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Author Topic: Try to stick to your instincts as a gambler  (Read 1149 times)
Zigabel
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March 24, 2024, 12:45:32 PM
 #161

Last week, I picked few matches I wanted bet on and before I could stake on it, one of the games had already started. My instinct tells me to wager on it like that but I ignored and added another game to make my potential winning a round figure. When the games ended it was the one game I added that spoilt my bet. So I understand the feeling, but if one of your games had lost you won't be saying this, so be happy and thankful that you won something regardless of the amount.

This usually happens amongst gamblers as they do have this Instinct to make a particular pick but then somehow they will find their selves choosing another because they feel it's better only to later regret not following their instinct, sometimes you can't deni the fact that your instincts are correct but you just felt it would have been better you picked the other options you went for, personally I do wagers it, when I make my picks I aswell separately stake on that which my instincts are with aswell so Incase any works I will still be in profit but not all the times this strategy actually works.

Sometimes following your instincts can also includes the number of picks you make too and aswell the the options which your picks are on so which ever it is just stick with your instincts as they are correct most of the times. Instinctively gambling isn't 100% correct but it's a good way of gambling especially when don responsibly.

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March 24, 2024, 02:24:20 PM
 #162

Today i decided to try one of my sweet predictions in the EPL games. So, i predicted in 4 matches and placed my net. However, during this time i watched my games played so well but two games were holding it and i felt i would lose this game. It was already 83 minutes and i needed these games to play at 87 minutes i gave up and decided to cashout the amount i used to stake since it was the amount that was showing there. I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.
What you just displayed is a typical human nature, we are never satisfied and always act based on emotion and the feelings of wanting more. This is supposed not to be so, we should be contented and try to do better next time as nothing is perfect in decision-making, not even our instincts. But have you thought of the possibility of losing all the money if that game fails? It would be more painful if you had left it and it lost. This is gambling, the outcome can be either positive or negative, and thankfully, you did not lose your money but gained the amount back, and it is such that could be wagered again the next time, so no hurt feelings here and your decision is heroic to me. I have seen many cases like yours where the bettor would be advised to cash out but did not and lost all the money.

The last one was just last month when I advised someone to cash having won 8 times her wagered amount. She wanted to be adamant and wait just for a single game, but I so much persuaded her to yield my advice and she eventually did. Guess what, the lone game she was waiting for ended against her and she couldn't thank me enough. As gamblers, we should be well managerial in nature and what you just did is called proper management at that time, but it still baffles me how you ended up gaining back just the exact amount you wagered, that must have been outrageously said judging by your picks.

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March 24, 2024, 02:52:18 PM
 #163

Your narration is exactly what also happen to me before but my own was removing like 3 game which have already started out of my prediction and replaced with 3 other games but in all the 3 I added, 2played together with other games but 1 still cut the game. I was very angry a terrified seing that I lost the game I could have won. And my instincts was telling me to allow the game to continue and I refused. but went ahead and added some games.
As a gambler, there's enough roles to play and risks to be  levelled upon because it's mainly your decision as a vital roles in gambling and most importantly, We're milking from the system back to back, atleast it'd the only evidence that show a gambler to be making huge moves in the market. We're humans and we have instincts and they're very active when it involves the system. Our instincts play a vital role in these our bets, never stop throwing attempts of games because instincts directs us on what to do specifically, making our losing ratio reduced.

Gamblers should learn to respect their instincts to the extent of knowing when to follow them. Because our instincts can work in a tricky way. Whatever side of thought the gambler chooses is his instinct. Imagine if you never played the three games, Pi-network, and they ended up being positive, you'll still blame it on not listening to your instinct. Both thoughts came from the brain, and one must be right and the other wrong. I remember playing a roulette game, one morning, and the same thing happened my instinct suggested I choose red, and I picked black, then the ball stopped at red. If I had chosen red and the ball stopped at black, I would have called it instinct as well.

