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Author Topic: Sports betting arbitrage  (Read 700 times)
Sunderland
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January 07, 2024, 04:27:58 PM
 #21

You can not compare sport betting sites to an exchange. They are different. On an exchange, assuming you want to trade on an exchange, their is a percentage the exchange will charge if you make profit or lose. The exchanges are not making money from your profit or loss but instead from the trading fund that you are using to trade. Unlike gambling sites that are making money from you directly.

I'm not talking about making money on roulette, dice or other games of chance. Here, the casino is the opposing party to the transaction (it earns when we lose and loses when we earn) and agrees to it because it has a statistical advantage. In the case of sportbetting, this is not the case, because the casino owner would bear too much risk because it is impossible to perfectly estimate the probability of each match. Therefore, in the case of sportbetting, the casino is only an intermediary between bettors sets the odds based on how others bet, only adding their fees to the formula. A casino is not, or at least should not be, a party to a transaction in which the probability cannot be accurately calculated, because at that point it ceases to be a casino and begins to be a gambler.
Just like playing poker online. Casinos don't ban people who win too much at poker...

Casino is the sports betting operator and every casino will always use a sports betting provider.
The online casino is not acting as the intermediary between bettors, the provider did.

And if the provider detects Arb betting, they will void the bet and the casino definitely will not pay the user.
Arb betting guarantee that the user will always get profits 100% as long as the user pick the right odds.
If Arb betting is legal, then many gamblers will do arb betting instead of placing a normal bet and that means less profits or even a loss for the providers.

back to work
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January 07, 2024, 04:50:12 PM
 #22

It does not work as it sounds the reason is simple, most bookies for online betting are the same. You would not find a big difference in the odds provided by the bookmaker. it works well when you are doing offline betting, I have tried it online for cricket and have not found any casino suitable for it. Whereas when I did it offline it worked with two bookies and the reason is that in my country gambling is banned, we do it in hiding. As cricket is the most sought out sport we bet on it with known bookies who are connected to international book makers.
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January 07, 2024, 06:12:50 PM
Last edit: January 07, 2024, 06:23:33 PM by AmoreJaz
 #23

It does not work as it sounds the reason is simple, most bookies for online betting are the same. You would not find a big difference in the odds provided by the bookmaker. it works well when you are doing offline betting, I have tried it online for cricket and have not found any casino suitable for it. Whereas when I did it offline it worked with two bookies and the reason is that in my country gambling is banned, we do it in hiding. As cricket is the most sought out sport we bet on it with known bookies who are connected to international book makers.

that's what i also noticed among online bookies, their odds are somewhat close to each other so i don't think it is of your advantage if you will do the betting arbitrage. but for offline bookies, there's a chance that the odds are indeed quite wide in difference.

Gamblers must be genius to beat bookmakers to get profit from Arbitrage Sports betting.
For arbitrage betting you won't need to be a genius. You need to give time. It takes a lot of time to find suitable odds. There are also odd comparison sites which can help you.
First you need to have a lot of time, then you need to have accounts with different sportsbook but you need to be aware that these sportsbooks are not using same providers. Once you have these two, arbitrage betting is simple.

Problem is, many sportsbook will not accept you if they find out you are arbitraging. They will not pay you. If the sportsbook is highly reputable then they may return your deposit. At the end you will find, everything was wasted.

I don't suggest anyone to do arbitrage betting.

time and quick decision. because if the game is already starting, the odds can change fast. and as much as possible you already have deposited amount on each sportsbook that you want to place your bets with.

that's the problem over there, they should not have the same provider, else, you're account may be screwed if they found out especially if big amount is involved. for small bets, they may let it pass. but if it is considerable amount, for sure they will do their own investigations. better not to divulge in this activity if it is online bookie. the chance of having the same provider is high, else, your account is at risk.

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January 07, 2024, 06:28:24 PM
 #24

Odds are provided by the game providers and for sure there is no difference in odds on various casino and bookie's reason is because most of them almost have same template as to what odds are displayed for various games and how best to use them, as at that I believe that, casinos have the rules that guide each performance in the market and how best their offers their odds.


But if it is in House games where the casinos are the sole game providers, it becomes very easy and simple for them to control the odds on those games and at most their make out a jackpot from them time to time.

