When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

[JMBitcointernational]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

The essence of different odds in sports betting is to give you the room and chance to make decision when your strategies are not working well as planned, most times we rely on our steady strategy probably because it has favored us once and we succeeded profitably, but in sports we should be ready for changes knowing fully well that it is a game of luck , so it is quite advisable that we try another strategy and not relying on one particular strategy.

I have also felt same way @op because there was a time that i relied Soley on correct score just because i won a huge amount from predicting correct scores, and from that day i insisted on playing correct score not until i realized that i am about to lose all the money that i won earlier on predicting a particular style. when i decided to try another strategy fortunately, it favored me, that is to say that there is need for us to re-strategize in our predictions even when we know that gambling is a game of chance and luck.

[Gozie51]

Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

I have seen so many gamblers who were confident of their game but at the end of it the game ended in loses. So despite how confident we believe that our bet will win, we still have to play cool about our bet until it finally end in FT. In fact some gamblers are very confident sometimes that they still go ahead to rebet outside the original bet that there game must win.

To be proud of your bet is good but to over confidence means you have over stepped and might go on betting believing it can't fail. So I like the last part of the post where the last past says either win or lose on a bet.

[YOSHIE]

When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

Often and it's a pleasant experience in the world of gambling, we have our own sense of pride in ourselves, I often use this method in sports betting, for example: I believe in the team that I believe can win and I place that bet, at the end of the match I can win the match, that's a real experience for me.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit,

Maybe I should say I have principles when betting, if my thoughts are not different, of course I don't follow my instincts, I will follow circumstances, why should I fight fate, It's clear that the team doesn't have any weight, even though I follow my senses and thoughts when gambling, of course I also have to look at developments in the gambling I want to bet on.

[harapan]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Most times when I  tend to put in more faith and confidence in my picks everything will just go and I'll definitely loose it all,but recently I discovered this new strategy of playing the games, leaving it and probably when I remember to check it up it's going to be a huge jackpots
Sometimes having much confident in your yourself,and the game weighs 50/50 as what you may be expecting might turn out the other way round..
I don't win most of the times and when I know I have nothing to loose so I don't put in much confident in such picks.

[Dewi Aries]

Talking about confidence, I’m always confident about my bet but confidence will never get me my right choice so I’m used to viewing the end result win or lose.

I have seen so many gamblers who were confident of their game but at the end of it the game ended in loses. So despite how confident we believe that our bet will win, we still have to play cool about our bet until it finally end in FT. In fact some gamblers are very confident sometimes that they still go ahead to rebet outside the original bet that there game must win.

To be proud of your bet is good but to over confidence means you have over stepped and might go on betting believing it can't fail. So I like the last part of the post where the last past says either win or lose on a bet.

This is why it is not recommended to place excessive hopes on winning or on the method you use when gambling, such as perhaps a strategy or pattern that you think is good, because in the end of course whatever method you use can only increase your chances but cannot be used as a result. as a guarantee that you will win at the end of the session, in the end it is clear that the most important thing is luck, or meaning only luck can lead you to real victory, but it is a fact that luck always cannot be known when it will come.

The fact of how luck works is also the reason why we as gamblers must always limit our expectations of winning so that we don't feel too disappointed when in the end the results are not what we wanted. However, we have to remember the fact that after all, gambling is a game of chance where, simply put, if you are unlucky then it is clear that you will lose regardless of whatever method you use and also regardless of how confident you are in the method you use.

[qwertyup23]

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I find it ironic that whenever I try to concentrate and focus on my betting strategies, the result of those games is different from what I expected- in fact, it's worse than my bets that were made instantly.

For example, if I try to concentrate on sports-betting where I analyze data from previous games and compare it against the other team, I compile those data and arrive at a decent conclusion in which I rely my bets on. Surprisingly, my results are the otherwise I have anticipated as I lost more than I won by doing this process.

Probably by reflection, I tend to overthink my bets and I also go overboard with my analysis that I somehow overlooked some parts and overestimated most. Though the problem here is with ME and not on the process, I still recommend doing your own research in order to at least have some basis on your bets.

[Gaza13]

For me, it's not too much of a problem with things like this. It's difficult to make a choice that isn't a choice according to your heart, whether in sports betting it's your choice or your experiment, playing at home so you see a much greater chance of qualifying next compared to the original choice. you or your team?

If I experienced a previous loss in the initial game and then I moved on to another game and made a profit, this is very normal for the gambler. They don't just focus on one game, of course they look for potential ways to make money from their analysis. In essence, gamblers seek their fortunes at the gambling table.

