When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

[slapper]

After feeling confident and ready to wager the house, you say, "Nah, maybe I'll bet AGAINST myself." Seriously mental! Besides the game, betting is about your thinking. Humans are odd, overconfident, and assume they know more than they do. That's why fading your own picks is so effective. It's like wrestling with your ego to change your perspective. Fading isn't the end. It's a tool to test your instincts. You must change. Use data, algorithms, and whatever else to improve your decision-making. You must combine intuition with facts.

[aioc]

My results were varied. Some bets were correct, and bets that were the opposite of what I expected, like the recent Fury-Usyk fight. Analysis gives Usyk an edge, but my hunch told me that I should go for Fury, and the rest is history.

There are matches that I'm confident in my picks, but I followed other recommendations and got the best results
That's the fact of sports betting when two fighters who are almost equal and both have a chance to dominate the other.

I have come to realize that sports betting has many surprises, especially in the sport that I'm betting on, which is boxing.
 

[hyudien]

After feeling confident and ready to wager the house, you say, "Nah, maybe I'll bet AGAINST myself." Seriously mental! Besides the game, betting is about your thinking. Humans are odd, overconfident, and assume they know more than they do. That's why fading your own picks is so effective. It's like wrestling with your ego to change your perspective. Fading isn't the end. It's a tool to test your instincts. You must change. Use data, algorithms, and whatever else to improve your decision-making. You must combine intuition with facts.

Self-confidence is good and important, but self-confidence should not be excessive because perhaps it comes from our sense of ambition for something, especially when it comes to gambling. I am also confident in my gambling, but I know which limits I should not cross when that confidence is very high. Because even in a state of self-confidence, when we lose, we will lose. And when we are not confident when we have to win, then victory will come.
I've experienced something like this several times. How can we possibly be confident with the amount of balance we only have left for 5 more spins in the slot game. I just did a spin and didn't expect much, but do you know what happened? I can get maximum wins with my very small balance. This is what is called luck. That's how gambling is, we don't know when we'll win, and what I know is that I mostly accept losses and defeats. Lol

[danadc]

I have played many games applying the martingale, and if it is a strategy that I do not recommend using, I used it because it is a strategy that comes out of pure instinct and is a strategy that is based on the most natural desire to play to win, but You have to have a lot of money to be able to do something, and with a lot of balance it is not advisable, because you can lose everything, that is a very good strategy for the casino, but not for the player, the player always gets carried away by his coins and You end up losing a lot of money, that's why I don't Recommend it and I recommend that anyone who applies it not do it anymore.

[Dewi Aries]

This is what I felt back in the days when i was younger gambler , I remember that confidence bring me hundred bucks(considering that I am just teenager those days) because when i have this feeling then the number i choose mostly comes to win.

But nowadays it changes mate, because  now the more confident I am? is the more I am losing this is same reason why i am now gamble to enjoy and let the luck brings me the wins .

I don't know if your winnings are something that comes just to tempt you to stay longer in your involvement in gambling or not, but certainly in gambling anything can happen regardless of the way you have to gamble and regardless of whether you are a beginner or an experienced gambler.

And now you are saying that when you have been involved in gambling for a while that now your confidence is leading you to lose more and more unlike before when you were still in the beginner stage, it is actually very difficult to find a reason why this scenario can occur because after all there is nothing that can be used as a benchmark in gambling because gambling has always been an activity that can never be predicted about the results at the end of the session, and maybe I would simply say that when you were in the beginner stage it was a situation where you were in a phase of good luck that could make hundreds of dollars.

[Die_empty]

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

Confidence somehow determines the outcome of the game if you are involved in the sport. Some people gamble with computer games that they control. In such a case, the gambler needs confidence to win the game. When it comes to sports betting you have to rely on your analysis and luck. Choosing games out of passion without considering the current performance of the clubs might always bring losses.

The most important thing is to gamble with what you can be able to afford so that losses will not have many adverse consequences on your finances. But just as OP has indicated it might also be proper to change gambling strategy if the present one is not yielding the expected results.

[Mahanton]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Basing up in all the experience i do have with betting then i could say that im in the break even side or something in the profitable but only in minimal. I dont mind much as long i do make myself that having the thrill and excitement towards my betting because this is really the main motive on why you do make bets but of course it cant be avoided that people would be longing on how to make money. On the moment or time that you would
be able to be confident with your picks then you would be normally thinking that it would be a sure win but based up on experience there are really things which can unexpectedly happen which would affect in overall
result or outcome of the said game on which this is something not really shocking. This what makes betting more entertaining or thrilling is that you dont know on whats coming.

