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Author Topic: Sports betting strategies  (Read 406 times)
o48o (OP)
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November 12, 2023, 11:40:16 PM
 #1

I've been recently trying live betting, with a strategy of betting for winners after a quick evaluation of how is the game going, and how much of it is left to play. I am accepting even smallest multipliers like 1.05+ if i am quite certain i would win. I've done many of them for few days now and so far i've been happy for my system, and i already have 3x my initial starting bet.

But i can't help wonder if i am making some noob errors that come back to bite me later. As i know that there are no 100% safe winning, i think i will start losing at some point, and with small multipilers, all it takes is few losses to get back to where i started from. I am quite noob at this so i am probably doing every newbie mistake.

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

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November 12, 2023, 11:49:07 PM
 #2

I don't see anything wrong with your approach but upsets at the dying minutes are always a possibility like what happened in the Premier league between the Spurs and the Wolves. It's just one of those "it is what it is" moments that you have to accept and move on.

A lot of my live betting comes from an initial favorite team that's trailing in the first half where the odds of them winning the game increases significantly. They usually comeback stronger in the second but sometimes they don't. It's a higher risk with higher reward strategy.

R


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November 12, 2023, 11:49:40 PM
 #3

Did have already used that kind of strategy even on that 1.05 odds doesnt win everytime.So better not to stick with it all the time. Most of my sports betting choices then i dont go usually below 1.5 odds
which i do mainly stick into those favorite ones but on the time that i have seen lesser then it would really be giving me some idea on betting into the opposite which is on that underdog
which usually it will really be having some nasty odds. There are times which i do really make out some consideration on putting up some bucks whenever i do see some slight chance of winning.
In overall it would really be just that depending on you since not all would really be having that kind of intuition and analysis on every match.
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November 13, 2023, 05:11:30 AM
 #4

I don't see anything wrong with your approach but upsets at the dying minutes are always a possibility like what happened in the Premier league between the Spurs and the Wolves. It's just one of those "it is what it is" moments that you have to accept and move on.

A lot of my live betting comes from an initial favorite team that's trailing in the first half where the odds of them winning the game increases significantly. They usually comeback stronger in the second but sometimes they don't. It's a higher risk with higher reward strategy.
The game between Wolves vs Tottenham, it resulted in surprised outcome. Risky, everything we do here tends to be really risky, so it's not always advisable to place our minds on gambling, or going as far as making gambling as streams of income. Gambling comes with different results, we have no options than to expects the very best from the system, but when the results doesn't go according to plans, we relaxed and gets ready to strive again another day because everyday, we wake up to new opportunities, which we ensured to make good use these opportunities.

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November 13, 2023, 05:51:04 AM
 #5

I've been recently trying live betting, with a strategy of betting for winners after a quick evaluation of how is the game going, and how much of it is left to play. I am accepting even smallest multipliers like 1.05+ if i am quite certain i would win. I've done many of them for few days now and so far i've been happy for my system, and i already have 3x my initial starting bet.
It will only encourage you to use huge amount of money and a loss after several won matches will still be a loss. I just want to let you know to be very careful. This has been my strategy and it is not as good as it seems.

But i can't help wonder if i am making some noob errors that come back to bite me later. As i know that there are no 100% safe winning, i think i will start losing at some point, and with small multipilers, all it takes is few losses to get back to where i started from. I am quite noob at this so i am probably doing every newbie mistake.
If you do not gamble often, you will likely win more. But in-play like this can be addicting

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).
I also prefer a match to start before I bet because if I wait like 10 minutes later, the odd would have increased in which club to win.

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?
Live matches are dangerous is all that I know. Gamble responsibly with little amount of money that you can afford to lose.

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November 13, 2023, 06:01:11 AM
 #6

I do sports batting but I am not that much expert in it. I started my beting journey from sport beting. My first betting on a cricket match prediction. I know the full match prediction pay out is very low but I usually do it because the movement of matches says that which team going to win or loss. I don't do predict in risky matches those type of match to understand who will going to win or loss. The winning money of this type of prediction is small amount but they are there is no that much high risk to lost your predict money. I usually bet big amount of money to get a minimum amount of profit. And I am okay with the small amount winning at the end of month small amount create huge amount of money in the cricket world cup season.

I don't know any kind of gambling strategy and I don't following kind of strategy because this type of prediction is not that much hard on watching a match movement that's why I don't follow any kind of strategy.I think because not following any kind of strategy sometime my faces loss but it's okay.
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November 13, 2023, 06:05:41 AM
 #7

I don't see anything wrong with your approach but upsets at the dying minutes are always a possibility like what happened in the Premier league between the Spurs and the Wolves. It's just one of those "it is what it is" moments that you have to accept and move on.