[0t3p0t]

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

I agree with you mate. But since it is a sportsbetting I think we can use our analysis skills to predict who would win but my only drawback with sportbetting is when it was being rigged. It happened to me many time with combat sports and it's quite annoying. I personally look at the teams previous performances and records that will help me pick the best bet but yeah that does not guarantee any winnings however still has higher chances of luck.  Gamblers always depends on luck that is why we need to find it ourselves depending on our strategy.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Interesting strategy. I think at the initial stage it may bring results, but over time it will not be profitable. What I mean is that over time a person will still want to make the right bets to make money. After all, as long as it brings results, then you follow this tactic, but when this strategy does not bring results, you will understand that
that was a mistake. That is, over time, as I believe, a person will still return to making bets intelligently and not vice versa. I haven't done that, but it's an interesting idea.

I think that as time goes by and we gain experience in the game, of course we learn, and that is reflected in intelligent players, or rather intelligent decisions. I think things always happen for a reason, there are many people who have large amounts of money and yet when they play and lose they don't learn, so that is something that needs to be improved and sometimes the epron don't care, they are not interested in improving their way of playing, but they are dedicated only to playing, so I think the smartest way to play is before playing when you establish a money that you are wWilling to lose by playing in the casino.

[STT]

Depends where you confidence is coming from, if Im confident that I have thought out the bet and possibilities vs the odds given then that will improve my chances over a random bet.    Confidence from experience and knowledge does justify the higher possibility of winning.   The problem of course is over confidence and self deception on the surety of your decisions and conclusions as to the bet risks.

[Ever-young]

I feel more comfortable losing by following my analysis than by going against it but I still do that sometimes to break the pattern or the losing streak. The problem is I didn't keep a record so I cannot really compare. If going by memory alone then I guess it's 1 or 2 out of 3 and then I go back to my usual style.

And this is the exactly way I feel, it's better for me to lose by listening to my instincts than for someone to suggest for me or I follow other people strategy especially for those that has being winning and I feel like I should try their method since I'm not winning with my own strategy and I end up losing, I will feel very very pained and angry too, I will end up regretting.

So it's better I losing by having confidence in myself and that self confidence makes me to win at times, even if it's little, it makes me happy even when I lose too.

[Jawhead999]

Not really, because my overall results are in loss.

I only bet when I feel confident and the match that I interested to watch, so even though I lose, if the match is really exciting and make me happy, even I lose my bet, it's fine.

And this is the exactly way I feel, it's better for me to lose by listening to my instincts than for someone to suggest for me or I follow other people strategy especially for those that has being winning and I feel like I should try their method since I'm not winning with my own strategy and I end up losing, I will feel very very pained and angry too, I will end up regretting.

So it's better I losing by having confidence in myself and that self confidence makes me to win at times, even if it's little, it makes me happy even when I lose too.

By nature, when people lose their bets or it didn't go to directions that they predicted, they will seek something to blame. So if you bet by relying on someone, you will blame him. But if you bet by yourself, you will blame the match and it didn't really hurt you since it's almost impossible you can contact and make a conversation with the popular players than the tipster, friend etc.

[Z_MBFM]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

Gambling is luck dependent, so if you are unlikely then your prediction will not work. it doesn’t matter how confident you are. so you will not able to pick the winner team you are not lucky. so always bet small amount which you are afford to loss. gambling will not guarantee you win Everytime. 

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

A good guess on sports is predicting which team is likely to win. however, no guarantee can be given. so if you want to bet, you have to bet with risk  Gambling behaves the same way for me so I can't say that I can win gambling with my confidence. I also bet with risk and always bet an amount that I can afford to lose. I think this is a good strategy.

[CODE200]

Just because you're confident with your picks in your bets doesn't mean that you're going to increase the odds of your bet becoming the winning bet, maybe if everyone that's got a lot of sports knowledge and sports common sense are in agreement or is confident that they're going to be the winner then that's probably the only time that you can be confident that your bet is going to make you win something. @STT said it best, your confidence would matter where it will come from because if it's coming from nothing then there's really nothing show for it and it's just not doing anything, maybe self-confidence do count at some level but there's a fine line right?

[Die_empty]

No, confidence does not bring winning in gambling. It only brings about hope that we would win in a particular bet. Infact most of the times i was confidence with the game i had selected i mostly don't win because i choose the games out of passion and not based on the quality and performances of the team which i mostly experience in sports gambling.

Gambling is luck, which means once luck is on your side you will win. If your bets were analyzed well then there are also chances of you wining as well. Sometimes i just take a few games like two or three then i use a big amount to stake it, it mostly come out well anytime i do this.

