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Author Topic: The odds we can get on our side.  (Read 427 times)
Julien_Olynpic (OP)
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February 23, 2024, 05:34:02 AM
 #1

The topic I want to discuss today is the odds that we can get on our side, especially in sports betting. These can be various methods and life hacks that increase the likelihood of winning in gambling. You know, if you analyze the statistics of wins and losses, it may turn out that we did not take a lot into account in our bets. I did a little research of my own and I can tell you what simple methods can help bring luck to your side. I invite each poster to add some new item to this list.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
2. If in a game one team is the guest and the other is the host, take this into account. This is banal advice, but still.
3. Consider the overall performance dynamics of each player. With sports, too, there is a career and results gradually deteriorate with age after reaching a certain peak.
4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
     Write down additional factors that may increase the likelihood of a favorable outcome for your prognosis.

 
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February 23, 2024, 05:43:14 AM
 #2

Nice thread, but it doesn't fits in Meta board, I recommend you to move it to gambling board or gambling discussion board as those two boards are more suitable for this thread.

I guess, I highly agree with you that sports betting we can increase the odds on our side by doing some of those methods. I believe out of all those number 1 seems to good to me and yes, such sports can increase our chance of winning if we bet with 100% preparation.

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February 23, 2024, 06:07:16 AM
 #3

1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw.
In football, you do not only have the option to bet on which team losses or doesn't. You can bet on other odds that can have just 2 outcomes, like whether or not both teams would score along with a lot of other odds.
I would not advise one to go into a sport they really do not understand cause it gives them a technically higher advantage of winning.

For your other tips, I think every gambler already considers those, the bookies do to when deciding odds.

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February 23, 2024, 07:47:00 AM
 #4


1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.

It’s wise to play sports that you’re familiar with. One that you take pleasure in watching, you are already at a disadvantage if you choose to gamble on a sport that you’re oblivious about. I think the 2 outcome system is flawed, there is usually more than 3 outcomes/bet options when it comes to sports betting, for example, in football you can bet on how many goals will be scored in the game; number of corner kicks; there is even the both sides can score bet….the list goes on.


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February 23, 2024, 09:21:45 AM
 #5

Wrong location!

Most of this tips are what deep gamblers consider before staking bets but for me I probably do not have enough time to start analyzing critically all the tips before I could bet on a game and I can see clearly that it's part of the reason why I usually loss.

Basketball games are always very vulnerable to me a small team can beat a prominent team that had good reputation, and this is the reason I stop placing bet on them. but let's see the out come of this analysis if put down in gambling.

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February 24, 2024, 03:54:54 AM
 #6

The topic I want to discuss today is the odds that we can get on our side, especially in sports betting. These can be various methods and life hacks that increase the likelihood of winning in gambling. You know, if you analyze the statistics of wins and losses, it may turn out that we did not take a lot into account in our bets. I did a little research of my own and I can tell you what simple methods can help bring luck to your side. I invite each poster to add some new item to this list.
Just as we can use the data to try to improve our predictions, casinos can also do the same and with a higher effectiveness, and this gap between the two of us is only getting wider.

As not only casinos have access to more data, but now with AI and potent hardware casinos can improve their predictions even further, so while becoming a profitable gambler this way is possible, this is only getting harder by the day and the day may come in which even someone using very advanced strategies will be unable to beat the casinos anymore.
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February 24, 2024, 04:22:03 AM
 #7

this is nice text book quide of pretty much determining the odds in football im sure people that are veteran already considered all of this frankly speaking being a guest and being a host at football does matter a little bit but not that much in my opinion we can take advantage with the odd that sometime is higher when the team is the host while also knowing well that the other team as a guest has been performing good recently.
but here's the thing the odd of the footballs match are being adjusted based on this factor as well basically its still 50:50.
what you can do is just trying to find out who is gonna be on the winning side even if the odd is small, at least we can win and take the profit.
otherwise its gonna be overcomplicating yourself.
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February 24, 2024, 04:36:11 AM
 #8

The topic I want to discuss today is the odds that we can get on our side, especially in sports betting. These can be various methods and life hacks that increase the likelihood of winning in gambling. You know, if you analyze the statistics of wins and losses, it may turn out that we did not take a lot into account in our bets. I did a little research of my own and I can tell you what simple methods can help bring luck to your side. I invite each poster to add some new item to this list.
Just as we can use the data to try to improve our predictions, casinos can also do the same and with a higher effectiveness, and this gap between the two of us is only getting wider.

