Will Biden make his stupidest mistake? Will Cyprus burn? Was Hodhod msg enough?

[pooya87]

TL;DR:
Zionist terrorists are talking about their plan to invade Lebanon. An invasion they can only pull off using US military. That would turn US assets into legitimate targets and the Armed Forces of Lebanon (and the resistance in other countries) will retaliate against these targets in defense. This will include bases in Cyprus used by the Israeli terrorists that also house British and American troops.
This is not a war NATO can win. The only result of it would be China invading Taiwan and Russia taking over entire Ukraine as US naval units keep sinking every day for a war Zionist terrorists started...

Once again the world is on the brink of a widespread conflict that only depends on the level of stupidity of the decision makers in the West.

In case you missed it, recently the terrorist organization Israel has been boasting about its plans to invade Lebanon, while Biden is sending signals about participating in that invasion. The Zionist-American, Amos Hochstein who is also a former Israeli terrorist was sent to Lebanon to relay that message.
So lets see how that war is going to be like and why it is stupidity to even start it...

It all started when the Zionist regime decided to intensify the genocide in Palestine, specifically in Gaza, back in October last year. The moment the Israeli terrorists entered Gaza, Hezbollah started attacking from the north. The more unarmed civilians the Zionists murdered the more Lebanese resistance escalated. To this day that has forced 300k occupiers to leave Northern Occupied Palestine and the only way that this situation is resolved is if Israel stops the genocide in Gaza.
But of course this terrorist organization is not planning on stopping that genocide. Hence their plan for invasion of Lebanon, trying to solve it some other way...

Lebanon is not Gaza which is an open air prison surrounded on all sides (The NATO-Zionist coalition is already defeated in Gaza, despite the number of civilians they have murdered they haven't achieved anything). Lebanon has many direct logistical lines of support. Armed Forces of Lebanon the Hezbollah branch is massive. At least 250,000 elite forces have been armed, trained and ready to defend the Lebanese security and sovereignty. In comparison Israel only has 170,000 armed terrorists and according to most recent stats 70,000 of these terrorists have been crippled so far while committing genocide in Gaza, more of them have been eliminated and many have fled going back to their homes in Europe, US, Russia and elsewhere.

If war breaks out, Israel as a terrorist organization would do the same thing they've been doing in Gaza, use US made bombers to kill unarmed civilians and by murdering children they'll try to create a chaos inside Lebanon to turn civilians against their own military. However, attacking civilians would only achieve one thing: it will turn every single target inside occupied Palestine into a legitimate target.
Lebanon may not have the sophisticated layered air-defense to counter the US made bombers but they pack a heavy counter attack punch. They currently own an estimated number above a million missiles and other projectiles capable of launching 3000 every week. That means wiping out one city per day in retaliation.
That's just Lebanon. There is at least 2,000,000 forces armed and trained in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, etc. over the past 9 months ready for that "final war" against this cancerous cell in West Asia. That's not even counting Iran that would match all these forces and more, as we saw 1% of that strength during the Operation True Promise back in April that demolished multiple Israeli bases from 1500+ kilometers away in a matter of 10 minutes.

This is exactly why this terrorist organization is trying to pull US military in and Biden is apparently making that stupid mistake by agreeing to it.
The problem here is that the Resistance in Lebanon has more than enough capability to counter the US threat as well. That means US Navy that will start being targeted with countless ASBMs and ASMs every day sinking one after the other.

The third legitimate target will be the EU member Cyprus. An island about 200 km away from Lebanon that has been used by Israeli terrorists as a base of operation (eg. simulating invasion of Lebanon in 2017 inside Cyprus, Chariots of Fire op. back in 2022, Blue Sun op. back in 2023, and transferring assets to Cyprus during Operation True Promise in 2024).
Even though Cyprus is not a NATO member but some of those bases belong to NATO specifically housing UK and US forces. So you see how that situation would escalate rapidly. Before we know it, NATO could be pulled in and missiles could be landing in Pairs, London, etc. as a response to that aggression; all because the Zionist terrorists didn't want to stop the genocide in Gaza!!!

Last but not least the other big consequence of this possible invasion and escalation would be seen elsewhere as NATO capabilities will be pulled into and destroyed in Mediterranean sea, Red Sea, Arabian Sea, Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Arabia, ... and as NATO invades West Asia, China would start invasion of Taiwan and Russia would invade the rest of Ukraine and they may not even stop there as NATO would continue getting weaker elsewhere.


