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Author Topic: Do you prefer betting your own predictions or from prediction site  (Read 931 times)
KTChampions
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March 15, 2024, 08:29:40 PM
 #161

It is naive to hope that you can consistently (or just quite often) be more accurate in forecasts than entire companies that have the best specialists and the best extensive statistics and literally make money on their forecasts. Basically I trust the opinion of bookmakers, but there are two points: firstly, this opinion is always probabilistic, since if one team wins 30% of the time against another, and loses 70% of the time (let's take a simple case without a draw), it's still not gives us no knowledge about how any particular match between them will end.
The second point is that sometimes for various reasons the quotes are distorted - this mainly happens in large games where people bet on the brand and not on whether the team is strong or not. In such cases, you need to bet against the opinion of the bookmakers, that is, against the opinion of the crowd which they reflect.

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March 15, 2024, 08:36:59 PM
 #162

If predictions from the betting site will make our lives easier as a gambler then I'd rely on them. But you know that the reality isn't like that, they can be correct or they can just let our money lose depending on the games that they're giving that prediction. You can do whatever you want as you gamble but you have to make sure that you do something with your money that you're not going to regret it and that's why if it's about predictions, have your own, you win your pride and you lose, no one to blame.

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March 15, 2024, 10:44:57 PM
 #163

It is naive to hope that you can consistently (or just quite often) be more accurate in forecasts than entire companies that have the best specialists and the best extensive statistics and literally make money on their forecasts. Basically I trust the opinion of bookmakers, but there are two points: firstly, this opinion is always probabilistic, since if one team wins 30% of the time against another, and loses 70% of the time (let's take a simple case without a draw), it's still not gives us no knowledge about how any particular match between them will end.
The second point is that sometimes for various reasons the quotes are distorted - this mainly happens in large games where people bet on the brand and not on whether the team is strong or not. In such cases, you need to bet against the opinion of the bookmakers, that is, against the opinion of the crowd which they reflect.
There are surely the complexities of forecasting in the realm of sports betting. It's indeed unrealistic to expect individual forecasts to consistently outperform those generated by well-established companies with access to vast resources and expertise. Bookmakers' opinions live also around probabilistic nature. Even when statistical data suggests certain outcomes are more likely, there's always an element of uncertainty in sports events due to unforeseen circumstances.

The influence of public sentiment, especially in high-profile matches, can distort betting odds that creates opportunities for astute bettors to go against the crowd and potentially capitalize on mispriced odds. Bookmakers' opinions are valuable insights, but they have limitations and are discerning in analyzing betting markets. Identifying instances where odds may be skewed and strategically betting against prevailing sentiment can indeed present opportunities for favorable outcomes. The world of sports betting requires a nuanced understanding of probabilities, market dynamics, and risk management.

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March 16, 2024, 05:05:47 AM
 #164

If predictions from the betting site will make our lives easier as a gambler then I'd rely on them. But you know that the reality isn't like that, they can be correct or they can just let our money lose depending on the games that they're giving that prediction. You can do whatever you want as you gamble but you have to make sure that you do something with your money that you're not going to regret it and that's why if it's about predictions, have your own, you win your pride and you lose, no one to blame.
I absolutely agree, and it's important to remember that betting websites are businesses, not charities. Their purpose is to make money, not to distribute free money. Predictions may be based on statistical research and historical facts, but they will never be completely correct. Making your own predictions is unquestionably the best way to go, and it's an excellent method to maintain control over your own income. Even if you lose, you'll know that you made your own decisions and learned from your mistakes.

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March 16, 2024, 05:18:41 AM
 #165

So i want to know as a gambler that you are, do you feel following those betting predictions from those sites would favour us in gambling more than our own predictions? For me i trust my predictions and i have won more when i predict for myself than letting someone predict for me.

Well, there's nothing more trustworthy than your own predictions. I did not develop any trust with any website that offers predictions, I didn't really follow them unless if I see a pre-game analysis that does make sense and aligns with the prediction of that specific website.
I'd rather trust a small group of people with the same sports interest as me who constantly discusses and analyze pre-game and post-games to increase the probability of winning moving forward. This kind of circle are really helpful especially with parlays.
Are those websites offering a prediction for free or with charge? If it has a charge, then that's website is most probably a fraud. If they really have a high probability winning rate with their predictions, they shouldn't have offered it to others in the first place, instead they'll make a bet on their own.