If you do win then its good but if not or losing then just simply move on because if you would be finding yourself that become that impulsive about your loses then this is where you would be finding yourself
that being addicted because of having that lose control then this is where problem would really be starting to come out. About confidence then im not really that putting myself on having that 100% sure or
having that expectation for a bet to have that sure win because on the moment that you would be expecting something to be a sure win and if it had lost then you would definitely be having
that huge disappointment on which it could possibly trigger up yourself on having that early addiction kind of behavior.

[rachael9385]

This topic is a YES/NO answer but still there is more to it. However, gamble is a gamble that has to do with luck, so it doesn't matter if you are confident or not about the games you pick and predictions, without luck you can't be able to win either big or small money. That's just the truth about gamble. It's important to know the basics in gamble so we don't over do ourselves.

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

Confidence somehow determines the outcome of the game if you are involved in the sport. Some people gamble with computer games that they control. In such a case, the gambler needs confidence to win the game. When it comes to sports betting you have to rely on your analysis and luck. Choosing games out of passion without considering the current performance of the clubs might always bring losses.

I think I have to totally disagree with this.
However everyone have their own opinions about gambling, but from my end, I beliefs that gamble is not a thing someone should be sure if, even when you are winning or losing you shouldn't be too sure and over confidential about your picks or predictions because that's nothing, you might be sure about the whole predictions but the truth remains that if you are not lucky, you can't be able to win both small or big money.

The most important thing is to gamble with what you can be able to afford so that losses will not have many adverse consequences on your finances. But just as OP has indicated it might also be proper to change gambling strategy if the present one is not yielding the expected results.

Yes agreed with this.
Gamblers should try and risk the amount that they can afford to lose because it isn't right to lose what you can not afford. So in this case, for a gambler to not feel bad even when he lose his bet, he should try and risk any amount that he knows fully well he can afford to lose.

[Ojima-ojo]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Most of the time when I lose with my picks, it doesn't come as a straight lose but a losing because of my actions,take for example in a situation where I bet on a particular games let say I bet on Chelsea to win the match and along the line like in the first half of the match I saw that Chelsea is losing with a goal to their opponents, and instead of waiting for the full time of the match I go ahead to cash out my little remaining balance, but at the end of the day, the match come out winning for Chelsea.


In this kind of scenario, I won in my pick if I have wait out for the entire game time, but ultimately I lost the bet since I already cashed out when the club was losing earlier, this kind of outcome becomes the reality of my own bet.

[Roseline492]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

In as much as I don't really believe on luck but I would actually say that you won the bet based on  luck because even when you play the game you never believe that you could win the bet so perhaps that's the reason I believe that is just a lucky win because funny enough if you should tried that method again there is a high chance that it may not actually turn out the way the first one did, however there are numerous gamblers that has use that method to win there gambling bet and I also have a friend who hardly win his betting but the moment he just decided to random pick a games without properly checking and to his greatest surprised he won the bet.

Although if you are into football betting I will suggest that you cut down a bit of your picking because sometimes the reasons why majority of gamblers normally lose there bet is as a results of picking so many games on there betting slip were as most of them will play according to your prediction while others will not play, so perhaps if you reduced the games to maybe two or three games it will surely increase your chances of winning, however I have seen people using this method and it works for them most times.

[Fortify]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

That seems perhaps a bit of a silly question - surely everyone who picks a sports bet is confident that they are choosing the right bet, otherwise they would not place it. The flip side is that you assume people place bets that they know they are going to lose. What you might be getting at and I doubt many people here are doing it enough, is whether they are tracking profitability of bets placed. It's often a rather simple question, as many bookmakers will tell you how much profit or loss you've made over the entire length of your account history. Most people will be in the negative, because that is the very basis of how bookmakers make money, and the few who are in the positive have probably been restricted once they get too far into positive territory as an unprofitable customer.

[passwordnow]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

It seems that your analysis results to opposite so if you're doing better that way, I'd advise you to keep on going with that strategy. It's not a mockery or whatnot but that's what you've said and in gambling or sportbetting in particular or in any other things, as they say "if it works, it ain't stupid".