This is not a war anybody wants. It's costly and it would lead to destruction of multiple countries on both sides that includes USA as US mainland would be targeted if we get there on the escalation ladder. I don't even think Biden wants that war, it's just that as I've said before United States is infested by the Zionists who are controlling the decision makers behind the scene, pulling their strings for their own benefit not for the benefit of America and the American people.

The only silver lining I see that decreases the chances of this war breaking out is the strong signals that are being sent to Washington trying to beat it into their heads about what's in store if they make that mistake.
Two most important and most recent ones in my opinion are:
(1) Attacks in the Red Sea
The war against the Coalition of Terror has entered a new phase. Multiple ships have been sunk recently and the US Navy is being targeted directly as well, like the aircraft carrier USS Eisenhower that was damaged this week enough to not escalate more than needed but at the same time enough to incapacitate it forcing it to distance itself by 700 kilometers going to the Saudi port for repairs.

(2) The Hodhod footage
One of the requirements of what I explained above is reconnaissance. The recent 4k footage shot using the Iranian made tactical UAV called Hodhod (means hoopoe in Farsi, it's a bird) showed the upper hand in reconnaissance operations using drones that can not even be detected by NATO forces despite flying for more than 9 hours above countless strategic military bases deep inside Occupied Palestine. The "upper hand" becomes more palpable when considering each time Israel has used its $20 million tactical UAV Hermes 900 or its predecessor Hermes 450, they have been easily shot down by Lebanese resistance (footage of shooting at least 5 of them exists).
You can see part of that footage here https://www.aparat.com/v/bln6o77 showing the Zionist Sa'ar 4.5-class missile boat and Sa'ar 5 corvettes in the military port in occupied Haifa. Targets that would sink on the first day.

Was that enough to discourage stupidity? Was the message received?
I can only hope so...

[Yucky]

War is easy to start and most times, it's while the war has escalated into something big that regrets become the fate of both the parties involved and those who are suffering from it either directly or indirectly. If the Israeli soldiers were left on their own to face Gaza without the support of weapons and armed forces from the US and other big bodies that lay underground and kept putting fire for the bombardment of Gaza to continue, we wouldn't have gone to this critical stage where it almost appears as though we are sitting on a time bomb that's set to explode should there be any form of miscalculated attack of any sort.

You did a fine review on how mixed things have become and the high possibility of a wide escalation playing out that will affect far and wide including all parties that are letting their ego direct them on what to do even when innocent people continue being killed every day. It's gone past the stage where anyone will assume that Israel is just carrying out a retaliation, humanity is at a high risk of going extinct should these leaders make some stupid decisions that will cause a serious escalation and bombardment of regions that are at peace now.

Humanity should always prevail above ego or whatever political sovereignty anyone will want to Express. Biden and all those who can put an end to this madness should know better.

[Hispo]

If The state of Israel continues to seek for escalation of the conflict to the point their start to attack Lebanon, that is because they have or believe to have full and unconditional support from the United States. I doubt Netanyahu would dare to further endanger the troops of the country and the citizens serving in their forced military draw.
There is the possibility Netanyahu believes they have enough of what it would take from him to take down both Hamas and The militia of Hezbollah, which I doubt.
They are barely advancing in their military objective, in the end, Those Islamic group operate in such way it is very hard to eradicate completely, frontal attacks won't work as well as they were standard military forces.
I am starting to believe indeed Biden does not have what it takes to keep their "ally" under control and avoiding a widespread turmoil in the middle east. One must wonder whether Chine would actually take advantage of such turmoil and try to take over Taiwan, though...

[pooya87]

The War Within War and Some Silver Linings

Wars are costly, specially these days and the US regime knows this better than others. That is why they have the Nixon Doctrine which has basically been turned into using proxies to fight others. One of their favorite proxies to use, specially in West Asia is Takfiri groups. Two of them you already know of are ISIS and Al-Qaeda.
Over the past years the US regime has been actively using these groups in the world for destabilization, etc. This is exactly why these same terrorists are now found in occupied Palestine fighting for Israel against the resistance in Gaza including Hamas.

Now; the intelligence suggests that the Zio-US coalition was planning on using these terrorist groups as a serious distraction while they conduct their attacks from the air. There has been a lot of movements in Syria (the border with Lebanon) and elsewhere over the past weeks as well. The tens of thousands of terrorists that are armed and trained in covert bases like Al-Tanf cover the shortage of troops the coalition suffers from as I pointed to in the OP.

