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Author Topic: When you are confident with your picks, do you win most of the time?  (Read 726 times)
ethereumhunter
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May 31, 2024, 07:28:35 AM
 #161

Yes, you have said the right thing above that in a match anything can happen on the field and this is what makes me keep limiting my budget when betting on football betting, none other than because as you said and it is true that anything can happen. on the field which can turn things around, or in the sense that even though initially the team we are betting on is in a superior situation but if the match is not over then anything can happen there that has the potential to turn things around, and if I discuss this I am reminded of last week where At first Bayern Munich managed to take the lead against Real Madrid in the UCL in the match for the final but it turned out that it only took 3 minutes for Real Madrid to turn things around which made them win in the final minutes before the end of the match and this is one of the scenarios that is never expected. very likely to occur in the field. Therefore, I think it is clear that the point is that wherever we bet, various restrictive measures that lead to prevention will always be an important aspect, such as only risking small amounts.
I always limiting my budget when betting and only use small money to place bet for one match. By using that, I can place more than 2 matches and whatever the outcomes, I will not thinks too much. Your example in the UCL shows to us that anything can happens in the match so when we feels confident with our picks, that doesn't mean we can wins on that match. We must be careful if some surprises comes to the match and that can makes us lose the money. If we can accept the outcomes and we can manage our bet, I think we don't have to feels sad if we lose because we understand that we already trying what we can but the reality is different from what we wants. We can only try without have a big chance to knows who will wins and when we can wins. If we luck, we can wins but if we lose, we don't have to regrets our lose. We can wins in the next match so we can still place the bet.

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May 31, 2024, 08:49:47 AM
 #162

Yes, you have said the right thing above that in a match anything can happen on the field and this is what makes me keep limiting my budget when betting on football betting, none other than because as you said and it is true that anything can happen. on the field which can turn things around, or in the sense that even though initially the team we are betting on is in a superior situation but if the match is not over then anything can happen there that has the potential to turn things around, and if I discuss this I am reminded of last week where At first Bayern Munich managed to take the lead against Real Madrid in the UCL in the match for the final but it turned out that it only took 3 minutes for Real Madrid to turn things around which made them win in the final minutes before the end of the match and this is one of the scenarios that is never expected. very likely to occur in the field. Therefore, I think it is clear that the point is that wherever we bet, various restrictive measures that lead to prevention will always be an important aspect, such as only risking small amounts.
I always limiting my budget when betting and only use small money to place bet for one match. By using that, I can place more than 2 matches and whatever the outcomes, I will not thinks too much. Your example in the UCL shows to us that anything can happens in the match so when we feels confident with our picks, that doesn't mean we can wins on that match. We must be careful if some surprises comes to the match and that can makes us lose the money. If we can accept the outcomes and we can manage our bet, I think we don't have to feels sad if we lose because we understand that we already trying what we can but the reality is different from what we wants. We can only try without have a big chance to knows who will wins and when we can wins. If we luck, we can wins but if we lose, we don't have to regrets our lose. We can wins in the next match so we can still place the bet.

Yes you have a good approach by only risking small amounts that you can afford to lose and I hope you can maintain that approach for a long time to come because after all that's the only thing that can keep us awake and away from any unfortunate eventualities like losing a large amount of money. And yes I like your thinking where you say that even though we are sure of our decision but it does not mean that we will win at the end of the session, and that is a good mindset and perspective on gambling where in addition to knowing that there is a chance of winning but we also realize that the risk of losing is something that can definitely happen at any time.

One of them is like the scenario that I have exemplified before when I saw the UCL competition in the semi-final match where initially Bayern Munich fans seemed very confident that victory was in their camp but in the end yes the last 3 minutes changed everything. So actually in gambling the various impacts of the worse possibilities depend on us in terms of managing our gambling activities, if for example from the start we understand that gambling is always about winning and losing then I think it is less likely for a gambler to eventually experience emotions and take various actions that endanger himself, everything comes back to the ability to accept facts at the end of the session, and that's why we are always advised to be responsible gamblers.

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May 31, 2024, 09:27:02 AM
 #163

Not really, I feel like it's not confidence but more like courage that I feel when I bet, confidence implies that I believe in that team but I don't bet on the winning all the time because of how low the odds are, so I'm not confident that I'm betting on the winning team. Most of the time, it's just that I have to strengthen my nerves because I'm basically betting my money in the hopes that the one that's not favored to win will do the miracle and win the match. I think that what you feel doesn't even have anything to do with the possible outcome of the bet, that's outside of the game after all which means that no matter what you feel about your bet, if the team that you've placed your bet just sucks and is being completely dominated by the other team, you're probably better off having any kinds of feeling.



