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Author Topic: [In Memoriam] Guess BTC price contest  (Read 1604 times)
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GazetaBitcoin (OP)
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December 20, 2023, 09:51:09 AM
Last edit: December 26, 2023, 08:02:40 AM by GazetaBitcoin
Merited by klarki (11), satscraper (10), NeuroticFish (5), icopress (5), 1miau (4), BlackHatCoiner (4), apogio (4), LogitechMouse (3), mikeywith (2), Haunebu (1), tabas (1), julerz12 (1), DdmrDdmr (1), worldofcoins (1), joker_josue (1), ajiz138 (1), sompitonov (1), Poker Player (1), summonerrk (1), Sunderland (1), Crypto Library (1), Cantsay (1), paid2 (1), sokani (1)
 #1

This is a sort of unusual contest. It is held in the memory of light_warrior. This Ukraininan forum user went on the path to light at beginning of the month.

icopress made a kind gesture and tried to help light_warrior's family with some funds, but the family (the daughter, to be more precise) said that they would not need the money and suggested to use them for organizing a contest on the forum. Although icopress insisted on offering the funds collected from donations, light_warrior's daughter kept her decision.

As a consequence, this contest is one for light_warrior.

There are ~1200$ (0.02897796BTC) held by icopress in his escrow and most of this amount will represent the prize for the contest (meaning 0.025BTC; the difference will be used for paying the fees when sending the prizes). First place will take 50% (0.0125BTC), second place will take 30% (0.0075BTC) and third place will take 20% (0.005BTC).

Participants will have to predict BTC price from CoinMarketCap on January 9th, 2024, 2:54AM UTC time. The date and time correspond to first mined Bitcoin block. Participants will also have to explain in a few words why they believe BTC will have the prize they predicted -- this condition is a must for the application to be considered eligible.

The winners will be the ones which will predict closest prices to BTC's price from CoinMarketCap.

Eligibility
Participants must have their accounts registered before Sept 1st, 2023 and must have at least 10 merits earned in the past 120 days.
Those with legitimate negative feedback from a DT user are not eligible (the legitimacy of the feedback is analyzed by me).
Registration with multiple accounts is forbidden. If I catch anyone trying this I will leave him a negative feedback.
Each user may make only one prediction.
Predictions can not be edited.
Applications can be submitted until Dec 25th 31st, 23:59:59 (forum time).

Good luck everybody! And, if you are so kind, please say a prayer for light_warrior.

Topic is self-moderated for avoiding spam.

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December 20, 2023, 12:05:12 PM
 #2

This is none of my business, but I would add "light a candle if you win" (that aint complicated, and as he was a Ukrainian, most likely he followed Christianity, so finding a church wont be hard) rule in addition to explanation of prediction. Coz for someone this contest my look like making profit from someone else's misfortune...

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You get the peow peow
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December 21, 2023, 05:22:48 AM
 #3

Coz for someone this contest my look like making profit from someone else's misfortune...

True, it looks so; I don't feel right taking part in this contest. May be better idea would be to just return the funds to donators? Donators donated money to light_warrior's family, not for the contest.

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December 21, 2023, 09:45:49 AM
Merited by mikeywith (2)
 #4

True, it looks so; I don't feel right taking part in this contest. May be better idea would be to just return the funds to donators? Donators donated money to light_warrior's family, not for the contest.
True, but it was an order from one of his family members.

Btw, I checked some charts and found it interesting that during all previous cycles on the eve of the halving, Bitcoin lost 30-60% of its value, so I think it is quite likely that in early January we will move the price in the range of 33-36 thousand. In addition, according to some analytical agencies, about 80% of all Hodlers have broken even, and many of them have started or will soon begin to take profits, so a return to 30 thousand seems quite justified to me.

Here's my prediction:

Code:
$33,420

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December 21, 2023, 09:46:10 AM
Merited by icopress (3), mikeywith (2), sompitonov (1)
 #5

Coz for someone this contest my look like making profit from someone else's misfortune...

True, it looks so; I don't feel right taking part in this contest. May be better idea would be to just return the funds to donators? Donators donated money to light_warrior's family, not for the contest.

This contest is being held on behalf of light_warrior's daughter and with money donated to her by non-caring forum users. She has decided to dispose of these donations in this way. What's the bad thing? What is wrong with the fact that his daughter decided to hold this event in memory of her father? What kind of profit-making can we talk about? It's a kind of wake she decided to organize on the forum. On a forum that took her father's passing so sympathetically.

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December 21, 2023, 10:27:03 AM
Merited by icopress (1)
 #6

Thank you for the nice contest, it's very kind gesture from light_warrior's family  Smiley

Code:
$42,100

I think that the Ordinals mess will continue to "paralyze" the whole blockchain, and then the price will maybe stay between 41 and 44k. Most people can't move their BTC out of their wallet because of high fees, and people which are "holding" it on CEXes (I mean the majority of people looking for quick profit only) are definitely waiting
the 10th of January and a potential SEC approval on a BTC ETF + maybe some of them will wait until the halving in April.

So I make the bet that BTC will stay "calm" for the next month.

