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Author Topic: My betting strategies  (Read 5051 times)
redsun114
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January 30, 2024, 08:30:02 PM
 #61

That's not a bad strategy as it's a safe one and I believe every single sports bettor uses such metrics for their research and analysis before making a bet unless it's someone who doesn't do that at all and just makes their picks based on the odds provided by the bookmaker.

When I'm placing bets, I check a lot of stuff when I'm not already sure about which side has an advantage or has a better track record overall since the opponent isn't strong enough to beat them even if they have their reserves playing the game. On top of what you've mentioned, I would also check the stadium where the game is being played and how the team has been doing in there. Key players do play a big role because if they are giving rest to their key players, this might have a big impact on the overall results of a game.

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Ojima-ojo
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January 30, 2024, 09:04:41 PM
 #62

This strategy is what we all know and have used before, and we recorded some winning and at the same time losses some times, and for sure we have to also have the understanding that, there is no working strategy in gambling that can guarantee steady winning or even repeated winning all the time be it in sports bets or any other form of gambling games.


For that, we have to add a few lines that will serve as a caution to all and that is to always rely on luck to win the games because winning a bet sometimes goes beyond just giving the right analysis of the games to luck becoming the ultimate at some point since football is a game that is hard to predict.

R


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junder
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January 31, 2024, 12:00:24 PM
 #63

That's not a bad strategy as it's a safe one and I believe every single sports bettor uses such metrics for their research and analysis before making a bet unless it's someone who doesn't do that at all and just makes their picks based on the odds provided by the bookmaker.

When I'm placing bets, I check a lot of stuff when I'm not already sure about which side has an advantage or has a better track record overall since the opponent isn't strong enough to beat them even if they have their reserves playing the game. On top of what you've mentioned, I would also check the stadium where the game is being played and how the team has been doing in there. Key players do play a big role because if they are giving rest to their key players, this might have a big impact on the overall results of a game.

It's true, the strategy used has its own way of working, as you said this strategy is not a bad strategy but it is a safe strategy and maybe it can be done by many people to increase the chances of winning. analyzing can also be done to increase the chances, many gamblers who do this strategy may have won but no one knows because in my opinion luck will still be on the side and determine whether or not you win...,

The thing you're doing is that I think it's the same as analyzing gambling, and it can increase the chances of winning. the thing you're doing is not bad because it can be done well and maybe it can determine with a good final result too. as you said, by doing that it might have a big impact on the overall game results. everyone has their own strategy, and they will study their strategy because they can get a bet win, if they are not sure about their strategy they can also look for other strategies to study again and apply.

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Hirose UK
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January 31, 2024, 12:58:36 PM
 #64

This strategy is what we all know and have used before, and we recorded some winning and at the same time losses some times, and for sure we have to also have the understanding that, there is no working strategy in gambling that can guarantee steady winning or even repeated winning all the time be it in sports bets or any other form of gambling games.
Indeed, there is no strategy that can guarantee win, but by using strategy at least every gambler will have confidence and can increase the percentage of chances of winning.
Gambling is full of things that don't live up to expectations and wins and losses are always present, even though losses can have larger percentage.
There are many gamblers out there who claim to have strategies that are quite accurate and can produce wins until they provide screenshot proof of their winnings, but I personally think it all joke.
They only provide proof of victory and do not show the defeat that occurred.
But even so, I would quite applaud those who can bet using strategy because this is an effort or effort that is made, much better than just betting carelessly.

Quote
For that, we have to add a few lines that will serve as a caution to all and that is to always rely on luck to win the games because winning a bet sometimes goes beyond just giving the right analysis of the games to luck becoming the ultimate at some point since football is a game that is hard to predict.
Luck is still the main factor in supporting victory and luck is the only support for victory that cannot be changed by anyone, including bookmakers.
It just that relying on luck in every bet might give feeling of disappointment because luck can't always come at all times.
It is better to bet according to abilities and bet as much as possible with wise attitude.

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aylabadia05
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January 31, 2024, 01:47:01 PM
 #65

I know everyone has their own strategy and somehow most people can be using same strategy that I am about to share here.
The strategies includes:

1. Club position: .

2. Point:

3. Head to head:
Head to head and the number of points I include in my strategy to analyze before betting.
Head to head can give us an analytical picture to determine the results that will occur, although often this does not apply when the match is finished.
The club's position can also be used as part of the strategy because it can motivate them in playing. If the club's position and points are very tight and the opportunity to survive so as not to be relegated in a football league, then there will be a good incentive for the team to win.

