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Author Topic: What is the role of home/away matches?  (Read 336 times)
wheelz1200
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June 07, 2024, 09:08:37 PM
 #41

For most major sports it plays an important factor.  It's pure fact teams have better winning percentages at home than on the road almost always.  The big contributors is one you are comfortable playing at home because you know the field/court/pitch the best.  You are most likely sleeping home and don't have travel lag so you are probably more rested than the away team.  Amd then last but most important.  The fans.  You have thousands of people cheering you on which gives momentum.  I always look at home/away first when betting.

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June 07, 2024, 09:58:56 PM
 #42

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

The main factor when analyzing matches is the strength and class of the teams. If these are opponents of different levels, then most likely it is not so important where they play at home or away.
That is, playing at home or away is very important, but I think it’s not the main thing. If the teams are approximately the same level, then factors such as playing away can be of great importance, support from the stands, home stadium, more time to rest, etc.
To answer your question, I will say that playing away is very important, but not the main thing

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June 07, 2024, 10:09:16 PM
 #43

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
It's a major factor because some teams have got a certain pattern at home which if you consider it will be an opportunity for you to bet on them and win, a typical example was with lutton town, last season, they were always making sure that in their home games, they had a goal, they had only a few home games where they didn't get a goal but in majority of their home games last season, they had a goal so if you had bet on home team to get a goal, most of the times you would have ended up winning such game.

Considering that as a key factor will actually go a long way helping your betting predictions go wright, some team are better off at home than they are away just like Manchester city, there are games they will be playing at home and you can be certain they are going to win such game just because they are playing from home.

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June 07, 2024, 10:29:28 PM
 #44

Home advantage is not the same for all teams. There are some teams that are known to play much better at home and a victory there for the rivals is considered a double victory, but in other cases playing at home or away doesn't make a big difference.

So you asked if that difference can be expressed in numbers, and I'm sure that it can, but not in a general formula for all teams since the importance of playing at home should be calculated in a case-by-case basis.
Home game for some teams don't make any difference maybe because of the players in the are not strong and organised but still it is good for every team to experience home game, this is just for them to get the opportunity to see if they can be able to take  advantage of their opponent.

In most times average teams benefit from home game, the presence of their supporters gives the more confidence for them to be able to win the game even if the opponent teams may seems to be superior.  Home and away games means fairness, equality,  opportunity,  it makes every team to feel special .

R


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June 07, 2024, 10:30:40 PM
 #45

I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

Well, yes, in some match I have actually used the home/away to predict the outcome of different match and it gave me a successful prediction on several occasion but not all, so I just believe that using home/away as a category to analyze the outside of football score can be classified as a primary tool. If am asked to rate how many times it has worked for me, I will say more than 80%. Just my opinion tho, every body have their experience.

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June 07, 2024, 10:30:48 PM
 #46

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
The home/away is generally called home advantage and it is a very significant factor in soccer. It is like when someone comes to fight you in your house, there is this level of confidence and moral justification you will have to beat up the person in order to save your reputation. Teams playing at home enjoys this confidence, huge support from their fans and in most leagues, the officiation tends to be in favour of the home team. There are several leagues in which the home team mostly win the match, and this could also be linked to how advanced or serious the league is.

However, there are some teams that do not really care about the home advantage. For example, teams like Manchester City,  Real Madrid, Bayern Munic, PSG and others do not really care if their opponents are at home, the win anywhere.

I don't know why you are specific on the teams that do not regard the home advantage because every team do like to win it's just that they are not strong enough or their opponent is far better because even the so called big teams sometimes do play and win games themselves under the home ground advantage.

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June 07, 2024, 10:34:24 PM
 #47

Be it in cricket or football, home advantage is definitely obtained, especially in my country, home advantage is very strong in cricket, especially Bangladesh can defeat big cricket teams in Mirpur National Stadium, especially England, Australia, India, South Africa, New Zealand. While Bangladesh performs poorly everywhere except home ground, this is true not only for Bangladesh but also for other countries. The advantage of home advantage is that Pactis always play matches at home ground and the familiarity of this ground during the match gives a lot of benefit.

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June 07, 2024, 10:43:43 PM
 #48

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
something I want to let you to know is that, in gambling it does not matter how you win or how you loss in your gambling, the thing is that you have to follow your own method of strategies, neither you bet on home or away that doesn't necessarily means that you will lose in gambling or you will win gambling, theirs something you have to understand very that gambling is just an opportunity and if you are lucky enough you can win your gambling successfully without any biased mindset, so therefore I know that winning gambling is just something of luck.

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June 07, 2024, 10:51:50 PM
 #49

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
Home ground is definitely considered an important issue in gambling especially if you are imagining a match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid and if there is Real Madrid's home ground then you will definitely get a higher bet multiplier against Real Madrid. However, in some cases, team performance is often considered an important issue in betting multipliers. If there is a match between Nottingham Forest and Bayern Munich then you will get more betting odds against Bayern Munich.

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June 08, 2024, 12:56:01 PM
 #50

Home ground is definitely considered an important issue in gambling especially if you are imagining a match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid and if there is Real Madrid's home ground then you will definitely get a higher bet multiplier against Real Madrid.
Yes you will get higher bet multiplier in your example but the high odd is just what is most likely not to be the result because if Real Madrid is at home, there is higher chances that it would win Atletico Madrid. Home matches have an advantage but Real Madrid is kind of better also. Although anything can still happen in betting.