Good luck everyone!
Thanks OP!   Smiley

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December 21, 2023, 10:32:27 AM
Merited by icopress (1)
 #7

I would like to thank the family of light_warrior for wanting a competition held in his name and to icopress and GazetaBitcoin for taking the initiative to initiate it according to their wishes.

The reason I chose the following amount as my entry is because I do not believe the hype that exists in several circles that Bitcoin has to increase in late December to late January. I think there will not be a case where people flood the market to buy BTC and for that reason on 9th January 2024 the price will remain somewhat less than what it is today.

Code:
$39,110

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December 21, 2023, 11:19:14 AM
Merited by 1miau (4)
 #8

Btw, If I may, I would like to propose extending the submission of applications until December 31st.

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December 21, 2023, 11:39:12 AM
Merited by icopress (1)
 #9

Thanks to LW's daughter and family for this contest, I hope they are doing better now, of course, not to forget to thank the two of you for arranging this.



Looking at the weekly chart of BTC the nearest major resistance line is at $48,200, I believe that by January 9th we will be battling that line or at least close to it, so my prediction would be

Code:
$48,200

Good luck to everyone.

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December 21, 2023, 11:43:32 AM
Merited by icopress (1)
 #10

Thank you GazetaBitcoin for organizing this contest in memory of light_warrior especially to his family and daughter still want this contest.

Code:
$46,263

The price of bitcoin is always influenced by ETF news, recently bitcoin is back above $44K this may be triggered because the ETF will soon be approved in December, it is not certain because there is too much drama.

I think in January on the 10th will be the approval of the ETF, this is getting closer to this contest.
Because of the ETF news at the beginning of the month and the upcoming Halving so I took a higher price rather than a decline.

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December 21, 2023, 11:50:01 AM
Merited by icopress (1)
 #11

Thank you all for this, and most especially to light_warior’s daughter for wanting to do something for the community, I pray that she’ll continue to excel in all the at she does, she’ll find favour even when others are complaining of hardship, she will never lack, I also pray for divine strength in her life.


I’m not really good when it comes to price predictions but I strongly believe that the price will move in an upward direction and because of that I predict the price to be.

Code:
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December 21, 2023, 01:31:18 PM
 #12

Thank you GazetaBitcoin (for facilitating this contest), icopress (for informing me), and Light_warrior's family for this contest.

Code:
$55,000
Bullish, I know.
Reason: SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETF could help propel the current BTC price to new heights; if those guys suddenly announce the approval of BTC ETF in the first week of January, then that would be the main catalyst to help move things upward. I also noticed that there's an accumulation of BTC before the Chinese New Year. Also, BTC halving is just 100+ days to go; that could also be a factor for more people accumulating BTC.
While the current transaction fees are a hindrance, I think that only affects small traders; Whales, on the other hand, don't really care about the BTC fees.

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December 21, 2023, 02:00:33 PM
 #13

If this is the family's decision, we would like to thank you and we will make sure everything goes well in memory of Light_warrior



Predictions!? I'm terrible at these things, but I'll accept the challenge. I think the price will now become a little more stable in the coming weeks. At the end of the year, people who are less dedicated to business have a lot of expectations about this ETF. If it weren't for the high rates being charged, I would even say that the price would drop further, but if so, I believe it would be around 40k.

Code:
$39,754

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.HUGE.
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December 21, 2023, 02:32:27 PM
 #14

A bit of a strange decision, although my help was not great, I still hoped that this money could help his daughter.

And now it turns out that this will be a BTC price contest.

R


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December 21, 2023, 03:46:59 PM
 #15

I invest for the long term and what volatility does in the short term does not usually concern me much because it is unpredictable (with certainty, like using an algorithm).

Simply from the experience I have of following markets and the Bitcoin price I would say the price will then be around $47.5K.

Thanks to icopress, GazetaBitcoin and especially light_warrior's daughter.

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December 21, 2023, 05:33:11 PM
 #16

To be honest, I am surprised and a little bit concerned about such a decision made by light_warrior`s daughter. Maybe she didn't feel like she could use that money, like they didn't belong to her. However, that what she decided and I respect her choice.

I believe, that in the next couple of days we will see a little bit of growth. But during New Year`s holidays trading volume will decrease, leading to price rejection. My prediction is

Code:
$40,630

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December 21, 2023, 06:09:33 PM
 #17

True, but it was an order from one of his family members.
I want to thank @light_warriors' daughter for giving us, the forum members, a chance to remember one of our own. May his soul rest in peace.

Lately, I've been checking out discussions about past Bitcoin halvings, and I've noticed a trend. Some months before the halving, the price tends to dip, followed by a significant positive move just before settling. This has happened before during previous halving cycles, and I'm seeing it again. In early November, Bitcoin's price went from the 25-30k range to gradually reach 39k by month end. It moved to 40k in December and has stayed between 40-45k. Based on this, I think we might see a steady range of 42-45k until late January, just before moving upwards again before the halving takes place.

Before every  Bitcoin halving, there's usually more talk and excitement in the market. This excitement often leads to a rise in Bitcoin's price because more investors want to buy enough Bitcoins before the halving event. So, considering this historical pattern, here's my prediction.