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Sometimes we have to do it if the results that we're getting aren't profitable and favorable. So, experimenting with other ways of betting really works for some and doesn't for the others. So if you are one of the kind that works with this strategy and you are happily making your way through it, all you have to do is to be consistent with it. And if the strategy doesn't work anymore, then that's the time again that you need to find something new for whatever is going to work for you, you should stay unless they don't work anymore. Time really comes that specific strategies that we used to work with will have their own fading times.

[wiss19]

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

I'd rather say that it may only help us to increase our chances to win. By confidence, I'm mostly referring to a person who does their own research first. Even without a confidence, I'm sure that all of us are still hoping that we can win. I know this is crazy or funny but there are also people that if they prepare too much and have a full confidence, the more they will also get screwed.

It is like someone or something is messing up with them but I think this is only in their head and maybe there is only a co-incident that occurred. They still can do whatever they want. If they think they can do well if they care less, then they can go ahead with it.

[ethereumhunter]

I don't know if that idea is good for me or not works for me because I am never trying that. If I wants to place a bet, I will picks the team that I think will have a chance to wins and will not place a bet for the opposite team. It's not good if we feels too confidents with our choice because the situation can change fast without we realizes and that can cause us lose the money, especially in gambling which everything can change anytime. But if that is just for fun, I think we can try it to see if that can helps us to wins on the games, that means we can still use that strategies and hopes that we can wins for the next match. But we must realizes that we can't hopes that what we tests can always gives a win, especially if that's a strategy because we must remember that everything can change suddenly.

[Hypnosis00]

As a gambler we are always confident with our pick, otherwise we are not a true sports bettor. We give time to analyze a certain game and match up, and we come up with our decision to bet. I can't answer the specific question but I can only say that I lose most of the time with my bets.

I can't deny that beacuse I don't make money in gambling, yes I win some but lose some as well, what's important is the overall record to determine if I'm profitable or not, and in my case I am not yet. I'm saying "not yet" because I'm not making a conclusion of my journey, since it's possible and I belieive I could be profitable in the future.

[shivansps]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Interesting strategy. I think at the initial stage it may bring results, but over time it will not be profitable. What I mean is that over time a person will still want to make the right bets to make money. After all, as long as it brings results, then you follow this tactic, but when this strategy does not bring results, you will understand that
that was a mistake. That is, over time, as I believe, a person will still return to making bets intelligently and not vice versa. I haven't done that, but it's an interesting idea.

[DubemIfedigbo001]

Thats your lucky day man, that pattern doesn't really repeat itself regularly, your strategies might seem unsuccessful today and very successful tomorrow. Thats how the game gambling is designed to operate. I have tried this pattern before and it only worked the first two times and others losses, I have even tried getting my picks and staking them together and breaking them into two or more different parts to stake again and even ensure more chances of winning, but on the long run, if the ones that clicks are not with higher odds, I still loose in my staking capital.

The strategies that have been applied in gambling is not a little one, people keep coming out with new strategies every day to defeat the uncertainty associated with gambling, but gambling always proves them only effective for a while before gambling shows you its real color. I believe that's its nature and have resigned to the fate of expecting nothing from it and who knows my strategies might bring a win or a loss, but the most important thing is that I had fun making my picks.

[dansus021]

When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time? Everytime I put bet and click the button Im confident enough I mean I believe this happen to everyone since when you click those button you put all you hard money and lot of confident into that button so the conclusion is when you put bet you are confident enough to did you win most of the time ? not really hahhahah my win rate on mahjong is 35% hahahha so you know the result hahah

[Samlucky O]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

There is no perfect strategy in gambling. I think you where lucky to have played the opposite side and you won. But that doesn't mean that pattern may be the best. The only thing i am suggesting is that you will need to play the both. After Playing the main game you you play the opposite side, there may be possibilities between the both sides. And when playing such game, the amount will be splitted into two equal part. If the stake amount is $10 you will divide it into 2, play half $5 in the original game and $5 in the opposite side, sothat if the main don't play the opposite will play.

[Miles2006]

Every gambler with a different strategy and personally, I win anytime not because I used another strategy or confidence but, gambling is always gambling where you get to win or lose so you might just end up with any. No strategy involve because I believe gambling win is just by chance nothing else, your early time gambling you might not feel the need gambling always because you don’t get lucky that’s normal. Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.