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Author Topic: What is the role of home/away matches?  (Read 336 times)
sompitonov
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June 07, 2024, 09:45:34 AM
 #21

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
Perhaps this is one of the main factors for the victory of a team that plays at home and in its own stadium where it trains. This sets up a more familiar environment in which fans support their favorite team. But on the other hand, I would like to remind you that the size of the field, the goal and the ball are no different, so in the end I would not call this the most important thing, because the most important thing is the professional skills of each player and the morale, teamwork and tactics of all teams . As an example, I can even remember a recent match of my favorite team, which is not strong. So, when the strongest team in the league arrives, my team can lose 5-0 at home  Undecided

R


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June 07, 2024, 10:01:51 AM
 #22

Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

  • Home/away matches in my estimation serves to balance things up between both teams giving them a competitive advantage in terms of a familiar ground, home based fans, and an opportunity for their fans who were unable to provide support in their away game to do it at home.
  • The probability for me is 50/50. If the home team is not well prepared they will be beaten by their visitors and vice versa. It is the level of preparation that determines who wins or losses and not the home/away
  • Playing at home or away is the secondary factor and not the major factor. The primary factors are things like, teams stats, past performances, injuries, etc
  • Everyone can have their opinion and we do not need to agree. If he thinks it is the primary factor that predicts the outcome of a match that's his opinion. Mine is different from his.

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June 07, 2024, 10:09:53 AM
 #23

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
The team that acts as the host or home team will be included in the analysis that they benefit because of greater support. In contrast, the away team has less support but in betting this analysis does not always apply. It is possible that the away team is stronger in many ways so that the away team's chances of getting the targeted results are greater, as in big leagues such as the English Premier League and Champions League.

If we don't follow other leagues, by looking at head to head and who acts as the home team, then the chance of choosing the home team to win is greater than choosing the away team.
Honestly, that doesn't apply 100% to me in analyzing a match to bet on.

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June 07, 2024, 10:27:20 AM
 #24

I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?


The game should be taken as a game. Game You play in home matches play well, play in away matches don't play well. It's not a player trait. When the player enters the field, the whole world will unfold in front of him. He must consider it in his wanderings. Here he has to rule the world with foot magic or hand magic. So every game has to start with one player first. Every game he has to show equal performance. In the game where his negligence is revealed, he will go. The player has to think of every match as his home match.

It doesn't seem right to me that for away matches he loses the match and for home matches, he wins. I don't think so. I think it cannot predict the outcome of the match. How many people think that everything will always be the case?



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June 07, 2024, 11:01:18 AM
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (1)
 #25

It depends on what type of sports and then it will also depend on the record of the team during their home games and road games.

In basketball, NBA preferably because they have their home courts, the home team always has an advantage because of the crowd help. But there are teams who suck at playing even on their home court. Detroit Pistons for example. 7 wins and 33 losses in their home games. Boston Celtics on the other hand is 37 wins and 4 losses at their home which is damn good.
So, all those who bet for Boston during their home games probably have a good profit now.

I don't know about Football if that is also the case.
When it comes to boxing, home-court advantage is a mess. There was this exhibition game in South Korea where most Koreans won even though it was obvious that their opponents won that fight.

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June 07, 2024, 11:10:32 AM
 #26

In principle, home matches have pretty good probabilities, but in football everything involves all aspects. depending on the team playing at home, as well as the team that is the opponent. each team, does not have to be the same and this really depends on their form and performance when playing away. Plus, the squad itself counts. Football is quite unique, not all teams that play at home have a promising chance of winning. So, however, it comes back to the strength of the team they have. This is different from several top teams, which play their matches at home. In fact, it's not much different from a mediocre team, after all, they both get full support from their supporters who watch it live. Plus, playing at home gives you great latitude and confidence. However, home matches are not necessarily an indicator that the team that plays its match at home has a high probability of winning.

As I said, it all comes back to who the opposing team is. if there is a gap between the quality of players, performance and gaps based on ranking. So, playing at home does not guarantee anything to control the game, win the match or be better than the challenging team. this is football, with all its uniqueness. We have to review the team's strength from all aspects, including away games. However, the point comes back to the team itself. That's why, when choosing football bets, you need experience, knowledge, broad insight, and technical knowledge of football itself. There are many variables that we can consider in research, analysis and then speculate to make predictions. and each team that will compete has a different probability even though they are playing at home. The point of playing at home is no more than playing the match at home, so they will try to perform as hard as possible to maximize their home match in front of their supporters and play with extra hard work.