The line up, including those on the bench and those who are 100% fit, is also an important part in analyzing the results for betting. In my opinion, a safe betting strategy is that on this type of bet both teams can score goals for a match.

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Ojima-ojo
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January 31, 2024, 10:42:51 PM
 #66

This strategy is what we all know and have used before, and we recorded some winning and at the same time losses some times, and for sure we have to also have the understanding that, there is no working strategy in gambling that can guarantee steady winning or even repeated winning all the time be it in sports bets or any other form of gambling games.
Indeed, there is no strategy that can guarantee win, but by using strategy at least every gambler will have confidence and can increase the percentage of chances of winning.
Gambling is full of things that don't live up to expectations and wins and losses are always present, even though losses can have larger percentage.
There are many gamblers out there who claim to have strategies that are quite accurate and can produce wins until they provide screenshot proof of their winnings, but I personally think it all joke.
They only provide proof of victory and do not show the defeat that occurred.
But even so, I would quite applaud those who can bet using strategy because this is an effort or effort that is made, much better than just betting carelessly.

Quote
For that, we have to add a few lines that will serve as a caution to all and that is to always rely on luck to win the games because winning a bet sometimes goes beyond just giving the right analysis of the games to luck becoming the ultimate at some point since football is a game that is hard to predict.
Luck is still the main factor in supporting victory and luck is the only support for victory that cannot be changed by anyone, including bookmakers.
It just that relying on luck in every bet might give feeling of disappointment because luck can't always come at all times.
It is better to bet according to abilities and bet as much as possible with wise attitude.
That is one for any strategy that is shared to you, you have to rely so much on you luck to be able to gain from such a bet selection because what may work for A may not work for B and at that tou will have to apply the conscionable to know when to trust a bet and  what becomes the reality of things.


Is not enough to have a game prediction even if the selection is done under a high level analysis,  but even at that, we have to accept the fact that betting in itself is a risk and only your luck is what gives tou the winnings.

R


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January 31, 2024, 11:26:57 PM
 #67

2. Point: This is another strategy i use while betting because it also tells you whether a club can or will loss a match or not,  sometimes a club can be topping a league with 8 -10 point difference and because of this point difference they can decide to play anyhow they want better still reserve players for more important match because whether they loss or win they are still topping the league.
However, a club that has this point difference,  let say they are  expecting a champions league quarter or semi finals, it is very possible that they can loss or draw their league by reserving  players for the upcoming champions league.

This is a very good point. Often times people get too caught up focusing on raw statistics only, forgetting about the common sense approach, i.e. checking whether the team actually needs a win.
This can be expanded to other scenarios, i.e. when the teams play a 2nd leg of a cup and one already has a big advantage from the 1st leg; or at the end of the season, there might be some teams from the middle of the table, that no longer have anything to fight for and don't mind giving up the game to the team fighting against relegation.
Back in the day, it was not uncommon to see teams getting into informal agreements, e.g. team A lets team B win a round in a cup, and, in exchange, team B would let team A win a league game.

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February 01, 2024, 01:25:08 AM
 #68

That's not a bad strategy as it's a safe one and I believe every single sports bettor uses such metrics for their research and analysis before making a bet unless it's someone who doesn't do that at all and just makes their picks based on the odds provided by the bookmaker.
We have our own way of believing something in gambling and if he beliefs that this is how it
works for Him then better go completely but we knew  others have their own ways , and he was just giving
us advise to how and why he is in that strategy as this already gives him wins.

Quote
When I'm placing bets, I check a lot of stuff when I'm not already sure about which side has an advantage or has a better track record overall since the opponent isn't strong enough to beat them even if they have their reserves playing the game. On top of what you've mentioned, I would also check the stadium where the game is being played and how the team has been doing in there. Key players do play a big role because if they are giving rest to their key players, this might have a big impact on the overall results of a game.
I only bet in teams that I already knew and also considering  who are the opponents because
sometimes it is not just because of the team you betting but also their opponent that will effect the game.

