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Author Topic: Hal Finney: each coin a value of about $10 million prophecy  (Read 274 times)
dunfida
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October 11, 2023, 07:24:49 PM
 #21

I think Hal really knows what's about to go down with Bitcoin that's why he is one of the pioneers and as a contributor, and so he is well aware of what could have been the price in the next decade or so and he did that prediction.

Of course, there are a lot of predictions as well in the next coming years that we should take with a grain of salt. But coming from a legend himself? really not hard to see that we might in the future hit that price point and all we can say is that Hal is correct.

And this could be the very first prediction as well.
Prediction would always be that a prediction and there's no guarantee that it would happen but basing up on how he had predicted about the potential of Bitcoin then it did really shoot up its price and for sure that even himself didnt really anticipate that it would really be that so fast after a decades time but speaking about $10M then it would really be that on unrealistic side of things. Let alone those $1M or $500k predictions which
some people had already been saying. We are all speculators on this space on which it wont really be that so bad on having those kind of approach in speaking about numbers be spoken out. Whether it would happen or not in the future then there's no way that we could really be able to tell because the main factor which make things possible will be depending on the demand and recognition itself.

If you are really that coming after for the tech and not on investment then for sure you would really be that accumulating coins as much as you could and wont really be that minding much about on the money
that you could make or profit but rather you are accumulating just to show your support into those revolutionary tech that has been created.

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October 12, 2023, 02:28:42 AM
 #22

And once again, this will not happen. This was talked about during the early days as well, and people said that it won't happen, and the bigger the price got the more people started to believe it but it still is not anywhere near that level and I am assuming that it will stay away from it as well.

We are talking about a 400x increase in the price, I am not saying that it is "impossible" but it is quite difficult and in fact it's unlikely for sure. That type of increases could happen with a small cap thing, but we already have a huge marketcap with bitcoin, just look at how much the marketcap would be if we went 400x higher. I believe that the highest we could be anytime soon would be 500k, and by soon I mean like next 10 years, that's all I can see it happening, rest are just guesses and FOMO and nothing more. He was a good dude, I am sure that he did all he could, and may he rest in peace, but that doesn't mean that he was right, it is probably wrong.

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October 15, 2023, 04:43:24 PM
 #23

It’s fun to think about all the things you would do if Bitcoin suddenly jumped to $10,000,000 overnight. However, that’s not how it happens. It will be a slow grind upward for years and very few if anyone holding now would still be sitting on BTC at the end of the ride. Most people here have already sold off mass amounts of BTC at significantly lower prices.

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October 18, 2023, 11:54:54 PM
 #24

It’s fun to think about all the things you would do if Bitcoin suddenly jumped to $10,000,000 overnight. However, that’s not how it happens. It will be a slow grind upward for years and very few if anyone holding now would still be sitting on BTC at the end of the ride. Most people here have already sold off mass amounts of BTC at significantly lower prices.

That is what I have often been saying, it is those who already have money who will most likely make a lot of money from Bitcoin as well as they don't need to sell during bull runs. I really applaud people who knew it would be smart for them to sell at maybe 1k USD because they bought at 100 USD, but then held through all the roller coasters until it hit new heights like 30k, 40k and then the ATH with over 60k. But really, who does that? If someone isn't rich but firmly believes in the technology and still holds despite Bitcoin having its crashes, that's some mental strength there! Wink

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October 19, 2023, 04:58:53 AM
 #25

It’s fun to think about all the things you would do if Bitcoin suddenly jumped to $10,000,000 overnight. However, that’s not how it happens. It will be a slow grind upward for years and very few if anyone holding now would still be sitting on BTC at the end of the ride. Most people here have already sold off mass amounts of BTC at significantly lower prices.

That is what I have often been saying, it is those who already have money who will most likely make a lot of money from Bitcoin as well as they don't need to sell during bull runs. I really applaud people who knew it would be smart for them to sell at maybe 1k USD because they bought at 100 USD, but then held through all the roller coasters until it hit new heights like 30k, 40k and then the ATH with over 60k. But really, who does that? If someone isn't rich but firmly believes in the technology and still holds despite Bitcoin having its crashes, that's some mental strength there! Wink
I suppose the only ones that could do that are the kind of people that not only have great mental strength but that also lead lives that allows them to get away with this, since a person that has a lot of responsibilities over their shoulders and debts to pay cannot really afford to do this even if they wanted, so only a very small minority of the people holding bitcoin today will be able to hold their coins until Hal’s prediction becomes true, or at least until we get close to it, however as long as you could obtain some benefits out of your bitcoin investment and you sold your coins for a good reason then there is no need to regret selling those coins at such low prices.
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October 19, 2023, 04:27:19 PM
 #26

It’s fun to think about all the things you would do if Bitcoin suddenly jumped to $10,000,000 overnight. However, that’s not how it happens. It will be a slow grind upward for years and very few if anyone holding now would still be sitting on BTC at the end of the ride. Most people here have already sold off mass amounts of BTC at significantly lower prices.

That is what I have often been saying, it is those who already have money who will most likely make a lot of money from Bitcoin as well as they don't need to sell during bull runs. I really applaud people who knew it would be smart for them to sell at maybe 1k USD because they bought at 100 USD, but then held through all the roller coasters until it hit new heights like 30k, 40k and then the ATH with over 60k. But really, who does that? If someone isn't rich but firmly believes in the technology and still holds despite Bitcoin having its crashes, that's some mental strength there! Wink
I suppose the only ones that could do that are the kind of people that not only have great mental strength but that also lead lives that allows them to get away with this, since a person that has a lot of responsibilities over their shoulders and debts to pay cannot really afford to do this even if they wanted, so only a very small minority of the people holding bitcoin today will be able to hold their coins until Hal’s prediction becomes true, or at least until we get close to it, however as long as you could obtain some benefits out of your bitcoin investment and you sold your coins for a good reason then there is no need to regret selling those coins at such low prices.

Regret is a difficult word here because on the one hand you are of course right that if you sold for a good reason and got some benefit out of it, it should all be good. But on the other hand I think some least amount of regret is unavoidable given that Bitcoin really has been a moonshot once in a lifetime investment that may never occur twice to most of us. I think this gives reason for some people to say to themselves that they do deeply wish they had not sold and instead endured some shortages for a bit longer. I know someone who owned 30,000 Bitcoin and sold them for $1 a piece to then buy a BMW Smiley I can tell you that he felt some regret when Bitcoin went 3 figures, then 4 figures and 5 figures eventually.

The problem is that I think too many people pull the hardcore trigger instead of selling only a fraction of their bag. Or they deviate from any upfront considered strategy, for reasons they consider to be right in that moment.

It's different from those people who check lottery numbers even when they didn't play in order to see whether they would have won if they played. That I think is a dumb move and I myself wouldn't do it, but if I did and I would have won, I would not feel regret. But when someone who was among the first miners and was passionate about the technology sells 30,000 Bitcoin to buy a BMW, I think there is a lot of reason to regret it later. Wink

But when we talk about people who can't really afford tens of Bitcoin, but instead put some of their savings into Bitcoin and then sell at a maybe 500% profit, there is really no reason to regret it because from a rational and also risk aversion point of view, selling something at 500% profit would be the right thing to do in 99.9% of the time. Bitcoin just proved to be very different from what most of us have ever seen and probably will ever see.

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