R


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blockman
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March 16, 2024, 11:13:21 AM
 #166

If predictions from the betting site will make our lives easier as a gambler then I'd rely on them. But you know that the reality isn't like that, they can be correct or they can just let our money lose depending on the games that they're giving that prediction. You can do whatever you want as you gamble but you have to make sure that you do something with your money that you're not going to regret it and that's why if it's about predictions, have your own, you win your pride and you lose, no one to blame.
I absolutely agree, and it's important to remember that betting websites are businesses, not charities. Their purpose is to make money, not to distribute free money. Predictions may be based on statistical research and historical facts, but they will never be completely correct. Making your own predictions is unquestionably the best way to go, and it's an excellent method to maintain control over your own income. Even if you lose, you'll know that you made your own decisions and learned from your mistakes.
They can have some days that those picks might be helpful for some gamblers but it is not like that you're expecting to be as good as what you're expecting that you'll have a lot of money following them. It's true that they're a business and if that's one way for them to give back then you'd surely want to rely on them but the reality is not all of them going to give us the benefit that we're going to have it so that we can win as much as we can against them.

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March 16, 2024, 04:38:17 PM
 #167

So i want to know as a gambler that you are, do you feel following those betting predictions from those sites would favour us in gambling more than our own predictions? For me i trust my predictions and i have won more when i predict for myself than letting someone predict for me.

Well, there's nothing more trustworthy than your own predictions. I did not develop any trust with any website that offers predictions, I didn't really follow them unless if I see a pre-game analysis that does make sense and aligns with the prediction of that specific website.
I'd rather trust a small group of people with the same sports interest as me who constantly discusses and analyze pre-game and post-games to increase the probability of winning moving forward. This kind of circle are really helpful especially with parlays.
Are those websites offering a prediction for free or with charge? If it has a charge, then that's website is most probably a fraud. If they really have a high probability winning rate with their predictions, they shouldn't have offered it to others in the first place, instead they'll make a bet on their own.
Sports betting is uncertain, therefore trusting your intuition and your local community is crucial. Your method removes guaranteed forecasts and starts with mutual interest and analysis. Raw, authentic, and most importantly, resonating with true sportsmanship

However, lets not ignore the obvious and pretend that no paid prediction service is legitimate. Skepticism is healthy, especially in a manipulative sector, but not all services want to scam. Some offer value by providing insights that the average bettor may not have. Not remuneration, but transparency, accuracy, and track record of these services. A hybrid paradigm that amplifies your circle's wisdom with thoroughly researched outsider insights is worth considering before dismissing them. In betting, as in life, more knowledge, angles, and views might give us an edge

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March 16, 2024, 04:45:18 PM
 #168

So i want to know as a gambler that you are, do you feel following those betting predictions from those sites would favour us in gambling more than our own predictions? For me i trust my predictions and i have won more when i predict for myself than letting someone predict for me.

Well, there's nothing more trustworthy than your own predictions. I did not develop any trust with any website that offers predictions, I didn't really follow them unless if I see a pre-game analysis that does make sense and aligns with the prediction of that specific website.
I'd rather trust a small group of people with the same sports interest as me who constantly discusses and analyze pre-game and post-games to increase the probability of winning moving forward. This kind of circle are really helpful especially with parlays.
Are those websites offering a prediction for free or with charge? If it has a charge, then that's website is most probably a fraud. If they really have a high probability winning rate with their predictions, they shouldn't have offered it to others in the first place, instead they'll make a bet on their own.

What he says is important, sometimes when we follow a sport, for example football, it is good to have a group where everyone talks about the game and which team they want to bet on and why, this is something that enriches much more because Things are much more specific and can make a difference, in a group of predictions they give them without often explaining the reasons for the decision, so it is very particular about the groups that are of that style, I do not trust those groups, also I consider that one's own experience is much more relevant.

If you get a group where you talk about basically Everything that the players , the coaches , the team in general have said, that information is very valuable, that they are updating us with the latest news from the players, those who are appointed, the Possible that it will be within the headline, all of these things help determine a better result.

Most groups that are sports predictions require a monthly payment, membership or something similar, but they do not show the results, this is like going and crossing the street blindfolded, only with pure faith, and in this you cannot make assumptions things like that.


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March 16, 2024, 04:49:04 PM
 #169

There are gamblers who have great instincts and can forecast games that may end up winning the bet. But they are scared that they may lose. They dont trust their own betting predictions so they would rather go to a gambling prediction site to some daily betting tips.

So i want to know as a gambler that you are, do you feel following those betting predictions from those sites would favour us in gambling more than our own predictions? For me i trust my predictions and i have won more when i predict for myself than letting someone predict for me.
I think that it is better for someone to make it prediction personally than to use someone prediction from a site that you don't know most of my winning in the gambling it was my personal prediction but anyone that I extract from anybody or any site I usually lose such gambling so I'm using myself as a point so it is better from my basic understanding and knowledge that your own personal prediction will be more preferable than using someone else prediction so many people who lose in gambling today they lost because they believe that a site I give them incredible prediction that will make them to win in any of their gambling.

