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Author Topic: Countdown to the 4th Bitcoin halving.. what should we expect?  (Read 869 times)
MinoRaiola
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March 26, 2024, 06:35:26 AM
 #21

If the cycle repeats, which currently looks like the beginning, then it should continue for XXX days after the halving. I have also posted a chart here that goes even further and does not see the top until August-November 2025, which would be over 1.5 years from now. There maybe a very strong drop in between, as in 2021. I suspect that we will see a price of +$100,000 in this cycle. One cycle with +1,400 days and we are there.

BTC and It's Cycles

This is an amazing chart I have saved for more than a year now, it predicted the 2022 Cycle Low correctly. It's made by someone else, I do not remember the user however I have it saved.
I just wanted to share this as many people here do not believe in the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle. Here's a live proof of that being executed every cycle.

The next possible Cycle High is in August, 2025-November, 2025.



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Outhue
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March 26, 2024, 10:30:14 AM
 #22



Look at this simple chart showing previous block halvings and the price of Bitcoin on every block halving.
If we will just follow this, it clearly shows that for every Bitcoin block halving, we always create new all-time highs.

I'm just worried that before we break, are we expecting a huge dump before we will go Giga pump

Its obvious that you already knew what's going to happen, every dump is an opportunity, why worried because of the dump when you know that a giga pump is coming right after?

I have prepared myself for any possible outcome, if dump happens I will be able to buy more Bitcoin and if it doesn't i still have my stored Bitcoin to take the ride with, this isn't the time to be out of Bitcoin, it's the time to be in Bitcoin.

This time is different is what everyone is screaming about, but I  don't want to believe what the hordes are saying, likely, it will never happen but instead of trying hard to choose it is better to be ready for any possibility, have stable coin and wait for any possible dump to DCA again.

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dzungmobile
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March 26, 2024, 10:40:12 AM
 #23

This time is different is what everyone is screaming about, but I  don't want to believe what the hordes are saying, likely, it will never happen but instead of trying hard to choose it is better to be ready for any possibility, have stable coin and wait for any possible dump to DCA again.
DCA is golden strategy for investors and it is good for new and experienced investors too. It works for people who have time to watch the market as well as people who are busy with their non-cryptocurrency works and don't have time to observe the market too often.

This strategy works in both bear and bull market but when you say you are DCAing, let's prepare to do it for a quite long time.

There is a customized version of DCA, Smart DCA.

DCA vs Smart DCA, what do you choose?

Because you say about stable coin, please know about risk of stable coins.

PSA: Most Stablecoins Can Be Frozen, Even in Your Own Wallets


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Alone055
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March 26, 2024, 10:52:19 AM
 #24

What's your take on this? How excited are you for this halving, and what's your prediction for BTC price movements?

My excitement is to see how Bitcoin would react after the halving. We have seen unexpected things happening this time around, Bitcoin has created a new all-time high even before the halving. Now after that, our expectations are higher than before and we expect Bitcoin to at least reach $100,000 without any problems within the next two years.
I don't have unrealistic expectations from it though, I know it can surprise us again after the halving as it did earlier, but that would depend on the increment in the demand and the number of investors willing to buy more Bitcoin after or around the halving event.

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March 26, 2024, 10:53:52 AM
Last edit: March 26, 2024, 01:36:50 PM by mindrust
 #25

Expect nothing? BTC will eventually go above $100k everybody can see that but is it going to be enough for you? Everybody is living their own reality. Depending on how many coins you hodl and what your entry price is, your expectations may vary a lot. So if you don't expect anything, you won't get disappointed if nothing happens. However, if something slightly good happens, then you will be very happy because your expectations were very low. (basically nothing) That's the secret recipe of being a long term hodler. Just pretend dead because dead people are the best investors according to Fidelity.[1]

[1] The Conservative Income Investor informs that when conducting an internal performance review of customer performance from 2003 to 2013, Fidelity learned that those with the best returns were "either dead or inactive."

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gunhell16
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March 26, 2024, 01:34:04 PM
 #26

If I look at the fundamental analysis, we are still bullish. We know that if the price goes up, it will go up, and if the price goes down, the market will immediately go down. Of course,
that's not the case.

Although we have our own opinions, all I am saying is in accordance with the understanding that I read in the market on the chart now, so I can say this.
We are not like others who only focus on the same timeframe daily and will just say that they are entitled to $100,000 because the bitcoin halving is near;
of course, it is not like that.


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Iamcrypticguy (OP)
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March 26, 2024, 02:13:12 PM
 #27

What's your take on this? How excited are you for this halving, and what's your prediction for BTC price movements?
I believe that halving event is one of the most important aspects of Bitcoin and it has contributed a lot to the growth of Bitcoin. Like most others, I also believe that the halving event will allow Bitcoin to grow in value because when the number of mined bitcoins are reduced to half then that somehow creates scarcity and because of scarcity the value of Bitcoin grows overtime.

Bitcoin's price won't be affected to huge degrees during the halving events if we see the history of it, but this time due to the ETFs, I believe the value of Bitcoin will grow during the halving event. I think that Bitcoin may reach $75k value during the halving event this time. However, I also think that it may reach or cross $80k value if a new rally takes place.