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February 01, 2024, 04:18:37 AM
 #69

In football match very difficult to predict although you have check with current standings team, difference points until head to head, look at the match Barcelona vs Villareal last week and unbelievable with Barcelona had losses in front of their fans although have higher standings than Villareal. Some time many lucky moment for sport betting exactly in football, I am interested with sport betting double chance as both team scoring goals or choose both chance as match draw or win although have smaller odds.

Right now, I take care betting with teams has higher standings position but looking with bigger odds, some time head to head not working yet exactly when the match one team got red card.

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February 01, 2024, 05:36:59 AM
 #70

OP, you have some very interresting betting strategies there, but do you think clubs will throw matches, when they are top of their league? A lot of these clubs will go for a unbeaten record and might decide not to throw any matches. (It might also be perceived as match fixing)

Yes, they might play some of their weaker players against weaker teams to rest their stronger players, but they will not throw those games. (Tournaments points are valueble, for those instances, where you lose a game or two against the stronger teams)

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February 01, 2024, 07:01:10 AM
 #71

The only two reasons for winning a game of gambling are extraordinary luck and second is superb skill but the former is more important than the latter as long as luck can be described as invincible. The strategy doesn't work everywhere, often fails and can be lost with bad luck so I keep my sports betting low. Luck is also full of natural surrounds when your skills progress confidence and luck will follow. Before betting on the game you must know the correct strategy of the matches.
There's no superb skill requirement for slots unless you're talking about hacking the slots in a way that will create some sort of winning combination no matter how many times you spin it. Luck is always the biggest factor that's on the side of the house in gambling after all, they wouldn't be erecting those hotel and casinos out there if they knew that they're going to be losing to the people that are betting on their games and the government wouldn't be doing state sponsored lotteries if anyone can just easily make the right combinations, it's all a matter of luck to win in gambling and the people that's got the money and knows about this are exploiting that for profit.



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February 01, 2024, 07:32:52 AM
 #72

I know everyone has their own strategy and somehow most people can be using same strategy that I am about to share here.
The strategies includes:

1. Club position: most times the position of a club matters a lot because it tells you whether a club is striving to top the table or whether they are striving to leave relegation zone.

2. Point: This is another strategy i use while betting because it also tells you whether a club can or will loss a match or not,  sometimes a club can be topping a league with 8 -10 point difference and because of this point difference they can decide to play anyhow they want better still reserve players for more important match because whether they loss or win they are still topping the league.
However, a club that has this point difference,  let say they are  expecting a champions league quarter or semi finals, it is very possible that they can loss or draw their league by reserving  players for the upcoming champions league.

3. Head to head: a club head to head (history)  is very important because sometimes it could be that the people topping the league always loss or draw with the people fighting to go out of relegation.  No matter how form the people topping the league is the possibility or chance of losing the match is 80% because of their history that's why sometimes you see a big club always losing to a small club.
 These are mine strategies and there are some i can't remember for now, try this and thank me later.
I analyze matches using such strategy before the match. And try to bet after 10-15 minutes from the beginning. This moment i see the stats and can decide who has more chances.
I can add some important(as for me) moments - the type of the match. If the team with 5-8 place in a league play cup match - they can lose even to lower league team - they have small chances to win the cup, but the get additional games. Also the point difference between the neighbors in the table - sometimes the team don`t need to win.

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February 01, 2024, 07:53:47 AM
 #73

The only two reasons for winning a game of gambling are extraordinary luck and second is superb skill but the former is more important than the latter as long as luck can be described as invincible. The strategy doesn't work everywhere, often fails and can be lost with bad luck so I keep my sports betting low. Luck is also full of natural surrounds when your skills progress confidence and luck will follow. Before betting on the game you must know the correct strategy of the matches.
There's no superb skill requirement for slots unless you're talking about hacking the slots in a way that will create some sort of winning combination no matter how many times you spin it. Luck is always the biggest factor that's on the side of the house in gambling after all, they wouldn't be erecting those hotel and casinos out there if they knew that they're going to be losing to the people that are betting on their games and the government wouldn't be doing state sponsored lotteries if anyone can just easily make the right combinations, it's all a matter of luck to win in gambling and the people that's got the money and knows about this are exploiting that for profit.
I completely agree with you bud, sometimes, it looks to me like we now have more online gambling casinos than the number of people who are gambling online  Grin, and like you have right said, all this casinos won't be coming up almost every day, if the ones that are here before, are not succeeding.
It's because many people out there see owning a gambling casino as a very lucrative business, that is why we see online casinos being launched everyday.

