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Author Topic: Are you confident betting on handicap for heavy favorites or heavy underdog?  (Read 135 times)
Findingnemo
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December 17, 2023, 03:05:06 PM
 #21

Betting on the favorites is the conservative strategy but the downside is lower rewards and if one game goes against then possibly you could lose the progress from a streak of games so mixing up may be the better approach.

Myself not a regular sports bettor so I do not have any particular strategy for someone who wants to find some serious strategies to consider but for a casual bettor then it may work always trust your instincts so you won't regret it even if the results are against as per your expectations.

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December 17, 2023, 03:10:23 PM
 #22

In my opinion, this depends on the contest, when analyzing a certain game the person puts all options open and chooses based on the data they got from the game, the person cannot have preferences, because in the game it may be that the hadcap market does not is the ideal option and the over market is the ideal option, so the person will have to bet on the over market if they want to have a chance of being able to get the bet right and make a profit. There may also be a case where the only market that is viable is the draw-no-bet market and the person will have no choice, they will have to bet on that market. I don't get attached to any market when I place sports bets

For me, what matters is what I'm seeing from the analysis I've done of the game, the game itself is what guides me to the market I should bet on, I'm not making preferences as to how I'm going to bet on the over and under market while I haven't yet analyzed the I play exhaustively, I haven't seen the news about the teams. I hope that people don't make the mistake of only betting on a single market because in football games, for example, there are many markets and each game has markets that can be explored so that the person can obtain better results, in my case most of the time I bet on the winner, but sometimes on the over and under, I hardly bet on the hadcap, but when I bet on the hadcap I prefer to bet on the favorite when it has a decent odds

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December 17, 2023, 03:18:35 PM
 #23

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What sports you are referring here since that -6.5 is just few on games like Basketball and  Tennis while it’s too huge handicap for sports like Football and other sports that scoring is very low.

It depends on the team capability on choosing which side to choose. Assuming this is for sports that’s low scoring then I usually preferred to bet on underdog given that the underdog has a record on beating strong teams in the past.

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December 17, 2023, 03:23:26 PM
 #24

Let's say the handicap is -6.5 or more, which do you prefer to bet on, the favorites, or the underdog?

As we know, every gambler have different strategies in sports betting, they woudl stick to what they are comfortable with and that they think would give them a success in the long run, so this thread is some sort of a survey, maybe newbies or those who have been struggling to find the right strategy might benefit from this.

What can you share based on your experience as well, between the two, which one you have more wins and you find an effective method in your sports betting venture?
It's not simply about picking the favorite or the underdog. If you flip a coin to make your decision, you'll probably do about as good as blindly choosing favorite or the underdog. The oddmakers make so much money because people always like to bet the favorite and a good portion of the time the favorite doesn't cover the spread. You have to use what knowledge you can to analyze the game and decide to give the points or take the points. Look at who is injured(makes a huge difference), weather if it's an outdoor event, teams previous games, coach, and anything else that comes to mind.

Here's 1 of my bets today. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 Cheifs are favored by 9 in this game but KC doesn't usually cover big spreads, not this year at least. I also do not trust the Partiots to not lose by less than 9. KC got embarrassed last week and lost to Buffalo by 3, so I think they will come out pissed and looking to score alot, but since they don't cover the spread by alot I took lower odds. I'm getting 1.42 for -3.5. There's a good chance they can cover 9 but I don't wanna risk it.

Another bet I have is the New York Giants +10.5. The Giants have won 3 of their last 4 games, the actual spread is New Orleans Saints favored by 5.5. So I took lower odds 1.38 and took alot of points hoping the Giants keep the hot streak up.

I'd rather look to bet a little safer in some situations vs trying to get high odds and maybe throwing away my money.

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