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Author Topic: at which point of a boxing match you consider cashingout?  (Read 260 times)
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November 06, 2023, 06:57:23 PM
 #1

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30% if you'll cash out. would you do it or would you wait to find out if Prograis wins?  and what will you do if the fight goes the distance while Devin is also gaining?

let's say you compare this to Fury vs Ngannou which Ngannou knock down Fury and then goes the distance. will you cashout because it's already a sure profit or will you wait for the decision which is very uncertain?

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November 06, 2023, 07:03:40 PM
 #2

Hmmm this is an interesting question to ask. If I ever bet on an underdog and he knocked down his opponent in the first round, I'd probably risk it til the final bell rings coz if he dropped his opponent in the first round then he could do it in the following rounds. But one thing to consider is how did he knock his opponent, like a lucky punch, sucker punch but counted, accidental headbutt or just a counted slip then I'd probably think about cashing out after this. However, with Fury vs Ngannou fight I'm hundred percent on Ngannou on this, won't even think of cashing out if got dropped.
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November 06, 2023, 07:33:29 PM
 #3

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30% if you'll cash out. would you do it or would you wait to find out if Prograis wins?  and what will you do if the fight goes the distance while Devin is also gaining?

let's say you compare this to Fury vs Ngannou which Ngannou knock down Fury and then goes the distance. will you cashout because it's already a sure profit or will you wait for the decision which is very uncertain?
I don't watch boxing but when I bet, I check other popular matches in diferent games. Ngannou had so high odds that I would probably use cashout immediately. If cashout is attractive for me, I use it and if it only gives me 10% or similar cashback, then I simply risk because there is not much to lose but there is a lot to win if I risk.
I don't know about Prograis vs Devin match but if I were you and I had an option to use cashout button during count that 8 seconds, I would push it if strike was very hard and I would also consider how often and how easily that person gets knocked out. There are people who have good chin and don't get knocked out easily. You have to consider everything when you make a bet or cashout decision.

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November 06, 2023, 07:47:41 PM
 #4

I'd personally consider cashing out after that lucky hit and just watch the fight pan out on its own eventually. I know that in most cases in boxing, if one is already down for the count, there's a huge possibility that they cannot continue the fight, or if they can, they're already at a slight disadvantage against their opponent and will just lead to an eventual lost. Not to mention that it also adds to the points of the one who scored the knockdown. But personally, I want to be safe on the bet, and I'll just get the bread and watch the rest of the fight out of curiosity.

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November 06, 2023, 08:04:24 PM
 #5

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30% if you'll cash out. would you do it or would you wait to find out if Prograis wins?  and what will you do if the fight goes the distance while Devin is also gaining?

let's say you compare this to Fury vs Ngannou which Ngannou knock down Fury and then goes the distance. will you cashout because it's already a sure profit or will you wait for the decision which is very uncertain?
When it comes into this situation then i would really be that sticking into my bet until the very end because i do not really usually betting on underdogs not unless i do see some chance for
winning but if there's really indeed a time that im really that making those bets then i would really be going until the very end.Yes, 30% gain is already that good and thats why
everything would really be just that depending on a certain bettor since not all would really be just coming for entertainment or leisure but rather they would really be
tending to make money even on the slightest gain on which it isnt shocking that there would be those people who do make cashouts if ever have the chance.

It would really be that always depending on your own choice since not all would really be that confident and would really be trying to secure out if they were given the chance.
Totally different on my case on which i dont really make myself do really bothered about those unexpected knockdowns or hits and made out
some early cash out.

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November 06, 2023, 08:11:20 PM
 #6

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30% if you'll cash out. would you do it or would you wait to find out if Prograis wins?  and what will you do if the fight goes the distance while Devin is also gaining?

let's say you compare this to Fury vs Ngannou which Ngannou knock down Fury and then goes the distance. will you cashout because it's already a sure profit or will you wait for the decision which is very uncertain?

Depends what your goal is, I don't think there are any right or wrong answers are here.  If it's for any type of profit then I'd say yeah.  But if you are risk tolerant than why not wait and see if ypu can cash the whole thing.  A lot of times for me I bet on boxing to make it more interesting to watch.  So typically never cash out early as it deals my purpose.
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November 06, 2023, 08:31:41 PM
 #7

Are cashouts even possible with boxing considering scorecards are not usually shown in real time Roll Eyes anyway once the game is on you better pick the right guy to win as you await for the results to come at the end.

Btw, if I picked the underdog and that cashout offer comes and it's with some profit ..am taking it first time no doubt but if it's the favourite most likely will let it play out as cashout offers are never attractive...

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30%
First round topped off with a lucky shot and favourite is down for that long am definitely getting my money and running!!!
Afaik I have seen players hunt for such markets just to catch the cashout because they know the second game turns to a 50/50 match then odds favour the underdog.