 
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January 07, 2024, 07:29:36 PM
 #25

I'm not talking about making money on roulette, dice or other games of chance. Here, the casino is the opposing party to the transaction (it earns when we lose and loses when we earn) and agrees to it because it has a statistical advantage. In the case of sportbetting, this is not the case, because the casino owner would bear too much risk because it is impossible to perfectly estimate the probability of each match. Therefore, in the case of sportbetting, the casino is only an intermediary between bettors sets the odds based on how others bet, only adding their fees to the formula. A casino is not, or at least should not be, a party to a transaction in which the probability cannot be accurately calculated, because at that point it ceases to be a casino and begins to be a gambler.
Just like playing poker online. Casinos don't ban people who win too much at poker...
No bro, what you are talking about is pool betting or parimutuel betting and it's not the same as what you can find on common sportsbooks because odds are not fixed, they evolve with the stakes of bettors on each sides. So unlike when you bet with a bookmaker, if no one has bet on the other side, you wont win anything, and the settling odds will be 1.00 in decimal format. When you bet on a classic sportbook, if the bookmaker has offered you 2.00 odds on one outcome, he will pay your winnings according to those odds even if nobody bet on the other side.  

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January 07, 2024, 07:33:47 PM
 #26

Sports betting arbitrage is a strategy in which a player takes advantage of discrepancies in the odds offered by sportbetting sites to obtain profit. Have any of you tried to make money this way? what difficulties did you encounter? What bookmakers did you use? Have any of you had problems with bookmakers because of this? Why does it bother them anyway?
Sports arbitrage is one of those betting strategies that is completely banned by most online gambling casinos, it's just like some other users have said here in their comments, that there have been alot of scam accusations against some major, and even small casinos on this forum by some of their users, and at the end of the day, we discover that the casino banned their accounts and seized their balance because the player was engaging in sports betting arbitrage.

This is something Ive never tried myself, and needless say that I don't even know how it's done or how to be successful in it, and since it's something that is not smiled upon by most casino, it's not worth learning or trying, I can't risk both my money and my account for a profit that isn't even going to make me an instant dollar millionaire like I so desire to become one.

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January 07, 2024, 07:52:26 PM
 #27

Sports betting arbitrage is a strategy in which a player takes advantage of discrepancies in the odds offered by sportbetting sites to obtain profit. Have any of you tried to make money this way?
I have never tried to make profit with sports betting arbitrage or with crypto-currency arbitrage because they're not going to be helpful for long term success. I know that some players can take advantage of the odds offered by different sports betting sites to secure some profit but such actions are highly disliked by the casinos and the users may get banned if the casinos get information about their arbitraging.

In fact I would suggest everyone to avoid it because you may end up loosing your account if you do sports arbitrage. It's far better to be safe then to make some money and risk our accounts. It's a very bad idea and anyone who does that will get caught surely because you can't really hide such things from casinos for long term.


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January 07, 2024, 08:08:20 PM
 #28

I found so many posts in this thread silly and nonsensical. They don't really know much about arbitrage betting and are stating hilarious stuff. As a seasoned arber myself, I can confidently say that it's certainly doable, but it has its limitations.

Firstly, sportsbooks don't ban arbers. They limit them. Secondly, I have earned decent profits using this strategy with small-moderate amounts and never got limited.

My favorite arbing software is surebet and I usually stick to popular markets in order to avoid getting limited.

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January 08, 2024, 02:22:36 AM
 #29

For arbitrage betting you won't need to be a genius. You need to give time. It takes a lot of time to find suitable odds. There are also odd comparison sites which can help you.
First you need to have a lot of time, then you need to have accounts with different sportsbook but you need to be aware that these sportsbooks are not using same providers. Once you have these two, arbitrage betting is simple.
I know there are sites like this for odds comparison like https://www.bestodds.ai/ . It has an announcement thread but now is a dead project.

Some sites in Casino Review, Odds comparison, Provably Fair Verifiers, Bots like [Overview] Sportsbooks odds/margin comparisons (Esports edition)

Quote
Problem is, many sportsbook will not accept you if they find out you are arbitraging. They will not pay you. If the sportsbook is highly reputable then they may return your deposit. At the end you will find, everything was wasted.

