When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?

[bluebit25]

Confidence is part of the reason for victory and defeat, depending on the situation it will give different results.

imo, betting is always simple and doesn't put too much emphasis on the results right away because I'm just a recreational player so even if I lose, I still feel an interesting feeling with that bet.

But I also went through some situations where I really had confidence in myself to choose the correct outcome, but I still understood it would only give me an ego boost, but I admit in that situation I won but there were also times I lost because of it. So the results are based on confidence, so confidence should be re-evaluated according to how we understand it, because I think confidence has many different levels based on each person's perspective.

[AmoreJaz]

Confidence is part of the reason for victory and defeat, depending on the situation it will give different results.

imo, betting is always simple and doesn't put too much emphasis on the results right away because I'm just a recreational player so even if I lose, I still feel an interesting feeling with that bet.

But I also went through some situations where I really had confidence in myself to choose the correct outcome, but I still understood it would only give me an ego boost, but I admit in that situation I won but there were also times I lost because of it. So the results are based on confidence, so confidence should be re-evaluated according to how we understand it, because I think confidence has many different levels based on each person's perspective.

You can't really guarantee that each bet you have, even if you are very confident about it, will win. Because of so many underlying factors such as the the athletes themselves, coach, their current strategies, unknown injuries among others. Aside from your instincts, those factors are significant in the potential outcome of the game. Hence, you can't really assure yourself of winning because it is not only your assessment which is in play but all the other factors, and add luck also in the equation.

[Sandra_hakeem]

I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

it's actually a good strategy - depending on the games you selected, and also, for which team/division your picks were based on... Assuming you selected some games from the Scottish premiership and your options were home/away to win depending on their advantage and positions on the table; say, the smallest points was 1.79 against 12 odds, how do you reverse your analysis for a possible win? Wagering on 12 odds against 1.79? Where's the win possibility?

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy.

You don't really have to do much of an analysis to win... What you experienced was luck and it doesn't really mean it'd happen all the time.

[Belarge]

Confidence is part of the reason for victory and defeat, depending on the situation it will give different results.

imo, betting is always simple and doesn't put too much emphasis on the results right away because I'm just a recreational player so even if I lose, I still feel an interesting feeling with that bet.

But I also went through some situations where I really had confidence in myself to choose the correct outcome, but I still understood it would only give me an ego boost, but I admit in that situation I won but there were also times I lost because of it. So the results are based on confidence, so confidence should be re-evaluated according to how we understand it, because I think confidence has many different levels based on each person's perspective.

We have different perspectives when it comes to the space. Our outcome ought to be presentable and straight because we will always push for positive results. We're all on different levels, understanding what it feels to make huge profits and also losing huge figures. Confident is the one thing that will always make one become promising with system, there's always more to acknowledge and observed in the system, perhaps standing down will do make good solving.

[$weetne$$]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

I do not gamble based on how confident I am with my pick but gamble based on statistics from how the teams has been playing when I am gambling by sport betting. Our minds can play tricks on us and make you to think we have the right pick but after the games are over, we do not win any games. Playing sport betting should not be done with emotions or we would not win. If you know a team is better than the other team they are going to be the favourite to pick and you would not lose. Only on very rare occasions that you will lose but if you have been winning before now the lost would not bother you that much because you will still be in net profits because of the other wins that you have been getting. Sport betting is easy to win when you know your statistics very well that you do not go wrong with your picks.

[ChiBitCTy]

Honestly when it comes to gambling for me, or being cocky just in general, when I'm overly confident I tend to always lose. Whether I'm gambling or just talking smack to a friend about a game or whatever.  It's very strange but when I'm overly confident I tend to lose.  So when I place bets, I always go in with the attitude that I'm going to lose.  I know it's total nonsense and all in my head, but things work out better this way. lol.

[Kemarit]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

Sometimes I also do this kind of strategy, I will go on the opposite on what I thought to be betting and surprisingly, it's also good for me. I don't know if it has something to do with luck, but when I'm on a losing skid on my bets, it's either I will stop, or uses this strategy.

Although, it's not almost very effective and if your first choice hits, it's going to be very hard mentally to see it as you have to blame yourself for going against your initial bet. Nevertheless, this is what gambling is isn't it, we really don't know what the outcome in sports betting, still 50/50, and this what makes it more exciting.

[Casdinyard]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Didn't really go down and checked if I'm statistically winning when I make predictions/am confident with my picks but I can see how this could affect the chances of me winning games.

When you make confident/educated assumptions you already set yourself for success since it almost always means you have prepared yourself for the game, perhaps you may have gotten some light reading that goes towards knowing more about the team or whatever, but shit hits the fan, you're more informed/educated and more confident making those picks.

Confidence in itself doesn't really bring that much to the table especially if you're confidence for the sake of it and not because you have got something to be confident for, betting isn't something you can just "fake until you make it" since there's a real chance of you losing more than you winning, and that isn't for you to decide either.