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December 21, 2023, 07:44:01 PM
 #18

Thanks to @light_warrior Daughter for this, even in his passing on, he is still helping and contributing to the forum thanks once again to his daughter The Lord is your strength

My prediction is quite weird and I`m not really good at guessing but i just want to stick with it
Code:
$50,000

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December 21, 2023, 08:01:01 PM
 #19

Thanks to GazetaBitcoin, icopress and the family of light_warrior

Code:
$43,150

The marketcap might be down a bit before a new year because of the holiday season and start rising but slow in early January.

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December 21, 2023, 08:09:05 PM
 #20

That's touching honestly and thanks to all of the folks involved on this contest, lw's family, gazeta and icopress.



We've just broken the walls of $44k but then the market corrected so I think with few days remaining, this is possible to happen that we may see this price prediction that I've got. So, it's like a slow motion but possibly that it's gonna move to the next barrier of $45k, more FOMO gonna happen as January comes because of the close door meeting of BlackRock and SEC.

My price prediction:
Code:
$44,400

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December 21, 2023, 08:58:41 PM
Merited by GazetaBitcoin (1)
 #21

May God bless his soul.

May God bless his family.

May God bless both icopress and GazetaBitcoin for this contest.

I don't know if God exists, but right now, I hope he does and I hope he hears our prayers.

I would like to abstain from the contest, but please leave this message here, so my prayer can be seen.


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December 21, 2023, 11:38:09 PM
Last edit: December 22, 2023, 12:32:57 AM by avp2306
 #22

Maybe he's daughter think that support to his father and good messages she read here is enough for them that's why they decide to give back to the community as to show their appreciation to this community.

Rest in peace to Light_warrior.

Also thanks for people who exert this effort to reach a financial support for light_warrior's family.

Allow me to edit by submission to write my reason on why choose this price.

This is the nearest figure we can possibly reach at said timeline and there's huge possibilities that we can see this to happen since I believe halving hype is much stronger at at that time compare for current market condition.

My prediction

Code:
45,123

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December 22, 2023, 01:33:05 AM
 #23

$50000
If I win, please donate this to TOR project- bc1qtt04zfgjxg7lpqhk9vk8hnmnwf88ucwww5arsd

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...Next Generation Crypto Casino...
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December 22, 2023, 04:30:04 AM
 #24

The price of Bitcoin might not be correctly predicted by checking historical charts because we have never been in this present situation before (spot Bitcoin ETF). The awareness brought by the ETF will keep making the market unpredictable. If the SEC approves any of the applications will might see a rise while the price will drop if it is unapproved. My prediction will be $46,000 because there are greater chance that it will be approved.
Code:
$46,000


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December 22, 2023, 05:39:34 AM
 #25

Thanks @icopress for the PM, @GazetaBitcoin for facilitating this contest, and to other participants as well. RIP to light_warrior as well. One of the best in exposing plagiarists.

I'm not an expert in TA, but I only used 2 indicators to come up with that price. Fibonacci Retracement, and 21 Weekly Simple Moving Average. Wait I also used support and resistance as well. After all, it's a prediction contest, so good luck to all of us participants
Quote
$46,406

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..BUY/ SELL CRYPTO..
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December 22, 2023, 06:29:16 AM
 #26

Never knew the guy, but I truly feel sad for him and his family. Screw pathetic Putin! Also, it's really weird that she didn't accept the donations, but it's her choice at the end of the day. She is not alone since this forum is with her and I guess she knows that now.

Coming to the contest, I feel it would have been better to split the amount among 10 winners or something which would have made more people happier since it's Christmas season after all.

Anyway, I am expecting SEC to approve an ETF sometime later which is why my prediction is bearish.

Prediction: $41,673

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December 22, 2023, 09:08:43 AM
Merited by Xal0lex (2), apogio (2)
 #27

My prediction is:

Code:
38,111

December uses to be a great month for the price, but I have the feeling the end of the year is usually open for speculation, that can go to a unnatural direction. And since the halving is near, the unnatural direction is downwards.



PS. I find a bit unusual the high prize and the fact light_warrior's daughter didn't want it.
PPS. Whether I win or not, I will still light a candle for light_warrior's soul. RIP.

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December 22, 2023, 07:49:22 PM
 #28

My prediction is:

Code:
$41.325

A slightly correction it seems - but it's not a bad idea to accept due to saturation and some other reasons. But I don't think we'll get anything under $40K by then - hopefully not.



Previously - I have expressed my condolences for the death of light_warrior, of course this is sad news. But one thing makes me wonder - his daughter rejected the forum user's donations and chose to give back to the user in a different way. This contest is dedicated to him - of course.

icopress - really, that's a shocking news this is. I saw it was last active on December 03, 2023, 09:55:25 PM - that's a few days ago and certainly not that long ago. I convey my condolences to him and hope that his family will be given fortitude and strength after his passing.

I don't know what the cause of death was [maybe illness?] - but this is surprising news considering light_warrior was here a few days ago.

RIP for light_warrior.

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..BUY/ SELL CRYPTO..
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December 23, 2023, 08:58:18 AM
 #29

My prediction:

Code:
$49,369.24


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December 23, 2023, 09:58:50 AM
 #30

Big respect to the family member that preferred to use the money for a contest. I didn't know we lost a forum member, may God bless his soul.



Disclaimer: I'm a terrible predictor.