You've analysed properly, scarcity leads to increase in price..I think BTC will smash $100k price post halving imo.. there might be lots of buzz and rewarding events on dex or cex due to halving, will also be looking at them before the D-DAY.
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March 26, 2024, 03:03:16 PM
 #28

What's your take on this? How excited are you for this halving, and what's your prediction for BTC price movements?
I believe that halving event is one of the most important aspects of Bitcoin and it has contributed a lot to the growth of Bitcoin. Like most others, I also believe that the halving event will allow Bitcoin to grow in value because when the number of mined bitcoins are reduced to half then that somehow creates scarcity and because of scarcity the value of Bitcoin grows overtime.

Bitcoin's price won't be affected to huge degrees during the halving events if we see the history of it, but this time due to the ETFs, I believe the value of Bitcoin will grow during the halving event. I think that Bitcoin may reach $75k value during the halving event this time. However, I also think that it may reach or cross $80k value if a new rally takes place.

You've analysed properly, scarcity leads to increase in price..I think BTC will smash $100k price post halving imo.. there might be lots of buzz and rewarding events on dex or cex due to halving, will also be looking at them before the D-DAY.


Scarcity is not the only determining factor that helps bitcoin increase in price, I think that even without the halving event bitcoin will still increase in price because of the benefits it brings to us. Supply and demand need to go hand in hand for an asset to sustainably increase in price.

Everyone is excited about the halving but I personally would be more cautious because I believe in the financial markets' mantra of “sell the news” instead of expecting a breakthrough from bitcoin.

Bitcoin will definitely reach 100k USD and even higher but I don't think it will reach that goal right after the halving. I predict it will happen later this year because I believe that the movement of bitcoin also depends on the world macroeconomic situation.

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March 26, 2024, 04:10:50 PM
 #29

we are expecting the halving to come. I believe this time halving will not be like The first halving we experienced, it will accelerate than the last halving,  I think this is the best time for you to buy Bitcoin.
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March 26, 2024, 05:32:44 PM
 #30

This time is different is what everyone is screaming about, but I  don't want to believe what the hordes are saying, likely, it will never happen but instead of trying hard to choose it is better to be ready for any possibility, have stable coin and wait for any possible dump to DCA again.
DCA is golden strategy for investors and it is good for new and experienced investors too. It works for people who have time to watch the market as well as people who are busy with their non-cryptocurrency works and don't have time to observe the market too often.

This strategy works in both bear and bull market but when you say you are DCAing, let's prepare to do it for a quite long time.

There is a customized version of DCA, Smart DCA.

DCA vs Smart DCA, what do you choose?

Because you say about stable coin, please know about risk of stable coins.

PSA: Most Stablecoins Can Be Frozen, Even in Your Own Wallets



Or you may explore some opportunities presented by platforms you trade with if you don't use cex.. here's one..https://www.bitget.com/support/articles/12560603806679
SamReomo
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March 26, 2024, 07:06:26 PM
 #31

~Snip~
So to me now it is a universal period to all cryptocurrency.
Yes, I agree with you, the Bitcoin halving is not an event which helps only Bitcoin to gain value and attention from new investors but it's an event where other crypto-currencies also get attention of the investors and due to that the whole crypto-market starts gaining capital.

It either starts the bull run or makes it more intense, and if we check the history then we can get an idea that how useful the halving event has been for the growth of Bitcoin and overall crypto-market. I'm quite sure that we will see some good values of altcoins as well just because of Bitcoin halving event.

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March 26, 2024, 07:41:56 PM
 #32

I am actually super excited for the coming halving for once again, we are about to witness history repeat itself as it did 4 years ago, and the previous 4 years ago as well, over the year, the year bitcoin halving occurs have always been the year investors get paid their reward for their three years of accumulating and enduring the bear market, it's a time when the true diamond hands who bought through every dip and kept holding get rewarded for their never giving up spirit and endless support for the bitcoin and crypto currency ecosystem.

Who ever has been in crypto and Investing since the last 4 years should be happy for the times that we are in right now, it is the season of rewards.
And speaking on the price prediction of bitcoin in the coming  bull run, it's hard to predict right, but none the less, I am expecting bitcoin to reach the price of $120,000 and above.
Finger crossed 🤞.

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March 27, 2024, 06:14:26 AM
 #33

What's your take on this? How excited are you for this halving, and what's your prediction for BTC price movements?
Yes, we are almost close to bitcoin halving. I am very excited because after the halving we will see a bull market. It is very difficult to predict the price of Bitcoin, but after the previous halving, the price of Bitcoin has seen a lot of growth. So it is expected that after this halving, the price of Bitcoin in Bullran will increase a lot. I won't make predictions, but expect Bitcoin to be $120-150k after the halving.
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March 27, 2024, 08:00:50 AM
 #34

What's your take on this? How excited are you for this halving, and what's your prediction for BTC price movements?