[macson]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Every bet we make, has a different winning percentage, I myself saw that my winning percentage when making soccer bets reached 70%, so not all of my analyzes ended with a win, for example today, in the FA Cup final between Man City vs Man Utd, I chose Man City because their history was good but it didn't go well, it was Man Utd who won the match, so not all predictions and analysis will end up being 100% accurate, on the field everything can change.

[Jating]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

Isn't it contradicting yourself though, I mean you already have made you pick and should be betting on them and not the other way around. I haven't known a gambler who does this strategy though, so no offense, but this doesn't make sense, in my opinion.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

I guess one strategy is just completely stop from betting then. Just have a couple of days off and it seem you are unlucky with your selection instead of contradicting your belt. Or just bet on other games and see how it goes for you. You just need to break that losing streak to be positive and have a confident pick again.

[DaNNy001]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

Funny story, this actually happened to me sometimes and this particular time I actually did to a friend and it worked too. It was getting all tense because of the rapid rate at which he was losing with his virtual soccer predictions and I said to myself since he is on a losing spree, why not play exactly opposite of what he actually predicted and to my surprise it worked for me although my friend was a little bit piss at me for doing that but I told him, why not change the gameplay just like I did with the reverse betting and it worked for him for atleast 2-3 tries and he had to end the session before it got out of hand.

[Orpichukwu]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

First of all, gambling shouldn't really be about how much profit you're making but how much fun you're having, and this should determine your afterwards reaction, whether you're in profit or not shouldn't really be a thing of much concern, as long you're having fun and enjoying the thrill of the game after every gambling session, and as long as you're sure that you're gambling responsibly and staking what you can afford to lose, so when you lose it eventually which normal, you wouldn't feel too bad.

Now secondly, gambling is absolutely unpredictable, especially sports betting. And yes I've also tried using the same technique, because sometimes I'd feel like my approach isn't effective anymore and then have the urge to try a completely different approach and sometimes even an opportunity approach and honesty sometimes it turns out quite effective and sometimes it doesn't, I think it's just about luck.
I believe lucky plays the higher role than your analytical skills when predicting sporting events.

[_BlackStar]

-snip-

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

No - I would not bet against myself especially when I am convinced my pick will win. For example - I am confident that I can win the bet when Liverpool plays Manchester United, so I will not bet on Manchester United winning and still choose Liverpool to win.

If I have to bet against myself for any reason – IMO, it's better not to bet and I tend to prefer to keep the money. It's just a choice that I think is rational – meaning not being forced to bet when I don't find something I'm sure of winning.

[Peanutswar]

Sports gambling is all about the data and analytics of the team, what are their current records, win rates, teams will play on the match, coach and atc. Personally I always make a research on the game before manage to make a bet because this gives me an idea if the game is worth to bet or not sometimes there are top teams playing against each other and you don't know where to bet so you must need to play safe and wait for the next game or make a bet with the underdogs to have a higher odds. Don't get too much carried away by prediction of other players.

[ethereumhunter]

No matter how good a gambler's analysis is, if he cannot win, he will not consider his analysis correct. But in reality even if the analysis is correct, he could not win because he had no luck. Gambling may or may not win but don't depend too much on it. When it is not taken seriously, losing there will have no effect. We should remember that we will never have a guaranteed win in gambling. In my gambling career I was not sure about certain bets but was confident and managed to win about 60-70 percent of those bets. But i cannot be confident in all bets.

If that's what he does, he will not wins in gambling easily because when he feels confident, he will becomes superior than others and that will not gives a good results for him. Someone who feels confident will not realizes that he can lose his money anytime and will not thinks that he can't always wins the games. Even if his analysis correct, that doesn't mean he can wins because in gambling, there will be a surprise moment that can change the fact. We must realizes that playing gambling can't gives wins easily because gambling itself depends on luck and the situation can change anytime. If we feels confident with our picks, that doesn't means we can win most of the time but we can lose our money in the next games. Instead feels confident with our picks, it's better we just to have fun in gambling so when we lose, that will not be too sad.

[Hirose UK]

Confidence is part of the reason for victory and defeat, depending on the situation it will give different results.

imo, betting is always simple and doesn't put too much emphasis on the results right away because I'm just a recreational player so even if I lose, I still feel an interesting feeling with that bet.

But I also went through some situations where I really had confidence in myself to choose the correct outcome, but I still understood it would only give me an ego boost, but I admit in that situation I won but there were also times I lost because of it. So the results are based on confidence, so confidence should be re-evaluated according to how we understand it, because I think confidence has many different levels based on each person's perspective.

You can't really guarantee that each bet you have, even if you are very confident about it, will win. Because of so many underlying factors such as the the athletes themselves, coach, their current strategies, unknown injuries among others. Aside from your instincts, those factors are significant in the potential outcome of the game. Hence, you can't really assure yourself of winning because it is not only your assessment which is in play but all the other factors, and add luck also in the equation.

