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Author Topic: Sports betting strategies  (Read 406 times)
mirakal
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November 13, 2023, 01:05:53 PM
 #21

I'm happy for you; however, it's too early to conclude. You need to experiment more, perhaps for a month or two, and see if you are still on the profit side. The issue with low odds, such as getting at least 1.05, is that you'll need to win 20 times to secure a 100% return on your bet. In those 20 times, there's a possibility of facing losses. You know, this kind of strategy requires a lot of patience, as it means betting on many games to win significantly. I hope you won't be discouraged if you experience a losing streak, as small odds do not guarantee a win.

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November 13, 2023, 01:23:48 PM
 #22


Which sport are you trying to bet on?
I've done the same from soccer to tennis. It works for a time betting the crowd's fave even that 1.05 you are saying. It is a tiresome approach and it only takes a few losses to take those winnings away and you are back to square one. If you are like this then probably you are not watching the games as well.

And then once again reminded about the thing they are saying only bet on the sports you are passionate about. Take that advice, minimize your bet, and watch the game. You'll realize when you enjoy the game, it doesn't matter whether you lose. You enjoyed.

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November 13, 2023, 01:46:51 PM
 #23

I've been recently trying live betting, with a strategy of betting for winners after a quick evaluation of how is the game going, and how much of it is left to play. I am accepting even smallest multipliers like 1.05+ if i am quite certain i would win. I've done many of them for few days now and so far i've been happy for my system, and i already have 3x my initial starting bet.

But i can't help wonder if i am making some noob errors that come back to bite me later. As i know that there are no 100% safe winning, i think i will start losing at some point, and with small multipilers, all it takes is few losses to get back to where i started from. I am quite noob at this so i am probably doing every newbie mistake.

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

The sports betting need of the knowledge compared to the other type of wedding in the gambling sites.The random bet was useless in this area of the gambling,only few random bet was successful in the sports betting.The best way to learn the game was made by adapt to the game and increase your own skill to that game.The experienced gambler was the winner of the sports bet all the time,because they know th team performance for more then 2 decades.So the team performance was the important one in the sports betting.You can have some video in the YouTube related to the sports bet in the gambling made by bloggers to play in live match bet.
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November 13, 2023, 01:55:52 PM
 #24

Which sport are you trying to bet on?
I've done the same from soccer to tennis. It works for a time betting the crowd's fave even that 1.05 you are saying. It is a tiresome approach and it only takes a few losses to take those winnings away and you are back to square one. If you are like this then probably you are not watching the games as well.
Who can keep up with all the games you're betting on? When you're consistently wagering on odds like 1.05 or even lower, you end up betting on numerous games. This can be stressful because, inevitably, you'll face some losses, and as you mentioned, these losses eat into your winnings. In reality, this method doesn't seem to be effective. I believe that focusing on quality bets is more impactful than quantity. Just ensure you're betting a reasonable amount, so you don't get too greedy in pursuit of your winning goal.

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November 13, 2023, 02:00:49 PM
 #25

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?
Regardless of what sports betting strategy is often used by users, the essence is: analyzing the general teams that stand out the most and have the best history and careers in the world of sports for me it is one of the most important strategies to determine success in sports betting.

I remember one of the best resources I've ever read about sports betting, maybe it can be useful for you in the future.
For example:
Quote
Betting on sports matches is a hobby of many people and most of the fans consider this as something exciting and fun to spend their free time. However, There are ways to make money consistently through betting. The trick is to understand betting strategies, the types of bets you can play, the odds of winning, making smart bets, and staying away from bad bets. Besides that, It's important to remember that making money from sports betting is something that takes time and dedication: you shouldn't make one big bet to win a lot of money at a time, but make some smart small bets over time to add to the coffers of profits little by little.

Basically there are many strategies that are often used by those in sports betting, for example: arbitrage, value and so on, but whatever strategy there is, of course experience or statistics and analysis of sports betting, has a good chance of being successful.