In last year, we moved from $16k to $20k, which was a nice ride; people forgot about FTX and moved on. In January 2022, we fell from $47k to $43k, and then we plummeted. Things were bearish for a whole year at least. In the last few months we have experienced very good levels, from $20k to $40k. I personally don't mind if it drops by a 10%, so I'll just say that with fingers crossed.

Code:
$38,700

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December 23, 2023, 02:10:01 PM
 #31

My prediction:

Code:
$47,777.77

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December 23, 2023, 05:56:36 PM
 #32

This is by far the saddest contest I have ever seen. If not for the wish of family, it would not feel right to join.

My prediction is not very likely, but a Bitcointalk member deserves to reach heaven if not the moon. Up 9% until the 9th:
Code:
$47,722

in a world of criminals who operate above the law
one man can make a difference and you are going to be that man
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December 23, 2023, 07:56:48 PM
 #33

I would like to thank the Light_Warrior family for this event in memory of him, as well as everyone involved for the initiative.

I waited a long time for a correction, because after such significant growth it seemed logical to me. But it seems that in anticipation of the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF, the price holds some levels very well, and it is possible that this will continue until there is a decision on their approval, and this is expected at the beginning of January. So I will assume that by this time the price should not change much.

My prediction:

Code:
$43,833.33

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December 23, 2023, 11:27:59 PM
 #34

It's always sad to have contact with someone's death, even if it was virtual like this.


I'm not a super predictor, especially when I'm biased and want something to go in only one direction. And the fact is that I hope for a drop in the price of Bitcoin, but it will probably be the opposite.
I think that January is the time when the demand for cryptocurrencies decreases so there is always a correction. Some important things were announced on Jan. 10. maybe they won't be so drastic.
So, my prediction is:

Code:
$41823.00

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December 24, 2023, 09:27:07 AM
Last edit: December 26, 2023, 08:00:31 AM by GazetaBitcoin
Merited by BlackHatCoiner (4), icopress (3), sompitonov (1)
 #35

Thank you all which participated so far in this contest. I understand those which said that it just does not feel right. You are right... I'll be honest and I'll tell you that also posting this topic did not feel right. I can't express the feeling I had when I posted this contest. But then I thought that in this way I may fulfill a wish of someone which is living a deep pain now. At least, I could help fulfilling this wish. Because for this wish to come true, besides organizing a contest, participants also had to show up. So in this way all participants also gave a hand of help in fulfilling the wish of light_warrior's daughter. Perhaps this is the lest we can do here...

It's a very sad moment. If we feel sad for him just imagine what his daughter is feeling right now... This is why I thank to all which enrolled already in this contest and I thank in advance to those which will enroll in the following days.

Btw, If I may, I would like to propose extending the submission of applications until December 31st.

Since the contest was made for fulfilling a wish of someone which is in deep suffering, I see no reason for not extending the application until Dec 31, end of day, forum time. Unless there will be objections to this change, applications are open until then...

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December 24, 2023, 10:55:29 AM
 #36

I thknk bitcoin price is going sideways until the new year , so my prediction is:

Code:
$42,323.23

May the ground be light for you light_warrior

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sompitonov
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December 24, 2023, 03:39:16 PM
 #37

We must fulfill the wish of daughter light_warrior. I think he will continue the battle for goodness and light in heaven.

Despite the fact that halving awaits us and there are just over 100 days left before it, I still think that before a significant and sharp leap upward (towards a new ATH in 2024), BTC will make a very slight decline in the coming weeks, which will coincide with the date 7 January.

Code:
$39,479.63

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Danydee
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December 25, 2023, 12:31:08 AM
 #38

Hello, my prediction:    Smiley
Code:
$44,753


Why?
I don't see major factors to let the price fall and there's many factors (like the congestion and the very high fees) that makes strong resistance to a regular growing of the price too.. and at last but no least, this is like I see it !  Grin

Thank you

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December 25, 2023, 12:54:45 AM
 #39

Prediction: $50,574.80

I believe a Bitcoin spot ETF will be approved early next year and price will remain bullish until then. Ordinals will become less relevant and the spam will clear out. Economic activity will grow significantly as more people will become interested in Bitcoin.

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December 25, 2023, 09:27:02 AM
 #40

Rest in peace Light_warrior !
To the family - my condolences and support....

Prediction 48760.00

Reasons - ETF approval, which will give a good start to new and significant investments in the crypto market

...AoBT...
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December 25, 2023, 10:15:51 AM
 #41

You will be forever remembered, Light_Warrior. Rest in peace.

My prediction:
Code:
$44,479.44
The reason behind my Bitcoin prediction is that I am bullish, and we all know that the halving is about to come.

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December 25, 2023, 04:32:26 PM
 #42

Code:
$37,373.73

Rest in Peace, light_warrior. It was nice to read your posts, you were a great forum participant. I hope that your family will be strong and overcome all difficulties.

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December 25, 2023, 04:47:42 PM
 #43

Prediction: $47,836.70

The price will be a long sideway on the other hand there will be an ETF approval at the beginning of the year, however it is likely that it will not be an overreaction hence I chose the above prediction.

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December 25, 2023, 05:35:59 PM
 #44

Here is my prediction:

Code:
44,644.12

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hedgeh0g
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December 25, 2023, 07:14:21 PM
 #45

Probably the acceptance or non-acceptance of the ETF won't have a very good effect on the price of BTC, but it should not fall much, it will only show a slight decrease.
After some time, this news will settle down and everything will be fine with Bitcoin.

