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Author Topic: How can we understand market going to be Bear?  (Read 1031 times)
jaberwock
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February 16, 2024, 04:58:34 PM
 #81

when it bear market you don't need to bother how to know whether we are experiencing a bear or not you will know through the market everywhere will be bleeding and the price will be seriously trying to resist but it will be even more difficult for the market to withstand and at the end of the day there will be no choice but the market to submit to the bear, and this are events that people already know about and when it is about to occur there are signs that you can tell from. and if a bear is approaching from the candles taking out some analysis you can tell that way, and when it comes to bull too similar.

But these days people are always using tools to discover what will happen even if there is no assurance even without assurance there will be a little bit of truth in whatever result they are getting from their reading. and even does that is experience don't need much before they will know.
We are just finding more and more ways to speculate, nothing more. I mean predictions are dime a dozen and there will always be some people who will predict some new thing, and that is going to be a bit tough situation without a doubt.

I think it could be very well to avoid such things, and that will be just another new version of trying to predict that will give a similar or different result. This isn't really a great situation, it has to be something that will give people a great return eventually. Hopefully, we could get to a point where it would be a little bit more feasible to just buy at the time they think it bottomed out. Finding when it will start to be bear is not something we can do with any trick, it just happens.

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February 17, 2024, 06:41:15 AM
 #82

How do we know if the market will go bearish?

It isn't possible to instantly understand that not only the cryptocurrency markets but all financial markets have entered a bear cycle but you can understand whether that market is in a bear cycle by examining the situation of any financial market in the last few months. For example, when you examine the data and prices of the last six and twelve months, if there is a constant downward trend and this is valid for the entire financial market it is possible to understand that that market is in a bear cycle.

As I mentioned, it isn't possible to understand the bear cycle within a market at the very beginning of this cycle because bear and bull cycle changes don't occur within a day or a few hours. For example, during a bullish period, a sharp downward movement can be followed by a correction and the upward trend can be continued. Therefore, every sharp decline during the bull period shouldn't be considered as a sign of the bear cycle. For this reason, the most logical thing to do to understand whether a market is in a bull or bear cycle is to examine at least six months of data and price movements.

Remember, it is never necessary and unlikely to sell a financial asset at the top and buy at the bottom. For this reason, I recommend that you examine price movements over a wide period of time and trade without chasing the bottom or top point, in order not to become a prey of big investors while hunting for a cycle change.
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February 17, 2024, 12:30:11 PM
 #83

For old-timers, that seems too easy but I don't think a newbie can't determine the market situation because even by visiting the exchanges or checking on the https://coinmarketcap.com/ we can see the movement of the price where it was enough for a trader or investor to think the current situation. The market direction doesn't change instantly so we can at least predict what will happen a few days from our base date. Although we can't exactly get the actual price at least, we have some ideas as to where it goes whether it will be going up or down. It is very important to rely on the chart for further analysis and our base of predictions.
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February 18, 2024, 03:46:07 AM
 #84

as far as I know speaking from my experience you just can't really predict bearish market, previous bearish was suddenly started by the collapse of certain companies and foundation, the dump happening in the blink of an eye, thats the thing with crypto dumps happening so fast meanwhile pump happens slowly but sure.
if you think you've made some good profit during the bullrun there's most certainly nothing wrong with just taking the profit.
but if you're so sure that the market will still be bullish for the upcoming future, then go ahead.
market is full of uncertainty those that says they can predict the future, i don't really believe them, instead i would find some news about some bad thing then probably try to get advantage by creating strategy early on.

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February 18, 2024, 03:17:55 PM
 #85

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

There are two ways to get a reference of a bear market.

1. If there is a huge negative news in the market then that can impact BTC price downwards.
2. If the weekly chart is showing BTC price in overbought region then there is a chance of BTC price getting consolidated and can attract a price correction.

Note: It doesn't guarantee that the bear market will start because nobody can predict such cycles.

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Lukmanfirdaus1
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February 18, 2024, 04:31:54 PM
 #86

no one knows, unless you are a Blackrock class capital owner who can make movements in the market, but I think the amount of retail money is more than the company's. It is impossible to know where the market is going, bullish or bearish, we can only predict based on technical analysis, fundamentals, history or market patterns. but it's not 100% accurate. If you ask me, I myself use instinct lol. it's strange, but usually a little accurate, if you've been trading in crypto for a long time the pattern will feel the same and you automatically have that skill. a little leak when everyone is optimistic from the news, influence and others will usually be bearish, but if everyone is pessimistic and there is a lot of fud, usually it will be bullish.

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February 19, 2024, 02:48:23 AM
Last edit: February 19, 2024, 12:23:48 PM by Julien_Olynpic
 #87

I believe that it is pointless to discuss what the market is now or how to determine the onset of a certain market if we do not first agree on what time frame we are talking about. After all, a bear market can occur on different time frames. Let me explain this. For example, during the day we can be in a falling trend, during the week we can be in a growing trend (in a bull market). Moreover, on the monthly timeframe there may be a bearish market, and within the year this bearish market may be part of a bullish market. Therefore, everything is determined by the timeframe. As for a bearish trend, its sign is decreasing highs and lows according to the classical definition. This can be determined even visually, without any technical indicators.