I don't suggest anyone to do arbitrage betting.
I knew this risk because I read many scam accusations from Arbitrage Sports gamblers and answers from big casinos that they detected those bets and did not accept it because their Terms of Services are against Arbitrage Betting.

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January 08, 2024, 05:53:59 AM
 #30

I do not know if you noticed a lot of forum threads on this forum, where people participated in Sports betting and then got their accounts and withdrawals blocked.

The casinos use more or less the same Sportbook operators and they keep logs. So your IP address or Mac address are monitored and flagged, when you do this. So, one moment everything is working fine, until your account gets flagged and then blocked.

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January 08, 2024, 06:54:54 AM
 #31

and risking that a winning bet is not paid (no one likes the arbitrage). Are you sure it's really worth it?
I wanted to try it in the past, but I looked for ways that arbitrage can make me make money on gambling sites but I was unable to find it profitable. I do not know if their are some sports that it can be profitable for as for the ones that I have used to gamble before, arbitrage gambling is not profitable as I have read about it online.

I do not know if you noticed a lot of forum threads on this forum, where people participated in Sports betting and then got their accounts and withdrawals blocked.

The casinos use more or less the same Sportbook operators and they keep logs. So your IP address or Mac address are monitored and flagged, when you do this. So, one moment everything is working fine, until your account gets flagged and then blocked.
If you want to do arbitrage in gambling, you do not have to use the same bookmakers, you have to use different bookmakers for the different odds that you want to choose. With this, all the bookmakers will not be able to notice anything.

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January 08, 2024, 07:14:15 AM
 #32

Thank you all for your advice and opinions. To sum up your posts it can be said, that technically it's achievable, but the profits are small, there are many risks, the main of which is the need to keep a large amount of funds in many casinos and the risk of freezing the account, because casinos are very sensitive to such strategies. But I still don't fully understand why. After all, the casino is only an operator, and the provider is only an intermediary between players and not the other party to the bet. Am I wrong here?

And if the provider detects Arb betting, they will void the bet and the casino definitely will not pay the user.
Arb betting guarantee that the user will always get profits 100% as long as the user pick the right odds.
If Arb betting is legal, then many gamblers will do arb betting instead of placing a normal bet and that means less profits or even a loss for the providers.

It seems to me that those who come to casino to gamble are not the same ones who come to arbitrage. what I mean is that by blocking arbitrageurs you are unlikely to turn them into new customers who bet on matches.

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January 08, 2024, 10:42:44 AM
 #33

That bothers the gambling site? How can someone bet on all the odd category like team 1 win, draw and team 2 win and still win some money. No bookmarker will want that.

but with sportbetting, my winnings do not come from the casino's pocket, but from the pockets of other bettors. The casino only acts as an intermediary and sets the rate. Binance has never given me any problems with the fact that I make money on the their exchange, because I make money at the expense of those who lose and not at the expense of Binance, for Binance I am only volume (on which they make money) and additional liquidity (which attracts other traders). Isn't it the same with sportbetting?


I'm not entirely sure if sports-betting markets are wholly made of liquidity just from the pockets of the bettors. I believe the betting company must place their own money on one side of the bet or the other to keep the market balanced if there isn't enough money from the users to take the other side of the bet.

Plus because professional arbers always win, that means they are a net-loss to the betting company because they could consistently withdraw money out of the betting company's pool of liquidity.

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January 08, 2024, 11:02:19 AM
 #34

I'm not entirely sure if sports-betting markets are wholly made of liquidity just from the pockets of the bettors. I believe the betting company must place their own money on one side of the bet or the other to keep the market balanced if there isn't enough money from the users to take the other side of the bet.

Isn't it the case that these sites don't have to be balanced and most of them aren't? that if there is, for example, $1 million in customer funds for a win and $100,000 for a loss, then we simply have a total of $1.1 million in bets, 50k takes the casino as its fee, 1.05 million remains, so if our team wins for each $1 in bet, we get 1.05 $ back, and if we bet on the team loss and we win we get $10.5 back for each $1 in bet?

So if an arbitrageur comes in and bets $100,000 on teamX lose, it just changes the win/loss statistics and doesn't change how much the casino earns? So it changes the distribution of winnings between bettors and makes money from it?