Code:
38,421.92

We will always remember you light_warrior, you raised a very good daughter, she managed this money like that.

R


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LLBIT
  CRYPTO   
FUTURES
 1,000x 
LEVERAGE
COMPETITIVE
    FEES    
 INSTANT 
EXECUTION
.
   TRADE NOW   
AHOYBRAUSE
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December 26, 2023, 12:26:13 AM
 #46


I did not know about this sad story, may he rest in peace.

My prediction:
Code:
$42,424.10

I think we will move strong into the next year, even thinking the price might be higher than my prediction abut I like like the number 42.

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yahoo62278
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December 26, 2023, 03:02:03 AM
 #47

Code:
$42,500

I believe the spot ETF will help Bitcoin of course, but not right away. Bitcoin will stay at or near where it is currently.

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..PLAY NOW..
GazetaBitcoin (OP)
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December 26, 2023, 08:01:59 AM
 #48

Since the contest was made for fulfilling a wish of someone which is in deep suffering, I see no reason for not extending the application until Dec 31, end of day, forum time. Unless there will be objections to this change, applications are open until then...

As there were no objections so far, application period is officially extended until Dec 31, end of day (forum time). The information was also added to OP.

Good luck, everybody!

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bakasabo
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December 26, 2023, 12:53:36 PM
 #49

Code:
$43,288

The reason I have selected this price is simple. It was announced late in evening on December 7 that Light_warrior is no longer with us and is in better place, so I took BTC price on that date as my prediction.

R


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LLBIT
  CRYPTO   
FUTURES
 1,000x 
LEVERAGE
COMPETITIVE
    FEES    
 INSTANT 
EXECUTION
.
   TRADE NOW   
Danydee
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December 26, 2023, 01:51:40 PM
 #50

Since the contest was made for fulfilling a wish of someone which is in deep suffering, I see no reason for not extending the application until Dec 31, end of day, forum time. Unless there will be objections to this change, applications are open until then...

As there were no objections so far, application period is officially extended until Dec 31, end of day (forum time). The information was also added to OP.

Good luck, everybody!
So can we change submission ??! Roll Eyes

paid2
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December 26, 2023, 04:24:32 PM
 #51

So can we change submission ??! Roll Eyes

I think that despite the extension we can't change our prediction.  Cheesy

-snip-
Eligibility
Participants must have their accounts registered before Sept 1st, 2023 and must have at least 10 merits earned in the past 120 days.
Those with legitimate negative feedback from a DT user are not eligible (the legitimacy of the feedback is analyzed by me).
Registration with multiple accounts is forbidden. If I catch anyone trying this I will leave him a negative feedback.
Each user may make only one prediction.
Predictions can not be edited.
Applications can be submitted until Dec 25th 31st, 23:59:59 (forum time).

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JanEmil
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December 26, 2023, 04:39:57 PM
 #52

39000$

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December 26, 2023, 06:12:37 PM
 #53

So can we change submission ??! Roll Eyes

I think that despite the extension we can't change our prediction.  Cheesy

-snip-
Eligibility
Participants must have their accounts registered before Sept 1st, 2023 and must have at least 10 merits earned in the past 120 days.
Those with legitimate negative feedback from a DT user are not eligible (the legitimacy of the feedback is analyzed by me).
Registration with multiple accounts is forbidden. If I catch anyone trying this I will leave him a negative feedback.
Each user may make only one prediction.
Predictions can not be edited.
Applications can be submitted until Dec 25th 31st, 23:59:59 (forum time).

Maybe deleting and posting another one ! ?? Roll Eyes

bisdak40
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December 27, 2023, 03:33:24 AM
 #54

Code:
$44,174.30


^^ My prediction, even with the ETF approval next year, bitcoin price will not surge directly but will remain near the current price till January.



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December 27, 2023, 03:41:22 AM
 #55

Please add some explanation as to why you picked that price. It's a requirement that has been posted in the OP.
Participants will also have to explain in a few words why they believe BTC will have the prize they predicted -- this condition is a must for the application to be considered eligible.
My prediction:
Code:
$45,319.40
39000$

.BEST..CHANGE.███████████████
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..BUY/ SELL CRYPTO..
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December 27, 2023, 04:01:45 AM
 #56

$43,650.15

I assume the price will hover around the $43k level as more people continue to increase their Bitcoin savings due to the halving being only a few months away.

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 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
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December 27, 2023, 06:53:12 PM
 #57

So can we change submission ??! Roll Eyes
I think that despite the extension we can't change our prediction.  Cheesy
Maybe deleting and posting another one ! ?? Roll Eyes

Indeed, the extension of the applications did not imply anything about the possibility of editing the post.

Deleting the old post and making a new one was not forbidden in the existing rules, thus it can be done. It's not exactly something in the spirit of the contest, but since it was not forbidden from the beggining, you can do it, if you really feel like doing it...

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Becassine
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December 28, 2023, 02:16:12 AM
 #58

Good evening, it's a bit of a strange contest.