R


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November 13, 2023, 04:17:58 PM
 #26

I don't see anything wrong with your approach but upsets at the dying minutes are always a possibility like what happened in the Premier league between the Spurs and the Wolves. It's just one of those "it is what it is" moments that you have to accept and move on.

A lot of my live betting comes from an initial favorite team that's trailing in the first half where the odds of them winning the game increases significantly. They usually comeback stronger in the second but sometimes they don't. It's a higher risk with higher reward strategy.
Upsets in sports games are occurrences that we can't assume except by luck you're fortunate to have your prediction coincide with a sudden upset in the game. Another example of an upset setting in in a game is that match between Chelsea and Arsenal. The home team Chelsea were leading 2:0 in the first half only for Arsenal to come back in the second half to equalize 2:2 ending the game with as draw.

On a norms a gambler betting on a live game will bet in favour of the team leading by 2 goals addition to the advantage of  being a home team too but in the course of the game an upset took place which canceled the home team winning score.

Usually there are factors that can invite an upset in a game, factors like coach making a wrong substitutions, key players' getting injury that forced him/them out of the match, and lot of others that we can be familiar with.


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November 13, 2023, 04:34:08 PM
 #27

Well, it's nice to know i am not totally heading on wrong direction with my strategy. There are several suggestions that i live by like not losing more then i could afford. I just thought that there might be clever ways to use

Like "handicap", "set" and "total" markets etc.. Because it''s hard to me to grasp how can i utilize those efficiently.

I've been recently trying live betting, with a strategy of betting for winners after a quick evaluation of how is the game going, and how much of it is left to play. I am accepting even smallest multipliers like 1.05+ if i am quite certain i would win. I've done many of them for few days now and so far i've been happy for my system, and i already have 3x my initial starting bet.
It will only encourage you to use huge amount of money and a loss after several won matches will still be a loss. I just want to let you know to be very careful. This has been my strategy and it is not as good as it seems.
I thought it might not be, even though it's currently working for me. Eventually i will lose.

But i can't help wonder if i am making some noob errors that come back to bite me later. As i know that there are no 100% safe winning, i think i will start losing at some point, and with small multipilers, all it takes is few losses to get back to where i started from. I am quite noob at this so i am probably doing every newbie mistake.
If you do not gamble often, you will likely win more. But in-play like this can be addicting
This i didn't quite understand. Do you mean that if i play often, i will take unnecessary risks? As i know that i am not supposed to reach and try to risk more just because i want to gamble more.

Which sport are you trying to bet on?
I've done the same from soccer to tennis. It works for a time betting the crowd's fave even that 1.05 you are saying. It is a tiresome approach and it only takes a few losses to take those winnings away and you are back to square one. If you are like this then probably you are not watching the games as well.

And then once again reminded about the thing they are saying only bet on the sports you are passionate about. Take that advice, minimize your bet, and watch the game. You'll realize when you enjoy the game, it doesn't matter whether you lose. You enjoyed.
I gamble on everything i know basic rules about, like how log each round, set or game takes? How much points there are even possible to make and in what time. And in overall how fast can games change and for what reason. But i do lack some basic knowledge about some sports. Like cricket for example. And i am not touching that until i read the rule book no matter what the odds are. Odds to me are pointless unless i know how i am risking my money. Just like i am not gambling with all the betting types that i don't know anything about.

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November 13, 2023, 04:48:31 PM
 #28

Which sport are you trying to bet on?
I've done the same from soccer to tennis. It works for a time betting the crowd's fave even that 1.05 you are saying. It is a tiresome approach and it only takes a few losses to take those winnings away and you are back to square one. If you are like this then probably you are not watching the games as well.
Who can keep up with all the games you're betting on? When you're consistently wagering on odds like 1.05 or even lower, you end up betting on numerous games. This can be stressful because, inevitably, you'll face some losses, and as you mentioned, these losses eat into your winnings. In reality, this method doesn't seem to be effective. I believe that focusing on quality bets is more impactful than quantity. Just ensure you're betting a reasonable amount, so you don't get too greedy in pursuit of your winning goal.

