Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy...

[decodx]

Never came across anything like it before but it piqued my interest.  Makes some sense that the spreads get bigger later in the week so the underdogs become more tempting and  i wonder if anyone's tried using this strategy and actually won more bets.  Could be worth a shot.  If it works, awesome, you found a new way to beat the sportsbooks.  If not, it was an interesting experiment at least.  Maybe some of you sharps out there have thoughts on whether this strategy holds water.  I'm curious what people who know more about betting than me think.

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[ralle14]

It's worth following occasionally if you can wait several days or weeks. Make sure the sportsbooks you use always put up early lines because there are still sportsbooks that put up lines once the match is a day or two away from kickoff. If you're lucky enough, you could get a 5% - 20% difference in winnings because the odds difference between a few points can go for that much.

Unfortunately, I don't follow it due to my flexible betting style, but I always see other gamblers catching good lines whenever they're about to share the picks they've made.

[Quidat]

It's worth following occasionally if you can wait several days or weeks. Make sure the sportsbooks you use always put up early lines because there are still sportsbooks that put up lines once the match is a day or two away from kickoff. If you're lucky enough, you could get a 5% - 20% difference in winnings because the odds difference between a few points can go for that much.

Unfortunately, I don't follow it due to my flexible betting style, but I always see other gamblers catching good lines whenever they're about to share the picks they've made.

Odds could really be that indeed different if those lines are already available 5 days before the fight or event comparing if its been given on that particular day or day 1 or 2
on which if you are really that assured that a certain player/team could win then that would really be giving out that advantage since you could really be able to earn more
but just like you've said that im also a bettor who do have that flexible betting style on which it could really be that too early or could really be just that having on point.
It would really be just that depending on the assessment whether the bet to take is considerable or something that i could say i'd pass.

[Weawant]

I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum).  I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic rule of thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.  

So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it.  Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy.  Thoughts?

It doesn't really matter the strategy you are using, everyday isn't a win day and they means that even with the best strategy you are not guaranteed of winning yet until you have won your game and it's been paid out they you can be sure for certain that your strategy worked and is a sure and good one.

Betting on the underdogs latter in the week usually comes with bigger odds meanwhile that of the bigger team reduces as the scheduled day new so if you want to take advantage of the odd then you are advised to make your stake over the week and then not waiting to the day scheduled for the game as by the they will definitely be slight change in the odds which are definitely dynamic. It's always good to explore odds before the scheduled day for the game if you want you possible win to be bigger.

[Rufsilf]

It may even work out well for you. There's nothing to lose by giving the strategy a shot. If you bet on favorites early in the week or underdogs late in the week, you will typically examine your choices since we base our decisions on how the odds for favorites and underdogs are moving in sports betting. Having said that, it's crucial to remember that there are many complicated sports betting strategies out there and that winning at betting often requires an in-depth understanding of the particular sport, team, and betting markets. Like any gambling, there are risks associated with sports betting, and there is no surefire way to be successful.

[Darker45]

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted. But I highly doubt the accuracy of this strategy. Surely, sports bettors don't just place a bet based on which player or team is the favorite and which is the underdog. Actually, it's only now that I heard of this approach or strategy in sports betting. I'm also not a professional bettor myself, so I could have missed this strategy. But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets.

[danherbias07]

I am no expert too so I might try this one. Never heard of it before but it somehow caught my attention. Maybe, I will first have a trial and error or analyze if it does happen by checking on the games in this week to come.
Did they say if this is applicable in every sport? Then the timeline too? This should be Eastern Time right? An example would be like this day. It's a Sunday night in the US while it's Monday morning in other places of the world. So it's the first day of the week against the last day of the week.

I think it's Eastern Time because right now underdogs are winning in NBA. It's Sunday. Some underdogs kept the game close and if we take the + spreads we will win it.
I am putting this in my sticky notes so that I won't forget it. I mean I will add this to my consideration before putting my bets and after analysis. I have been losing some of my games so I'd take any strategy that I will see when it comes to sports betting.
Thanks for sharing @ChiChiBitCTy.