If I ever win something, I'll put the prize away because lightwarrior's daughter has every right to change her mind, in emotion she may consider money is nothing. But maybe she'll need it later and, in the end, the donors had planned to help her (and the family of lightwarrior). If so, whenever, just let me know. At the same time, my intuition isn't always very reliable, either for predictions or for anything else.

My prediction is 45,015 dollars, because it's my feminine intuition and there's no other reason.                                                                                                                                                                

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Peach
BTC bitcoin
Buy and Sell
Bitcoin P2P
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EUROPE | AFRICA
LATIN AMERICA
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December 28, 2023, 10:11:36 PM
 #59

39000$

FTX sale stories will push us bit down.

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December 28, 2023, 10:23:02 PM
 #60

It's a really sad occasion for a giveaway but the fact that light_warrior's daugther has decided to do it, is a really humble decision.  Smiley

About a price prediction: it's always difficult, even just a few days but let's be bullish on this one.
Bitcoin is having a great year so far, few days remaining and early January next year could be even more positive in case of an ETF approval (seems to be likely).
Halving will be next.
I'm expecting more FOMO of course.  Wink
My prediction:

Code:
46,900 USD

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December 29, 2023, 10:37:54 AM
 #61

My condolences to anyone who has been affected by this tragic event. In particular I hope the very best for light_warrior's daughter. Having to suffer from what is going on in their home country is probably more than the average human being can reasonably cope with, but losing loved ones during times of darkness and sadness is even worse. Also, my best regards to the forum member who accommodated light_warrior and his daughter since the time of the invasion.



Code:
$$42,725.50

Giving the reason for the prediction is contradictory to my take on price predictions in general Smiley that's why I can't provide a very sophisticated answer here. I don't expect too much price action in either direction and hence went with the price that I just looked up.

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December 29, 2023, 12:08:04 PM
 #62

My prediction is 54,666 BTC.

I think the bitcoin price will skyrocket around that date because bitcoin ETF will most likely be approved during that time and the HYPE it will cause for bitcoin investors.
ETF for bitcoin will most likely be approved around the 10th of Jan (most likely and I could be wrong in this guess)
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December 29, 2023, 08:24:07 PM
 #63

To be honest, I am not good at predicting Bitcoin in the near future, but I have a strong belief that Bitcoin will reach a new ATH after the halving occurs.

But considering that next year's ETF approval will take place in January, I don't think the price of bitcoin will immediately rise that month and will not fall below $40k.
So, my prediction

Code:
$$43,890.81

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December 30, 2023, 06:52:22 AM
 #64

Here is my prediction although I don't think my speculation would be anywhere close but still I would like to keep a positive notion to it

Code:
 $$ 44,200.50

And once again my deepest condolences to the Ukrainian community and also to the family of light_warrior. May your journey on the great beyond an easy and blissful one. RIP LIGHT_WARRIOR

R


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Learn Bitcoin
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December 30, 2023, 12:10:29 PM
 #65

First of all, Thanks for this contest.
Thank you, Light Warrior, for your contribution. The forum will miss you. Stay well.

My predicted price is
Code:
$44550

Here is why; Bitcoin has already touched the 44K price range, and it is down a little for now. Since ETF approvals are awaiting, we may see some movements in the market. I don't know much about it. Since the ETF approval estimated after January 9, it won't affect much. So, I will pick 44550 as my prediction.

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December 30, 2023, 05:34:29 PM
 #66

Code:
$53552

why? i took the lowest expectation and the highest expectation from this topic, then used them to generate a random number from this range of digits


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December 30, 2023, 07:42:09 PM
 #67

why? i took the lowest expectation and the highest expectation from this topic, then used them to generate a random number from this range of digits

And you did it just once ?!  Grin

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December 30, 2023, 08:28:01 PM
 #68

And you did it just once ?!  Grin


I decided to keep the first result, since the others were not up to the current price either.

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December 30, 2023, 09:35:20 PM
 #69

I want to say Thank You for this great contest, and Rest in peace light_warrior.


My prediction is that :

Code:
$43.892,27

January will probably be a bullrun until February because the Apple Vision Pro is released, and at the end of February we will enter the bitcoin halving phase.



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December 31, 2023, 02:14:20 AM
Last edit: December 31, 2023, 11:41:46 PM by Woodie
Merited by GazetaBitcoin (1)
 #70

