So what you're trying to say is that no matter the dumb Btc undergoes. The pump percentage will always dominate the dumb, I'm still finding hard to understand the cycle thing.
First point to note is that last events are not always indicative of future actions. There's no guarantee on what will happen during the next cycle and the one after that and ten or twenty more down the road, the only thing that's certain is the protocol.
Cycles are pretty much easy to understand and need not be complicated;
• Halving creates scarcity,
• This scarcity reduces supply against demand, increasing the price,
• The Price increase causes Fomo and even more demand,
• This continues till the price hits a ceiling and needs to undergo a correction,
• Investors panic sell to avoid losing out,
• This causes fud and the market continues to tank considerably till we hit the support,
• and repeat...
In-between these periods the price goes up and down based on so many other factors.