The "silver lining" is that this plan was known and over the past days the attacks on terrorist positions are increasing. That is like the preemtive strike choking the proxy before it can become a threat.
The illegal US base Al-Tanf that is under occupation has also been under attack. This is the same base that US regime has been using to train these terrorists and if the name sounds familiar that's because months ago Biden suddenly decided to respond to one out of hundreds of attacks on dozens of US bases. That one attack was on this covert base that eliminated the 3 US officers who have been training ISIS terrorists and others.

The other silver lining is that it seems like the damage that USS Eisenhower sustained was sever enough that forced US Navy to send it back home and be forced to pull one carrier out from the 7th fleet in the Pacific and bring it to West Asia (USS Theodore Roosevelt).

That last one is the biggest message that could be sent to Washington that was delivered beautifully by the Armed Forces of Yemen in the Red Sea.
The good news is that it seems like Biden has received that message too since highest US military official, the Chairman of Joint Chief of Staff Gen Charles Q. Brown Jr. announced today that US is unable to assist the Zionists against the Lebanon military forces called Hezbollah.

But nothing is for sure yet, we still have to wait and see what will happen but I'd say the chances came down with the recent events. We'll know more in a day or two as the carriers reach their destination...

[pooya87]

Yafa sent the second message; Yafa will hit Yafa!

As you may already know the head of the terrorist organization Netanyahu is planning to travel to USA to addresses the US Congress soon (possibly on July 24) the day which should be named The Day of Shame for Americans, a day when head of a a terrorist organization who is also a war criminal wanted for genocide and multiple counts of crimes against humanity addresses their Congress. It would be as if Bin Ladan had gone to somewhere like Russia and addressed the Russian State Duma asking for more weapons to slaughter more civilians.

As I explained before, the Zionist organization is falling apart as it is facing the open air prison called Gaza, they can not face Lebanon on top of that even though they want to.

This is exactly why a second message was sent this Friday, but this time using Yafa instead of Hodhod. A long range stealth loitering munition that hit a building in occupied Yafa (the Zionist occupiers call it Tel-Aviv) neutralizing a dozen Israeli troops.

https://www.aparat.com/v/uwf7agt

This message was not just to the occupiers shouting their inability to hide from the coming punishment. But also this was a message sent to Biden who is planning on receiving this terrorist in US soil. The significance of this selected building was that it is a stone's throw from the illegal US consulate in occupied Yafa...

Good news is that the last message seems to have been received very well since the carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt that was supposed to reach Mediterranean fleet a month ago to replace the incapacitated USS Dwight D. Eisenhower after it was attacked 3 times hasn't even gotten close to the Gulf of Aden to start its travel up north towards Suez Canal and then the Mediterranean. USN seems to have finally learned that it can't continue aiding genocide without paying a high cost.

[pooya87]

Something big is cooking



The stupidity we were afraid of happened but in a different form. 4 terrorist attacks (3 in one day).
1. The airstrike in Al-Hudaydah civilian facilities by Israeli terrorists
2. The terrorist attack in Beirut, Lebanon by Israeli terrorists
3. The terrorist attack in Tehran, Iran by Israeli terrorists
4. The terrorist attack in Iraq by US airforce

Something big is being prepared for the NATO-Zionist Axis in the coming days as a response to the terrorist attacks this Axis pulled off... Historically speaking it has been proven that this escalation ladder is not something the Axis can afford to climb, and yet they insisted on climbing it and now what's cooking is ten steps higher on that ladder...

[alani123]

The U.S. has spent so long destabilizing the middle east that their investment has kind of paid off.
There's no real resistance to Israel now.

Down south Egypt has a dictactorious government that will not budge even if all the people uprise. They'll let everyone live in squalor just to spend all the country's GDP building their luxury military HQ. If anyone tries to say something, they're dead. And they wouldn't be afraid to kill thousands of their own. They've already done it several times. The U.S. and NATO approve of this government.

It's a similar story around north Africa. Libya was the only exception and we saw what NATO did there. Now the EU funds the militias that keep the people down by means of suppression.

In Jordan also, the military and police are seen suppressing protests about the rights of Palestinians. And this behavior is even observed in the West Bank from the PLO police! As of Syria... Only god knows what these people have been through, but probably the Assad government is not in a position to be bold against Israel after all these years of pillaging from western funded militias.

Lebanon is a whole other story, their government is wholly corrupt and will never be bold in supporting popular demands of the people.

What does that leave us with? Every neighboring country of Israel has a government bought for by the powers that be in the west. There's Hezbollah, there's Hamas and there still Iran and the Houthies, but with western interference preventing broader cooperation in the region, there will never be peace in Palestine. Certain countries like Saudi Arabia have even started helping israel by providing alternative logistics routes other than the red sea after the houthis started targeting Israel bound ships.