 
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November 06, 2023, 08:49:18 PM
 #8

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30% if you'll cash out. would you do it or would you wait to find out if Prograis wins?  and what will you do if the fight goes the distance while Devin is also gaining?

let's say you compare this to Fury vs Ngannou which Ngannou knock down Fury and then goes the distance. will you cashout because it's already a sure profit or will you wait for the decision which is very uncertain?

It depends on who is fighting in the case of the Haney and Prograis fight I'll cash out I know Haney is capable of making a rally he has been hurt before but he still manages to win a unanimous decision and in the case of Fury and Ngannou I'll also cashout Fury has been known to always wins the championship rounds and of course, there's politics in boxing.
If the match is not even the underdog chance is a lucky punch but if it goes the distance and the favorite has a chance to rally the favorite will still win so it's better to cash out when you are sure of big profit, I have seen this so many times the favorite get a hit, gets knock down uses his skill advantage and eventually win the fight, but of course, there's an exception though where the underdogs take over the whole fight.

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November 06, 2023, 08:54:50 PM
 #9

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30% if you'll cash out. would you do it or would you wait to find out if Prograis wins?  and what will you do if the fight goes the distance while Devin is also gaining?

let's say you compare this to Fury vs Ngannou which Ngannou knock down Fury and then goes the distance. will you cashout because it's already a sure profit or will you wait for the decision which is very uncertain?
I think I'll leave it and wait for the decision beside you already risked or bet on it when you know it's uncertain for an underdog to beat the champion. It would be a different matter if we're talking a thousand dollars here and profit is profit no matter how you look at it, if it's just a penny then risk it all the way.

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November 06, 2023, 09:40:51 PM
 #10

I guess I'd cash out? The odds for the underdog are pretty high imo so there's probably substantial profit to be gained from there compared to waiting. It depends on how things went in the ring but I most likely will, he was considered an underdog for a reason and if I don't see any chances, I'm running. If I was betting on the opposite side then 100% as hell I'd wait regardless of whether he was knocked down in the first round or not. Rather lower risk compared to waiting it out when you bet on the underdog.

 
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November 07, 2023, 12:07:11 AM
 #11

If i'm taking the underdog, i'll cash out once the amount is close to 80-90% of the payout, but it's rare to find a good crypto sportsbook with good cash out for all sports. In UFC or MMA betting, you're lucky if you can find a sportsbook that offers a cash out because, during my betting experience with UFC, all or most sportsbooks don't offer live betting for these sports. Anyway, that's what I would do if I somehow find myself betting on an underdog and the sportsbook I use found a way to provide cash out on UFC bets.

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November 07, 2023, 01:35:04 AM
 #12

There are crucial moments in a boxing match which prompt the betting platform to disable the cash-out option. Many boxing odds are not even offered anymore once the fight begins. There's a big chance that cash-out is not anymore available once a boxer is knocked down.

But assuming it's still available, I think I won't cash out. Why should I be making a cash out when my bet is now slowly becoming a win. My fighter is already on the road to victory. When the opponent is floored down, the more reason I believe in my fighter. I think I will continue sticking to that bet until the end.
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November 07, 2023, 02:57:58 AM
 #13

assuming you risk your money to an underdog Prograis 3.75 vs Devin 1.22 and then Prograis luckily landed a snap punch resulting in a flash knockdown in the 1st round and the referee counts to 8. of course, you will be seeing the cashout option makes you win probably more than 30% if you'll cash out. would you do it or would you wait to find out if Prograis wins?  and what will you do if the fight goes the distance while Devin is also gaining?

let's say you compare this to Fury vs Ngannou which Ngannou knock down Fury and then goes the distance. will you cashout because it's already a sure profit or will you wait for the decision which is very uncertain?

I don't know, but as a boxing fan, I wouldn't cash out early though, I wanted to see the upset being completed by the boxer, in this case, Prograis and then earlier we have a good fight in Ngannou vs Fury and we always got the win if not for those controversial score by the judges, (but it has been discussed already on it's own thread and it's very highly contested subject.)

So for me and to make the fight more exciting as we watch it, no early cashing out, if I lose my bet, that's it, no regrets whatsoever. At least you can see that the fight is really that good and you have a chance to win big money and that is the risk that you understand when you bet on the underdog.

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November 07, 2023, 03:05:10 AM
 #14

If I can cash out already, I think I would do it. It will also depend on the situation. It's better to have that sure money instead of nothing but if I believe that there would be a big chance for the player that I'm betting on would win, I will hold on. It's all part of the fun right?