 
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February 19, 2024, 02:24:11 PM
 #88

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

Be on the lookout for consistent price declines, negative news that can impact investor sentiment, a decrease in trading volume (Which indicates less interest), and bearish patterns on price charts such as head and shoulders or double tops. A major drop in market dominance of the leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin can also signal a wider market downturn. Monitoring macroeconomic factors that influence risk appetite, such as interest rate hikes, can also give you an idea on where the market is right now.
If you would like to discuss this further, you can contact me via my Discord: https://discord.gg/dCvaBZWNcG
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February 19, 2024, 05:40:24 PM
 #89

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

This is not something that can be known just by spending few time in crypto trading. You must have been in the crypto space for quite some time and be able to read trade patterns before you can come close to predicting if the market will go bearish or bullish as the case maybe. As most experts have analysed and said, most trades follow the same pattern or consensus but can be triggered by some unforeseen circumstances like news. This can cause changes in the cycle pattern but will still come back to its normal pattern after some corrections. Just know that nothing is predictable correctly but with much understanding of trading, you’ll come close to perfection about it when predicting.

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February 19, 2024, 09:02:54 PM
 #90

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.
Sincerely, I don't think anyone will be able to respond to your query; it will be quite difficult to forecast against cryptocurrency marketing. Since nobody can foresee when the cryptocurrency market will rise or fall, it is subject to speculation. Nevertheless, in spite of everything, there are certain individuals who have consistently followed the cryptocurrency industry, which is why they frequently make headlines.

As a result, those disseminating information use social media sites like Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Whatsapp are the some of people's who know how the crypto market is going on at times, if not even the bull market that everyone is expecting, no one can predict when it will actually start, and current cryptocurrency marketing is terrible, is only Bitcoin that is pump this days the other altcoins not rise. I don't understand why is like that when the Bitcoin start pumping other coins out of existence? That's the aspect of those coins that I find confusing.

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February 19, 2024, 09:05:24 PM
 #91

If the bear you're talking is about the market correction or sudden dump then that's it. When we fall into the bear market, usually it is following the bull run.

So, you get the patter of its cycle that whenever we're done with the bull run, it is now entering to the bear market. And despite that the market is highly volatile, we still invest right? And that's the best time to start buying when we're on that phase.

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February 19, 2024, 09:21:58 PM
 #92

Actually, I don't really understand the signs that really have an influence when it comes to a bearish market. Because sometimes a bearish market occurs very quickly from when it was still a bullish era. As experienced in 2021, today for example, market conditions are still really bullish and there are still many people who predict that the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise to such and such a rate. But what happened next was that in the next few hours suddenly there was FUD and the market changed completely. Bitcoin prices are going down, we think it's a market correction as usual, but in fact the price keeps going down and down. Until then, to be honest, I lost a lot of moments to take profits. Why? Because it was that sudden and fast the change from bullish to bearish. even though usually it won't be that drastic and that fast, right, there will definitely be signs. However, I think that when it was the last bullish era, it really happened quite quickly.

So keep paying attention and updating news related to Bitcoin and crypto globally to find out what possible FUD is currently circulating and what impact it will have.

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February 19, 2024, 09:49:12 PM
 #93

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

This is not something that can be known just by spending few time in crypto trading. You must have been in the crypto space for quite some time and be able to read trade patterns before you can come close to predicting if the market will go bearish or bullish as the case maybe. As most experts have analysed and said, most trades follow the same pattern or consensus but can be triggered by some unforeseen circumstances like news. This can cause changes in the cycle pattern but will still come back to its normal pattern after some corrections. Just know that nothing is predictable correctly but with much understanding of trading, you’ll come close to perfection about it when predicting.

  Yes mate, From the angle of experience, your experience in the crypto space will also play an important role in helping a trader to possibly spot when the market is about to go bearish because there are events which will precede the bear market.
For instance, there are some news that you would begin to see start making headlines, really bad news such as the news we had during the 2022 bear market, where we had a major crypto exchange go bankruptcy like that of the FTX collapse, Luna crash, or have Big institutions investors dump their Bag of Bitcoin like that of Elon Musk, or countries placing a ban on crypto transactions or mining like that of China ban, all those kinds of news, especially, when those news aligns with the market bearish patterns.

 
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February 20, 2024, 02:03:12 AM
 #94

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.
As far as I know there is no definite way to know whether a bearish or bullish market is present, but historically we can see several signs shown by the market in the process of moving towards both. Technical knowledge will usually give a little idea of how Bitcoin's journey can produce bullish or bearish and we can almost make small predictions about this journey. Analysis can be studied based on historical data and if we have the ability it will be easy to try to predict even though predictions that are bullish are not necessarily precise and accurate.

This is just a matter of study and I am not saying there is a much greater degree of truth because if there were people who were able to see the price of Bitcoin correctly in the future then many people would buy it. We are only able to make predictions based on previous historical data, but the level of accuracy is not necessarily what we can get.