As not only casinos have access to more data, but now with AI and potent hardware casinos can improve their predictions even further, so while becoming a profitable gambler this way is possible, this is only getting harder by the day and the day may come in which even someone using very advanced strategies will be unable to beat the casinos anymore.
Using data in making predictions is very useful in increasing your chances of winning and this will be like doing research based on all the available information, but choosing betting option will also have big influence on success.
If we can choose more appropriate betting options in sports matches then obviously we can easily make predictions because what we need to get good predictions is not too complicated.
Maybe what the OP said is true, but we can really see the results more definitively, whether it works or not, we have to try it directly.

Between casinos and gamblers, each of them always tries to make profit, there is no gambler who doesn't want to win, but we as gamblers also have to be aware that the casino will be far superior.
Maybe the data that is loaded and obtained can be provided by various sources such as the use of AI or other hardware, but all of this does not matter depending on how we process all the information to make mature prediction.
We as gamblers can only try to increase our chances and whether we win or lose still depends on the team or player who is competing, sometimes increasing our chances may not necessarily provide maximum results by winning.

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February 24, 2024, 06:05:57 AM
 #9

It's good to analyze the odds before betting to increase or have a high chance of winning. We can also consider like checking how is the weather, as it also affect the player or teams performance. We can also do some research about the team injuries or suspensions, their historical record, how well the coach or manager handles a team, or even check the recent form of players or teams, etc. Having these kind of analysis is helpful to improve accuracy of betting predictions.
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February 24, 2024, 06:25:49 AM
 #10

Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.

And be it wether a two odds options sport or above don't forget that these bookies have a way of manipulating the odds in a way that you can get confused in making better winning options. Sticking to a sport that you are good at should be much considered than  going for one for the sake of  limited odds

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February 24, 2024, 06:31:27 AM
 #11

I understand the point that you are making and I think it is about increasing the chances of winning your bet by limiting the possibility of losing because of few options like either win or lose like you gave the instance of tennis but then it is also a choice to the kind of sports that you want to bet on. However, you also have such limited option in football, like if you have chosen the option of goal goal (GG), this means you have bet that both teams will produce goal each and so either they produce the goals each or they don't, just like in tennis where either a player wins or lose.

It is just like the same thing when in football you bet on draw no bet, this means you are not betting for a draw and if the team plays draw then your bet is refunded to you and you won't lose anything.

There are other numerous options in football that limits your losing chances through narrowing your bet tighter but the thing is they come with smaller odds. Therefore, it is a thing of preference to what sports gamblers bet on and I think gamblers choose to bet in the game they understand what happens there.

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February 24, 2024, 06:37:11 AM
 #12

Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.


Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.



In addition to the tips. Betting live will give you better chance of winning because you can analyze the actual condition of the team and you can take advantage on the current situation to bet on a team that is just starting heat their game to get the W.

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February 24, 2024, 06:39:16 AM
 #13

Just to add on what you have provided on your list, let me also list some suggestions in order to at least turn the tide on your favor:

  • Bet on sports that you have actual knowledge off;
  • Utilize AI in order to get information about teams and their respective matchups;
  • Know the specific team that you are betting on;
  • Allocate only a specific amount of money in every gambling activity to avoid incurring losses; and
  • Stop whenever you feel like you are on a losing streak.

These are just some of the tips that I have compiled on top of what you have provided, OP given that there are already lots of tips given. I just hope that this sums up everything that people want to know to at least give some competitive edge and advantage whenever you delve in sports betting.
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February 24, 2024, 06:57:40 AM
 #14

The topic I want to discuss today is the odds that we can get on our side, especially in sports betting. These can be various methods and life hacks that increase the likelihood of winning in gambling. You know, if you analyze the statistics of wins and losses, it may turn out that we did not take a lot into account in our bets. I did a little research of my own and I can tell you what simple methods can help bring luck to your side. I invite each poster to add some new item to this list.
Just as we can use the data to try to improve our predictions, casinos can also do the same and with a higher effectiveness, and this gap between the two of us is only getting wider.

As not only casinos have access to more data, but now with AI and potent hardware casinos can improve their predictions even further, so while becoming a profitable gambler this way is possible, this is only getting harder by the day and the day may come in which even someone using very advanced strategies will be unable to beat the casinos anymore.
Bookmakers have already included their predictions and their opinions on the advantages in the odds for the match. But what's interesting to me is that they often offer three-way games, which are much less beneficial to players than two-way ones. And this despite the fact that many understand that predicting one outcome of a game out of two is much easier than predicting one out of three. I can also advise you to conduct your own research and collect statistics on away matches. Especially those matches in which the visiting team, which is close in strength to the hosts, would still win. There's something to it. We need to look at different sports. Sometimes it seems to me that in some sports these patterns may be more reliable than in others.

