upcoming halving is going to be more intense. This is in terms of having strong bull run since we have more adoption of bitcoin as compared to what we had in the previous halving cycle. Not just that we also had very less active investors and miners 4 years ago. The spiked numbers are surely going to have positive effects on how things work in the upcoming halving process. The mining machines have developed lot better so mining isn’t going to stop at all if someone says that next halving going to make the rewards go even shorter and mining more “un-profitable”. But as stated we have more powerful ASICS, more investors, more money flooding in the zone so this going in the correct direction for sure.
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September 10, 2023, 09:10:06 PM
 #75

I think everyone is preparing for the bull and that is why the accumulation of bitcoin is high this days. Anyone who is buying bitcoin at the bull market is a long term investor and he is planning to keep for next bull market again. Bitcoin now is bull upon bull when one bull end another bull begins in the next four years. The halving that is will be great and people are keeping it on their watchlist to experience it. To partake in the long waiting bull market, you have to put it into action from now, that is you have to start buying from now that the market is still at the low level.
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September 10, 2023, 09:51:02 PM
 #76

I’m pretty sure the upcoming halving is going to be more intense. This is in terms of having strong bull run since we have more adoption of bitcoin as compared to what we had in the previous halving cycle. Not just that we also had very less active investors and miners 4 years ago. The spiked numbers are surely going to have positive effects on how things work in the upcoming halving process. The mining machines have developed lot better so mining isn’t going to stop at all if someone says that next halving going to make the rewards go even shorter and mining more “un-profitable”. But as stated we have more powerful ASICS, more investors, more money flooding in the zone so this going in the correct direction for sure.
I agree, those who are still don't have time to buy bitcoin can still buy bitcoin like me,even for a small portion little by little every time I got my salary I am buying bitcoin since I can't buy a whole of it. I wonder how much or how high it could go up next year. I am planning to buy altcoins as well so that I can leave it my wallet and come back again next year. I am hoping for a best bull run next year.
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September 10, 2023, 09:58:25 PM
 #77

As you know bitcoin halving is a few months away (first quarter 2024) and then we may have bull season in 2024/2025. We are all excited about the bull season but no one prepares for it. People start buying Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies when the bull market is in progress and the prices are already high. Some even have the fear of missing out and buy at the top of the bull market. The result is that most people lose money in bull season too.

So in order to have maximum benefits in the bull market, you should have a plan and start executing it unless it is too late.

I have already accumulated bitcoin in my portfolio (70% of my portfolio is in bitcoin) which i will not sell until we are above the all time high again. Similarly, i have bought some major cap coins and a few others low cap too which i think will perform well in the bull season.  I have been doing this for the last 3 to 4 months, buying some at every dump.

If the market dumps further, I will not panic and if I have more spare money, I may accumulate more bitcoin. I am confident that this bull season will be the best so far as it will be initiated by institutional investors.

Also, to keep my bitcoin secure and to remain calm in times of dump, I have moved my bitcoins in cold storage so I never get tempted to sell on small profits like i won't be selling on 2x profit if bitcoin reaches 50,000$. My targets are clear and will sell in parts after bitcoin reaches new highs.
Did actually made the same move or thing on which i did bought my hardware wallet and transfer all of my coins there so that i wont really be able to touch it up in case if there would some pumps like x2 or even x3

because im quite that impulsive when it comes if in talks about short term pumps which i do immediately having that kind of impression on which selling out and secure profits.Its true that there might be some
more possible dumps that could happen along the way considering that we are still approaching halving event and the price isnt that moving that much and having some small increments of decreasing price
which it might be getting even more worst or lower on the time comes or even with this year or early months of 2024 which we know that it is really that near on halving period.

We to those people who do have experience and have been on this market for a while now does really know on how this market behaves in terms of pattern or whatever correlated aspect.
Instead on freaking out yourself on the time that it dumps, it would be wise on seeing this as an opportunity for you to get in instead.

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September 10, 2023, 10:26:09 PM
 #78

I think everyone is preparing for the bull and that is why the accumulation of bitcoin is high this days. Anyone who is buying bitcoin at the bull market is a long term investor and he is planning to keep for next bull market again. Bitcoin now is bull upon bull when one bull end another bull begins in the next four years. The halving that is will be great and people are keeping it on their watchlist to experience it. To partake in the long waiting bull market, you have to put it into action from now, that is you have to start buying from now that the market is still at the low level.
However, I believe that buying Bitcoin during a bullish market will only entail waiting for uncertainty. It is of utmost importance for a trader to employ a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy when entering at elevated price points. With the assistance of DCA, your BTC purchase price gradually decreases, allowing you to sell at a slightly lower price than your initial purchase while still turning a profit.

As long as you sell above the average price established through your DCA mechanism, it seems that the opportune moment to sell for a profit arrives more swiftly.
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September 10, 2023, 11:05:25 PM
 #79

A link doesnt automatically imply a causation. Geopolitical events, technological improvements, and market sentiment can affect market movement. Your prediction about bull runs' uncertain future is correct. Even though the Bitcoin halving event and timing are known, tying it to a bull run may be too straightforward. Bitcoin is a volatile market with no algorithm or formula that can predict the future. Thus, investors should only risk what they can afford. Can you explain how buyers should prepare for these unknowns?

Being prepared to face the unknown is being prepared to withstand any risk if it comes in the future, because as you said it is also logical enough for investors to understand, where they only have to take risks based on the abilities they have. It doesn't make it forced, because this is about market conditions whose certainty is still unknown even though there are many people who already know what events can affect the market and you have also mentioned some of these things.

However, things that have been predicted can still change because as we know, price and market predictions are initial guesses from research by experts and also each person based on what they have experienced before, although there is no complete guarantee that this will happen. -Things that have happened can be repeated more easily in the market because we are always in different years with different events, even though the names for each event may not be much different.

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September 10, 2023, 11:14:32 PM
 #80

That's good plan. Anyone who have preparations such as this are sure ready for upcoming halving. I never think anything like that aside from holding BTC on my wallet, my HW is not working anymore so i just keep it the way i do it currently.


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