Bitcoin halving and inflation

[Kelward]

Bitcoin investors are eagerly looking forward to next year's halving in April, because it's a time to cash in on the event that happens once in every four years. Now is the best time to buy bitcoin, and hold, because you don't really need a chart to predict that next year will be a very profitable time to sell because of halving. A look at the history of halving, the first occurred in November 28, 2012. At the rate of 210, the second halving occurred in July 9, 2016. At the rate of 420, the third halving occurred in May 11, 2020. At the rate of 630. The fourth halving will occur in April 2024. At an estimated rate of 840. https://coincodex.com/article/22929/bitcoin-halving-dates/ . with this facts and next years estimation, it is clear that bitcoin price will keep increasing, even when there's a dump in the price, it will still not affect it much. Meaning as the years goes by the probability that bitcoin will have a drastic reduction is almost impossible.

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years? Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years? I'm quit new in bitcoin, and I might be wrong, but I think that as halving continues to occur, bitcoin value might start to diminish gradually. And will it not negatively affect the purchasing power of bitcoin, in making payments for goods and services? I stand to be corrected.

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[BlackBoss_]

A look at the history of halving, the first occurred in November 28, 2012. At the rate of 210, the second halving occurred in July 9, 2016. At the rate of 420, the third halving occurred in May 11, 2020. At the rate of 630. The fourth halving will occur in April 2024. At an estimated rate of 840. https://coincodex.com/article/22929/bitcoin-halving-dates/ .

I don't understand what is rate in your post, what is it? Would you mind to explain it, please?

Halving date is only estimate and many websites have halving date estimate.

1. BuyBitcoinWorldwide
2. Binance Academy
3. Gate.io
4. CoinGecko
5. BitcoinBlockHalf
6. Nicehash
7. CoinmarketCap
8. CoinWarz

with this facts and next years estimation, it is clear that bitcoin price will keep increasing, even when there's a dump in the price, it will still not affect it much. Meaning as the years goes by the probability that bitcoin will have a drastic reduction is almost impossible.

Halving is expected to help Bitcoin growing more in both adoption, trading volume and price but you should not gamble your money with halving. The market is zero sum game and if you are a gambler in it, you will lose money.

[Odohu]

Now is the best time to buy bitcoin, and hold, because you don't really need a chart to predict that next year will be a very profitable time to sell because of halving.

I think you have to make the correction that Bitcoin always see a new ATH the year after halving. If you Check your data correctly,  you will notice that Bitcoin made new highs in 2013, 2017 and 2021, the next years after the first, second and third halving respectively. Going by that record, selling next year will be a poor decision to make because there are chances that 2025 will see BTC at an ATH. This is my suggestion based on historic data, it can change anyways.

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years? Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years? I'm quit new in bitcoin, and I might be wrong, but I think that as halving continues to occur, bitcoin value might start to diminish gradually. And will it not negatively affect the purchasing power of bitcoin, in making payments for goods and services? I stand to be corrected.

Rather than cause devaluation, the halving will reduce miners reward and this will reduce the quantity of Bitcoin in the hands of those that are willing to sell at any time for a profit. This reduction in supply will invariably lead to imbalance that will push demand up. So halving will surely lead to a rise in price and  not devaluation.

[SmartGold01]

This is why a good investor of bitcoin never tends to hold for profits making but holding to remain a bitcoiner maybe when there are no bitcoin at the time to come they could start releasing theirs gradually, most people doesn't think the positive and negative effects of selling of their bitcoin just to utilized the halving season. But know one thing that as halving keeps going in every 4 years the more the circulations of bitcoin keeps reducing and this could possibly leads to scarcity of bitcoin whereby making price exponentially double above what we thought, but still only those who HODL could enjoy the benefits so is either you choose for profits maximization or hold for decades.

Though don't quote me wrongly because people are using it trade and that is of their benefits which I am not against of their decision and choice of action. I think everyone with their ways and views of how they sees bitcoin so, they are actually taking it that way.. Let say some people use for investment purposes, some uses it as a store of value, some uses it for day to day scalping which is also trading, while some tends to hold for decades which I can say those are the whales maybe yes maybe not but they often buy's in very larger quantity when the market seems to be extremely dip and beyond our expectation.