Not what I mean by that. If he doesn't watch the game that means he is just as what I did as well which we both failed.
I was doing it just like he was doing afaik i was also telling the same in my thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5457554

At first, it was incredible though so it's exciting and even if he loses this time. I think this strategy still sticks in his mind. I from time to time, when I get bored I go back to this kind of strategy and fill my slip up to 10 bets and come back the next few hours to add 10 more.

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November 13, 2023, 04:58:30 PM
 #29

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

If you are already x3 of your bankroll then I guess everything works well with your strategy and there’s o need to adjust unless it’s not working anymore. If you are consistent with your analysis then you should not worry about losing it all since you are using a low risk low reward method which can be enhance by analysis skills.

If it’s working then just continue. Remember only to set stop loss and don’t be trigger when you encounter losses since it’s inevitable. More important is your consistency because that will give you more profit.

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November 13, 2023, 05:07:15 PM
 #30

Live betting in football is one of a good trick to do to have more chance to win the bets, because you can analyze how the run at current time and predict what the result will be. This is the best reason on why we are gambling on what we good at. When you have a good ability to read the game, to know how good players performing, and how the teams' tactics running, That makes gambling / live betting feels easier than just hoping luck. For football enthusiast/ fans, there is no better way than this.

but You need to avoid putting bet on your favorite team when you do this strategy of betting, because your prediction could be not so objective. you need to avoid emotion play its part when you analyze something.

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November 13, 2023, 05:11:49 PM
 #31

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

If you are already x3 of your bankroll then I guess everything works well with your strategy and there’s o need to adjust unless it’s not working anymore. If you are consistent with your analysis then you should not worry about losing it all since you are using a low risk low reward method which can be enhance by analysis skills.

If it’s working then just continue. Remember only to set stop loss and don’t be trigger when you encounter losses since it’s inevitable. More important is your consistency because that will give you more profit.

he is not doing a detailed analysis, mostly it's based on the odds he is taking the cue from the bookmakers. this is not a bad strategy actually but like he said every win is just a tiny amount of a win. it will be a good strategy if he stake a huge amount. to earn $50, he has to stake $1000 for the odd he example is 1.05. that is still good easy money if the bookmakers allow it too.

but with just one loss, he loses $1000. how many bets will he make to chase this loss? this is the risk that he meant. you couldn't continue the strategy if you lose twice. in sports, the underdog winning the game often happens.  Cheesy











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November 13, 2023, 05:29:06 PM
 #32

Who can keep up with all the games you're betting on? When you're consistently wagering on odds like 1.05 or even lower, you end up betting on numerous games. This can be stressful because, inevitably, you'll face some losses, and as you mentioned, these losses eat into your winnings. In reality, this method doesn't seem to be effective. I believe that focusing on quality bets is more impactful than quantity. Just ensure you're betting a reasonable amount, so you don't get too greedy in pursuit of your winning goal.
Yes that's right. If we continue to take the small odds of 1.05 we will definitely not be satisfied and we will definitely add another game. Until now, I have always believed that every league and every week there will be a favorite team that loses or draws, I'm still confused about why it's always like this. By the way, I mostly bet on Mix parlay, I don't like betting on games that are in progress

When I bet on many favorite teams in each league that I rank, sometimes we are too sure that this team will definitely win 100%, but in fact they ruin all my bets. So I agree that greed will make it difficult for us to win.

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November 13, 2023, 06:05:39 PM
 #33

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

If you are already x3 of your bankroll then I guess everything works well with your strategy and there’s o need to adjust unless it’s not working anymore. If you are consistent with your analysis then you should not worry about losing it all since you are using a low risk low reward method which can be enhance by analysis skills.

