ChiBitCTy (OP)
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January 04, 2024, 09:29:08 PM Last edit: January 05, 2024, 03:29:15 PM by ChiBitCTy |
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I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic rule of thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
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Yaunfitda
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January 04, 2024, 09:33:38 PM |
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I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
I'm not familiar with this strategy though and this is the first time that I heard about it. Could be true or not, but as gamblers, we might take this into consideration, however, we could have our own analysis in when to bet on the underdog regardless of what time of the week it is or not. So it really depends on whether you will go and used this strategy or it will work or not, hard to say. But if we have follow our favorite sports then we might at least see if there will be a huge upset anytime of the day or the underdogs are live, meaning even if the sports bookies put them in that category, they might pull some miracle and win the game.
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Oshosondy
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January 04, 2024, 09:37:00 PM |
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I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
As long as you are using the money that you can afford to lose to gamble. But there would be more loss if you are later betting on underdogs to win in the week. This is because even if the strong team do not win the underdog, the strong team still have the chance to draw the match. The low odd and the draw makes me not to like football betting like casinos. Betting on the underdogs weekly will only bring more losses than expected. But if you have the money you can afford to lose for the loss, that is not a bad idea if the money is just very small.
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Hamphser
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January 04, 2024, 09:38:27 PM |
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I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
Never ever on my betting career or experience on which i did make out such move or strategy on which i do make out some bets basing up in the day of each week on which there's no significant influence if we do speak about probabilities on which it would really be just that on his own ways or methods.If this strategy would be working on him then its good, but we know that not all people would be sharing up with the same luck on every moment and we dont share up on the same bets , unless if he would be sharing up his then people could follow but i do highly still doubt on that. Do the things or strategies on which you do know that you could be having the advantage because not every strategy would work for you would work into others. So bare that in mind always.
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cryptomaniac_xxx
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January 04, 2024, 09:43:28 PM |
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I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
Never ever on my betting career or experience on which i did make out such move or strategy on which i do make out some bets basing up in the day of each week on which there's no significant influence if we do speak about probabilities on which it would really be just that on his own ways or methods.If this strategy would be working on him then its good, but we know that not all people would be sharing up with the same luck on every moment and we dont share up on the same bets , unless if he would be sharing up his then people could follow but i do highly still doubt on that. Do the things or strategies on which you do know that you could be having the advantage because not every strategy would work for you would work into others. So bare that in mind always. I agree, but who knows, maybe the OP can try this kind of strategy for quite sometime and see how it does for him? It might be a hit or miss strategy though and so like the countless strategies that we have heard in any sports. So for me, I doubt this strategy, I think everything is still base on who we like to bet on weekends whether they are the underdog or heavy favorite. At the end of the time, the decision is still up to us, if we put money on the underdog base on our analysis and if they won then good for us. Perhaps being a fan has some advantage as well as you can "read" a potential win or avoid a team if you know that they are going to lose.
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Oilacris
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January 04, 2024, 10:57:12 PM |
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I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
As long as you are using the money that you can afford to lose to gamble. But there would be more loss if you are later betting on underdogs to win in the week. This is because even if the strong team do not win the underdog, the strong team still have the chance to draw the match. The low odd and the draw makes me not to like football betting like casinos. Betting on the underdogs weekly will only bring more losses than expected. But if you have the money you can afford to lose for the loss, that is not a bad idea if the money is just very small. If you are really that curious and really that having those questions if it does work then you could always opt to test it out for yourself whether it do works or not. ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) For sure there would be those people who would really be that testing out this kind of strategy if it does work or not. I agree into those points above that luck wont really be something similar into each person.If it does work on you but it doesnt mean that it will work on others. So its situational because choices will differ and sports choices would differ too. This is why it wont really be that precise on what would happen into each person.
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ChiBitCTy (OP)
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January 04, 2024, 11:04:51 PM |
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I guess I should note that this more so refers directly to NFL and College football (🏈). They get a week between each game so typically from what I have seen, this is often how spreads adjust over the week between games, but I’m not sure how often it holds true.
