When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

[maydna]

I never thought like that because when placing a bet, I trying to analyze each teams or players and pick the teams. Although that can not always gives me winning but I don't thinks as you thinks. Perhaps I will try it later to see if that also works for me and if that is works, hmm that will surprising me because that can helps me to win. Yeah, perhaps that will not makes me comfortable because I use a different ways to place my bets but if that can works, I will use it. So far, I am not too often wins in sports betting because I know that I do not have enough knowledge to knowing each team.

[Davidvictorson]

I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

This gave me a really good laugh . You are one luck guy. How many times did you try it? And how has it been working for you so far. Was it a one-off thing? I want to know. Please come back and answer me.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I mean, this is a very crazy thing to do, and I could do crazy once in a while are long as it is within the boundaries of what I can afford to lose. I know it is not going to work but I'll try it anyways. Betting against my own picks is mad, I wonder how I would feel if lost. I could do it like this, I will bet against my own picks, and then also bet on own picks.

[EarnOnVictor]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Being confident in your belief doesn't guarantee a win, anything can happen in games and bettings, and that is why we cannot base the success or win of any bettor on expertise alone but on luck as well. And whether the chance is so high or not, you may still lose a match, that is why no one should even think of the perfect selection in gambling that will warrant unnecessary confidence. You can now vary this with your reverse strategy, you will realise that it is still the same thing, do not ever think a certain strategy/pattern will save you completely, it might have just done you good that time, but what about next time? If I may ask you as well, how many times have you tried this reverse strategy and how many months have you tried it at the same time? These are part of what you will need to test to ascertain the credibility of it. And if, at all, it starts earning for you consistently (which I think will not happen), then you should know that your main strategy is not good in the first place, if not, it should still be delivering good winnings to you, and I mean at least 75% winning.

Sports betting is the easiest and safest betting aspect of gambling and if anyone cannot get it right through it, such a person may not be able to get it right with anything gambling ever.  Still, just for a piece of advice, should in case this reverse strategy fails you and your main strategy is not working as well, you may turn to straight winning or losing matches with a reasonable odd attached to it. It is the simplest betting strategy in sports betting, and once you know the information of the teams that would bet, the rest is a natural workover for everyone. However, combining games like many greedy gamblers do is an issue here, and the more you combine games, the less the possibility that you win that ticket.

Good luck and I hope to read about your progress again!

[lienfaye]

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

The goal here is to profit. So if betting against your pick would be a working strategy for you then so be it. If there's a good result, why not? For me it doesn't matter if you're not using your own pick as long as your choice has a more chance to win. It's not about confidence because that doesn't guarantee a sure win. Gambling is still a game of luck regardless of what games you play. Therefore, everything is uncertain.

[bitbollo]

when I make certain bets I am always sure of the result I am going to get.
because I play specific events, with a short timeframe, live...

example in tennis, a player should falls and breaks his arm or it is practically impossible for me to make a mistake in betting on a certain point or set.

the risk of losing is part of the "business". It's pointless to think that you can ALWAYS place infallible bets... there is alwyas the risk.

Of course I get a good result but with low income (maybe @1.10 up to @1.40)

[Solosanz]

It means you have a bad analysis and prediction, but gladly you can take advantage over it, so you're bet against of your prediction which mean it will increase the chance your bet would be right.

In my case, yeah when I'm confident with my picks, the result are mostly win. But, it doesn't mean I make a lot money, I won when the odds are low, but I lose when the odds are high. Not to mention casino usually charge additional fees or bad conversion rate which will take your money if you only win small.

[Ultegra134]

I'm not the one participating in the match to be confident about it. Yes, there are times that I'm confident that I'm going to win, which is based on factors such as how well a team has been performing or how "fair" the match appears to be. Still, that doesn't mean much; there are times I was certain, but I lost. Even if the odds were in my favor, it's not something you can predict, as these things can easily change in the blink of an eye. In my opinion, confidence can work counterintuitively in gambling, leading to more and larger bets that may eventually lead to greater losses.

It's safe to claim that gambling is mostly about luck and probabilities; although sport betting involves other parameters as well, we have to face the fact that they cannot always be on our side, nor can we speculate on the outcome.