[Questat]

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted.

If you are regularly betting on sports, you will know this thing. It's a rule of a thumb since most bettors would choose to bet on the favorites spread compared to the underdog, so when the line is available, they'll hammer it until the spread will increase to balance the bets. That's why betting early gives you an advantage.

The key here is "line movement".

Check this NBA lines, https://www.sportsline.com/nba/odds/... and see its movement.

[Kakmakr]

Why would a strategy like this work? The only scenario where this can be succesful, is when there are mass manipulation of different games or fights.

I think this is just a Sport betting myth and not something that can be statistically proven. If this was true... everyone would be doing this and casinos would have gone bankrupt.

[piebeyb]

I am also not a professional gambler I think this strategy is not good enough and also not bad enough either, so far I play sports betting always make sure to use analysis and research in-depth information before betting on matches that are underdogs or really not underdogs, it all comes back Again, it's up to your own luck, don't think that this strategy is also good to use because this method still won't work.

What I mean is that this doesn't mean that the strategy can't work either, sometimes everyone has their own way of gambling, you probably know that every professional bets on gambling based on proper analysis too because without that kind of ability it's difficult to guess which ones are worth betting on. seeded or not seeded, for me betting on big leagues and top teams in the world is better than using a strategy like that. 

[rahmad2nd]

I can't study it carefully, because I didn't fully listen to the podcast you were listening to. you are just quoting the main points from the podcast you listened to, namely the basic rules that must be adhered to when betting on sports, betting on favorites at the start of the week and Under-dogs at the end of the week. my question is, is this rule a definite basis, and is the source who said this an expert in that field? honestly, I'm not familiar with this statement. just like you do, I also always listen to podcasts about sports in my local media. there is a lot of material that I can get, it even becomes knowledge for me to involve in betting. honestly, I'm not sure that I necessarily agree that it's a strategy. ideally, anyone who is a resource person in a podcast that discusses gambling, even with their advice, not necessarily what they say is what they apply or even do.

I'm also not a professional gambler, but I like sports. I rarely listen to podcasts about strategies in sports betting, but I prefer ones that discuss material related to football. because of this, it could be useful points for me personally. for example, I follow several channels such as podcasts that discuss football and also analysis in football. this is important for me, because at least I have an idea of ​​what the coach will implement with his system, patterns and strategies. so, we don't have to bet like "Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy" because this is not ideal for me personally. for me the most effective strategy is to know about the sport itself, what I mean is football. in this way, we can study and analyze how a team will play its match. if I explain too long, the community may not agree. well, for me there is no ideal strategy in sports betting, let alone football. because, everything depends on the situation and conditions of a team that will compete. apart from that, there are other variables, and this is where, for me, the art of betting lies.

[maydna]

I don't know much about rules like that because as far as I do, I only bet on teams that I know, whether it's the underdog team or betting on the favorite team. If each of them is clearly inferior in terms of performance to the opposing team, I will not choose it even though it is my favorite team. And if my favorite team has no chance of winning, I won't bet at all.

Maybe they say that because they have had such a good experience with it that they suggest we or their listeners use it too. People who talk on podcasts share their experiences with others, and it's not because they already have the experience that we jump on it. We need to do in-depth research on it if we want to follow them. And if we don't find the truth, we don't follow it and look for what we like or want.

[Natsuu]

Betting on favorites early and underdogs later in the week is a common rule of thumb in sports betting, but it's not a guaranteed strategy. Success often comes from a mix of stats, research, and staying flexible with changing team dynamics. Rather than sticking strictly to rules, it's good to be open-minded and adapt your approach based on what's happening. Finding your own groove through a bit of experimentation is part of the fun and challenge in sports betting.

[ChiBitCTy]

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted. But I highly doubt the accuracy of this strategy. Surely, sports bettors don't just place a bet based on which player or team is the favorite and which is the underdog. Actually, it's only now that I heard of this approach or strategy in sports betting. I'm also not a professional bettor myself, so I could have missed this strategy. But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets.