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February 21, 2024, 01:36:24 PM
 #95

no one knows, unless you are a Blackrock class capital owner who can make movements in the market, but I think the amount of retail money is more than the company's. It is impossible to know where the market is going, bullish or bearish, we can only predict based on technical analysis, fundamentals, history or market patterns. but it's not 100% accurate. If you ask me, I myself use instinct lol. it's strange, but usually a little accurate, if you've been trading in crypto for a long time the pattern will feel the same and you automatically have that skill. a little leak when everyone is optimistic from the news, influence and others will usually be bearish, but if everyone is pessimistic and there is a lot of fud, usually it will be bullish.
If we talk about unpredictability, you are right that no one can know where exactly the market will go next and all that we do are predictions and speculations based on historical charts and market patterns. However, since we all know now that Bitcoin moves in a cyclical pattern, and with all its movements and phases we have seen in the past, we now have an idea of when it is time for a bear market and when it is for the bull market.

The cycle and the bull and bear markets can get extended sometimes based on market conditions and events within or outside the industry that might affect the sentiments of investors and then the prices in the market, but generally, someone who knows about history can know when it's time for bull or bear market.

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February 21, 2024, 03:04:33 PM
 #96

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.
Indicators can give you a 50-50 indication as to the market might turn bearish but this is hard to say with accuracy. The previous condition often helps predict, like for example if the market is correcting from a bull run a good chance is there to go bearish, then when the market is stagnant, both sides can happen.

I think what trader should be more active about is once the market turns bearish, make sure your buy orders are in place and then leave it as it as and wait for them to be executed.

News often can foresee a market movement, a hack or a big exchange or some negative news will drop the price for the next few days.

 
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February 21, 2024, 03:37:41 PM
 #97

We know better cryptocurrency market always unpredictable. Yet we invest in the cryptocurrency market. Sometimes the market gradually turns to bear.
My question is how do we know if the market will go bearish.

For myself honestly I always use several indicators such as RSI one of which I often use, I understand that the indicator also refers to or follows the movement of price direction but at least it can give me an indication of what will happen to the market, and not only that I also combine it with candlestick patterns that are being formed, if RSI has given an indication that the price is in the resistance area then usually I will wait for the formation of certain candles, one of which is like a spinning top or doji along with the confirmation and if the confirmation really happens then obviously at that time I can confirm that the direction of price movement will reversal or reverse and I also like to do the same way when finding out if/when the price will be bullish when the situation is strong down, But still it is just a way that does not have 100% accuracy, but I feel that it is really useful to help me achieve profit and still risk management is a preparation that should not be ignored and must always be owned by all traders.

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February 21, 2024, 09:31:46 PM
 #98

~snip~

This is just a matter of study and I am not saying there is a much greater degree of truth because if there were people who were able to see the price of Bitcoin correctly in the future then many people would buy it. We are only able to make predictions based on previous historical data, but the level of accuracy is not necessarily what we can get.
What is clear is that it is just a prediction and there is no 100% accuracy that will occur. there will be incompatibilities that could occur. Bitcoin market trends continue to change, volatility is very high and there are many factors that can influence the price of Bitcoin. Past historical data will not be the same as the current situation. we can only conclude that we are entering a bullish market or a bearish market. Remember that whales also have the power to influence market prices, especially when combined with the news media they own which can be used to spread FOMO or FUD.
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February 22, 2024, 05:40:02 PM
Merited by Agbe (2), JMBitcointernational (1)
 #99

This is not something that can be known just by spending few time in crypto trading. You must have been in the crypto space for quite some time and be able to read trade patterns before you can come close to predicting if the market will go bearish or bullish as the case maybe. As most experts have analysed and said, most trades follow the same pattern or consensus but can be triggered by some unforeseen circumstances like news. This can cause changes in the cycle pattern but will still come back to its normal pattern after some corrections. Just know that nothing is predictable correctly but with much understanding of trading, you’ll come close to perfection about it when predicting.

There are some times when the market gets very simple that you don't need to be an expert to know that the market is going to bearish or bullish. When Bitcoin halving is coming closer the market is away bullish and if you study the market through past history you'll able to identify that. Also after the market has reach its highest form and the entire market starts correcting starting with Bitcoin, the market turns bearish therefore if you're looking at the price history of Bitcoin during this time you'll able to predict when the market will be bullish or bearish. There are some news that'll also make the market bullish or bearish therefore we have to listen to the media and look for this news before we make decisions on what direction we're going to be following to make profits.

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February 22, 2024, 09:58:16 PM
 #100

We have the price chart to check but it doesn't mean we are too certain about the next, it can be changed abruptly without any indications and we just know it when it happens already. However, this would help us at least have some ideas about the current movement of the market and predict the future. But to become certain about it is simply impossible.

Let us understand that the market is volatile, it often changes its course from time to time. We might be experiencing the pump today but can be possible a drop will occur next. So I suggest monitoring the price chart and making this our basis of analysis.
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