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March 16, 2024, 05:08:46 PM
 #170

There are gamblers who have great instincts and can forecast games that may end up winning the bet. But they are scared that they may lose. They dont trust their own betting predictions so they would rather go to a gambling prediction site to some daily betting tips.

So i want to know as a gambler that you are, do you feel following those betting predictions from those sites would favour us in gambling more than our own predictions? For me i trust my predictions and i have won more when i predict for myself than letting someone predict for me.

Predictions from those sites you are referring to are formed with their factors and analysis. If you are familiar with the leagues you are betting with, it's either trust your analysis or for a much more effective analysis, you can combine your analysis and those you will see at those sites. It will give you a much better view of your final output compared to other predictions.

Either way, it doesn't matter where you rely on. As long as you understand where will you put your bet, that is most matter.
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March 16, 2024, 07:22:41 PM
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Good gamblers build up instincts and learn to go with their gut, I think.  Even if some people win big jackpots on just a hunch, you can also crash and burn hard trusting those gut feelings blindly.  For me, I'm more of a trust my own judgment type of gambler.  Those betting prediction sites can be hit or miss in my experience.  Sometimes they might point you toward a winner but counting too much on them to pick all the games leaves you vulnerable.

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March 16, 2024, 07:57:47 PM
 #172

Good gamblers build up instincts and learn to go with their gut, I think.  Even if some people win big jackpots on just a hunch, you can also crash and burn hard trusting those gut feelings blindly.  For me, I'm more of a trust my own judgment type of gambler.  Those betting prediction sites can be hit or miss in my experience.  Sometimes they might point you toward a winner but counting too much on them to pick all the games leaves you vulnerable.

And those experiences would built up overtime on which i could say that it would really be more worth rather than on making yourself that too relying with those so called experts on which you could
really be actually do the same thing if you do really just that make your research. It is really just that there are those bettors who are really just that too lazy when it comes on having their own research but instead they would really be just that simply following those experts and ended up on regret once those bets ends up on a lose. This is why it would be not a regretable feeling if you do lost
a bet which comes up with your own analysis because you do know that it is from your own selection and not theirs.

You could build up yourself to be experienced soon as you do keep moving forward on choosing up your bets.You dont actually need up these people if you are really
just that mindful about on your own approach.

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March 16, 2024, 08:12:20 PM
 #173

The reason I gamble and place bets is that, apart from getting the thrill and excitement, I do this solely to try my luck. So in the bets I make, I tend to use the results of my own analysis and predictions, even though the results of other people's predictions look quite interesting to use. But I believe that luck plays a big role in every bet I make and the wins I get.

And whether I win or lose in every bet I place, I will still use the results of the analysis and predictions that I make, because the most important thing for me is not winning or losing, but rather how I can enjoy the bet and get pleasure from it. Apart from that, when we use other people's predictions too often, we will never know our strengths and weaknesses when placing bets, which can also lead to dependence on continuing to use other people's predictions. and feel less confident if you use the results of your own analysis and predictions.

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March 16, 2024, 08:31:57 PM
 #174

So i want to know as a gambler that you are, do you feel following those betting predictions from those sites would favour us in gambling more than our own predictions? For me i trust my predictions and i have won more when i predict for myself than letting someone predict for me.

I'm not the type of bettor who heavily relies on someone's prediction, especially if I know much of the sports I'm betting. For example in a basketball match in the league that I'm familiar with. I will make my prediction based on some given pointers like team injuries, home court advantage, recent performance, and other things that will help me create my prediction.

On some random betting on sports I didn't know much about like football and soccer, that's the time I consider relying on other predictions but since it's just my random betting, not really care about serious prediction as in most case, I will just pick based on what I feel.
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March 16, 2024, 08:52:26 PM
 #175

Blindly following someone else's predictions, regardless of their supposed expertise, is a recipe for disappointment.  Imagine a football fan following a "tipster's" prediction without analyzing the teams or the game's context.  It's a gamble within a gamble, stacking the odds against you.

The changing referee situation you mentioned perfectly illustrates the inherent uncertainties in sports betting.  Even seemingly minor factors, like a last-minute change in officiating, can disrupt the most meticulous predictions.  It's like a chess game – one unexpected move can alter the entire course of the competition.

True success in gambling, whether sports or otherwise, lies in independent analysis.  Researching teams, players, and historical trends allows you to make informed decisions.  While considering other perspectives can be helpful, the final call should be yours, based on your own analysis.