 
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February 24, 2024, 07:13:40 AM
 #15

Your point is quite a good one and makes a whole lot of sense as if they all are been put into consideration it's very likely to yeild a good strategy that can be profitable to the gambler in awhile but then the gambler shouldn't forget to incorporate a risk management strategy alongside so that they get to Maximize your funds while applying this very good strategy gambling.

It's very important to know that strategies are just edges we get to be more favoured than loosing so it means that they are no guarantee that we are most definitely going to win rather it means we increase our chances of been lucky and winning nevertheless we should still employ strategies even if it doesn't come with guarantee. There are events of high probability of happening that we could apply that could actually help us to get good results and win if we pick them we can be sure to win but the thing has always been that such picks have got small odds which makes them less attractive to pick but the they are still the easiest way to get a win on a game.

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February 24, 2024, 07:15:10 AM
 #16

1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two.
Let me introduce you the something called "Asian Handicap". Where the events that have 3 possible outcomes can be turned into 2 using the "handicap" feature. Lets say Home draw and Away are the potential outcomes. You can convert that giving a team some handicap and turning it into 2 potential outcomes instead of 3. Also, most sportsbooks have the feature called "draw no bet" or allows bets on 2 outcomes out of 3, such as, win or draw , draw or lose. You don't always have to think of sports as 3 outcome events. It can always be converted into 2 outcome events. It does depend on sportsbooks though. A few of them might not have the feature but most of them do.

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February 24, 2024, 07:26:57 AM
 #17

I mostly bet on football; I was never too much into sports, so I don't have a great knowledge of them. You do have a valid point; football matches have three possible outcomes, while other sports, such as tennis, you already mentioned can only have two possible outcomes. However, don't you need to have some kind of perception regarding tennis? I know nothing about it; how am I going to bet on something that I'm not familiar with? I'll have to do my own research, check the odds, and decide on which side to bet. Personally, this is too much of a hassle, but it might work for some who have a better awareness of sports and sport betting in general; I don't, which is why I've mostly stuck with football and the local Super League, which is familiar to me.

 
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February 24, 2024, 07:28:15 AM
 #18

It’s wise to play sports that you’re familiar with. One that you take pleasure in watching, you are already at a disadvantage if you choose to gamble on a sport that you’re oblivious about.


I would not agree that you need to play the sports on which you are betting. Yes, you need to have interest about the sports and also you need to have the knowledge of the sports but playing it physically is not a necessity. Also sometimes not everyone gets a chance to play the sports on which we bet.

For example, if you are betting on horse racing, who among us can do the horse racing himself ? I guess no one, because you need to have expertise and lot of experience even to sit on the horse and horse racing is something extraordinary activity. However, you can have complete knowledge about the game and then you may bet on that game. That is enough in my point of view.

Also, we need to see other things such as odds of the game and the difference between the odds too. Also i like the OP point of view where he mentioned that chance of winning a bet increases when we have two choices to bet on, instead of the three or more choices.

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February 24, 2024, 07:38:37 AM
 #19

I usually bet on NBA sports betting because I like playing basketball and watching basketball, and because I'm too familiar with the teams and players, I more likely have a hint or idea who will win up against a team. That's why I can say that I mostly win in basketball or NBA betting because, like I said, I'm familiar with the team or players, so when there is a match between two teams, I can do analysis to see who's team might win, and I also bet on a specific player. I think, like the OP said, to bet on a sport where there is only one player from each of the two teams. In that way, you are increasing your winning chances by 50%, and it is also more like there are a lot of betting in basketball, especially in the NBA. And also I think basketball is the most thrilling sports out there or maybe its just my favorite sports.

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February 24, 2024, 07:55:01 AM
 #20

1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
playing sports that have only two options is the height of gambling and presents a compounded risk when you want to accumulate to raise bigger odds. Instead of this option, sports that have double chance, handicap, goals and multiple options like over certain points in a set/half actually reduces this risk. There is an option in football where you just predict that a certain team will score, it doesn't matter if the lose the match, as soon as they score, you are gamed.

4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
This is very important because that will determine how determined they will be to win the match. This is why it is important to follow the news of any sports event we want to gamble on. There might be internal crisis that can mess up the morale of the players and until one check, it will remain hidden. T

R


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