A lot of my live betting comes from an initial favorite team that's trailing in the first half where the odds of them winning the game increases significantly. They usually comeback stronger in the second but sometimes they don't. It's a higher risk with higher reward strategy.
Even if upsets like that happen, I don't think that it's a cause for OP to discontinue the strategy that OP has employed and with the result of that OP has said, I think that it's an effective strategy but if someone finds this strategy to be lacking due to the potential upsets or comebacks from the underdogs then you can always do arbitrage betting so you can win your bets either way but you can only do that when the odds are pretty big on both sides so you wouldn't be minding losing your bet on the losing side.



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November 13, 2023, 06:06:38 AM
 #8

That's why it's called gambling, but man! Sports can be thrilling, not until the last whistle is blown, your ass will be trapped at the edge of the sit, but I like the idea of securing your win when the game is going your way, because not until final whistle is blown anything can still happen.

In any game I always prefer to lower my chances of losing my money, and increase the chance of winning, this is why makes sports bet better than others, unless you are blindly betting on matches you have no idea about, my advice is to stick to a particular amount, because at the end of everything, you still need luck to make money from gambling.

I don't care about what or which odds you decide to use, you will sometimes lose money and you will some times win money, but make sure you gamble with what you can afford to lose, every gamblers are powerless when it comes to game of luck, do not use gamble as a way to earn a living.

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November 13, 2023, 08:39:49 AM
 #9

I've been recently trying live betting, with a strategy of betting for winners after a quick evaluation of how is the game going, and how much of it is left to play. I am accepting even smallest multipliers like 1.05+ if i am quite certain i would win. I've done many of them for few days now and so far i've been happy for my system, and i already have 3x my initial starting bet.

But i can't help wonder if i am making some noob errors that come back to bite me later. As i know that there are no 100% safe winning, i think i will start losing at some point, and with small multipilers, all it takes is few losses to get back to where i started from. I am quite noob at this so i am probably doing every newbie mistake.

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

I must admit most of the times that is the best strategy which unfortunately sometimes can cause also lost games but there is no better strategy than watching the game live and betting on it.However let me make an example from yesterday when Manchester City scored the 4th goal and I had the option to cash out but I didn't as I thought watching the game it will be difficult for Chelsea to equalize with just 3 minutes left to play.In fact Chelsea got the equalizer from a penalty and this shows that even live betting is totally unpredictable.

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November 13, 2023, 09:10:37 AM
 #10

there is no strategy when it comes to betting on sports betting and just play with your feelings and do the analysis that you think is right and stay away from choosing odds below @1.10 because usually like this it can be a trap and quite a few lose with odds @1.10-
and stay away from multi bets if you want to experience consistent wins.

I too often focus on sports betting and all I do is actively look for information on sports that I like. after getting information from other people discussions, I do my own analysis looking at all the data I have to see and I bet uncertainly, sometimes on the team winning or even Asian handicap If I see a team that really wins I will choose to bet on the winning team but if I am in doubt I will choose the Asian total under or over.

actually there is a lot more that I could discuss but it might be too long and several other threads also often discuss this and I hope there are other people answers that can provide additional information and give you experience. good luck

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November 13, 2023, 09:14:28 AM
 #11

Usually I will place a bet to strong/popular club or had many times win via comeback in the second half with a condition the opponent is leading in the first half, this surely make the the strong/popular club is a heavy underdog.

Oh well it seems I'd bet opposite to you, if you bet in certainty, I bet in uncertainty lol.

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November 13, 2023, 10:00:56 AM
 #12

I have the best strategy for sport betting and I am willing to give it out for free, that's you risking only what you can afford to lose, don't use money that's meant for your education and don't use money that is supposed to keep your business running, stay away from loans and borrowing money from anyone to risk on gambling.

If the government is benefiting from the people for been poor and deep in poverty then what will they benefit if majority of people are rich? Yet they still allow casinos to run and function in their country, it shows they are smarter than you, people acts like zombies all the time, this is what they believe, they knew that the chances of you getting rich in gambling is super slim, and they start regulating casinos to make money off them too, to the government, gambling is a win win situation for them.

It's like what Kiyosaki used to say, keep them poor, start selling them their fantasies, they are making millions off the poor and pretending to give hope onto them if they can take the risk, it's like running a circus, wise the up people, risk only what you can afford.