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May 31, 2024, 04:21:16 PM
 #164

         -   I just noticed what you said, Op. What do you mean by betting on the opposite of your analysis? Is this what you think will win but you will actually lose, and what you think will lose but your bet will be correct? Is this what you mean?

Because it appears from the experiment you did that you challenged that with your own strategy that you use when you play gambling in the crypto gambling business, it seems like that's what you want to convey.

Yeah, what he believes gonna be the winner from his analysis then he bets on it for Lossing just opposite of what he analysize. And vice versa, this method remind me of old school days were we choose opposite of what we think is the right answer and end up getting it correctly.

For me OP, is tryna finding an edge of which I believe he has gotten. The truth is, OP should leverage on that if it works and probably adapt it because and sort out means to improve more . It happens most at times, we need to man up and get rid of emotion, huge expectancy as gamblers.

This is why gambling is called an activity that really cannot be predicted because after all the results at the end of the session are always random, and you have proven that when you gamble by choosing decisions that are not in accordance with your analysis but the results even win and I think it is very clear that in random activities the scenario will continue to be different, or different times then the results will also be different even if for example you do it with the same method, meaning that it does not mean that choosing decisions that are not in accordance with our analysis will always result in victory.

Yes it is a new way found by OP but however we must return to a straight understanding of gambling which is still gambling where whatever the way or whatever the method is the results will not always be in accordance with our expectations, meaning don't put too much hope in the methods we believe in.


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May 31, 2024, 04:30:20 PM
 #165

Not really, I feel like it's not confidence but more like courage that I feel when I bet, confidence implies that I believe in that team but I don't bet on the winning all the time because of how low the odds are, so I'm not confident that I'm betting on the winning team. Most of the time, it's just that I have to strengthen my nerves because I'm basically betting my money in the hopes that the one that's not favored to win will do the miracle and win the match. I think that what you feel doesn't even have anything to do with the possible outcome of the bet, that's outside of the game after all which means that no matter what you feel about your bet, if the team that you've placed your bet just sucks and is being completely dominated by the other team, you're probably better off having any kinds of feeling.

There’s a lot of picks that gives a decent odds while the match is still can be easily analyzed. Some bookie made an error on assigning odds on matches since they are just relying on stats while you can take advantage on it if you are watching the league closely so that you can analyze and choose a team that has a potential to beat the odds or what popularly known as dark horse. You don’t need to become courageous on picking higher odds which you knew that winning is hard to attain. You just need to become patient on choosing the right odds.

Besides, you can always increase your bet size to compensate with the low odds so that you can still win decent amount even if the odds is small, at least you are still betting on match that you are confident on winning rather than doing force but just to increase odds of your bets.

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June 01, 2024, 04:52:44 AM
 #166

Yes you have a good approach by only risking small amounts that you can afford to lose and I hope you can maintain that approach for a long time to come because after all that's the only thing that can keep us awake and away from any unfortunate eventualities like losing a large amount of money. And yes I like your thinking where you say that even though we are sure of our decision but it does not mean that we will win at the end of the session, and that is a good mindset and perspective on gambling where in addition to knowing that there is a chance of winning but we also realize that the risk of losing is something that can definitely happen at any time.

One of them is like the scenario that I have exemplified before when I saw the UCL competition in the semi-final match where initially Bayern Munich fans seemed very confident that victory was in their camp but in the end yes the last 3 minutes changed everything. So actually in gambling the various impacts of the worse possibilities depend on us in terms of managing our gambling activities, if for example from the start we understand that gambling is always about winning and losing then I think it is less likely for a gambler to eventually experience emotions and take various actions that endanger himself, everything comes back to the ability to accept facts at the end of the session, and that's why we are always advised to be responsible gamblers.
Risking small amounts to playing gambling will be better than use much money to avoids the big lose. That's already happens to many gamblers but they don't realizes that they must reduce their money that they used to playing gambling. We don't have to follows what they do because we must responsible with our money so we don't gets the same experienced as them. We can feels confident with our picks, but we must not feels too confident because we still don't knows what will happens in the end of the match. Even if we wins with our pick, we can't hopes that we can wins more in the next match because every match can't gives the same results.

The last minutes can changes drastically so we must be careful when placing the bet. We must realizes that our picks can lose anytime so we don't have to be seriously when placing the bet. If we can enjoy the match while we gambling, we will not thinks about our bet because our reason is not makes money but we wants to have fun by place a bet. We must prevents our emotion becomes big if we lose from our prediction and realizes that's a gambling which can gives us lose and wins.