Hahaha, of course, because in gambling there is no real certainty of guarantee of winning, especially if it is in bet that is categorized as lucky bet like lottery.
Even in sports betting, we can't really easily have full confidence in the success of the predictions we have, just imagine the many incidents where the superior team is defeated by weak team.
From this it can be concluded that gambling algorithms are very unpredictable and unpredictable for players
gamblers, we will just keep betting and wait for luck to come because all we can do is increase the odds not guarantee win.
But because confidence in their abilities is truly greater than their awareness of impending failure, gamblers think that what they choose is the best.

[Jody.Drummer]

That's why people should not thinks to makes money from gambling as they will only gets more lose. Even if they feels confident with their picks, they don't have to be serious in gambling because the outcomes can't always the same as what they wants. Many times the outcomes changes in the end of the match so they must realizes that they only use gambling to have fun. We can still analyze the match but we must realizes our chance will still 50/50 because it's gambling where no certain results for us. If you can use gambling for fun, you will not thinks much about playing gambling because you always aware that gambling is not a place for makes money. You will only use some money to playing gambling moderately because you wants to avoids many problems that can occurs in gambling.

No matter how good a gambler's analysis is, if he cannot win, he will not consider his analysis correct. But in reality even if the analysis is correct, he could not win because he had no luck. Gambling may or may not win but don't depend too much on it. When it is not taken seriously, losing there will have no effect. We should remember that we will never have a guaranteed win in gambling. In my gambling career I was not sure about certain bets but was confident and managed to win about 60-70 percent of those bets. But i cannot be confident in all bets.

This is the main point that all gamblers should understand, because sometimes there are always some gamblers who believe too much in the strategy they have which is where excessive confidence can certainly trigger excessive disappointment when the results are not what we want, and it is very likely to happen even if you gamble using a strategy that you think is right. And as you said that most likely a gambler will assume that the strategy they apply is correct when the results at the end of the session are as expected, but I think it's too early to put confidence, meaning you need to try at least 3 - 5 times the strategy and if all of them win then maybe the strategy is not too doubtful, but if the scenario is losing and winning evenly then it means the strategy is useless or means you won because luck came at the right time.

So we should not rule out the most important point in gambling which is luck, or it means that it is better to have a balanced point of view in dealing with gambling by maintaining the understanding that strategy is nothing more than something that only helps increase the odds but what ensures victory is only luck, and this is why we often say that there is absolutely no guarantee to always win in gambling.

[dimonstration]

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

If you are profitable on your strategy then keep doing until it’s not working but this unorthodox style so I doubt that you can benefit on it long term.

Personally, I’m betting to prove my analysis skills on sports while you are doing the opposite. There’s no fun on contradicting yourself even though you are having profit because it only means that you sucks on that game.

This is the reason why I rarely bet on sports bet because I’m suck on this game. I always choose what I’m good at and avoid forcing myself on playing games that I’m not even if I’m winning due to luck because I’m sure that it will not last longer and most importantly not fun.

[Mr. Magkaisa]

I would like to ask everyone here who is into sports betting for some advice. I've come to realize that maybe I should start fading myself. I've noticed that my recent gambling journey hasn't been profitable, so I'm thinking maybe I'm missing something. I tried an experiment by just recording my picks and then betting the opposite of my analysis. Surprisingly, this resulted in profitable betting.

So how about you? Have you ever thought of this idea when your picks aren't hitting? I mean, if we keep following how we think and feel with our picks and it doesn't translate to profit, there's no reason to continue following the same strategy. But are we comfortable with betting against our own picks just for the sake of fading ourselves strategy?

        -    Congratulations, Op! What you should always do when you play gambling is to always do it experimentally so you can win. But I was just joking, but if it's effective, why not?
In my experience, I did the same thing that I experimented with, and it was not effective either.

But you are lucky; really winning gambling in any casino is really just luck. Then being confident is what a gambler really needs when playing gambling.
Because from the beginning, you will only bet and think most of the time that they will win the bet in every game that will be played.

[piebeyb]

Even though it does result in profits I'm sure it's not consistently just a matter of chance and luck, so I'd probably rather use my own analysis looking for accurate information about the strength of teams and opponents, I think we all know that sports betting doesn't need to be outlandish and ridiculous. let alone using feelings, it obviously won't work if you're not lucky, actually the most important thing is that everyone's luck is sometimes different and never the same. So don't say your method is good for making a profit.

I may have never tried it but I once bet without prior knowledge so I experienced consecutive defeats which made me lose in sports betting. Since then I have started to learn to know more about the team I am betting on, don't be careless and careless in betting even though we know that in the end it is luck. which will determine the final result, winning or not actually doesn't matter to me because I gamble for fun using a budget that is ready to lose, for me losing is a normal matter, the point is the fun and adrenaline, even I also enjoy the game, this is not only talking about profits and just win.