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November 07, 2023, 04:00:27 AM
 #15

I would consider some conditions.
If you are comfortable with the possibility of losing the bet, then wait until the match ends and if you want a guaranteed win then lock in the profit.
Look at the current odds, if the odds have changed significantly in your favor since you placed your bet, you may want to consider cashing out.
Consider the state of the fight, if your fighter is clearly in control, you may want to wait for the decision to try to maximize your profits. However, if your fighter is struggling, you may want to cash out and guarantee some profit.
Trust your gut instinct, if you feel like you should cash out, even if the numbers don't make sense, go with your gut.

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November 07, 2023, 06:08:56 AM
 #16

A lucky punch does not guarantee a win for the fighter in my opinion, yes it will put the other fighter on the back foot for a while... but most professional fighters can absorb that kind of pressure and it actually motivates them to fight harder.

I stay with my original bet and I hope for the best. In some fights one of the boxers will show more skills or they will look more fighting fit for the fight in the beginning... but the more professional fighter might be holding back to deliver a strong ending, when their opponent starts to get tired... so that strategy might fool some people to cash out early.   Grin

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November 07, 2023, 07:03:05 AM
 #17

Hmmm this is an interesting question to ask. If I ever bet on an underdog and he knocked down his opponent in the first round, I'd probably risk it til the final bell rings coz if he dropped his opponent in the first round then he could do it in the following rounds. But one thing to consider is how did he knock his opponent, like a lucky punch, sucker punch but counted, accidental headbutt or just a counted slip then I'd probably think about cashing out after this. However, with Fury vs Ngannou fight I'm hundred percent on Ngannou on this, won't even think of cashing out if got dropped.
Unless the underdog knocks out the favorite, the match is still anyone's game still and there are a lot of times that the winner have been knocked down or sometimes slipped so that's not a good indicator that the underdog might win, for me it's who is more consistent on landing power punches and aggressiveness, with that parameter it's more likely to know if the boxer is likely to win although given how corrupt the boxing federation is, there's a possibility that the likely winner wouldn't be declared the winner, look at what happened to the Ngannou vs Fury fight, didn't Ngannou knocked down Fury? Who's got the belt anyway? In terms of cashing out though, it depends for me because if I'm not betting a lot in the fight, I might not mind losing my money riding it out till the end but if I bet a lot and I can see that the amount I can get out is pretty significant then I might consider depending on the circumstances surrounding the fight.
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November 07, 2023, 08:23:24 AM
 #18

I have never bet on boxing, only on football. What I will do in that bet is if I see a profit greater than the amount of money I placed, I will cash out and immediately do it. Although if I wait until the match is finished, it will give me a bigger advantage, but I still have to see what the situation and conditions are. If I still have a chance to keep winning until the end of the match, I will let it go and wait until the match is over. Everything depends on the situation and conditions in the match and we have to be astute in looking at those situations and conditions. If we have won but the match can turn around, we should immediately cash out before we lose the money due to loss.

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November 07, 2023, 04:20:13 PM
 #19

I will cash out immediately there are a lot of cases where the underdog scored a knockdown but failed to deliver a performance that warrants a decision, it is already a good reward but if you're a risk taker and you trust that the underdog can deliver until the end then you can go for it, always the underdog's chance is delivering a lucky punch, but if it extended until the last rounds the favorite can deliver a strategy where he can score a lot to take a decision.

Like in the case of Fury and Ngannou, Fury knows that he can win the remaining rounds all he has to do is rely on his boxing skills and that is to hit, run, hug, and counter something Ngannou failed to counter because it's his first boxing match.

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electronicash (OP)
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November 07, 2023, 06:04:15 PM
 #20

I will cash out immediately there are a lot of cases where the underdog scored a knockdown but failed to deliver a performance that warrants a decision, it is already a good reward but if you're a risk taker and you trust that the underdog can deliver until the end then you can go for it, always the underdog's chance is delivering a lucky punch, but if it extended until the last rounds the favorite can deliver a strategy where he can score a lot to take a decision.

Like in the case of Fury and Ngannou, Fury knows that he can win the remaining rounds all he has to do is rely on his boxing skills and that is to hit, run, hug, and counter something Ngannou failed to counter because it's his first boxing match.

those who picked Ngannou must have seen how much they have won if they cashed out after that 3rd round since the odds were 8.20. even in the later rounds, people are still rooting for Ngannou to win because there was no response to that knockdown.

they could never figure out which round they will ever cash out in that fight until it's too late. maybe because bettors are also hopeful that Ngannou will win. if such kind of fight once again occurred in a different weight class while this time i'm rooting for underdog Prograis, i will lose. i might just decide to cash out even at a loss. it could just be me but if a fighter like Devin Haney is the bookmaker's fave, the judges might also pronounce him in a UD.

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