[Honyek]

l don't think bitcoin halving will cause inflation or price depreciation of bitcoin. Rather it will cause an increase in bitcoin price and value. Bitcoin halving has happened in 2012, 2016, and 2020, and people witnessed a huge increase in price of bitcoin and its value. With that record, l think bitcoin will continue to increase in price and value as halving continues. As for investment regarding halving, someone can invest now or early next year, as the price increment is likely going to occur late next year and beyond, considering the past halving.

[Wapfika]

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years? Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years? I'm quit new in bitcoin, and I might be wrong, but I think that as halving continues to occur, bitcoin value might start to diminish gradually. And will it not negatively affect the purchasing power of bitcoin, in making payments for goods and services? I stand to be corrected.

You probably overlooked what’s the definition on halving. It’s not really about price increased but rather decreasing the reward of miners into half. It creates disinflationary pressure to Bitcoin value since less Bitcoin can be mined and added to the circulating supply. Halving is literally the solution to avoid inflation on Bitcoin market.

I believe the problem is how you view halving as some sort of price pump to coin every 4 years which is not the real essence of halving/halfing.

[hugeblack]

What will lead to a decrease in the value is a decrease in forecasting. If you notice that the price throughout this period was stable between $20,000 to $30,000 and in the past between $3,000 to $6,000. Thus, halving does not only lead to an increase in prices, but to the stability of prices in a new range that is often higher than ATH for the previous session, so instead of starting to speculate that the price will exceed $100,000, let us be realistic and say that in the coming years the average price of Bitcoin will be higher than $70,000 to $90,000.

There are also connections to price and mining. If the price drops below the cost of mining, the number of miners will decrease, and thus it is an opportunity for more to buy and vice versa.

This topic has been discussed a lot, and using the search feature^[1] you will find thousands of similar topics.

[1] [Guide] Searching effectively

[franky1]

A look at the history of halving, the first occurred in November 28, 2012. At the rate of 210, the second halving occurred in July 9, 2016. At the rate of 420, the third halving occurred in May 11, 2020. At the rate of 630. The fourth halving will occur in April 2024. At an estimated rate of 840. https://coincodex.com/article/22929/bitcoin-halving-dates/ .

I don't understand what is rate in your post, what is it? Would you mind to explain it, please?

he is speaking of the blockrate in thousands..
halvings happen at the:
210,000th block
420,000th block
630,000th block
840,000th block

as for his other mentions of the price.. the actual impact of the halving does not result in a ATH until a year after the halving

EG first market price 2010, first ATH 2011
first halving 2012, next ATH 2013
next halving 2016, next ATH 2017
next halving 2020, next ATH 2021
next halving 2024, expected next ATH 2025

[Rikafip]

Now is the best time to buy bitcoin, and hold, because you don't really need a chart to predict that next year will be a very profitable time to sell because of halving.

Just because this happened few times in the past, it doesn't automatically mean that 100% we gona experience the same thing again. Beliveing that next year bitcoin price will pump for sure might make some people do very risky things, like taking a loan from bank. I mean, chances are that we will excperience new ATH sometimes after halvening, but its not a smart thing to set some dates.

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years? Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years?

How can it be inflation if rate of how much bitcoin has been mined is cut in half? Based on what you wrote, I don't think that you fully understand what bitcoin havleving is so I suggest you to check a little bit more on the subject.

[EarnOnVictor]

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years?

Devaluation of currencies will not happen due to halving and its effect on Bitcoin. What will happen is a raised valuation of the coin, and the currency that will be most affected is the USD which will also not fall in value as people might seem but will have an adjustment against Bitcoin due to the appreciated value. This is not a currency devaluation but an asset increasing in its own value.

Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years? I'm quit new in bitcoin, and I might be wrong, but I think that as halving continues to occur, bitcoin value might start to diminish gradually. And will it not negatively affect the purchasing power of bitcoin, in making payments for goods and services? I stand to be corrected.