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June 07, 2024, 11:12:40 AM
 #27

I think that a team that is playing at home has more familiarity with the pitch and they will want to give their very best, do everything possible to win in front of their home fans because they would be the majority spectators in the stadium. This factor would be an edge over the visiting team, even if it's a minor factor, it has to be put into consideration when placing a bet, although in the end what counts is the better and more tactical team that wins the match. So I'll say home advantage is a secondary factor when considering whether it's a home or away team that'll win a match.

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June 07, 2024, 11:17:07 AM
 #28

One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

Home court advantage is indeed impactful if the game is close match or the home team stats is not that very compared to away team. Crowd support is proven can boost morale of players that’s why this factor is always being considered on every bet.

The only time this factor is useless is when the home team is at the bottom of rank while the enemy team is on the top rank which makes the home team heavily underdog. Besides match like this usually have less supporter since they knew that the team they are supporting will just resulted to lose.

But in normal matches, home court advantage provides huge factor on winning probability of the home team. It’s very hard to play with the crowd consistently booing you.  Cheesy

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June 07, 2024, 11:26:26 AM
Merited by Julien_Olynpic (1)
 #29

It's just statistic, not necessary mean home is always better than away.

Take a look with Fenerbahce, they actually have better statistic in away match than in home since they never lose any single match in away. The bookie isn't stupid though, they will lower Fenerbahce odds in away match.

It's really differ from each team to other team, depends on the statistic, the bookie will adjust it.


https://www.statschecker.com/teams/fenerbahce-betting-stats

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June 07, 2024, 11:29:52 AM
 #30

In my personal opinion, whenever a sports match is played between a home team and a travelling away team, it will eventually affect my decision on placing my bet between these two teams as I believe the team who plays the match at their home stadium will always have the advantage in the surrounding atmosphere at the stadium with their home fans cheering loudly for their team. Underdog teams which are playing against traditional strong teams will also rely heavily on home matches to gain more points throughout a season in order to fight for their survival in the league.

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June 07, 2024, 11:30:07 AM
 #31

But in football matches, the factor of playing home or away is very dominant and has a big influence on the final result, indeed this does not guarantee that the results will match predictions, but the percentage of advantage can be much greater.
I personally will really consider the game at home or away for the team that I analyze to produce betting predictions, if both teams have good performance then obviously whoever is the host will have the advantage.
Not only gamblers, even bookies or houses will always consider the home or away factor as reference in giving odds to gamblers who will bet.
I always look at the results of several previous matches and when I want to bet money on the team that is competing, this can make it easier to analyze to make good predictions.
For example, Leverkusen has had several previous matches at home, overall they can win or draw, so obviously in the next match, if it is at home, the chance of winning is also quite large.
But on the other hand, you still have to look at which team are competing, because even if lower team has home match against strong top team chances of winning also will be relatively difficult.

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June 07, 2024, 11:42:24 AM
 #32

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
Inasmuch as Home or Away are major factors to be considered in current day football sport betting, for me, I see this as a secondary factor, and not primary, because of a team is good, they will always perform better either playing at Home or Away, just as in the case of Manchester City vs Fulham, of which we can all attest yhe fact even if Fulham is said to be still playing at Home, Manchester City will still always win them. Hence, this factor should be considered secondary, whereas what should be considered primary care the individual strength of each players, the ability of the goalkeeper to safe balls, and the how good the Coach is to come up with strategic plans to enable its players win a match at die minutes. Those are what should be considered primary.

R


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June 07, 2024, 01:07:51 PM
 #33

What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
I think home matches allow a team to play more effectively then away matches because in home matches they have trained for some good time and have played so many matches there and they're also aware of the home environment, and that gives them edge over other teams.

I would still consider that a secondary factor of analysis because a weak team in home matches could easily lose by a tough team as they can quite easily adjust with the environment of new place because of their skillset. I would consider a teams top players as a major factor that decides winning/losing of a match.