[Hewlet]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

so what you're saying in essence is that if I'm betting a game that involves man city playing a smaller team like west ham or shiefield united, If I initially played that manchester City was winning the match that I should later change my choice and stake that the reverse will be the case? And you think that it will work out well? Interesting.

While we know that sometimes when it involves teams that you aren't sure if thier form that you can just use guess work and the game might enter, I don't think it will work well in the long run and that one can actually choose to use that as a strategy to placing your bet  sports betting involves doing real time analysis of the teams involved in the game and not just being to guessy or random with your predictions. Every team that's involved in iether EPL or champions league and all the major leagues out thier don't just play because they want to be part of the tournament. They play basically to win and bigger clubs will always put in effort to win smaller ones and that's why doing a random bet in favour of smaller teams would in most cases not end well.

[EluguHcman]

It is a normal thing as I can say. Personally when I consider that my picks has not been favourable for some periods of time, I will always dare to pick the opposite sides which my instincts would have most doubts that it can never be the winning ones.

Though in such switching modes, I will always minimize the amount of my stakes because my confidence never lyes there. The honest fact from my side of experience is that it does not make differences to say it has been a winning trick for me. It still lyes on the game of luck.

[irhact]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

If an industry is betting with a particular strategy and always having numerous losing streaks then the best thing to do is to restrategise, use another strategy or method like you did and maybe things could get better or they could be lucky to start winning their bet. Yes luck plays a role in gambling but a good strategy matters as well, if an individuals strategy is not good enough then they'll keep facing losses.

 There was once when I used to bet on multiple games of about 20-30 asides with little stakes, although it worked once and I felt that's a good strategy but the rest of the times I was very unfortunate but when I cut my number of games to about 3-6 and staked a little high, I noticed my number if losing streaks reduced and since then you'll barely see me bet beyond 6 or 10 games no matter how sure the games look.

[danherbias07]

That means you are getting better at it. Congratulations, bro.

Me too, I checked my settled bets in 10 pages and I can see I have more wins than my losses. I didn't compute the odds though with how much I win or lose. I just used the number of wins versus the number of losses and I can see that it's like 60+ percent winning rate which I think is okay-ish. Not perfect but good enough.
Being a sports predictor is not easy especially when you have teams that you are a fan of. It could ruin the choice which means losses because you are following your emotions instead of profits first. I think that's what I want to change now. It's going to be difficult but if I could somehow avoid betting for the team that I am a fan of then I won't be losing more.

[Frankolala]

It worked for you then does not mean that it will work for you again. Try it again and come tell us on this thread your result if it worked again for you. I believe that luck was what played out that that was why your instinct told you to bet in opposite of your picks.

Sometimes our luck comes from our inner mind spirit that will direct you on how to place the bet in order for you to win it, but the amount that you will use to place the bet will be your own personal decision. This is why you see that some gamblers use big amount and they become lucky to win very big and vice versa.

[Rabata]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I have often thought this about this idea. Because when I favor a team, that team often loses. When my gambling losses increase. Then I started thinking about it. Like you I thought that since my losses are high if I keep my betting analysis at the same level and take the opposite when placing bets then I may win there. According to sources this idea is correct. But even if you implement the idea in terms of betting, I still don't have the courage to take such a decision. Because after analysis I have no scope to support the opposite team. No one wants to make a mistake knowingly. However, my results suggest that such a decision should be made. But I definitely dream of using this idea to change my results. I will use this idea to my advantage.

[angrybirdy]

It worked for you then does not mean that it will work for you again. Try it again and come tell us on this thread your result if it worked again for you. I believe that luck was what played out that that was why your instinct told you to bet in opposite of your picks.

Sometimes our luck comes from our inner mind spirit that will direct you on how to place the bet in order for you to win it, but the amount that you will use to place the bet will be your own personal decision. This is why you see that some gamblers use big amount and they become lucky to win very big and vice versa.

Hmmm sometimes if it works on you, it will work again when you try it for the second time, It depends on how luck attached on you. Sometimes, being a confident on your bets leads you to bet bigger amount on your next try which results you to overspending in gambling, the confident feeling that you've felt should assess accordingly because spiking up on your emotions will results you in the unexpected decisions that are made.

