How can we understand market going to be Bear?

[suzanne5223]

The only genuine way I know and use to understand the market bear is the 4-year cycle ^{(this also involves the use of historical data and it is a great hint for knowing the bear, especially during the halving year just like this year the market always replicates previous trends)}, mining difficulty, news ^{(which could be good or bad news about crypto)} , and the weekend market.
These are the major things I used to understand the bearish market. However, things may change in the future just like you said the market is unpredictable.

[Hamza2424]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

Op for the exact timeline and the timeframe there's no methodology to predict the bear market on the basis of the analysis. There is some indication about when the market can take a turn, basically, I'll try to divide it into two categories based on the market timeframe the short-term market always moves with the sentiments of the market so closely watch out for the sentiment to figure out about the market bearish moves.

On the larger time frame, you need to understand the cyclical momentum of the market and from there you can figure by analyzing the potential points based on the figures of the supply & capitalization and expected capital in the asset in the future that the market will take a major correction or not.

[God bless u]

In fact, the price of Bitcoin is very much influenced by the news that comes to us.recently we have a big news of bitcoin halving Due to this, the price of bitcoin has been pumped up a lot. On the other hand We have ETF approval for bitcoin this news bitcoin bring up to the 49k, only the news can impact the price of bitcoin.and we all know all the market bear or bullish according to bitcoin. News is just one factor and some technical analysis on previous history also work which causes btc to up and down.

[GreatArkansas]

It's really difficult to identify a bull market or bear market.
Maybe when the fear & greed index? Or once we reach all-time high then it starts dumping like almost 50%?
About the bull run, maybe when less 50% before the all-time high is already considered a bull run?
Or how many weeks/months consecutive we see red/green candle.

[Xampeuu]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

Op for the exact timeline and the timeframe there's no methodology to predict the bear market on the basis of the analysis. There is some indication about when the market can take a turn, basically, I'll try to divide it into two categories based on the market timeframe the short-term market always moves with the sentiments of the market so closely watch out for the sentiment to figure out about the market bearish moves.

On the larger time frame, you need to understand the cyclical momentum of the market and from there you can figure by analyzing the potential points based on the figures of the supply & capitalization and expected capital in the asset in the future that the market will take a major correction or not.

We really have to be able to understand the time frame used. Between small and large time frames, you will see a different chart shape, and of course to look into the future, we look at a larger time frame so that we are not fooled by the formation of a smaller trend line and we use it as a trading transaction. On the other hand, we can use the support and resistance that occurs to confirm whether our analysis is working or not

[Kelward]

There's really no way to know for sure unless you're already in one. But generally and historically, there are decent signs when a bull market is about to peak: when people around you suddenly become crypto "investors" and are making so much money in unrealized gains. Will it be the same in the future? No one knows.

The crypto market is quite unpredictable and it's not easy to pinpoint exactly when bull or bear seasons will be in full swing, we just have to monitor events that can make each season to start. Now we know that Bitcoin halving will soon happen and what usually follows is bull run, so I believe that after Bitcoin ATH, when price hits the highest peak, what will follow naturally and gradually is price dump and as it gradually continues to dip, we'll be expecting bear run. That is the much that I understand about how we hit bear run, although my analysis is for long terms, short terms are more unpredictable.

[Natsuu]

Market stuff can be tricky, but watch out for signs like big drops in trading, bad news about the economy, or shifts in regulations. Still, predicting is tough, so we should stay informed and be ready for surprises.

[mirakal]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

You will only know that the market is finally experiencing a bearish season if majority of the crypto coins are suffering from 20% decline or more. Even bitcoin is not an exception. In fact, if bitcoin price drops a huge amount, most of the altcoins also suffer a huge amount of decline, seeing the crypto space in a very negative position. If that happens continuously, it’s highly possible that a bearish season is entering the market, most especially if the market has experienced a previous bullish season.

The market only evolves between bullish and bearish one. So if the market is no longer bullish, most likely a bearish season is coming to replace the current market position.

[slaman29]

It's really difficult to identify a bull market or bear market.
Maybe when the fear & greed index? Or once we reach all-time high then it starts dumping like almost 50%?
About the bull run, maybe when less 50% before the all-time high is already considered a bull run?
Or how many weeks/months consecutive we see red/green candle.

It's... actually very easy.

When all funds are posting profits, all traders also boasting green trades, when projects are all making money = bull. Hiring also increases.

If bear market happens, all the above are in red. Hiring also decreases plus even staff is cut. See 2021-2023 before price rallied to $40k. Even Binance was letting go of so much staff. And they're the biggest exchange.

See for yourself, even biggest crypto funds all lose money in bear, idiots can make money in bull.

[God bless u]

I don't know of any such way. In fact, there is nothing that predicts bear market.  But if you are doing regular trading then you can predict something like the volume is going down. But it can't be certain.  But if you are very expert in trading you can guess.  In that case you have to be a regular trader.