If a team's top players are in good health without any health issues or other weaknesses then that gives them way more edge then home environment and that's one the factors which makes results of someone's research positive. I always prefer to go with tough teams as most of the times they can easily win against weak teams.

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June 07, 2024, 01:22:19 PM
 #34

Using home advantage as the major factor when betting should be based on the club that is at home and who is their visitors. Some clubs have worst history playing with a particular club at home. While some clubs will not easily accept defeat at home, which means that they win 90% of their matches at home.

However, some clubs don't care where they are playing either home or away, they always win most of their matches, and you should be careful to bet against such club. It is good that when placing a bet, you check this out too before other factors. It will help a lot. Majority of club have a higher advantage of winning matches at home, the fans is an additional advantage for the home side.

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June 07, 2024, 03:07:14 PM
 #35


 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
It's true that the home/away of matches is a determinant of outcome of some matches but it's absolutely not the only thing that determines how the result could be and it's not the primary determinant from my own perspective but one of the majors. home usually plans a big role because absolutely nobody what's to be won in his or her own house just as the first person said earlier, there's no two ways about it.


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June 07, 2024, 04:27:55 PM
 #36

Actually in sports betting when you are analyzing the possible outcome of a game the ability of a team to win at home or away depends on their previous matches like if a particular team mostly win matches when they are away than home that means if they are playing at their home ground the possibility of losing or drawing the match will be analyzed except if they have been able to win subsequent games at their home ground that is when you can confidently predict them to win and it most cases this system of predictions work a lot in sports betting.
But every team is expected to be more stronger while playing at their home ground so if a team fails to win more matches at their home ground that means such team can't be reliable because the advantage teams have in their home is that they have majority of the fans to cheer them up and they are familiar with the pitch of play because that's exactly where the normally do their practices and training so playing at home gives majority of teams that confidence to play better unlike when they are playing at away.

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June 07, 2024, 07:49:29 PM
 #37

It depends on the sport and its fans, and we are experiencing it right now in the NBA final with the Boston fans, surely in many basketball teams this does not influence but with Boston it is crucial, of course it does. And along those lines, other sports, in soccer it happens, fans disturbing the hotel where the opposing team is staying, the angry crowds on the stages, etc.

That is to say, there are factors to take into account when making a closed bet, you know, one of those in which you have @1.98 against @2, perhaps the factor Home, affect your betting decision, but, it is relative in any case.

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June 07, 2024, 07:58:41 PM
 #38

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
This is indeed an advantage but it is not the main advantage why is that? because basically the main advantage is the structure of the performance of the players, I always believe that, the performance of the players is far above all to assess a team, and the cage according to me is the second factor after that because the advantage of the cage is that they are comfortable with the setting and atmosphere and surely the homeowner has more supporters so that the roar of supporters will always echo to pressure the visiting opponent.

I always conclude things like that assessing a customer in a soccer bet, but the core point that cannot be assessed in a comprehensive analysis calculation is luck because it is beyond human thinking and very difficult to predict because luck is a miracle in the field for a team.

However one has their own preferences in assessing a team and home zone in a match, home is still number two in my opinion.

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June 07, 2024, 08:15:35 PM
 #39


 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
It's true that the home/away of matches is a determinant of outcome of some matches but it's absolutely not the only thing that determines how the result could be and it's not the primary determinant from my own perspective but one of the majors. home usually plans a big role because absolutely nobody what's to be won in his or her own house just as the first person said earlier, there's no two ways about it.
You are right,but the most important thing that used to matter alot in home or away matches is their fans.If a particular team is playing at home,there is always a high possibility of fans being much available.Fans always turn up for home matches than away matches.And when the fans are chanting and singing the names of their players on the field,and making them feel loved,it gives them that energy  to make sure they make their fans happy by getting a win in that match,they know that when they lose at home,their fans will definitely be angry with them,so they do extra work on the field,to make their fans happy by winning.
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June 07, 2024, 08:41:14 PM
 #40

Home advantage in 99% of the games played in the world is not literally a thing, it's just a confidence that players get while they are playing in a stadium that chants you're name or team instead of boo but technically it doesn't interfere with the results as long as players don't get the emotions into their head.

Let's just say home games might give you 5 to 10% but there are lot other factors that plays more vital role in the analysis and no matter what even if you get everything done the results can be anything that's the interesting thing about sports and gambling.

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