Hence, in a game of prediction, whenever a player loses, he shouldn't bother about the other thoughts of what he had played, being the right one. The day happened to be different. And the gambler doesn't have any reason to bother over his mistakes. Yes, we have to listen to our instincts, how do we differentiate which one amongst the double thoughts is right? That's the foundation of gambling. When a person is left with two options, he only has the privilege to pick one. Nothing more nothing less. Nearly cannot kill a bird, as gamblers, we have to move on. Swimming in the ocean of regrets and mistakes only leaves the gambler in the past. Instead of focusing on his next game, he'd wander a lot on his past one. Thereby, repeating mistakes in the next game, as he's not prepared to make the right decisions.

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March 24, 2024, 03:49:39 PM
 #164

I think every gambler still uses their instincts to determine bets, or at least continue the game or stop the game. We don't know how accurate each gambler's instincts are, but instincts can still lead gamblers to bet accurately, or vice versa. Nobody knows the luck of a gambler, they just bet according to instinct. they can win or lose. Some gamblers make bets randomly based on knowledge alone. but if he was lucky, victory would be his.

Actually, we can't explain why most of the time a person's instincts turn out to be right, it's like mind over matter, that what's on your mind, that's actually possible because it's manifested by what we think, we claim what will happen because that's what's on our mind, that's why there are other people who prefer to think only positive things prior a session of gambling and not negative things because sometimes what comes to your mind first, that's really what will happen.

I think however we will never be able to explain the reason why instincts are sometimes right or meaning sometimes our instincts can lead us to victory, but I think it's natural because gambling is about luck which is the name of luck can never be known when it comes and when it goes so this is a strong reason why your instincts are sometimes right and when your instincts are right then actually it's not that you are great and can predict but it's nothing more than just you are lucky.

There's this idea of "sometimes" in that your gut can lead you to win which means your gut can be wrong or you can miss and that's normal because gambling is about "probability" which means you might lose or you might win, so I don't think we can use gut as an excuse for winning because when your gut is right which leads you to win it's actually a situation where you're just lucky and nothing more than that, so it's as simple as that. And also if for example a positive mindset can lead you to victory or can make you able to predict what will happen then I think logically there will be many gamblers who do it for the sake of victory but the fact is that they continue to complain about losing.

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March 24, 2024, 04:52:02 PM
 #165

Last week, I picked few matches I wanted bet on and before I could stake on it, one of the games had already started. My instinct tells me to wager on it like that but I ignored and added another game to make my potential winning a round figure. When the games ended it was the one game I added that spoilt my bet. So I understand the feeling, but if one of your games had lost you won't be saying this, so be happy and thankful that you won something regardless of the amount.

This usually happens amongst gamblers as they do have this Instinct to make a particular pick but then somehow they will find their selves choosing another because they feel it's better only to later regret not following their instinct, sometimes you can't deni the fact that your instincts are correct but you just felt it would have been better you picked the other options you went for, personally I do wagers it, when I make my picks I aswell separately stake on that which my instincts are with aswell so Incase any works I will still be in profit but not all the times this strategy actually works.

Sometimes following your instincts can also includes the number of picks you make too and aswell the the options which your picks are on so which ever it is just stick with your instincts as they are correct most of the times. Instinctively gambling isn't 100% correct but it's a good way of gambling especially when don responsibly.
Yeah, you're right about intuition and gambling. We all have gut feelings, right? Bet big here, play safe there to deceive the house. Nobody wants to acknowledge it, but the house always wins. You're playing their game no matter how good your instincts are

Yes, instincts are strong. Sometimes they hit, sometimes they implode? That's thrilling and dangerous. Relying on gut feelings alone is dangerous. The goal is accountability. You discuss hedging, split stakes, etc. Is it wise? Maybe short-term. Long-term? Do you want to play that way?