If it’s working then just continue. Remember only to set stop loss and don’t be trigger when you encounter losses since it’s inevitable. More important is your consistency because that will give you more profit.

he is not doing a detailed analysis, mostly it's based on the odds he is taking the cue from the bookmakers. this is not a bad strategy actually but like he said every win is just a tiny amount of a win. it will be a good strategy if he stake a huge amount. to earn $50, he has to stake $1000 for the odd he example is 1.05. that is still good easy money if the bookmakers allow it too.

but with just one loss, he loses $1000. how many bets will he make to chase this loss? this is the risk that he meant. you couldn't continue the strategy if you lose twice. in sports, the underdog winning the game often happens.  Cheesy



Point here is that there’s no easy way to dominate any gambling related activity, no matter how much we would want to. Betting in line with odds would give you a higher chance of winning but will never guarantee it. Your analogy is correct, you could win continuously but with small profit in low odd bets but a single loss could be so fatal on your capital. While with betting against odds, betting a small amount could generate huge profit however it won’t happen easily. Therefore, it would be much better to just minimize the risk of losing that much; bet with moderation and at least enjoy the game given that it is sportsbetting we are talking about. We just have to accept that luck will always be needed in any gambling activity. Would be best to lose a few than to lose that much chasing a huge single win.

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November 13, 2023, 06:35:06 PM
 #34

For me the best form of sport bet strategy is to always fake your chances at any amount higher in proportion to your staked amount because cash out may help you to escape a total lost of the bet if you wait too late too long to take your chances as things turn out with events at hand along the way.

But then this strategy may not also go down well with many other people,  even though it works out well for some of us and seeing that cashout is one of the strategy that have helped me to achieve more with my stake instead of possible lose,  so cash out is my most preferred sportbet strategy that works for many of us here.

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November 13, 2023, 06:54:00 PM
 #35

I also love placing bets on options with low odds. But even doing it like that, youre right, there's just no way to know for sure what'll happen.  There's no such thing as a 100 percent safe bet.  Every so often itll look like easy money but then the other team will pull some wild move at the last second and end up winning anyway.   

I think the big thing with this strategy is managing how much you bet and  if you go all in on one wager and wind up losing, it'll take a ton of wins to make up for it.  So in my opinion, it's best to spread things around across a bunch of different leagues.

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November 13, 2023, 07:46:52 PM
 #36

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?

If you are already x3 of your bankroll then I guess everything works well with your strategy and there’s o need to adjust unless it’s not working anymore. If you are consistent with your analysis then you should not worry about losing it all since you are using a low risk low reward method which can be enhance by analysis skills.

If it’s working then just continue. Remember only to set stop loss and don’t be trigger when you encounter losses since it’s inevitable. More important is your consistency because that will give you more profit.

he is not doing a detailed analysis, mostly it's based on the odds he is taking the cue from the bookmakers. this is not a bad strategy actually but like he said every win is just a tiny amount of a win. it will be a good strategy if he stake a huge amount. to earn $50, he has to stake $1000 for the odd he example is 1.05. that is still good easy money if the bookmakers allow it too.

but with just one loss, he loses $1000. how many bets will he make to chase this loss? this is the risk that he meant. you couldn't continue the strategy if you lose twice. in sports, the underdog winning the game often happens.  Cheesy