Well it is generally accurate.  Not sure why you're bothered by it. I thought I'd open this discussion just to see how many here had been utilizing this strategy and what they've seen by doing so.  This is simply how Vegas odds tend to shift over the week, or over time depending on how far apart the match is for whichever sport you're betting on.  "But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets"    I guess you're immune to legitimate gambling strategies?

Betting on favorites early and underdogs later in the week is a common rule of thumb in sports betting, but it's not a guaranteed strategy. Success often comes from a mix of stats, research, and staying flexible with changing team dynamics. Rather than sticking strictly to rules, it's good to be open-minded and adapt your approach based on what's happening. Finding your own groove through a bit of experimentation is part of the fun and challenge in sports betting.

Of course not, but certainly a decent common "rule of thumb" that could be useful.

It doesn't really matter the strategy you are using, everyday isn't a win day and they means that even with the best strategy you are not guaranteed of winning yet until you have won your game and it's been paid out they you can be sure for certain that your strategy worked and is a sure and good one.

Betting on the underdogs latter in the week usually comes with bigger odds meanwhile that of the bigger team reduces as the scheduled day new so if you want to take advantage of the odd then you are advised to make your stake over the week and then not waiting to the day scheduled for the game as by the they will definitely be slight change in the odds which are definitely dynamic. It's always good to explore odds before the scheduled day for the game if you want you possible win to be bigger.

This is honestly a pretty silly thing to say.  Yes, it does matter. Any edge you can gain can be extremely helpful.  Of course it doesn't guarantee a win, that's not the point.

[gabbie2010]

I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum).  I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic rule of thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.  

So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it.  Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy.  Thoughts?

In as much as betting or placing a bet in the earlier part of the week doesn't or cannot alter the outcome of the match I am not bothered placing bet at that time though the odd or spread might be high what matter most to me is picking the sure bets a day before the matches for instance picking my bets weekend matches on Thursday and Friday while picking bets for midweek UCL matches on Sunday and Monday with the aim of accumulating the odds to 3.00 to 4.00 though as from now I will take a close observation of the odds if there are noticeable difference then I might start my pick very early to accumulate more odds.

[electronicash]

Well it is generally accurate.  Not sure why you're bothered by it. I thought I'd open this discussion just to see how many here had been utilizing this strategy and what they've seen by doing so.  This is simply how Vegas odds tend to shift over the week, or over time depending on how far apart the match is for whichever sport you're betting on.  "But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets"    I guess you're immune to legitimate gambling strategies?

in MMA where an underdog can win with a slight mistake from the favorite fighter, the odds can change a lot unless they see the favorite is extremely dominant whether on a ground fight or standing. but if the favorite fighter is mainly a boxer kind and his opponent is a wrestler, any of them can win the fight depending on who hits the hardest first. so betting in advance might not really matter much as the odds will just slightly change.

bettors option is to bet on methods of winning either win by KO or win by Submission which the odds can be higher. and so the reason for analyzing the skills of the fighter is necessary.

[Darker45]

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted.

If you are regularly betting on sports, you will know this thing. It's a rule of a thumb since most bettors would choose to bet on the favorites spread compared to the underdog, so when the line is available, they'll hammer it until the spread will increase to balance the bets. That's why betting early gives you an advantage.

The key here is "line movement".

In sports betting, the movement of betting lines could go either way. It might be true that heavy favorites could get the bulk of bets as soon as the odds are released and early bettors could take advantage of higher odds. But the odds could actually go even higher as the game nears. That's why there are actually pros and cons in betting early as your odds, whether you're with the favorite or underdog, could actually improve later on.

By the way, do you use this strategy? I mean, that you place your bet in the early part of the week if you're with the favorite and later part of the week if you're with the underdog? How has it been? Since you also claimed that it is a rule of thumb, therefore more or less accurate, has it been doing great?

So far, I haven't heard of this betting strategy that involves betting on specific days of the week. I guess it must be sports or even league-specific that has a unique game schedule.

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted. But I highly doubt the accuracy of this strategy. Surely, sports bettors don't just place a bet based on which player or team is the favorite and which is the underdog. Actually, it's only now that I heard of this approach or strategy in sports betting. I'm also not a professional bettor myself, so I could have missed this strategy. But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets.