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March 24, 2024, 05:52:05 PM
 #166

Today i decided to try one of my sweet predictions in the EPL games. So, i predicted in 4 matches and placed my net. However, during this time i watched my games played so well but two games were holding it and i felt i would lose this game. It was already 83 minutes and i needed these games to play at 87 minutes i gave up and decided to cashout the amount i used to stake since it was the amount that was showing there. I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.
do you believe that a young bettor is always lucky because they always dare to take a big reisk?
this is not a misleading word but indeed logically it is true when you try to bet on sports betting using money that is able to disappear, of course whatever happens you will not do cashhouts and choose to see the more satisfying end result even though sometimes also loses.
but you don't need to feel angry if after you have done cashout because it has become the decision you chose.
maybe by taking a big risk, it doesn't always provide a guarantee of victory, but at least I am more satisfied to see the final result than I have to feel disappointed after cashout but the prediction that I made turned out to be all true and I understand the situation you feel right now you will think if only not doing cashout will definitely get a bigger profit.

all we need to remember and understand from this problem is only how important we bet on sports betting with the amount we are able to disappear and with the amount we have we can take the risk of trust in the predictions we do and believe in our bets.
If you win, of course we will feel happy, but if you lose at least the money lost is money that is not used for other needs.

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March 24, 2024, 05:59:21 PM
 #167

Last week, I picked few matches I wanted bet on and before I could stake on it, one of the games had already started. My instinct tells me to wager on it like that but I ignored and added another game to make my potential winning a round figure. When the games ended it was the one game I added that spoilt my bet. So I understand the feeling, but if one of your games had lost you won't be saying this, so be happy and thankful that you won something regardless of the amount.

This usually happens amongst gamblers as they do have this Instinct to make a particular pick but then somehow they will find their selves choosing another because they feel it's better only to later regret not following their instinct, sometimes you can't deni the fact that your instincts are correct but you just felt it would have been better you picked the other options you went for, personally I do wagers it, when I make my picks I aswell separately stake on that which my instincts are with aswell so Incase any works I will still be in profit but not all the times this strategy actually works.

Sometimes following your instincts can also includes the number of picks you make too and aswell the the options which your picks are on so which ever it is just stick with your instincts as they are correct most of the times. Instinctively gambling isn't 100% correct but it's a good way of gambling especially when don responsibly.
There are really indeed moments as a gambler on which you would really be able to experience those kind of situations where instincts would really be kicking in or on the time that you would really be having those kind of inner voices that telling this and telling that on what you should gonna do and this is where you would really be having those thoughts that you neither be following it or not on which there are really
times that we do trust up our instincts and there are really times that we do really goes opposite to it. Outcomes and results would really be varying because luck isnt always on our side all the time on which
it would be causing up for those choices neither be resulting into a win or lose on which you could really be able to distinguish on how you would really be treating up those things whether you would be following it
again once it do happen or not.

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March 26, 2024, 05:15:23 PM
 #168

I always do a mix of following my instinct and statistics because combining these two options led me to more winning bets than rather doing random bets or simply follow some AI predictions or any other craps like this. However , it's good to search for what other people are betting on your events so in this way you will have a second opinion on your bets and then you can wisely chose from your instinct , statistics and also other people bets and outcomes.  Grin
Following predictions provided by an AI model might not be the brightest idea because AI models are not up to the mark for now and they can be wrong sometimes with their predictions and analysis, however, one can use them to get assistance with their research and analysis by collecting data and statistics that they then can compare to see which side has better chances of winning a game.

I'm also not a fan of following instincts when it comes to making sports bets because your instincts are based on your emotions and understanding of things or events from the past, and the outcome can always be different than that. So, one should only rely on research and analysis when it comes to sports betting.

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May 02, 2024, 08:23:22 PM
 #169



Today i decided to try one of my sweet predictions in the EPL games. So, i predicted in 4 matches and placed my net. However, during this time i watched my games played so well but two games were holding it and i felt i would lose this game. It was already 83 minutes and i needed these games to play at 87 minutes i gave up and decided to cashout the amount i used to stake since it was the amount that was showing there. I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.
Actually believing in My instinct as a gambler has actually kept me growing , there is always confusion And possible losses when you doubt yourself , every prediction has a way out always try As much as possible To be positive minded as a gambler .whenever i place bet i usually believe that i will win And there nothing anybody will tell me that i will make me cash  out,because cash out is very tempting And that is one of the reasons why i Dont track My gambling Progress because  you might be tempted To cash out.

I have once had a problem when it comes To cash out And since then i have been very conscious about My games,i once placed game that worth 2million in My local currency And after a while i saw cash out of 500k then i Was in doubt with My spirit then i cash es out And AT the end of the whole  thing all the games played as predicted And since then, i hated advice when it comes To gambling And pay more attention or My instinct.

