Is the Bull Charging or Just Warming Up Post-Halving?

[pooya87]

It is the later that can lead to the former

That's what all the previous bubble cycles have been like. First the upward momentum begins and it is small at the beginning, like a "warmup". Slowly but surely it grows and when it breaks certain resistances (eg. $40k) the momentum becomes stronger. When it sets a new ATH and breaks bigger resistances (eg. $70k) it turns into a much bigger momentum leading to bigger rises.
Finally at the very end, we see a massive rise in a short time like going 2x in less than a month in 2017 (from ~$9k to $20k) which is where the bubble is formed (ie $500k this time IMO).

[jaberwock]

The rise in Bitcoin's market capitalization is already impressive. This happened mainly due to the approval of the ETF. Also, accumulation by whales increased in preparation for the big event as the halving approached. This large liquidity flow led to the revival of the market.

I expect that we have just started Bull Run, but there is still a long way to go to achieve the ATH, which I expect will be approximately several months after the halving at the end of this year. During this period, we will witness many corrections and there will be very large movements and violent fluctuations.

That is definitely true, the whales getting ready for the big increase definitely allowed the liquidity to be minimal and that resulted with the market being more inclined to go up as well. Not a lot of people realize this but when the liquidity is low, that means that the market movements could be more volatile, of course that could also mean that if a lot of people sold then the price would crash harder but right now we are in a good period and I feel like we will move upwards.

Of course we could have short  term drops here and there, which is fine and that won't be a big deal but I think the trouble right now is that we are not seeing big whales leaving anytime soon. So the result will be most likely that we will continue upwards.

[tbterryboy]

The price movements aren't convincing yet. Normally, when a real bull run comes, the price of bitcoin could go up significantly, and the whole market is affected. What we are seeing now is just a steady price increase. Although it has already increased significantly, nothing has been a crazy pump yet, and that's my personal reference for considering that we are already in the bull market.

If there will be a correction that comes, I wouldn't panic as I'm confident that a bull run will happen this year. Maybe take it as an opportunity to accumulate cheap bitcoin that we can sell for a profit in a short time.

if we look at the big picture, choose 1 year (https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/).. we can already see that bitcoin has increase 100% over that span of time.

The movements aren't completely convincing because we are not in the middle of the bull run yet. What we are experiencing right now is just a part of the recovery process that we see every year before the halving event and then the bull run. We are about a month behind the halving event which is to occur in April, if this movement continues without much of a correction, we might see the price going around $60k or maybe above by the end of the year, it may even go around the previous all-time high.

The beginning of next year will most probably mark the beginning of a new all-time high and a new bull run. A lot of people are optimistic that we will see a new all-time high this year, it might be true but I don't feel like it.

[$weetne$$]

From my past bull run experience I can say that we are just warming up as there may be some correction as well before we go fully into bull run and the bull run won't be this gradual as we will see bitcoin pumping up real quick and all the other altcoins will follow the trend but we can make use of this rally which we have seen since past 3 months but cannot consider it as bull run. It would be even bigger this time as the market is more mature and we have more investors as well.

After my research I was thinking, what if things want to be different this time and it doesn't followed the usual pattern that the market has been known for, I know it's not likely to happen this way but I was just thinking about it. More mature Investors are entering the market therefore we should be expecting something to be different than before. In the past the market was more of regular investors just discovering investment for the first like myself but we're getting those that have being investing for a very long time now becoming main players in the market therefore things can be different a little bit. Unless they won't have immediate impact on the market that's when the market can continue in it's known route that'll make what's happening to be warming up post halving run.

[serjent05]

From my past bull run experience I can say that we are just warming up as there may be some correction as well before we go fully into bull run and the bull run won't be this gradual as we will see bitcoin pumping up real quick and all the other altcoins will follow the trend but we can make use of this rally which we have seen since past 3 months but cannot consider it as bull run. It would be even bigger this time as the market is more mature and we have more investors as well.

After my research I was thinking, what if things want to be different this time and it doesn't followed the usual pattern that the market has been known for, I know it's not likely to happen this way but I was just thinking about it.

There are these what ifs but the thing is, history keeps repeating itself.  Once it enters a cycle or loop, it would be difficult for it to get out of that loop, and we see it happens in the past halving events of Bitcoin. 