Keep in mind this isn’t as much of a thing for sports and teams that play every couple days or so.
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goinmerry
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January 04, 2024, 11:09:38 PM |
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So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
Maybe it will work but the question is, are those odds by the Favorites worthy to bet on that specific bet? Is risky for me to bet a decent amount on low odds compared to high odds. It's like you need to bet a decent on Favorites just to feel the profit. And in the worst case, those Favorites might be stunned by the Underdogs even during the early week. Though we can do some experiments there and form a conclusion. If you have some extras, why not try to bet on the sequence and see the result. Maybe you can form a sort of betting pattern specifically designed and effective on that specific league.
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Sanitough
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January 05, 2024, 01:02:31 PM |
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I usually bet on favorites, and when I'm very confident in my bet, I tend to place it early as soon as the line is available.
Based on what I've noticed, favorite lines often move as the game time approaches. For instance, if I bet on the favorite at -3.5, and the line moves to -4.5 nearing the game, it could mean I'm getting value. This adjustment could provide me with an additional point, which would be beneficial if the favorite only wins by 4. However, please do note that this strategy is not guaranteed to work all the time. There are instances when significant line movement only occurs due to a sudden announcement, such as a star player not playing for whatever reasons, or changing from a previously listed doubtful status to active. Such scenarios are typically outliers, making them special cases.
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cabron
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January 05, 2024, 02:18:53 PM |
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The odds I think are better when you are earlier. While the match is just a week later the odds could be 1.50 but by the time it's just a day or two the odds could be 1.20 which means you could win bigger but this is not the rule of thumb. The bigger you bet the bigger amount you will win still.
Betting on favorites is still better like they said because the chances of winning is higher than going for the underdog.
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agustina2
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January 05, 2024, 02:44:20 PM Last edit: January 05, 2024, 02:57:52 PM by agustina2 |
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I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
I think it depends on specific sports and leagues. I don't know how teams in those professional leagues in Football behave within a week, but if I take that idea of placing bets on Favorites early in the week and then Underdogs a week later, it might not work and be effective in basketball leagues, especially NBA and to our local basketball league where the ball is always round. I mean, Favorites are always being upset by Underdogs that's why it's even harder to make a parlay betting with only Favorites here in basketball leagues specifically on the NBA. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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Wexnident
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January 05, 2024, 03:19:23 PM |
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~
Never heard of it before. Isn't this most likely just an edge case that the podcast talked about since, well, it was an edge case so it was a rather rare situation for them as well? Tbf they can just bs their way to describe some random stuff sometimes since it makes no sense (at least to me) how the day of the week would manage to influence the bets. Though I guess you can reason out that the underdogs don't seem too bad compared to the losing teams of earlier matches, so the odds get adjusted based on that. Probably.
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Ruttoshi
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January 05, 2024, 03:33:28 PM |
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They may be right or wrong. In sportbet, I don't think that there is any particular time in the week that is for the strong or underdogs. What I know is that a strong team has a higher chance of winning the underdog because they are well experienced than the under dogs and they also have quality players, this is why I will not accept with this conclusion.
It is always once in a while that we see underdogs winning a strong team and if it happens like that and you were lucky to bet on the underdog team, you will win a good amount of money. Gambling is based on luck and nobody knows when he will be lucky, this is why you should have you don't need to gamble with an amount that will cause you pain.