You are mixing things together, Bitcoin halving is a tradition that will always happen and people tend to invest more money in the coin due to that, which in turn leads to its appreciation in price/value.

This will always not have any negative effect on Bitcoin itself but enrich the investors to further help fight inflation in fiats and have more power over their purchases.

[348Judah]

Bitcoin investors are eagerly looking forward to next year's halving in April

Is it April precisely or a month before or after, am not sure if the exact month is yet predicted when this will occur, but we have that assurance that it will happen and this is one of the confidence all bitcoin investors have and waited upon because there will always be a new all time high following the event of halving experience.

Now is the best time to buy bitcoin, and hold, because you don't really need a chart to predict that next year will be a very profitable time to sell because of halving.

Yes, we have truly have the assurance of halving next year but still yet we have to consider the period as a highly volatile bitcoin market season whereby we must use the chart to know the bearing of the market price to help position our holding time more accurately for profitability, the chart will guide on when to buy, hold and release, at halving, we have both bear and bull market altogether and the two are fast changing and unpredictable, so we need to make use of the chart to speculate and study the trend.

[Faisal2202]

Bitcoin investors are eagerly looking forward to next year's halving in April, because it's a time to cash in on the event that happens once in every four years. Now is the best time to buy bitcoin, and hold, because you don't really need a chart to predict that next year will be a very profitable time to sell because of halving.

I really like your optimistic mindset about BTC but you should not take things for granted, because it is a crypto industry, things happen here that you might not have imagined. So play only with what you aren't afraid to lose. And who says the next year will be profitable? You did do some research on finding when the halving took place but you did not check how much time it took BTC to reach ATH after every halving.

For your easiness, every ATH took almost 1.2 years after halving, and if we take this factor in mind, then we can also say, that the halving will take place in 2024 and the ATH might occur in 2025. But who knows, because the market is so unexpected. All we can do is take measures to book as much profit as we can and should accumulate as much BTC as we can do but don't forget to manage some emergency funds for you. Because they are important beyond your expectations.

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years? Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years? I'm quit new in bitcoin, and I might be wrong, but I think that as halving continues to occur, bitcoin value might start to diminish gradually. And will it not negatively affect the purchasing power of bitcoin, in making payments for goods and services? I stand to be corrected.

I think you are a little confused here or unable to convey your message completely. Either way, BTC will not lose its value over time due to the scarcity factor. And why do you think that BTC will gradually lose its value due to halving, because due to halving their will be more demand over supply and the value will increase. And BTC is a deflationary token --> A hedge against inflation. Then how BTC can become inflationary in itself? Please elaborate more.

[Upgrade00]

because there will always be a new all time high following the event of halving experience.

"Past performance does not always indicative of future results"

While it is highly probable that we will hit an all time high, there is no guarantee that we actually would and with more halvings the probability keeps dropping.

Thirty or fourth years from now when the mining reward is already much less than 1BTC, the impact of halving on the price will be much less than it is today.

[digaran]

As franky1 said it nicely, 1 year after the halving is the pumping season for bitcoin, but why wait? If you don't trust and believe in bitcoin's bright future then there is no profit for you, of course not everyone is bitcoin for profit as an investment, many people use it for the financial freedom without any central authority monitoring their transactions and asking questions.

But yeah, buying before halving is a good strategy, though you should be ready to see $10,000 or even lower after some time post halving, so be ready and don't let your hands shake while waiting out the market winter.

[The Cryptovator]

A lot of halving threads have been created. It's actually hype, which will create a FOMO. So everyone will assume a pump of Bitcoin. So credit will undoubtedly go to halving for this pump. There is no technical reason for the pump; halving makes sure supply is working fine and miners rewards will reduce. However, for a long time, Bitcoin hasn't been pumping, so most likely it's preparing for a pump that would happen near halving. I think it's the best time to accumulate from our ends. Bitcoin is almost stable now and not much volatile lately, and that's the symptoms of the pump.