And coming back to slot, there is no other factor that contributes to winning in slot game aside from luck, and it will be most interesting to gamblers to know or note that, immediately they open a slot game to play, the odds of winning are negative for them, and the odds of losing positive, it then depends on how lucky that gambler is to flip this over, like turning the table around.
And speaking of hacking a slot, this is impossible to do, why, because if there is even a means available, and you succeed in hacking a slot, the casino will investigate your winning and find out you hack the game, your deposit, plus your winning will all be confiscated, and your account banned access to the casino permanently.

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February 01, 2024, 08:35:44 AM
 #74

You should clarify what kind of game you are referring for your strategy. I just realized that probably you are referring to a football club by reading the whole content.
ohh so that is about Football? I finished reading the thread but still thinking what is this strategy all about , maybe because I am not a football fan but thanks for clearing this here mate.
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Your strategy is pretty common since that’s exactly the basis of bookmaker to create an odds for their books. You will probably just ended up picking the favorites/small odds on most of your picks with this strategy. I’m not telling that this is a bad idea but rather there’s nothing out of ordinary on your strategy that will make someone here benefit on it.
if that is just about the bookmakers then maybe OP is just telling stories about his bets and indeed that nothing special in that part.

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February 01, 2024, 08:44:26 AM
 #75

I often wonder what factors to consider when choosing a bet...
@OP You've listed some here but there are so many others.
but the problem is that in some cases we have some factors that have a greater impact than others.
few examples... absence of players, lack of physical form, there is no interest in a certain match, pitch conditions that could benefit a team...
in short the list is really really long and EVERY aspect must always be considered. otherwise it would be very simple to bet... and everyone was just making profit, but this not apply in gambling!

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February 01, 2024, 09:06:44 AM
 #76

I often wonder what factors to consider when choosing a bet...
@OP You've listed some here but there are so many others.
but the problem is that in some cases we have some factors that have a greater impact than others.
few examples... absence of players, lack of physical form, there is no interest in a certain match, pitch conditions that could benefit a team...
in short, the list is long and EVERY aspect must always be considered. otherwise, it would be very simple to bet... and everyone was just making a profit, but this does not apply to gambling!
To a great extent,  I don't I don't think at some point anyone will have to rely on a particular strategy to succeed this is because,  at some point all that a gambler need is the luck and the right frame of mind to follow up with things as their come along while he makes his bets selections,  so I don't give much attention to those that talk about strategy or formula,  all that I know is to just place the bet and win if possible because there is no guarantee.

The ops have listed some of the elementary betting strategies,  and for sure I am very much pleased with the state of things since I already have the background understanding of how betting works.
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February 01, 2024, 10:53:50 AM
 #77

Quote
1. Club position: most times the position of a club matters a lot because it tells you whether a club is striving to top the table or whether they are striving to leave relegation zone.

2. Point: This is another strategy i use while betting because it also tells you whether a club can or will loss a match or not,  sometimes a club can be topping a league with 8 -10 point difference and because of this point difference they can decide to play anyhow they want better still reserve players for more important match because whether they loss or win they are still topping the league.
However, a club that has this point difference,  let say they are  expecting a champions league quarter or semi finals, it is very possible that they can loss or draw their league by reserving  players for the upcoming champions league.

3. Head to head: a club head to head (history)  is very important because sometimes it could be that the people topping the league always loss or draw with the people fighting to go out of relegation.  No matter how form the people topping the league is the possibility or chance of losing the match is 80% because of their history that's why sometimes you see a big club always losing to a small club.
 These are mine strategies and there are some i can't remember for now, try this and thank me later.