Well it is generally accurate.  Not sure why you're bothered by it. I thought I'd open this discussion just to see how many here had been utilizing this strategy and what they've seen by doing so.  This is simply how Vegas odds tend to shift over the week, or over time depending on how far apart the match is for whichever sport you're betting on.  "But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets"    I guess you're immune to legitimate gambling strategies?

I mean I'm betting regardless of days. Sometimes I bet early; sometimes I bet late. There are times when I think betting on certain odds early is advantageous. There are also times when I wait for a little longer because I believe the betting line would move in my favor.

Generally, the good thing about betting late even if it's the favorite you're betting on is that we aren't sure how things would develop. In NBA, for example, you would learn later on that this and that star player won't be playing. In boxing or MMA, there might be news that the training of a fighter isn't really running well as the fight day nears.

But I'm probably not profitable in gambling, so I might adopt this strategy, after all.  

[Questat]

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted.

If you are regularly betting on sports, you will know this thing. It's a rule of a thumb since most bettors would choose to bet on the favorites spread compared to the underdog, so when the line is available, they'll hammer it until the spread will increase to balance the bets. That's why betting early gives you an advantage.

The key here is "line movement".

In sports betting, the movement of betting lines could go either way. It might be true that heavy favorites could get the bulk of bets as soon as the odds are released and early bettors could take advantage of higher odds. But the odds could actually go even higher as the game nears. That's why there are actually pros and cons in betting early as your odds, whether you're with the favorite or underdog, could actually improve later on.

Yes it could go either way, but most of the time it's the heavy favorites that usually move due to the reason I mentioned above.
It's not perfect because it's not guaranteed, but just like the rule in gambling, we go with the higher chance and that is "most of the time".

By the way, do you use this strategy? I mean, that you place your bet in the early part of the week if you're with the favorite and later part of the week if you're with the underdog? How has it been? Since you also claimed that it is a rule of thumb, therefore more or less accurate, has it been doing great?

So far, I haven't heard of this betting strategy that involves betting on specific days of the week. I guess it must be sports or even league-specific that has a unique game schedule.

Odds or spreads does not really give you the win, it just gives you more winning chance if you are getting a better value. But it's just how to handicap the games, if you are good at it, you'll likely win more using this strategy.

However, as for me experience, since I am not really so good in choosing winning bets, so I don't see the effect, yet.

[irhact]

So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it.  Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy.  Thoughts?

It's a great strategy that works some times but doesn't work all the time. Sports can go either ways when being played therefore there's not accurate strategy that can be used to win all the time. When I want to pick a team to put my money on, I do background checks on how good the teams has been playing before the game ahead. I look at both teams and weigh their strength and weakness before I decide which one to bet my money on, sometimes I win other times I lose but that's gambling.

I also have another strategy that I use for sport betting, I look at the trend for the game week, if the underdogs are having a good week for the start of the game week, I put my money on the underdogs for the rest of the week but not in all games only for those I feel the underdog have a chance of winning and their odds are too big that I can win huge sum of money by having just one prediction correct.

[ChiBitCTy]

I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum).  I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic rule of thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.  

So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it.  Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy.  Thoughts?

In as much as betting or placing a bet in the earlier part of the week doesn't or cannot alter the outcome of the match I am not bothered placing bet at that time though the odd or spread might be high what matter most to me is picking the sure bets a day before the matches for instance picking my bets weekend matches on Thursday and Friday while picking bets for midweek UCL matches on Sunday and Monday with the aim of accumulating the odds to 3.00 to 4.00 though as from now I will take a close observation of the odds if there are noticeable difference then I might start my pick very early to accumulate more odds.

You're missing the entire point.  This is also a sentiment that I've seen others post here. Yeah of course it has absolutely nothing to do with the outcome of the match per say, it's all about utilizing a strategy to obtain better odds. I think everyone could agree that when placing sports bets, it's advantageous to get the best odds you can.  That's what this is all about.  People seem to be missing the point here.