[rahmad2nd]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Interesting, it seems like you are trying to review your bet after not making much profit. and yeah, you tried to do the experiment as you said. For me, I don't plan to bet on the opposite of what we have predicted based on the analysis results. But, if you do as you say and win the bet, that's good for you. At the very least, you know your analysis results are wrong again. In fact, there is nothing wrong with what you are saying, this is just a matter of our perspective in terms of sports betting. Not infrequently, I experience the same situation as you. for me personally, this is something that is commonplace in sports betting.
In fact, we don't always bet following the same strategy. In fact, we also involve feelings in analyzing. For example, for example, if I don't believe that the team I choose will produce the results I expect. for example, my favirot team will compete against other strong teams. or, whatever it is that clouds our choices when making decisions when going to a betting session. There are only variables that cause our analysis to not be as accurate as we hope, the most crucial factor is the problem of luck.

Besides, maybe you and I didn't really pay attention when analyzing. There could also be other causes, which lead to defeat. After that, we try to review the results of our bets and analysis. The main point is, whatever it is, there is always a risk in every betting session we make. In fact, someone can randomly bet according to what he wants without involving analysis. If our luck is high, victory will not go anywhere. If we have to lose, no matter how clever we are in our analysis, in the end there are only two probabilities, winning or losing. Even then, if we bet on a team, for example, the option is 1×2 betting. Personally, I always involve many options and variables when carrying out a betting session. after all, everything is to minimize losses. one more thing, I also don't hesitate not to bet if I really don't have confidence in my analysis.

[coin-investor]

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Gamblers have different preferences when it comes to betting. Some gamblers trust their decisions because of their ego; they think they are always right, and some don't care; all they want is to enjoy themselves, whether the picks come from their analysis or a third party.

For me, I don't mind having a choice from a third party pick I always do that when I am betting in a horse racing because some people have inside knowledge on what's going inside so they can give accurate tips, for me if you want to make a profit from gambling you have to be flexible and open to suggestions and tips you cannot be perfect all the time in gambling.

[Dewi Aries]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Do you mean betting on something that is contrary to your analysis and then you win? If yes then I wouldn't say that it's wrong, or I mean I don't think there's anything wrong with doing that. Just remember that analysis or strategy is just something to increase your chances of winning and not to ensure or guarantee that you will actually win at the end of the session.

This means that any result can still happen even if for example you bet by applying the analysis or strategy that you believe in, and that is natural because after all we are talking about gambling which is an activity that can never be predicted with 100% accuracy, and from the story you experienced you managed to win by betting the opposite of the analysis you had and the result won, meaning you are really lucky, and also means that luck is the most important point in gambling. On the other hand, I have also experienced almost the same scenario where I did not expect to win at all or when I bet in a perfunctory way but the result won, and I think this is normal because after all this is like gambling.

[SamReomo]

But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

If that's working for you then nothing is wrong in that approach but for me my own picks work most of the time and that's why I never bet against those.

The win rate of my own picks is quite high because I only bet against the much weaker teams and most of the times leading teams crush the weak teams easily.

I place few bets per month but those work for me. I place bets on cricket events most of the time but sometimes I place bets on other events as well.

 

[Dr.Bitcoin_Strange]

tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

This idea has been shared in the past on different topics where the OP talked about reversed gambling, which means to go against the predictions of the majority of gamblers. For example, if lots of gamblers are predicting Man-U to defeat Liverpool, you decided to stake the reverse of what the majority have predicted. It kind of works most of the of the time, but not all the time, Reverse gambling doesn't give you a win all the time, just as your real pick that you are so confident about will not give you a win all the time either. 

[bitterguy28]

This is what I felt back in the days when i was younger gambler , I remember that confidence bring me hundred bucks(considering that I am just teenager those days) because when i have this feeling then the number i choose mostly comes to win.

But nowadays it changes mate, because  now the more confident I am? is the more I am losing this is same reason why i am now gamble to enjoy and let the luck brings me the wins .