_____________________________________________________
NamePrediction Reason for price Given Y/N
_____________________________________________________
icopress$33,420Y
paid2$42,100Y
JollyGood$39,110Y
mikeywith$48,200Y
ajiz138$46,263Y
Cantsay$45,302Y
julerz12$55,000Y
joker_josue$39,754Y
Etranger$40,630Y
Hatchy$44500Y
Amphenomenon$50,000Y
Sunderland$43,150Y
tabas$44,400Y
avp2306$45,123Y
Little Mouse$50000Y
Die_empty$46,000Y
LogitechMouse$46,406Y
Haunebu$41,673Y
NeuroticFish$38,111Y
_BlackStar$41.325Y
notblox1$49,369.24N
BlackHatCoiner$38,700Y
Betwrong$47,777.77N
Knight Hider$47,722Y
Inwestour$43,833.33Y
examplens$41823Y
hopenotlate$42,323.23Y
sompitonov$39,479.63Y
Danydee$44,753Y
FinneysTrueVision$50,574.80Y
DrBeer$48760Y
xLays$44,479.44Y
summonerrk$37,373.73Y
BABY SHOES$47,836.70Y
dkbit98$44,644.12N
hedgeh0g$38,421.92Y
AHOYBRAUSE$42,424.10Y
yahoo62278$42,500Y
bakasabo$43,288Y
JanEmil$39000*Y
bisdak40$44,174.30Y
ralle14$43,650.15Y
Becassine$45,015Y
1miau$46,900Y
mv1986$42,725.50Y
worldofcoins$54,666Y
bbigtart$43,890.81Y
Mr.suevie$44,200.50Y
Learn Bitcoin$44550Y
xandry$53552Y
jeha2015$43.892,27Y
GazetaBitcoin$44,100.05Y
Helena Yu$40,000Y
puloweh555$45,771.54Y
shogun47$43,520.55Y
Potato Chips$43,111,11Y
Woodie$41325Y
USERNAME$ XXXXXX
USERNAME$ XXXXXX
USERNAME$ XXXXXX
USERNAME$ XXXXXX
USERNAME$ XXXXXX

R


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December 31, 2023, 08:08:23 AM
 #71

Thank you for the nice table Woodie! It may help a lot!



I'll also take this opportunity for making a prediction: $44,100.05

I believe BTC price will continue a slowly ascending path, as halving date keeps getting closer and closer. Perhaps it won't soar over the night but it'll keep a slow, but steady, ascension.

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December 31, 2023, 10:34:51 AM
 #72

Rest In Peace light_warrior, you have a big contribution in this forum, you will be missed. Smiley

I also want to thank people who're associated in this contest (light_warrior's family, GazetaBitcoin, and icopress)


My prediction: $40,000

Bitcoin's price is keep rising, so I expect a downturn due to volatility, Bitcoin price will not always increase or vice versa.

R


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December 31, 2023, 11:31:25 AM
 #73

Rest in peace Light_warrior!
Hopefully the family left behind will be given fortitude and patience for his passing, especially for the daughter of the deceased.

My prediction:

Code:
Prediction 45,771.54

My reason is because if we count backwards, we have 10 more days to wait for ETF approval, so I think this will be good news before we enter the Bitcoin Halving which is only a few months away.


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December 31, 2023, 08:22:10 PM
 #74

I hope light_warrior rests in peace and I wish his daughter the same heavenly peace to soon return to her home country!

My prediction:

Code:
Prediction 43,520.55

I am getting push notifications about rumors regarding the ETF approval, but it is hard to say how much the market will still react to it. I predict a small uptick when the approval comes beginning of January.



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Peach
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Buy and Sell
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December 31, 2023, 08:39:20 PM
 #75

Holidays are over and halving is near so I'm expecting a downtrend but there are buzz around ETF so my guess the price would tiptoe between 40K and 45K hence:

My prediction:

Code:
Prediction $43,111,11



Rest In Peace light_warrior and I sincerely hope the year 2024 will be good to his family 🙇

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 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
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.. PLAY NOW ..
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December 31, 2023, 11:39:23 PM
 #76

Condolences to the light_warrior family , the forum morns with you , RIP🕯️🕊️



We are in the festive season and at the moment markets aren't as active as we would want them which tells me price will be ranging and dancing sideways aka consolidation,with that been said my price prediction is in line with being bearish and this might continue for the next 2 weeks before momentum comes in to push price up. My prediction 👇👇👇

Code:
$41325

Bulls🐮 vs Bears 🐻

R


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LLBIT
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January 01, 2024, 11:18:19 AM
 #77

I am locking the topic now until announcing the winners for avoiding having other predictions posted by accident. Thank you all for the participation!

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January 01, 2024, 11:32:16 AM
 #78

I am locking the topic now until announcing the winners for avoiding having other predictions posted by accident. Thank you all for the participation!

Good luck to all the participants and once more: RIP light_warrior.

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January 12, 2024, 03:37:33 PM
Merited by 1miau (4)
 #79

Aaaand, after a long wait, here are our winners!



January 9th, 2024 2:54 UTC BTC Price : $46,777

. Third place .
Code:
$46,263

. Second place .
Quote
$46,406

. First place .
Code:
46,900 USD

Congratulations to the winners and big thank you to all other participants!
The winners should send me their BTC addresses for receiving their prizes.

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January 12, 2024, 04:01:25 PM
 #80

Congrats to the three winners  Cool
GG guys!

Thank you Gazeta for the flawless contest  Smiley Smiley

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January 12, 2024, 04:24:31 PM
 #81

Wow, Shocked I predicted 3rd place.
I would also like to congratulate the other winners for making this prediction contest run smoothly.

Thank you Gazeta, I will send BTC address in PM. Wink

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January 12, 2024, 04:56:35 PM
 #82

If I had made a guess it would have been $55k so I would have been far apart.

Congratulations to all the participant and of course to GazetaBitcoin and icopress.

Lastly, farewell light_warrior!


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January 12, 2024, 05:48:54 PM
 #83

I hope the daughter and family/friends of light_warrior are happy at the way the contest played out. It was a fun contest that was in accordance with the wishes of the daughter of light_warrior as a tribute to her father. I wish the best for all of his family, especially for his daughter and hope that they know ,amy people in the forum send our condolences.