Those three "strategies" cannot help me to predict the outcome of any football game.
Sometimes, a club that has several good games and wins makes a weak game and loses. Sometimes a club that is struggling at the bottom can make a great game against a club that is at the top of the current ranking. You can't predict such games by watching the club positions and the points difference between two clubs.
Your "head to head" theory doesn't work because I don't know about any big clubs that are "always losing" to small clubs. The opposite is way more common. I see small clubs "always losing" to big clubs all the time.
Anyway, what's your betting success ratio by applying your so called "betting strategies"?
There are certain factors in football that are not strategies at all but some gamblers misconceptualize them as football gambling strategy. Maybe at the time they made used of it it worked in their favour and due to that they caption it as a gambling strategy which can be use for every game. I am also curious to understand that head-to-head theory as to how it's common to have a weaker and average club will be having a win over a top form club in the league each time they meet.

Head-to-head can be deceiving as the current form and performance of a club today could have improved double times than how it were some seasons ago and for that reason clubs that beats them to a hands down years ago will literally not be able to do same today due to the improved changes that had taken effect in the club. Take Manchester City for example, clubs that beats them in matches more often going back a decade ago, today those clubs can't withstand the pressure from the same Manchester City they were beating years back. Which is why the head-to-head theory doesn't prove dependable for a gambling strategy to stand on in today's football.

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February 01, 2024, 11:33:39 AM
 #78

This strategy is what we all know and have used before, and we recorded some winning and at the same time losses some times, and for sure we have to also have the understanding that, there is no working strategy in gambling that can guarantee steady winning or even repeated winning all the time be it in sports bets or any other form of gambling games.
Nothing is certain in gambling and anyone who says otherwise is a deceive. As that is true, I think that getting more familiar with sports betting will go a long way in helping any gambler better, at least limiting the risk and the level of uncertainty. The OP did well with all his explanations and I must say that it is what I do often, but in advanced mode. This could also of course help any beginners who could just be lucky to see the post which is why I respect that. Also, if any beginner would want to use this style, I think that it can work, and over time, such can know the extras that should be added for it to work better through experience.

Again, I prefer all sports betting predictions to be before the match starts, and if this style is applied in addition, it will be an added advantage. But such should be ready for good gambling account management as well, which is where the uncertainty remark I started with comes from. Even if you are so good with your sports betting predictions, you will definitely still have the average experience of winning and losing. And for the losing percentage, the only antidote to override the effect is to have good management, it will surely cover up for the possible shortcoming.

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February 01, 2024, 01:36:40 PM
 #79


Head-to-head can be deceiving as the current form and performance of a club today could have improved double times than how it were some seasons ago and for that reason clubs that beats them to a hands down years ago will literally not be able to do same today due to the improved changes that had taken effect in the club. Take Manchester City for example, clubs that beats them in matches more often going back a decade ago, today those clubs can't withstand the pressure from the same Manchester City they were beating years back. Which is why the head-to-head theory doesn't prove dependable for a gambling strategy to stand on in today's football.
Comparing head-to-head of the two competing teams to analyze odds is often done by gamblers. I also usually do that research first. but as you said, that is not the main reference in determining bets.
The head-to-head of the two teams may apply to the team's performance which has not changed much. We can see that from several previous seasons. because we often see a team that appeared very strong last season, even becoming champion. but when the new season started they had problems with the team. whether it's a change of coach or the departure of several players which affects the team's performance in the new season.
So we can analyze the team's performance in several matches as a reference rather than head-to-head where changes may occur.



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February 01, 2024, 03:28:18 PM
 #80

Comparing head-to-head of the two competing teams to analyze odds is often done by gamblers. I also usually do that research first. but as you said, that is not the main reference in determining bets.
The head-to-head of the two teams may apply to the team's performance which has not changed much. We can see that from several previous seasons. because we often see a team that appeared very strong last season, even becoming champion. but when the new season started they had problems with the team. whether it's a change of coach or the departure of several players which affects the team's performance in the new season.
So we can analyze the team's performance in several matches as a reference rather than head-to-head where changes may occur.

Head to head comparison usually done with the recent matches as reference. The only time your comment is valid is when the season is newly started that means there’s no recent matches for them to be compared that gives analysts resort to what’s available record.

There’s really a possibility that a team improves from the previous season but bookmaker usually aware on this that makes the odds adjust based on the current speculation of the majority. Head to head comparisons is still the best because it shows how team perform in the presence of same team. I’d rather use this reference if there’s no closest data available rather than bet blindly based on a hunch using social media comments and opinions.

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