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March 18, 2024, 12:47:08 PM
 #176

I am always against the habit of using provided signals and tips as the only source for placing our bets. There is nothing wrong in looking at signals or tips from a tipping website or maybe a group or something, but those should only be used for information and research purposes and one shouldn't just have a look at the signals, go ahead and place their bets based on it, I don't find that being wise and there is purpose of you gambling this way.

Sports betting is for those who have a lot of knowledge and experience about certain sports which is the fundamental reason why a person gets into sports betting because they know they can make good and accurate predictions most of the times so they can use this skill of theirs to use, but if one uses tips and signals, what's the fun?
I adhere to the same point of view and I’m simply not interested in listening to what they tell me, because I want to test myself and my intuition multiplied by expertise. However, as you correctly noted, they can be used for research purposes. For example, I can go in and see what the expert thinks so that as a result, I can compare who was more accurate in his predictions. And of course I was pleased when my forecast turned out to be more accurate than his. But of course, there are also ordinary players who understand little about betting, but they want to do it by risking money. And then they do as they were advised, but it is probably better than they would have done it at random, so there is minimal benefit to them in this.

I don't believe all these experts who give their gambling strategies at all. I think it's best to trust only yourself and your experience. When I play in a casino or lottery, I rely only on my own decisions and do not trust any such analysts there. After all, this is still a game of luck, and everyone has their own unique strategy.
Moreover, who said that most experts are not ordinary players trying to make money from a referral program.

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March 18, 2024, 12:55:45 PM
 #177

There are gamblers who have great instincts and can forecast games that may end up winning the bet. But they are scared that they may lose. They dont trust their own betting predictions so they would rather go to a gambling prediction site to some daily betting tips.

The gambler should use their analytical skills in the gambling,because not all the gamblers making money in the gambling but some making money by their skills.The emotion in the betting will not work for the win,if you are placing the betting.It was essential to adopt the environment and the current movement of game based on the algorithm of the gambling site.If the gamblers keep on following the same strategy over a changing algorithm means,he will loss their money without any doubt.Don’t panic by losing the money,the steady strategies will help the gamblers to make money in the gambling site.

So i want to know as a gambler that you are, do you feel following those betting predictions from those sites would favour us in gambling more than our own predictions? For me i trust my predictions and i have won more when i predict for myself than letting someone predict for me.


If the gambler had changed the way of gambling without any skills means the will loss of money in the gambling.The gamblers should not keep huge gap in the gambling,So he may forgot their winning strategy and play the next game like the new game and mostly loss the money.If your betting prediction based upon a skills,you no need to worry about the results of the game.Because gambling will not always get your money,it also allow the gambler to make huge money on playing the game with more skills and experience.

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March 18, 2024, 01:08:31 PM
 #178

I am always against the habit of using provided signals and tips as the only source for placing our bets. There is nothing wrong in looking at signals or tips from a tipping website or maybe a group or something, but those should only be used for information and research purposes and one shouldn't just have a look at the signals, go ahead and place their bets based on it, I don't find that being wise and there is purpose of you gambling this way.

Sports betting is for those who have a lot of knowledge and experience about certain sports which is the fundamental reason why a person gets into sports betting because they know they can make good and accurate predictions most of the times so they can use this skill of theirs to use, but if one uses tips and signals, what's the fun?
I adhere to the same point of view and I’m simply not interested in listening to what they tell me, because I want to test myself and my intuition multiplied by expertise. However, as you correctly noted, they can be used for research purposes. For example, I can go in and see what the expert thinks so that as a result, I can compare who was more accurate in his predictions. And of course I was pleased when my forecast turned out to be more accurate than his. But of course, there are also ordinary players who understand little about betting, but they want to do it by risking money. And then they do as they were advised, but it is probably better than they would have done it at random, so there is minimal benefit to them in this.

I don't believe all these experts who give their gambling strategies at all. I think it's best to trust only yourself and your experience. When I play in a casino or lottery, I rely only on my own decisions and do not trust any such analysts there. After all, this is still a game of luck, and everyone has their own unique strategy.
Moreover, who said that most experts are not ordinary players trying to make money from a referral program.
Many people who claim to be "experts" in gambling may not have any exceptional insight or knowledge. And it's also possible that some of them are simply trying to make money by introducing users to gambling websites. It is also true that gambling is a game of chance, and no one can predict exactly what will happen. So, rather than blindly taking someone else's guidance, it makes sense to focus on your own plan and experience.