[Abu-Naim]

A lot of halving threads have been created. It's actually hype, which will create a FOMO. So everyone will assume a pump of Bitcoin. So credit will undoubtedly go to halving for this pump. There is no technical reason for the pump; halving makes sure supply is working fine and miners rewards will reduce. However, for a long time, Bitcoin hasn't been pumping, so most likely it's preparing for a pump that would happen near halving. I think it's the best time to accumulate from our ends. Bitcoin is almost stable now and not much volatile lately, and that's the symptoms of the pump.

Exactly, this halving news everywhere has already created FOMO amongst people that will not like to miss out, and this will lead some people to take loans for investment thinking there is an assurance of making that money back during halving, which is totally wrong because there has been advice given out here that "we should only invest the amount we can afford to lose" and any money we borrow is something we cannot afford losing; and just as you said, "there is no technical reason for bitcoin price pumping during halving." Therefore, the best thing to do now is to keep investing if you have capital and have a plan of holding your bitcoin for the long term.

[ingiltere]

Bitcoin has always risen after the halving, but this doesn't guarantee the same rise in future halvings. When people project the future based on the past events, they expect such a rise. If this cycle breaks, you might be disappointed. Never invest amounts you can't afford to lose.
Yes, we are all waiting for Bitcoin to rise, we are all predicting a rise after the halving. But many different factors can affect the price of Bitcoin. Don't let halving be your only hope. Zoom out and look longer term. Even if this halving is lackluster, the next one might be better. Bitcoin has always experienced new ATHs, there is no one who cannot earn from Bitcoin in the long run. Don't sell at loss, ever.

[lionheart78]

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years?

Bitcoin price is dependent on the supply and demand, with Bitcoin having, it means that the Bitcoin incoming supply is cut by half and in trading we all know that when the supply is lessen while the demand stay the same, it will make the price go up. Thus the value or price of Bitcoin will increase.

Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years?

The supply of Bitcoin inflates every 10 minutes since the new block that has a reward is known to be mined at 10-minute intervals. So it does not need 4 years to inflate the number of BTC in cirdulation.  It only needs at least 10 minutes.

I'm quit new in bitcoin, and I might be wrong, but I think that as halving continues to occur, bitcoin value might start to diminish gradually. And will it not negatively affect the purchasing power of bitcoin, in making payments for goods and services? I stand to be corrected.

You can verify if what you are thinking is wrong by researching the economics of BTC.  It will give answer to your question on how Bitcoin halving affects Bitcoin economics.

You can start by reading these articles:

https://cointelegraph.com/news/the-economics-of-bitcoin-halving-understanding-the-effects-on-price-and-market-sentiment
https://cointelegraph.com/learn/bitcoin-halving-how-does-the-halving-cycle-work-and-why-does-it-matter
https://www.investopedia.com/bitcoin-halving-4843769

[Good_Doctor]

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years? Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years?

Go through these post and get answers you need. I'm sure you will.

1. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5458334

2. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5465810.0

[Poker Player]

Despite how halving increases the price of bitcoin to make it more profitable to investors, I'm wondering if it will not lead to devaluing of the currency in every four years? Will the effect of these not be inflation of bitcoin in every four years? I'm quit new in bitcoin, and I might be wrong, but I think that as halving continues to occur, bitcoin value might start to diminish gradually. And will it not negatively affect the purchasing power of bitcoin, in making payments for goods and services? I stand to be corrected.

As far as I can see you don't understand the basic principle of supply and demand. Bitcoin demand has been growing since its inception, with some ups and downs, but over the long term it has clearly grown. If demand remains constant or increases, which is what will continue to happen for the next few years, and supply decreases, the price increases. Halving reduces supply. Therefore, Bitcoiners expect the price to continue to rise, albeit with volatility because this is not a straight line.

So far Bitcoin returns have far outpaced inflation because it has proven to be the best financial asset in the world since 2009. And so we expect it to continue to be. I don't know if something else will be created in 10 years that will be better than Bitcoin but as of today it is unrivaled.