Am I wrong here?

Plus because professional arbers always win, that means they are a net-loss to the betting company because they could consistently withdraw money out of the betting company's pool of liquidity.

As I understand sports betting, the arbitrageur's profits are constant and certain, as you wrote, but they do not reduce the casino's profits but, for example, reduce the winnings of those betting on X by $1,000, increase the winnings of those betting on Y by 990$ and they get $10 out of it for themselves.

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January 08, 2024, 02:06:46 PM
 #35

Basically, casinos don't like arbitrageurs. Of course, this and even greater time costs for a very modest reward. It is also worth considering the transaction fees, both for making a deposit and withdrawals. Arbitrage - it is also time to maintain tables to take into account various factors (otherwise you can very quickly go into the minus)
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January 08, 2024, 05:13:46 PM
 #36

I've tried this on XFUN recently, and it didn't really work that well lol. I prefer the set your own odds feature they have now to arbitrage
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January 08, 2024, 05:28:45 PM
 #37

Thank you all for your advice and opinions. To sum up your posts it can be said, that technically it's achievable, but the profits are small, there are many risks, the main of which is the need to keep a large amount of funds in many casinos and the risk of freezing the account, because casinos are very sensitive to such strategies. But I still don't fully understand why. After all, the casino is only an operator, and the provider is only an intermediary between players and not the other party to the bet. Am I wrong here?
As I mentioned in my earlier post, many of the posters in this thread are clueless about arbing and posted a lot of gibberish. If you did your research properly, you would have learnt that the only major risk to arbing is getting limited.

Very, very few sites tend to ban arbitrageurs and steal their funds. Also, bets don't get voided because of arbing. They get voided because of match fixing, player injuries etc.

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January 10, 2024, 01:20:39 PM
 #38

I tried several times. The profit is too small as for me. You must have big deposit, no limits for betting and at least one more big deposit to move it fast to some casino with the other odds. I tried basketball, the result was about 0,01-0,02 per one game.
I heard that there is some software for searching such odds, but haven`t use it. With special software it may be more interesting.


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January 10, 2024, 03:09:27 PM
 #39

Sports betting arbitrage is a strategy in which a player takes advantage of discrepancies in the odds offered by sportbetting sites to obtain profit. Have any of you tried to make money this way? what difficulties did you encounter? What bookmakers did you use? Have any of you had problems with bookmakers because of this? Why does it bother them anyway?
Football betting and only rely on analysis and don't be tempted by the size of the odds. Always try to avoid parlay bets that often fail to win because one prediction does not match the result.
If the odds are sufficient to bet on the site I play on, I immediately step on the gas and just wait for the results.

Arbitrage is complicated for me. Maybe because you are used to how to bet on football betting using analysis for each match. This method is still very comfortable for me.

 
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January 11, 2024, 02:01:07 PM
 #40

Sports betting arbitrage is a strategy in which a player takes advantage of discrepancies in the odds offered by sportbetting sites to obtain profit. Have any of you tried to make money this way? what difficulties did you encounter? What bookmakers did you use? Have any of you had problems with bookmakers because of this? Why does it bother them anyway?
Football betting and only rely on analysis and don't be tempted by the size of the odds. Always try to avoid parlay bets that often fail to win because one prediction does not match the result.
If the odds are sufficient to bet on the site I play on, I immediately step on the gas and just wait for the results.

Arbitrage is complicated for me. Maybe because you are used to how to bet on football betting using analysis for each match. This method is still very comfortable for me.
If i understand right, betting arbitrage is not about analysis matches - it is mostly about analysis odds. You don`t need any information about teams. As for me the main problem is to find software, that can automize searching arbitrage situation and betting process. If it will make some kind of bot - you will get stable profit. But the same time you need big deposit for betting.


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.     ▄███▄▄▄
.   ▀██████████
.     ▀███▀▀▀███
▄    ▄▄  ▀    ▀█
███▄▄███▄
▀█████████▄
. ▀▀▀████▀
.    █▀
Swap
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.   ██████
.    ████
.  ▄██▄▄▄██▄
.▄████▀ ▀█████
▄█████ ▀███████
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Earn
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⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
WHITELIST ME

⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
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