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Author Topic: Best Way to Handle Longshot Bets  (Read 116 times)
nitrobetting (OP)
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September 19, 2023, 01:36:56 PM
 #1

1.Bet half your usual unit

Spreads lines in football and basketball don’t really have many longshots. The spread is there to even the wager. So if a football teams is -6, the idea is the favored team should win by at least 6.

However, when it comes to longshot money line plays, there are pitfalls. We have to be selective.

Selective often means we lower our bet. Cutting our bet unit in half on longshot money line plays helps us manage risk. Most ML longshots lose. So we must pick our spots and then be careful with our investments.

2. Handicap the line for value
Just like we do when betting against the spread, we must look for value when we handicap money line longshots. Value can come in the form of a false favorite, an underdog having an edge at home, or simple handicapping intuition.

One of the best places to find value is against undefeated NFL teams on the road against a squad they’re supposed to beat. Often, the NFL chalk will bounce a week after a signature victory.

Longshot opportunities abound with this angle.

3. If the public likes your longshot bet, stay away
The public loves to bet favorites. So when the public jumps on a longshot, we should consider it a negative.

Anytime we agree with the public, we must study why. We are professional handicappers. Or if we’re not pros, we at least have more knowledge than most casual sports bettors. So we have to think hard if the public agrees with us. This goes for ML and ATS longshot plays.



Keep reading→ https://n2g.io/8209494
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September 24, 2023, 02:48:13 PM
 #2

The reading is very good, normally a person cannot understand quickly what is said here if it is relatively new, I think I would use more colloquial words where it is not so technical, because I gave that reading to a friend and he told me that he did not understand anything Of course, it's not his person who plays a lot, he. He is only in the casino betting and betting without looking for other things, sometimes he makes sports bets, usually he is a person who lives by working but on the weekends he gives them to the online casinos, mostly making bets on football, But in football like the World Cup qualifiers, the Euro or something like that, he's a person who likes to make a lot of bets, it doesn't matter if they're crazy, but I've seen that he loses a lot and it doesn't make me happy. case, that's why when I saw this thread, I sent him the link to the reading, I think it's always good to put in evidence that for everything there is always an apparent risk, we cannot say that every bet is meaningless if there is no money involved, always There will be money involved to make it more exciting.

So these types of things are what normally we as people must understand, for me it has helped me a lot, but above all it is a reading focused on novices, on those who are at risk of falling into addiction so that they can emerge vicotierously from those who are already in that problem, there is something that here at elforko is worrying me, it is addiction, I have seen that there is a lot of relevance in the issues that refer to addiction and it is something delicate, it is something that should not be taken at face value. light, that you should seek help immediately, to be able to get out of that, and personally I have always thought that things have to be done well, always try to do good for others, in which one can help others I think that that It is the best reward one could receive, helping someone avoid crazy things, that is what I would mostly do.

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September 24, 2023, 03:42:44 PM
 #3

1.Bet half your usual unit

Spreads lines in football and basketball don’t really have many longshots. The spread is there to even the wager. So if a football teams is -6, the idea is the favored team should win by at least 6.

However, when it comes to longshot money line plays, there are pitfalls. We have to be selective.

Selective often means we lower our bet. Cutting our bet unit in half on longshot money line plays helps us manage risk. Most ML longshots lose. So we must pick our spots and then be careful with our investments.

2. Handicap the line for value
Just like we do when betting against the spread, we must look for value when we handicap money line longshots. Value can come in the form of a false favorite, an underdog having an edge at home, or simple handicapping intuition.

One of the best places to find value is against undefeated NFL teams on the road against a squad they’re supposed to beat. Often, the NFL chalk will bounce a week after a signature victory.

Longshot opportunities abound with this angle.

3. If the public likes your longshot bet, stay away
The public loves to bet favorites. So when the public jumps on a longshot, we should consider it a negative.

Anytime we agree with the public, we must study why. We are professional handicappers. Or if we’re not pros, we at least have more knowledge than most casual sports bettors. So we have to think hard if the public agrees with us. This goes for ML and ATS longshot plays.



Keep reading→ https://n2g.io/8209494


You could not have said it better.Today I was checking the bets of high rollers in Stake casino to copy some of them as I think that since these guys put a lot of money into those bets most likely they are going to win.Unfortunately this was not true at all as someone had bet 4 Bitcoins on Arsenal to win during this afternoon game and the game ended 2-2 which made him lose a huge quantity of money,more than 100.000 dollars to say it.

That is why we should try to handicap the games as you say,going for the underdogs and keeping them like +3.5 goals for example in a 1.25 odd in soccer games,the same in basketball,to choose the underdog with a lot of + points.

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September 26, 2023, 01:35:33 AM
 #4

I agree with the first point, even though half a unit is still a lot for some gamblers because it depends on how much you divide your bankroll. Going smaller is recommended as long as the minimum bet limit allows it.

The second point is difficult for a bettor like me who always prefers to go with the favorites. My alternative is going for teasers since I sometimes see other bettors recommend a few good underdog spreads worth taking and consistently covering when you put them under a teaser. If teasers aren't available, i'd look for the alt spread and parlay from there because there are times when the odds are better with parlays.

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Westinhome
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October 02, 2023, 04:28:24 PM
 #5

I agree with the first point, even though half a unit is still a lot for some gamblers because it depends on how much you divide your bankroll. Going smaller is recommended as long as the minimum bet limit allows it.