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November 13, 2023, 10:03:54 AM
 #13

I often play games like this by betting directly when the match has started, so that I know how they play and which players are sent onto the field to play, but it still doesn't really help and it's true, as you said, there is no win. which is 100% absolutely safe, so sometimes we see opportunities that are certain to win but suddenly at the last minute the opposing club gives a surprise and manages to come back to win.

It's really annoying and I often get losses like that where I bet all my money and lose everything I have collected from winning live bets, therefore I now prefer clubs that really have a higher winning potential and at least look how they make their defense is also quite good, sometimes the defense often slacks because they take it too lightly and in the end they manage to win on a comeback.  Grin

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November 13, 2023, 10:20:52 AM
 #14

Definitely I have done live betting as well and it's really exciting. Of course, for some of us this is a good strategy, however it is not a foul proof as well. Although one advantage is that as we go and watch the game, you can sense as a fans how the games might turn out, if you see the underdog somewhat might pull an upset then you should bet on them.

However, as the OP said, it's also not 100% sure win because there's none, even at a bet of 1.05 odds, anything can happen and turn the game around. So I guess knowing the team that you want to bet and seeing that they have the heart to win the game then I will definitely go with them. Again, specially if they are the underdog, it's great to bet on them live and then just watch it and see if your hunch is true or not.

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Jating
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November 13, 2023, 10:55:29 AM
 #15

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

Not sure if there is a strategy in live betting, you just have to let's say watch the first half of the game and see who is the better team. Maybe in the pre-game betting team A is the favorite, but when they are playing, it seems that they are struggling and they have a hard time against the underdog team. If that is the case, then betting on the underdog is the best choice.

But if the game is very close that the favorite will not have an easy win, I might go and bet on the underdog, not on the ML but as least in the handicap, + side, at least you are shooting two birds with one stone, for example, the underdog didn't win by the favorite wasn't able to cover the handicap, or the underdog pull a upset, so it's a win-win situation for you.
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November 13, 2023, 11:28:43 AM
 #16

Usually I will place a bet to strong/popular club or had many times win via comeback in the second half with a condition the opponent is leading in the first half, this surely make the the strong/popular club is a heavy underdog.
There are matches like that, the strong team that was losing before would still win after the other team was winning before. I have seen many matches that the strong team will still be losing after 95th minutes to the end of the match but later won the match. The odd for this kind matches are very high, but I can not go for something like that because of the high risk. The risk is higher than to go for such match, not worth it.

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November 13, 2023, 11:36:39 AM
 #17

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Am sorry to say that this question should be what each and everyone of us being a gambler should take time to discover, what may be good for you could actually not be the same in my own case, choosing a bet to make use is a personal discretion or choice and one can make use of any certain criteria to judge his action or decision from this, while at he long run, everyone is taking the same level of risk involved in gambling irrespective of the strategy or sport betting category you opted in for.

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November 13, 2023, 11:56:31 AM
 #18

I bet first before the game starts and choose my favorite team based on their previous games and winnings. Most of the time I put my bet on higher odds but sometimes, it never wins. Therefore, I could say that even choosing our favorite team or those teams that have good game history doesn't guarantee winnings always, I believe in luck and sometimes these players are also too unlucky and beaten by the other teams.

A reason why I could say that there is no perfect strategy in betting and even if have been doing this for many years, losses are still possible and we can't change that.

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November 13, 2023, 12:11:27 PM
 #19

Live betting is good but also brings you a big rush of adrenaline and unless you're able to handle this, sometimes it's just better to not touch the bet buttons while the game is live.

For instance, as I've been trying to make predictions before matches start in my Greek 2023–24 Super League Predictions & Discussion thread. And you'll see that for example yesterday I made a prediction that a stronger team would naturally win against a weaker opponent (PAOK being stronger against Panetolikos). But if I was playing live I would have been anxious because the first goal was by the weaker team!

But of course the result was turned around. So sometimes LIVE betting can turn you more compulsive and reduce your winnings. I think it's harder to utilize it for increased profits instead of betting on common sense before a match begins. It's probably more likely to reduce winnings unless you're extremely calculated and principled.

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November 13, 2023, 12:38:25 PM
 #20

Know the sports, it will come in handy.
I am the type who likes taking risks especially if I know that one team can really turn the game upside down. I like taking those x2.5 - x3.00 bets in live betting knowing the full history of one team. But, it's not like it will always hit, there are times when the team who is up can keep their lead until the time expires.

You are doing fine. I think. I've known some gamblers who are doing the same as you do. Taking the low risk for a high chance to win but lesser profits. It works but like you said, just one mistake and everything you worked hard for will be taken away from you.
That's why I said in the first part to know your sport. If you have learned that the team they are up against cannot flip the game then you are good for a long time until you get used to it.

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