The announcement of the halving has many people thrilled and filled with high expectations. Everyone knows that people have corrected issues, and people are ready to profit. They also anticipate that the price will be significantly affected. The anticipation among consumers that prices must increase is based on pre-existing information. Individuals are forecasting a price of $100,000 or more for their predictions. as well as the general consensus that prices will rise.

Yes, we are almost close to bitcoin halving. I am very excited because after the halving we will see a bull market. It is very difficult to predict the price of Bitcoin, but after the previous halving, the price of Bitcoin has seen a lot of growth. So it is expected that after this halving, the price of Bitcoin in Bullran will increase a lot. I won't make predictions, but expect Bitcoin to be $120-150k after the halving.

very near to halving and the price is already fluctuating, which is a positive indication that the value of Bitcoin will increase. People are certain that the halving will act as a catalyst for a bull market, but there is currently a problem in that most people want to hold onto their USD due to the fluctuation in value between the two currencies, and their currencies appreciate when they invest in stable currencies, particularly in Africa. While monetary value is becoming increasingly significant, yet as things stand, people only want to gain money from their investments.

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March 27, 2024, 08:38:04 AM
 #35

You've analysed properly, scarcity leads to increase in price..I think BTC will smash $100k price post halving imo.
Price will eventually reach $100k after halving but what's interesting to speculate about is whether it could reach it before halving. Considering how from $70k to $100k is only about 40% rise, it's not that far away. With a small push and a good momentum we can get there. Specially since we've already broken the previous ATH and the psychological barrier that usually prevents such bigger rises is no longer there.

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March 27, 2024, 09:50:03 AM
 #36

Our expectations after this year halving is in seeing that bitcoin market rises up to $200,000 and many investors are being profitable in their respective investments made on bitcoin, you can agree with me that we cannot accurately predict the time the all time high is coming but we can go by the steady speculations and follow up on the trend of how it being volatile, next month which is April will be the month to expect the halving taking place.
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March 27, 2024, 03:39:51 PM
 #37

Our expectations after this year halving is in seeing that bitcoin market rises up to $200,000 and many investors are being profitable in their respective investments made on bitcoin, you can agree with me that we cannot accurately predict the time the all time high is coming but we can go by the steady speculations and follow up on the trend of how it being volatile, next month which is April will be the month to expect the halving taking place.

Let's put in a conservative estimates of $100k first. I know sky is the limit and there is also the possibility to rise to $200k. But I wouldn't go that route so that we won't get disappointed when the price down go that high.

We should be learning from the experience during the last bull-run. For sure everyone still remembers one of the most famous prediction that time by Plan B with his S2F modelling. That the price is going to reach $100k. Unfortunately, the highest was $69k in November and there's no more push to reach 6 digit.
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March 27, 2024, 04:12:46 PM
 #38

Some may wonder how this affects the price of Bitcoin going forward. From historical data, Bitcoin has always risen after the previous three halvings. Let's see if this trend continues.
This time, something went wrong and bitcoin began to grow before the start of the halving. I think it's time for a changes. What was natural before will apparently no longer be the same.

What's your take on this? How excited are you for this halving, and what's your prediction for BTC price movements?
I'm always excited about new halvings. This feels like the beginning of a new (BTC) milestone to me.

I hope for further bitcoin's growth, but I assume that surprises may arise, because this 4th halving is out of the general trend of past halvings.

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March 27, 2024, 04:18:40 PM
 #39

Our expectations after this year halving is in seeing that bitcoin market rises up to $200,000 and many investors are being profitable in their respective investments made on bitcoin, you can agree with me that we cannot accurately predict the time the all time high is coming but we can go by the steady speculations and follow up on the trend of how it being volatile, next month which is April will be the month to expect the halving taking place.
I hope that's for real but I know bitcoin isn't going to go that high this year or anytime soon, 200k is just too far and too ambitious in my opinion, maybe a 170k could be the best outcome but a 200k is close to impossible, maybe if we get more people to invest in ETFs and more people adopting bitcoin and investing in it then we'd probably see it go to that point but with the current growth in terms of bitcoin adoption which is steady, I don't believe that it's going to go to 200k, so the best thing to expect in this situation is probably nothing at all, it's bitcoin, it's always been an expectation defier and for us to expect it to do what we want it to do is just shameless and a disservice to bitcoin being known as a volatile asset.



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March 28, 2024, 10:45:20 AM
 #40


its not about the talking because Halving is truly happening in April , and this will not happen for a while because this will happen every 4 years and we have seen that for 4th year now.

Halving occurs after every four years of duration and this time it will take place in the month of April but according to the prediction if people don't immediately sell their bitcoins then it will exists until the end of this year and people can get their targeted profit during current Bull season with feasible way. Halving does not comes immediately and does not happens after a little time but four years are needed to bring another Halving.



but this time All Time High price of Bitcoin have already  broken even before the halving happens so the trend may change , lets see what happens next.

Previous ATH was 69k$ but this time prior to halving bitcoin attained 73k$ of rate which signify that this time halving will be more valuable and more helpful than all the previous halving. There are increasing hopes of the investors for halving so let's see that what will be the exact point of increase after halving and at which value it will stop to grow.



 

 

 

 

 

 


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