More mature Investors are entering the market therefore we should be expecting something to be different than before

If you are talking about the current ETF approval, I do not think that it will instantly change the cycle/pattern of the Bitcoin market.  It will take some time at least before we can see huge changes in the Bitcoin market pattern.

[STT]

This is a warm up phase, its bullish but not fully gaining due to much volume in this area.   We've spent the last 12 days above 50k, above the 61% Fibonnaci retrace level its very positive and healthy right now but its not moving as fast it could do after reaching a clear space most obviously past the last ATH.

Best guide might be the 50 day average, if we look at that for its direction and momentum.  We have had some decline at Jan end due to the long time sideways from start December it started to tail off.    There was the delay of ETF news and that appearance and actual action taken as they come in to formation actively buying and selling is new activity and volume on the market.   So long as we dont lose our advantage above the 50 day MA then I remain positive even in a pullback, I dont think we go straight up this year and I find this to be a positive over tripping over so much debris from the last fast gains  in this area all the way to the ATH.

[Rabata]

All these things mentioned are well signs of a bull run however the big question is “is this already the bull run?”. I do not think so. We are leading up to it, yes, but I do not think we are in it already. Remember there is still the upcoming halving event and that is expected to drive the price of bitcoin even further.

A review of the Bitcoin price over the last 30 days must give an appreciation of the current market conditions. All major currencies, including Bitcoin, have seen major fluctuations. Even if the bull market has not started, we are very close, maybe after the start of the halving time, the bitcoin bull market will also start. Bitcoin halving and Bitcoin ETF will be stronger than ever before. Those who have previous experience of past bull markets can identify current conditions as a sign of a pre-bull market. According to some predictors, the current market has risen slightly, but the bull run has not yet begun, which will have to wait for some time to happen. Moreover, there is no advance idea of when the market will start that bull run, but only a few days of halving are left, depending on which we can make a close prediction.

[AakZaki]

Crypto is a volatile and unpredictable market, even though some analysis looks accurate, in reality it is still quite far away.
We have entered a bull run market and this is happening slowly. But the crypto market is not easy to predict, there will be several scenarios that might occur beyond our predictions. Just need to be prepared for anything that could happen.

[Zanab247]

Crypto is a volatile and unpredictable market, even though some analysis looks accurate, in reality it is still quite far away.
We have entered a bull run market and this is happening slowly. But the crypto market is not easy to predict, there will be several scenarios that might occur beyond our predictions. Just need to be prepared for anything that could happen.

Crypto market can change at anytime for some hodlers to regret why they didn't supply their coins when the market was in the good position for them to take profits, but sometimes it can happen to some experts prediction for them to feel they are experts in the prediction until they miss another prediction before they will realize that they are not perfect in crypto prediction.

 The bull run is no longer moving slowly the way it was last month, if you can look at the current price of BTC in the market now, you will no that the bull run is heading to $70k before people will begin to see bear market to buy and hodl again for another bull run to come.

[Sorryfor]

Before the bull run, Bitcoin price is down. As we saw earlier in 2021.  We saw it again in 2024. At the beginning of 2024, the price of Bitcoin was at $40k and it gradually increased until around March, the new ATH of Bitcoin reached $70k. The bull run that started a few days before the halving clearly shows that the value of the halving will be halved and then the price of Bitcoin will reach its peak.I think the bull run has already started and it is still going strong. After the new ATH hit $70k the market dumped a bit in the days leading up to some disappointment, but those in the know about the cryptocurrency knew the price would pump up again. Finally within just a few days the price of Bitcoin has pumped again. It will be seen in the future that the value of Bitcoin will increase further.

[Republikcoin.com]

Before the bull run, Bitcoin price is down. As we saw earlier in 2021.  We saw it again in 2024. At the beginning of 2024, the price of Bitcoin was at $40k and it gradually increased until around March, the new ATH of Bitcoin reached $70k. The bull run that started a few days before the halving clearly shows that the value of the halving will be halved and then the price of Bitcoin will reach its peak.I think the bull run has already started and it is still going strong. After the new ATH hit $70k the market dumped a bit in the days leading up to some disappointment, but those in the know about the cryptocurrency knew the price would pump up again. Finally within just a few days the price of Bitcoin has pumped again. It will be seen in the future that the value of Bitcoin will increase further.