The second point is difficult for a bettor like me who always prefers to go with the favorites. My alternative is going for teasers since I sometimes see other bettors recommend a few good underdog spreads worth taking and consistently covering when you put them under a teaser. If teasers aren't available, i'd look for the alt spread and parlay from there because there are times when the odds are better with parlays.

Some gamblers had an habit of making small bets many times,which leads to the few dollars loss.If the gambler do gambling with the gap with the fixed money per month,So he won’t loss the money.Because he will gamble the free money every month,So the loss will not affect the gambler at any point.Some gambler start to target the loss,which is not possible sometimes because of your luck.So the luck based gambling only help the gambler to recover the loss if it was tried by the gambler.

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October 03, 2023, 06:59:19 AM
 #6

Some gamblers had an habit of making small bets many times,which leads to the few dollars loss.If the gambler do gambling with the gap with the fixed money per month,So he won’t loss the money.Because he will gamble the free money every month,So the loss will not affect the gambler at any point.Some gambler start to target the loss,which is not possible sometimes because of your luck.So the luck based gambling only help the gambler to recover the loss if it was tried by the gambler.
That's one way to view small bets, but i'd say it's more of a disposable portion of your bankroll than free money when these small bets are still a part of your bankroll. This made me remember an unusual gambler who would bet a small chunk of their balance to round it up or down.

One part that's missing from the guide is taking advantage of hedging through live bets. It might not be the best move for gamblers because it's -EV, but it doesn't hurt to cash these small bets out to secure a good chunk of profits.

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LUCKMCFLY
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October 05, 2023, 10:53:35 PM
 #7

I agree with the first point, even though half a unit is still a lot for some gamblers because it depends on how much you divide your bankroll. Going smaller is recommended as long as the minimum bet limit allows it.

The second point is difficult for a bettor like me who always prefers to go with the favorites. My alternative is going for teasers since I sometimes see other bettors recommend a few good underdog spreads worth taking and consistently covering when you put them under a teaser. If teasers aren't available, i'd look for the alt spread and parlay from there because there are times when the odds are better with parlays.

Some gamblers had an habit of making small bets many times,which leads to the few dollars loss.If the gambler do gambling with the gap with the fixed money per month,So he won’t loss the money.Because he will gamble the free money every month,So the loss will not affect the gambler at any point.Some gambler start to target the loss,which is not possible sometimes because of your luck.So the luck based gambling only help the gambler to recover the loss if it was tried by the gambler.

Well, whenever there are aopstar offers, there are many who go for very big bets to win a lot of money, the bad thing about this type of strategy is that a lot of money is always going to go away, and the idea is not the point, the point is to be able to enjoy betting , playing and applying strategies, I know that many do not like the strategies in a casino, in fact they say that no strategy works, but it is like why you were born if you know that you are going to die, so for me the strategies are useful, if they have It has a lot to do with what one as a player can apply, perhaps there is no particular strategy that is useful, or that works, but in a sea of strategies, by chance at least one must work to play and win, and that I was able to win, that's what matters, I always want to be very involved when a person plays with little money, because it is the safest way to not spend so much and that can be controlled, because falling into addiction is a very difficult for everyone, both for the person who falls and for his family, children, among others, this is what should be avoided, I am a very believer that betting cheap and having fun is only the best, if you win it is very good, but everyone We know that the house advantage is something very obvious.

When it comes to sports betting, we must always take a short pause to see how we should bet, how we should bet and how much we should bet, because things like that in sports are quite measurable according to the degree of wisdom of the bettor, If you are a person who takes every detail into consideration, I would say that you have success very close to winning, and it is an option that should always be made, whenever we make a bet in a sport, like in soccer, it is because we must having a conviction based on technology, on the quality of the players, on star players, and even on the way a technical director directs, which is why in these cases things are usually quite obvious.

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Casdinyard
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October 05, 2023, 11:10:01 PM
 #8

Exactly. Many bettors treat longshot bets as they would treat regular types of betting as if these don't come with a lot more caveats in a sense. For instance, you're already at a disadvantage betting for a team that's statistically determined to lose that particular match. The pay is good but only if you're really lucky and if you know what to do to minimize losses in the process. Reads like these are so important in opening the people's eyes to what and how sportbetting really work cause a lot of these people think it's just placing your trust on a team you want to win and then hoping for the best when there are more stuff that's going on with it than what you can afford to even understand.

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October 05, 2023, 11:15:36 PM
Last edit: October 06, 2023, 12:54:25 AM by Westinhome
 #9

Exactly. Many bettors treat longshot bets as they would treat regular types of betting as if these don't come with a lot more caveats in a sense. For instance, you're already at a disadvantage betting for a team that's statistically determined to lose that particular match. The pay is good but only if you're really lucky and if you know what to do to minimize losses in the process. Reads like these are so important in opening the people's eyes to what and how sportbetting really work cause a lot of these people think it's just placing your trust on a team you want to win and then hoping for the best when there are more stuff that's going on with it than what you can afford to even understand.

The long short bet must be keep in mind by the gambler.The gambler can win the long shot game,but they can withdrew the if the game was not good.So taking the final decision was most important.Because you may have confidence to win the game,if you don’t have luck.The experience alone never allow to win the game,the luck also essential one for the long shots bet.The luck is essential one in all type of betting in the gambling games.If you had good hope on the team,you should not get stress after betting on them.

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