Point here is that there’s no easy way to dominate any gambling related activity, no matter how much we would want to. Betting in line with odds would give you a higher chance of winning but will never guarantee it. Your analogy is correct, you could win continuously but with small profit in low odd bets but a single loss could be so fatal on your capital. While with betting against odds, betting a small amount could generate huge profit however it won’t happen easily. Therefore, it would be much better to just minimize the risk of losing that much; bet with moderation and at least enjoy the game given that it is sportsbetting we are talking about. We just have to accept that luck will always be needed in any gambling activity. Would be best to lose a few than to lose that much chasing a huge single win.
Speaking on sports betting or simply generally with gambling then we do know that sure win or 100% chance of winning cant really be that possible.No matter how heavily favorite a certain player/team would be
on which we do know that there's always the possibility of upset that could really happen and lets not really that remove that kind of thinking or possibility that could happen. Even if we do say that the odds are really that showing 1.05 or somewhere near with those odds then it isnt something that give out that kind of assurance of sure win. Most of the time when bettors do see this then they do really have that kind of feeling and emotion that this is something a bet that they could really be able to have some all-in kind because they do have feeling that this would really be a one sided game. Yes, it could be possible but you shouldnt really be removing
that idea or awareness that in each game, there would really be always the possibility of upset. This is the one main risks on which you would really be needing to consider about because once you do miss it
and believe on something that you do have in mind then once you have losing result or outcome then that would really be bringing out that kind of extreme disappointment.

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November 13, 2023, 09:44:46 PM
 #37

So i wanted to ask from experienced gamblers here, who make live bets; how do you choose your bets and what kind of bets are you preferring (other then betting for winners).

Also are there some good tips on how to make most of from those? Because to someone less informed like myself, most of the other kind of bets seem like shots in the dark. I am assuming that there are more profitable strategies. Like what kind of other bets are worth looking into?
I think betting on low odds is safe if you knew the player/team you're betting will surely make it in the end. I think for live betting and picking the low odd better check the time as always, if there's still lot of time that could change the tide of the game so you better be aware on that because that's too risky. After all it's on your analytical thinking that will matter.
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November 14, 2023, 12:58:09 AM
 #38

Continue doing it until you get the feeling that it starts to fall off. If you want to get more out of it then maybe browse other bookies because there are a few that offer less juice on live odds. I used to focus on live betting at one point and had a few successes with that betting strategy. My only advice in live betting is to avoid those pre-live underdogs that sometimes would shift to a big favorite because it could bait you into betting underdogs when there's still a good window for the pre-live favorites to recover and possibly take over the game.

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November 14, 2023, 01:37:14 AM
 #39

I often play games like this by betting directly when the match has started, so that I know how they play and which players are sent onto the field to play, but it still doesn't really help and it's true, as you said, there is no win. which is 100% absolutely safe, so sometimes we see opportunities that are certain to win but suddenly at the last minute the opposing club gives a surprise and manages to come back to win.

It's really annoying and I often get losses like that where I bet all my money and lose everything I have collected from winning live bets, therefore I now prefer clubs that really have a higher winning potential and at least look how they make their defense is also quite good, sometimes the defense often slacks because they take it too lightly and in the end they manage to win on a comeback.  Grin
Sports betting sometimes brings surprises at the last minute, that's why we have to use the right analysis and with small odds so that the chance of winning is greater. In fact, the strategy used by OP is to bet directly, usually the risk of losing is smaller, but this is not guaranteed, so you always win, sometimes also the predictions are wrong, there is no harm in using a direct strategy but at least wait until the second half starts then we will see the performance of the favorite club and we can be sure to bet even though the odds may be smaller but at least the chance of winning is bigger.

I often lose when making multi bets, multi bets are more annoying in my opinion because I choose a lot of favorite teams that will play that day and have chosen the double chance option but there are still teams that blunder and for some reason when I bet a small amount I precisely win in multi bets, but when I bet quite big I actually lose and that often happens even though every time a match is about to start I always analyze it first.  Undecided

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November 14, 2023, 02:38:40 AM
 #40

[...] I just thought that there might be clever ways to use Like "handicap", "set" and "total" markets etc.. Because it''s hard to me to grasp how can i utilize those efficiently.
You could have asked these specific questions in the OP.

Handicap is what I usually bet on aside from moneyline. Odds are definitely better but this is not something you can just throw money lightly. You'll have to be more knowledgeable of the teams you're betting on.
I find it easier to bet on handicap for basketball games like NBA since I'm more familiar with the capability of the teams and also updated with injuries.
I prefer betting on football like the Premier League when it comes to the total scores.

R


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