Confidence somehow determines the outcome of the game if you are involved in the sport. Some people gamble with computer games that they control. In such a case, the gambler needs confidence to win the game. When it comes to sports betting you have to rely on your analysis and luck. Choosing games out of passion without considering the current performance of the clubs might always bring losses.

I think I have to totally disagree with this.
However everyone have their own opinions about gambling, but from my end, I beliefs that gamble is not a thing someone should be sure if, even when you are winning or losing you shouldn't be too sure and over confidential about your picks or predictions because that's nothing, you might be sure about the whole predictions but the truth remains that if you are not lucky, you can't be able to win both small or big money.

I think you didn't understand what I said mate or maybe I didn't explain it well. I was not just discussing about online betting but gambling generally. I gave an example of people who gamble with computer games that they have to engaged in. Since the person's skills will determine the outcome of the game, he needs some level of confidence to win. There are times people gamble on sports they are playing. I see some people stake money on who wins a street football match. The players no doubt needs some level of confidence to play and win the game. But when it comes to sports bets or casino games in formal gambling houses, confidence plays little or no effect. These games are largely determined by luck, so gamblers have to express some level of control and not confidence.

[KennyR]

According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

[Natalim]

According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

That's tough when you keep fading yourself, as it's never fun to gamble like that. If we are not winning, then we should check our strategy and improve it. It's never a good strategy to keep betting against yourself, as eventually, you'll also experience a losing streak, which might cause you to lose confidence in betting. It's important to understand that there's no fixed strategy that works in sports betting. If we really want to succeed, we need to act based on the current situation and make adjustments when necessary, as odds markets are also doing the same. We have to level with them.

[ethereumhunter]

According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

Many people have the same experienced like @OP so that should makes us realizes that playing gambling will not gives wins to us easily. We must knows that we can only use gambling to have fun instead to chase the wins or recover our lose so we will not trying to use more money to playing gambling. Yeah, takes a break will be the good solution to calm down our minds thinks about gambling so we can save our money from the lose. We can't predict when our luck will comes and if we already lose for some money, we must stops our gambling activity and not keeps playing gambling to chase the wins. We will difficult to do that because gambling will not gives that to us and even we can lose much money if we can't realizes the situation. Many people already lose much money but we can prevents that happens to us.

[Ojima-ojo]

According to the information from the OP, it looks like he had bad luck with his recent gambling activities. Right now, it is really hard to come to a conclusion about whether to continue with the instinct of the mind or go against the mind, as the recent picks were all lost bets. In my view, rather than going against the mind, it is good to take a break because when luck isn't favoring us, whatever way we try, we're not going to win. Even sports betting is connected with luck, though 90% depends on the data collection and recent match history, the remaining 10% is completely on luck. When the 10% isn't supportive, the bet is once again going to lose.

Many people have the same experienced like @OP so that should makes us realizes that playing gambling will not gives wins to us easily. We must knows that we can only use gambling to have fun instead to chase the wins or recover our lose so we will not trying to use more money to playing gambling. Yeah, takes a break will be the good solution to calm down our minds thinks about gambling so we can save our money from the lose. We can't predict when our luck will comes and if we already lose for some money, we must stops our gambling activity and not keeps playing gambling to chase the wins. We will difficult to do that because gambling will not gives that to us and even we can lose much money if we can't realizes the situation. Many people already lose much money but we can prevents that happens to us.

Many gamblers still fall for that, taking gambling as means to earn quick big money without minding to accept the obvious fact about gambling which is fun and nothing else, most of them that have experienced some bad outcome from gambling all dis so because of the false belief that gambling can be taken as a short caught to gaining wealth.
That is the reason why most gambling addicts are as a result of greed and misplaced judgment about gambling and how to handle it outcomes.

Best to stay away from gambling if you know you have problems with just gambling for fun and also ready to lose all that you gamble with, and still be ok because at that point you will be a balance gambler regardless of what the outcome of the games could become.

[Tmoonz]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

The concepts of this thread is very hilarious, personally I have only thought about this I haven't practiced it, is quite funny and it will take extral mind for any one play against his picks, I know it is a reality in the game of sports betting where at most times the unfortunate opposite will be become the surprising outcome how funny could that be. But however, it is a fact that every gambler has to accept, no certainty or guarantee towards whatever that might be your favorite picks , betting is a game of try your luck and shouldn't be completely rely on, the reason why it is always advisable not to gamble with more than what you can afford to lose, know your limit and stand by it.