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Dewi Aries
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June 01, 2024, 06:05:15 PM
 #167

Yes you have a good approach by only risking small amounts that you can afford to lose and I hope you can maintain that approach for a long time to come because after all that's the only thing that can keep us awake and away from any unfortunate eventualities like losing a large amount of money. And yes I like your thinking where you say that even though we are sure of our decision but it does not mean that we will win at the end of the session, and that is a good mindset and perspective on gambling where in addition to knowing that there is a chance of winning but we also realize that the risk of losing is something that can definitely happen at any time.

One of them is like the scenario that I have exemplified before when I saw the UCL competition in the semi-final match where initially Bayern Munich fans seemed very confident that victory was in their camp but in the end yes the last 3 minutes changed everything. So actually in gambling the various impacts of the worse possibilities depend on us in terms of managing our gambling activities, if for example from the start we understand that gambling is always about winning and losing then I think it is less likely for a gambler to eventually experience emotions and take various actions that endanger himself, everything comes back to the ability to accept facts at the end of the session, and that's why we are always advised to be responsible gamblers.
Risking small amounts to playing gambling will be better than use much money to avoids the big lose. That's already happens to many gamblers but they don't realizes that they must reduce their money that they used to playing gambling. We don't have to follows what they do because we must responsible with our money so we don't gets the same experienced as them. We can feels confident with our picks, but we must not feels too confident because we still don't knows what will happens in the end of the match. Even if we wins with our pick, we can't hopes that we can wins more in the next match because every match can't gives the same results.

The last minutes can changes drastically so we must be careful when placing the bet. We must realizes that our picks can lose anytime so we don't have to be seriously when placing the bet. If we can enjoy the match while we gambling, we will not thinks about our bet because our reason is not makes money but we wants to have fun by place a bet. We must prevents our emotion becomes big if we lose from our prediction and realizes that's a gambling which can gives us lose and wins.

Yes, it means that gamblers must realize that gambling is not only about the chances of winning but also there is another part that can never be separated, namely the possibility of losing, and as we know that everyone does not like the name losing money, while losing in gambling is a very possible thing that can make them lose money. So there is no other way to avoid the possibility of losing a large amount than by only risking a small amount.

It's fair to say that gambling will always be an activity that doesn't have any certainties and guarantees regarding the outcome at the end of the session especially when it comes to winning, and that's why many of us always recommend only risking small amounts. The fact of the matter is that no matter how confident you are in your choice of decision at the end of the day, confidence is not something that can guarantee victory. This means as you said that anything can happen even if we are very sure of our choice, and the other thing is that betting a small amount will certainly make it easier for us to take responsibility for any results, especially defeat.

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June 02, 2024, 06:10:13 AM
 #168

Yes, it means that gamblers must realize that gambling is not only about the chances of winning but also there is another part that can never be separated, namely the possibility of losing, and as we know that everyone does not like the name losing money, while losing in gambling is a very possible thing that can make them lose money. So there is no other way to avoid the possibility of losing a large amount than by only risking a small amount.

It's fair to say that gambling will always be an activity that doesn't have any certainties and guarantees regarding the outcome at the end of the session especially when it comes to winning, and that's why many of us always recommend only risking small amounts. The fact of the matter is that no matter how confident you are in your choice of decision at the end of the day, confidence is not something that can guarantee victory. This means as you said that anything can happen even if we are very sure of our choice, and the other thing is that betting a small amount will certainly make it easier for us to take responsibility for any results, especially defeat.
If gamblers can realizes that they will have two result when gambling, they will not trying to use much money because they can lose anytime. They will difficult to wins as in gambling, we can only have a bigger chance to lose and winning in gambling needs luck althouhgh we are confident with our picks. When we placing our bet, we don't have to feels confident because anything can happens in the field so we are just placing the bet and wait for the result in the ends of the game. We can only prevents the big lose in gambling so we must not risks too much money when playing gambling.

Even if gambling doesn't have uncertainties, people will still placing their bet and playing gambling without stops because they thinks that gambling can gives them much money. They will still trying to wins even with more money and don't thinks about how much their lose later. If they can be wise when playing gambling, they will not risks too much money just to chase the wins because they will thinks that their chance to wins will not too big. They will just use the money they can afford to playing gambling because they don't wants to gets big lose from gambling. They only wants to be responsible when playing gambling and that's why they will only use enough money to gambling.

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