You are right that along with regular trading we should also pay attention to the news because sometimes there is a news in the market which is positive then for example let's see that ETF. Whether it's about the approval or what's about Bitcoin Halving or something like that, if you see the market goes up, but in the last few days we've been hearing that some countries are closing what's on Bitcoin. If you want to do it like this, the negative news that is there is what is affecting our market, so what is the up and down impression of the market The only thing that happens is from the news,

[tvplus006]

...My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

It is impossible not to notice this when the price of coins is getting lower and lower every day. It is much more difficult to determine the turning point, since any price decrease will be accompanied by corrections that can be mistaken for a trend reversal.

[justdimin]

In fact, the price of Bitcoin is very much influenced by the news that comes to us.recently we have a big news of bitcoin halving Due to this, the price of bitcoin has been pumped up a lot. On the other hand We have ETF approval for bitcoin this news bitcoin bring up to the 49k, only the news can impact the price of bitcoin.and we all know all the market bear or bullish according to bitcoin. News is just one factor and some technical analysis on previous history also work which causes btc to up and down.

Even without the news, people are already aware about the halving, because it happens every 4 years. There maybe another reason for the pump because like I said earlier, people are not excited anymore about the halving. I mean we are still far away from it. So, why will they be panicking and start fomoing?

The positive news that I said earlier would be the ETF approval. This is where people are more excited about because I think this is the first time that we are going to experience it. Although the declaration of its said approval is not new because if I'm not mistaken, I already heard this before in the year 2017 or 2018 but, it has began to be silent in the following years. 

[DVlog]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

Some indicators can give you an idea about any changing market trends. These indicators are not paid so you will find them in the trading view, i can drop some names here but I want you to do some research about them so that you can value your findings. Also moving average is also a widely used indicator which can be used in higher timeframe to anticipate any change of overall market sentiment. Historical data also another key point of doing analysis about market changes in crypto.

[Strongkored]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

No one will be able to know for sure and usually only look for signs because the market always repeats history but there is also the possibility that the predictions are wrong, so traders will know for sure when a bearish period has entered it and vice versa, but no one will be able to definitely predict that's why many traders end up getting trapped because they think this is still bullish and haven't closed their position by selling to open another buying position at a cheaper price.

[GeorgeJohn]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

there is some certain thing many people don't know concerning investment we are talking of a risk measure and also how to multiply whatever thing you have, that is why many people get scam through unaware and through because of their not informed concerning investment if want to invest in Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency I think the major thing that is supposed to do is to make a proper research concerning the particular coin that you are interested to invest on many people have ventured into a scam coin because they are unable to research and uh get the results of it before the invest into it, my advice always go that whenever you're investing make sure say you research about it very well before you invest in any coin that you want to invest

[jossiel]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

The signs are there like everything is dropping. But one big sign is every after the bull run, we always get to see it for every cycle.

We're going to bull run assuming this 2024 up to 2025 and then expect that the bullish turn will happen by 2026 or even by the end of 2025.

That's based on the pattern that we've seen all over these past years when we've been into the bull run.

[Stable090]

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

If anyone knows when the market is going to be bearish, then nobody will be losing in trading, everyone will have sold their coin before the bear will start, but we don’t know when both the bull run and the bear will start. Nobody knows what bitcoin price will go at a particular period of time, most people are just predicting the price that bitcoin will be going, and their prediction can be wrong. If anyone tells you when the market will turn bearish, just know that the person is just deceiving you, maybe the person is trying to take something from you.

[Maslate]

Unfortunately, no one can tell if the market is actually heading into a bearish or bullish season. What we all have are predictions and speculations that the market is having a positive or negative position, but telling that the market is in real bearish, one can only tell if majority of the coins are experiencing a huge price decline, which leads to a massive dump in the market. But we all know that the prices of the coins are dumping and pumping at some point due to market volatility, so it’s really hard to tell if we are already entering a bullish or a bearish market.

[Franctoshi]

Op, no one would know “investor/trader” exactly where or when the market is going to take a reverse or top out in the bull/bear market, Technically and Fundamentally, there are indicators that will point to a possible end of a bull market, basically when the news or fundamental holders of Bitcoin suddenly starts becoming weak, and technically market structures begins to get broken, and where supports suddenly start turning into resistance, and we begin to see market do more of lower highs and lower lows, as supposed higher highs and higher lows in a bull market, then that's a good time you should think of exiting or start exiting the market the way you DCAyed in.

[carbone9090]

To begin with, it's necessary to study the technical and fundamental analysis of the market. Next, analyze the chart of the required cryptocurrency for the last 5 years. I advise studying Elliott Wave Analysis to understand the principle of wave construction. Any cryptocurrency trading is analytics in one form or another.