The price drop in a few days after Bitcoin reached a new ATH this March by crossing the $70K price level is not a disappointment for most people. Because this is still being used well by many people to continue buying Bitcoin before the next increase occurs again in Bitcoin and now we can all also see that the demand is still quite large so it could be quite possible for Bitcoin to continue to experience an increase in price before the halving. I believe that currently there are not many people who are disappointed with Bitcoin except only those who did not dare to make the decision in the past to buy Bitcoin.

[Mahanton]

Before the bull run, Bitcoin price is down. As we saw earlier in 2021.  We saw it again in 2024. At the beginning of 2024, the price of Bitcoin was at $40k and it gradually increased until around March, the new ATH of Bitcoin reached $70k. The bull run that started a few days before the halving clearly shows that the value of the halving will be halved and then the price of Bitcoin will reach its peak.I think the bull run has already started and it is still going strong. After the new ATH hit $70k the market dumped a bit in the days leading up to some disappointment, but those in the know about the cryptocurrency knew the price would pump up again. Finally within just a few days the price of Bitcoin has pumped again. It will be seen in the future that the value of Bitcoin will increase further.

The price drop in a few days after Bitcoin reached a new ATH this March by crossing the $70K price level is not a disappointment for most people. Because this is still being used well by many people to continue buying Bitcoin before the next increase occurs again in Bitcoin and now we can all also see that the demand is still quite large so it could be quite possible for Bitcoin to continue to experience an increase in price before the halving. I believe that currently there are not many people who are disappointed with Bitcoin except only those who did not dare to make the decision in the past to buy Bitcoin.

Not really a disappointment because we cant really be having a market which is really that going up forever on which it would really be just that normal that there would really be price corrections on which this is really just that normal and this is something part of a market because there's no such thing that it would really be that keeping going up into its price and this is something that will really be just that normal. For you that have been dealing up with this unpredictable space then it would really be just that a common approach that you should really be that making those kind of adjustments whenever you do see those exit points,
unless if you are someone who do tends to hold for long term then this wont really be an issue.

Bull charging or warming up? No one really knows because each one of us would really be that speculators of this market on where we cant really be able to know on where it would really be that going.
If you are someone whose really that into that kind of assumptions then it would be better that you should really be having those kind of analysis backing it up.
You cant just blindly make out some moves without having those analysis.

[Jating]

Before the bull run, Bitcoin price is down. As we saw earlier in 2021.  We saw it again in 2024. At the beginning of 2024, the price of Bitcoin was at $40k and it gradually increased until around March, the new ATH of Bitcoin reached $70k. The bull run that started a few days before the halving clearly shows that the value of the halving will be halved and then the price of Bitcoin will reach its peak.I think the bull run has already started and it is still going strong. After the new ATH hit $70k the market dumped a bit in the days leading up to some disappointment, but those in the know about the cryptocurrency knew the price would pump up again. Finally within just a few days the price of Bitcoin has pumped again. It will be seen in the future that the value of Bitcoin will increase further.

The price drop in a few days after Bitcoin reached a new ATH this March by crossing the $70K price level is not a disappointment for most people. Because this is still being used well by many people to continue buying Bitcoin before the next increase occurs again in Bitcoin and now we can all also see that the demand is still quite large so it could be quite possible for Bitcoin to continue to experience an increase in price before the halving. I believe that currently there are not many people who are disappointed with Bitcoin except only those who did not dare to make the decision in the past to buy Bitcoin.

Lol, how can you say that it's a disappointment? it's a new all time high for us and still up to this time, we maintain the $70k'ish level and so there is a big chance that this bull run will be huge based on the volumes and the sentiments of the investors as they pour their money before the actual halving and bulls pushing the price to a new all time high.

And post halving, the demand is going to be large as supply is dwindling and everyone wanted to have Bitcoin in their wallet, not just a few sats but big amount so that they can make a lot of money in 2025 when prices hits at least six digits.

[STT]

When the bull is charging BTC will gain 10k in a day and people will go yes of course and carry on, it wont be as big a deal as really it should be.    The hype phase to BTC movements will be distorting to what is really correct long term thats how you know it wont last really, at the time it will be both too easy to jump the gun and sell earlier then is most profitable but also people will get over confident.

Its a knife edge, hard to be correct in such times of course I hope not to sell too early but last bull market I think I did.  2016 I definitely sold too early though I called it very much alive and kicking ready for a rise in early in 2017 but I never sold at the best price that year as it was chaos and hard to transact as I remember there's always details to why its so volatile.