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Slow death
Legendary
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January 05, 2024, 03:34:47 PM |
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I have never heard about this strategy, and I sincerely doubt that it is a strategy that generates constant profit, in my opinion it is more of a way of testing your luck than betting based on team analysis. You can test this strategy, use little money, something like less than $1 and then draw your own conclusions. After testing this strategy, also test making simple bets using team analysis. start by seeing how each team performed in the last 5 games at home and away and which players were playing in the last 5 games and which is the best 11 of the team and which is the best performance of the team when it is at its peak
This will all allow you to see which is the best and worst 11 on the team and then you just need to wait when they announce the 11 for each team that will play and bet on the team with the best 11. After the game ends, see if you won or not and start comparing whether it's really worth using the strategy you mentioned in this thread or whether it's worth betting on simple bets where you've carefully analyzed each team. The problem with believing in strategies made and published by other people on the internet is that the person has no proof that they are telling the truth and how those people are doing with such strategies that they keep publishing
That's why it's important to always not believe what people say when they talk about strategies that are profitable in gambling, so what the person should do is carry out experiments using little money to prove whether these strategies really work or is that all? lie. and even if the experiments were to work, one should still be cautious, playing with only money that one can afford to lose. The ideal is for the person to create their own strategy and not depend on the strategies of other people who even go so far as to sell things and do not accept being shown proof that the strategy works. so never pay for any strategy related to gambling
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electronicash
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January 05, 2024, 03:36:23 PM |
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I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
I think it depends on specific sports and leagues. I don't know how teams in those professional leagues in Football behave within a week, but if I take that idea of placing bets on Favorites early in the week and then Underdogs a week later, it might not work and be effective in basketball leagues, especially NBA and to our local basketball league where the ball is always round. I mean, Favorites are always being upset by Underdogs that's why it's even harder to make a parlay betting with only Favorites here in basketball leagues specifically on the NBA. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) football is hard to predict although bookmakers show who are their favorite, the underdog they think will lose oftentimes win. this is why it's best to just bet when the football match is live. but we all have a different take on this. every time i do this, 1 or 2 out of 5 bets in favor of the favorites lose. sometimes i think i would just bet for the underdog instead for higher returns.
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adultcrypto
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January 05, 2024, 03:37:49 PM |
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I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
I don't see how this is a strategy because the better teams will always stand a better chance of winning irrespective of when the bet is placed. Maybe the proponents have tested it and it worked for them which is fine for them. I find it difficult knowing when the under-dogs will win a match so I don't force myself taking the risk. I love playing high probability bets and I consider the form of the teams in my selections as that have a way of giving me a clue of their performance. I know the probabilistic nature of gambling so I try to make it be in my favor.
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rhomelmabini
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January 05, 2024, 04:08:25 PM |
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So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
For me depending if you love betting during live I guess, there's no favorites when it comes to that. There's nothing like early of the week or later of the week cause I love to bet now during live, so it would certainly be changed. Well, probably it's fine on other sports but I think basketball has different vibes.
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ethereumhunter
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January 05, 2024, 04:27:06 PM |
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It depends on the situation and conditions that occur in the bet. But what is clear is that, whatever the situation and conditions, you need to make sure you place bets only with money you can afford. That's all, and that is the key because whatever strategy you use still depends on the use of the money. If you do as suggested by the podcast but with big money because you want to win big but it turns out you lose, it will only leave you with regret. But if you place a bet with small money, you will not regret it, even if you use the recommended strategy or a different one.
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moneystery
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January 05, 2024, 04:40:53 PM |
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this is the first time i've heard of a strategy like this and it's quite interesting too. but for me, who only bets a few times a month, i don't really care about strategies like this in betting, because i only bet on strong teams that i think have the potential to win.
but maybe if you are curious about this strategy you can try betting with this strategy with a little capital, and see how this strategy can give you a profit. if you feel that the strategy is good enough, you can continue betting with that strategy and share your experience with all of us here, who knows, the strategy might work well.
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Beparanf
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January 05, 2024, 04:44:44 PM |
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So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
This depends on the sports you are betting and the match scheduled for that specific date. Because the date in general doesn’t affect the match result regardless if it’s favorite or underdog. This is not a rule of thumb in general because the schedule of matches on weekdays and weekends varies. Probably the podcast you are listening is pertaining to a specific league that already have matches scheduled available for the whole league. He probably already analyzed all the upcoming matches and notice that most of the game on weekdays and weekends has a specific pattern already.
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