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May 02, 2024, 09:42:29 PM
 #170

I always do a mix of following my instinct and statistics because combining these two options led me to more winning bets than rather doing random bets or simply follow some AI predictions or any other craps like this. However , it's good to search for what other people are betting on your events so in this way you will have a second opinion on your bets and then you can wisely chose from your instinct , statistics and also other people bets and outcomes.  Grin
Following predictions provided by an AI model might not be the brightest idea because AI models are not up to the mark for now and they can be wrong sometimes with their predictions and analysis, however, one can use them to get assistance with their research and analysis by collecting data and statistics that they then can compare to see which side has better chances of winning a game.

I'm also not a fan of following instincts when it comes to making sports bets because your instincts are based on your emotions and understanding of things or events from the past, and the outcome can always be different than that. So, one should only rely on research and analysis when it comes to sports betting.

If it's just about instincts, I'd rather follow my own predictions than AI, why? Isn't it only humans who control the AI, by inputting information and such things that they learn from humans? There is also a big chance that his predictions will not match compared to what our personal analysis will be. If our predictions are wrong, at least we must admit to ourselves that we made a mistake, there is no one else to blame but ourselves.



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May 02, 2024, 11:12:23 PM
 #171


If it's just about instincts, I'd rather follow my own predictions than AI, why? Isn't it only humans who control the AI, by inputting information and such things that they learn from humans? There is also a big chance that his predictions will not match compared to what our personal analysis will be. If our predictions are wrong, at least we must admit to ourselves that we made a mistake, there is no one else to blame but ourselves.

When a person begin to blame himself consistently in a behavior he can't control, soon, wouldn't it get tiring? He, the gambler, wouldn't feel comfortable playing the game, because he's lost confidence in himself. Accurately, a person can blame himself and pick correction that'll help change his life positively. That works on realistic achievements where some determination is needed to accomplish. Gambling with or with no determination, huge funds will get milked away by the inflammation, and losses.


It's also funny that players talk about relying on AI to improve their profits. I've not seen a gambler thay seeks for  gambling help from a toddler, but AI brain is below that of a toddler cannot equate. AI is not as intelligent as a baby. Like you said those AI learn languages for a long time and master how to answer designated questions. How then will a player trust an AI for prediction, If not greed. Human brain is far better and accurate than the AI in terms of predicting games and other human brain task.

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May 03, 2024, 12:44:22 AM
 #172


If it's just about instincts, I'd rather follow my own predictions than AI
It's also funny that players talk about relying on AI to improve their profits. I've not seen a gambler thay seeks for  gambling help from a toddler, but AI brain is below that of a toddler cannot equate. AI is not as intelligent as a baby. Like you said those AI learn languages for a long time and master how to answer designated questions. How then will a player trust an AI for prediction, If not greed. Human brain is far better and accurate than the AI in terms of predicting games and other human brain task.

And instincts develop through experience and constant exposure to what you are playing with be it on sports betting or traditional game son casino. Because basically, betting is just putting something in value for what you believe would happen next. Simply put, you are standing beside your beliefs. That's why many opposes using AI, because they don't want AI to dictate to them what they should believe in.

What AI can do instead for you is to provide you data and can also help you manage your risk. But still you use it to build up your own conviction, and once you have it clicked for you that gave you signal what to do. You bet on it.

tottong
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May 03, 2024, 02:11:08 AM
 #173

I thought it was clear and instead of losing i should rather just get my money back. Just in 15 minutes after i checked the live score and found out that the game played. I felt so angry and unhappy because i have not trusted my instincts if not i wouldn't have cashed out at that time.

In the past, I often guessed four matches in football every time I wanted to bet and on average I lost the win in one or two matches, only occasionally could I guess the win for all four clubs in one bet.
In football betting I tend to try to make predictions based on the strength of opponents and the results of previous matches, whereas instinct is just the last resort I use in making bets.
Sometimes we try to decide on a bet by cashing out, but on other occasions we think we will win. However, in the next bet it is not certain that we will win the bet.

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