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June 08, 2024, 01:44:53 PM
 #51

Home advantage is not the same for all teams. There are some teams that are known to play much better at home and a victory there for the rivals is considered a double victory, but in other cases playing at home or away doesn't make a big difference.
Playing at home makes a big difference. If you want to know this, in a 38 matches or more or less played in a leagues, check the result of home and away win and loss. You will see that clubs win more at home. Even on bookies, the odd for home match is lower than when the club is at away and playing with the same club. Also in Champions League, you can notice home advantage. But there are exceptions. In a season, you can see a club out of many winning more at away matches than home.
When you're at home, you're more comfortable because that's the place you train every time and you are used to that environment.  You'll feel more comfortable also with more of your fans supporting you and gingering the whole team to beat their opponent, you'll be more energized not to disappoint the fans who are supporting them in their mass.

When we were playing  at local club level back then, there was this notion that you can win a match with great fans cos their chants and support can weaken the opponents, placing you at a better advantage. Opponents that secure wins from away are more tactical than the home team or they took advantage of the mistakes of the home team, but playing from home is always better than playing from away.

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June 08, 2024, 01:58:46 PM
 #52

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
Well well, odohu have given you the complete answer that you need, there is nothing special about home or away matches aside from the fact that the team playing in their home simply have the home advantage which (to me) includes....
1. Having more fans to support them, this fans are citizens of their country who won't have to spend money on air tickets to travel, but can simply buy an entry ticket to the stadium to support their own.
2. Playing in a stadium where they train often makes the players understand the environment much better and play more comfortably and more confident in themselves and their abilities.
3. They seem to play better because they won't have to spend hours on traveling, which could result to some of the players feeling tired 😴 after the journey, which could as well affect their game play, playing at home means that the players have enough time to rest and practice before the game day.

This are just a few of the list.

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June 08, 2024, 02:52:19 PM
 #53

What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?

Every game is different. There are great rivals in every sport and whenever great rivals meet the tension is high, then it can be very important where the match is played. When fans are loud and crazy, it is literally like an extra player, and there is also a lot of pressure among the players to do their best in front of their fans and against their big rivals.

It can be important in some games, but it's far from being the primary factor when someone doing analyses. It would be nice if we could see the betting stats of that man with this betting strategy, from my angle, I doubt that he is successful. I guess he has some good hits, but somehow I doubt that this strategy brought him any money.

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June 09, 2024, 08:55:42 AM
 #54

Home or away matches greatly influence the outcome of the match and before we decide to place a bet on a club we must first check which club will play at home and which club will play away and usually the club that plays at home is more favored by bettors to win. match but also sometimes it depends on which club they are playing against. If the opponent is a tough club and is playing away then the bettors prefer the club that is tougher and don't care about the factor of playing at home. Someone chooses the club that is playing at home depending on the club's last performance, if not so much consistently sometimes playing at home also doesn't matter.

Most gamblers analyze first before placing a bet and usually clubs that play at home are more confident in playing the match, sometimes top clubs can also be beaten when playing away and this home factor is very important, but if it's a bottom club I think it's the home factor or away, it's the same because the performance is bad and it is quite risky to bet on lower level clubs even though they play as the home club.

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June 09, 2024, 09:02:03 AM
 #55

Using home advantage as the major factor when betting should be based on the club that is at home and who is their visitors. Some clubs have worst history playing with a particular club at home. While some clubs will not easily accept defeat at home, which means that they win 90% of their matches at home.

However, some clubs don't care where they are playing either home or away, they always win most of their matches, and you should be careful to bet against such club. It is good that when placing a bet, you check this out too before other factors. It will help a lot. Majority of club have a higher advantage of winning matches at home, the fans is an additional advantage for the home side.
Whether they are playing at home or away, I think there will always be fans in each of them, especially if they are both popular teams/players. Some of their fans can find it difficult to follow them playing for a far, but they must know that they are still there supporting them warmly.

So, they need to give their very best in each of their plays. With all that is discussed here, it's important to not base only on home and away factor when trying to place a bet but we must check the others too, as that can improve our chances of winning. For those who are only playing/gambling for fun, then it's totally fine if they can take things less serious.

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June 11, 2024, 08:42:22 AM
 #56

If you are involved in sports betting on team games such as football, then before you place a bet, you probably conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluate the various factors that may contribute to the victory or defeat of your chosen team. One of the main factors in this analysis is home or away matches. Depending on where the team plays - at home or away, the probability of winning or losing can change by a certain amount. What do you think is the role of home/away matches? If this probability were expressed in numbers, what would it look like? Is playing at home or away a major factor for analysis or a secondary one?
 I once came across the opinion of one analyst who considered this to be the main factor in predicting the outcome of a match. He considered everything else to be secondary. What do you think?
I don't know whether the role is secondary or not, but I would say that it plays a great role because most teams tend to play better when they are playing at their home stadium and this can greatly affect the results. So when a person is conducting research for a game that they want to make a bet, they need to make sure which side is playing at home because that side will have an extra edge to their game because of this factor.

A lot of people might not think this way because sometimes, even if a team is playing at their home stadium, they might lose the game despite this but that doesn't mean it happens all the time. In general, when they are playing at home, they perform better, maybe because they practice in the same stadium as well.

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June 11, 2024, 09:00:38 AM
 #57

this is a factor that you need to take in account. but can have just a little effect on the final outcome.
I think its more important evaluate this factor according "pitch condition" or wheater condition.
if you have players that normally play in a certain condition, probably they are able to perform better in the same condition versus player that have not much experience.
but most of the times you need "extreme condition" otherwise it's pretty useless any strategy on this...

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June 14, 2024, 05:18:11 AM
 #58

In my opinion, the factor of playing home or away has an influence but is not the main factor in determining the victory or defeat of a team that will compete. Sometimes there are also teams that play at home and experience a crushing defeat against the visiting team. Therefore, playing at home or away is only one small factor in carrying out analysis to see whether a team will win or lose.

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