While I agree that you should trust your own judgment and not blindly follow the advise of so-called "experts," I believe there is some benefit in learning from the experiences of others. For example, someone may have had a negative experience with a specific gambling site and can warn you against it, or someone may have developed a very successful approach that you can learn from. So I believe it's a balance: you want to be cautious when taking advise from others, but you also don't want to ignore all advice outright.

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March 18, 2024, 01:30:29 PM
 #179

I am always against the habit of using provided signals and tips as the only source for placing our bets. There is nothing wrong in looking at signals or tips from a tipping website or maybe a group or something, but those should only be used for information and research purposes and one shouldn't just have a look at the signals, go ahead and place their bets based on it, I don't find that being wise and there is purpose of you gambling this way.

Sports betting is for those who have a lot of knowledge and experience about certain sports which is the fundamental reason why a person gets into sports betting because they know they can make good and accurate predictions most of the times so they can use this skill of theirs to use, but if one uses tips and signals, what's the fun?
I adhere to the same point of view and I’m simply not interested in listening to what they tell me, because I want to test myself and my intuition multiplied by expertise. However, as you correctly noted, they can be used for research purposes. For example, I can go in and see what the expert thinks so that as a result, I can compare who was more accurate in his predictions. And of course I was pleased when my forecast turned out to be more accurate than his. But of course, there are also ordinary players who understand little about betting, but they want to do it by risking money. And then they do as they were advised, but it is probably better than they would have done it at random, so there is minimal benefit to them in this.

I don't believe all these experts who give their gambling strategies at all. I think it's best to trust only yourself and your experience. When I play in a casino or lottery, I rely only on my own decisions and do not trust any such analysts there. After all, this is still a game of luck, and everyone has their own unique strategy.
Moreover, who said that most experts are not ordinary players trying to make money from a referral program.
Many people who claim to be "experts" in gambling may not have any exceptional insight or knowledge. And it's also possible that some of them are simply trying to make money by introducing users to gambling websites. It is also true that gambling is a game of chance, and no one can predict exactly what will happen. So, rather than blindly taking someone else's guidance, it makes sense to focus on your own plan and experience.

While I agree that you should trust your own judgment and not blindly follow the advise of so-called "experts," I believe there is some benefit in learning from the experiences of others. For example, someone may have had a negative experience with a specific gambling site and can warn you against it, or someone may have developed a very successful approach that you can learn from. So I believe it's a balance: you want to be cautious when taking advise from others, but you also don't want to ignore all advice outright.
Internet prophets sell "secrets" to the highest price. The truth? A crapshot. No one has a crystal ball, especially in life's risk. Why the maze guide obsession? However, not all counsel is a shipwreck siren cry. The dirt and ruins of others' journeys have value. A warning and a strategy—it's not all smoke and mirrors. The trick? Open your eyes and think clearly. Separate fact from fiction.

The true game? You and your judgment, refined by successes and losses. This is about creating your own strategy, learning from the mines and meadows. Take what works, leave the rest. Always question, since the only sure bet in this game is yourself.

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March 18, 2024, 01:30:36 PM
 #180

If predictions from the betting site will make our lives easier as a gambler then I'd rely on them. But you know that the reality isn't like that, they can be correct or they can just let our money lose depending on the games that they're giving that prediction. You can do whatever you want as you gamble but you have to make sure that you do something with your money that you're not going to regret it and that's why if it's about predictions, have your own, you win your pride and you lose, no one to blame.
I absolutely agree, and it's important to remember that betting websites are businesses, not charities. Their purpose is to make money, not to distribute free money. Predictions may be based on statistical research and historical facts, but they will never be completely correct. Making your own predictions is unquestionably the best way to go, and it's an excellent method to maintain control over your own income. Even if you lose, you'll know that you made your own decisions and learned from your mistakes.
They can have some days that those picks might be helpful for some gamblers but it is not like that you're expecting to be as good as what you're expecting that you'll have a lot of money following them. It's true that they're a business and if that's one way for them to give back then you'd surely want to rely on them but the reality is not all of them going to give us the benefit that we're going to have it so that we can win as much as we can against them.
Even if you do have the money, it wouldn't really be that still worth on following someones bets no matter how professional or veteran they are into this industry but still it wont really be giving out that kind of good feeling in terms results or outcomes. It wont really be giving out that kind of easiness or when it comes to emotion on the time that you would really be making those bets basing up on someones calls or predictions. Nothing beats out if you do really make your own bet rather than on following into others. Somewhat its not that a bad idea on check out some information
or analysis that do came from others on which you do have at least having the idea on what you are really that dealing into.

Also it would really be that totally enjoyable and thrilling if you do really based up with your bets since you put up your own analysis into it rather than on making those random or suggested bets.

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