Congratulations to all three winners and also to all those that participated and made this a memorable thread.

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January 12, 2024, 10:22:49 PM
Merited by satscraper (10), icopress (4), BlackHatCoiner (4), Mia Chloe (4), paid2 (3), RickDeckard (2), Etranger (2), sokani (2), hopenotlate (1), Haunebu (1), tabas (1), DdmrDdmr (1), tvplus006 (1), GazetaBitcoin (1), Cantsay (1)
 #84

After winning first place here, I would like to donate my win to an Ukrainian aid campaign, organized by forum member @derBowler.
So, funds will "stay" in Ukraine to help Ukrainians. I believe that purpose is a good one in memory of light_warrior.
Previously, I've translated the topic of @derBowler's charity here: derBowler's project: using Bitcoin to help Ukrainians
Unfortunately, the recent picture ban has also affected that topic but some pictures are still available, like here.

Original German topic is available here, where I've just written an announcement if his recent address is still active.
I'll PM you soon about sending the funds, GazetaBitcoin.


Congrats to all winners as well and many thanks @GazetaBitcoin and @icopress for your organizing effort.  Smiley

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January 13, 2024, 01:03:04 AM
 #85

If @icopress hadn't sent me a PM regarding the contest, I would not have known that there would be a contest like this. Thanks to you. Smiley
Also, thanks to @GazetaBitcoin for organizing the contest. I did thank you through PM, but still, I want to say it here in public. Of course to light_warrior's daughter for choosing to share the donations to different users here. She might not see this one, but I'll pray for light_warrior, and his family as well. Wishing all the best for them, and again, the whole forum is sending our condolences to the whole family.

If only there's no important event that will happen next week (my wedding), I would donate the whole winnings to different dog shelters here in my place because I've been, and will always be a dog lover. I guess I'll do it in the next weeks through my signature campaign earnings. Smiley You can just ignore this one. I just shared a bit of my life.

Anyway, thanks to all participants, organizers, and those who are involved in this contest. Congratulations to us winners. My condolences again to @light_warrior.

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January 13, 2024, 09:06:09 AM
 #86

Congratulations to all the winners, and the organization of the event.

I think it was a good tribute/memorial to @light_warrior made by the family and this forum.

Big hug to everyone.

.
.HUGE.
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January 13, 2024, 10:14:00 AM
Merited by satscraper (5), 1miau (1)
 #87

After winning first place here, I would like to donate my win to an Ukrainian aid campaign, organized by forum member @derBowler.
So, funds will "stay" in Ukraine to help Ukrainians. I believe that purpose is a good one in memory of light_warrior.
Previously, I've translated the topic of @derBowler's charity here: derBowler's project: using Bitcoin to help Ukrainians
Unfortunately, the recent picture ban has also affected that topic but some pictures are still available, like here.

Original German topic is available here, where I've just written an announcement if his recent address is still active.
I'll PM you soon about sending the funds, GazetaBitcoin.


Congrats to all winners as well and many thanks @GazetaBitcoin and @icopress for your organizing effort.  Smiley

That is very decent decision. As a Ukrainian, I can say how important this help is for us. For example, today's morning once again began from missile attack all over the country, I had to hide in the shelter with my baby for several hours. But knowing that there are people, especially not only from Ukraine, but also from other states,  who really care, even though this is not their war directly, is really helpful and it gives a lot of hope and strengths for me personally, and helps to survive this horror. I am sure, light_warrior would be grateful to you, because he also cared a lot about the well-being of Ukrainian people. Thank you!

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January 13, 2024, 10:56:43 AM
Merited by 1miau (1)
 #88

After winning first place here, I would like to donate my win to an Ukrainian aid campaign

This is an incredibly nice gesture, 1miau! I, for one, feel very touched... I take my hat off in front of your gesture.

Besides, thank you all which expressed nice words above. I read all posts and such words are moving. May this contest bring a short smile on light_warrior's daughter...

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January 13, 2024, 07:39:34 PM
Merited by 1miau (1)
 #89

Friends Hello everyone! Thank you for taking part in this competition.

I just processed payments.

Code:
Ajiz: 0.008BTC
LogitechMouse: 0.008BTC
1miau/derBowler's project: 0.013BTC

It seems I accidentally sent 8mBTC to the user who took 3rd place.

No refund is required, I will simply assume that 2nd and 3rd place received 30% of the total fund.

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January 14, 2024, 05:15:39 AM
 #90

Congrats to all the winners though @1miau deserves first position thanks to his philanthropic efforts. He basically diverted the money from one Ukraine citizen to another in epic fashion. Salute @1miau!

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January 14, 2024, 07:05:10 PM
 #91

No refund is required, I will simply assume that 2nd and 3rd place received 30% of the total fund.

While some such incidents can happen sometimes (and usually they are not very fortunate for the ones mistaking), I think this is a very nice gesture from icopress and the winners can be even more happy for taking part in this contest Smiley Big thumb up for icopress' decision!



1miau deserves first position thanks to his philanthropic efforts. He basically diverted the money from one Ukraine citizen to another in epic fashion. Salute @1miau!

Such people are more and more rare in our days... It is really to be admired what he did!

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