I understand that governments of certain countries have supposedly shown compassion towards the Palestinian people... But in Israel we have a government literally commuting Genocide. No amount of aid or compassion is going to help that. Nothing short of a regime change in Israel is going to help anyone. So where are the value of the west and its supported powers in the region when there's an actual genocide being committed?

[pooya87]

2. The terrorist attack in Beirut, Lebanon by Israeli terrorists

It began.
Today the Armed Forces of Lebanon is executing article 51 of UN Charter against the Israeli terrorists.

In respond to the terrorist attack carried out by Israel on an apartment building in Beirut that killed 7 civilians including 3 women and 2 children, this morning Hezbollah started the retaliation against the Israeli terrorists.

The first stage is said to be executed successfully using various rockets, missiles and drones. That includes at least 320 Katyusha rockets. The announcement said that the objective was to soften defenses to pave the way for the strikes on much deeper targets (unnamed targets).
The strike was on the following Israeli terrorist bases in occupied Palestine:
1. Meron Base
2. Neve Ziv base (missile launch platforms)
3. Ga’aton/Zaitoun Base
4. Al-Zaoura artillery positions
5. Al-Sahl Base
6. Kela Barracks in the occupied Syrian Golan
7. Yoav Barracks in the occupied Syrian Golan
8. Nafah Base in the occupied Syrian Golan
9. Yarden Base in the occupied Syrian Golan
10. Ein Zeitim Base
11. Ramot Naftali Barracks

Additionally 2 spy cells inside Tel Aviv occupied Yafa were apparently demolished as well. The bases belonged to Shin Bet and Mossad.

The number of neutralized Israeli terrorists must be unprecedentedly high since the head of the terrorist organization Netanyahu ordered a complete media blackout today.

[pooya87]

A single missile with a new message revealing uselessness of missile defense

Last year in a speech that was viewed by 4 billion people simultaneously, the commander of the resistance in Lebanon said "don't pay attention to the media, keep your eyes on [what's happening on] the ground". This is very important specially when dealing with the biggest propaganda machine in human history.

This is why "messages" are being sent like this!
Yesterday morning on 6:30 AM the Armed Forces of Yemen launched a single ballistic missile at a military target in occupied Tel-Aviv Yafa. 11 minutes and 30 seconds later, that target 2040 kilometers away was hit successfully with pinpoint precision leaving it devastated. That is a 20,000 km per hour speed!

This was a message, a response to all the chest pounding over the past week regarding Zionist intentions to invade Lebanon.
You see, over the past decades the NATO has been building a "missile shield" across West Asia to protect the Israeli terrorists. That shield spreads in two dozen countries with dictatorships that are backed by the US and other countries that are occupied by the US and of course by the NATO presence in the region itself.

Yesterday, Ansarollah proved trillions of dollars of American taxpayers money was wasted because all those systems are 100% useless against superior technology owned by the Resistance and it can not protect the Israeli terrorists. Let me count every NATO asset that failed in less than 12 minutes as much as I can:

1. US spy drones flying in the region, sometimes entering Yemeni territory and get shot down (14th US MQ-9 aircraft was shot down today over Dhamar province of Yemen). They Failed to detect the launch.
2. The US navy close to the Red Sea. Specifically the Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyers USS Michael Murphy (DDG 112) and USS Frank E. Petersen Jr. (DDG-121) Failed to intercept the missile. These ships are equipped with the super expensive Aegis BMD system and the RIM-161 and RIM-174 or $4-$6 million missiles they launch and they claim can intercept BMs outside atmosphere proved to be completely useless
3. French carrier strike group (lol) or more specifically the Horizon-class frigates FS Chevalier Paul (D 621) with its silly Aster30 ABM Failed to intercept the missile.
4. Other NATO navies are also present in the region and they all Failed similarly.
5. The billion dollar American made THAAD systems installed in Saudi usurped Arabia and Emirates Failed to intercept the missile
6. The American made Patriot ABM systems installed in Jordan and Egypt (PAC-3) Failed to intercept the missile.
7. The US military's Aegis BMD system present in the region with its RIM-161 and RIM-174  Failed to intercept the missile.
8. The US made Patriot ABM system installed in the occupied Palestine (PAC-2E2) Failed to intercept the missile.
9. The US made AN/TPY-2 (part of the United States national missile defense development) installed in occupied Palestine to complement their two-tier Arrow 2 missile and Patriot PAC-3 missile defense Failed to detect the missile.
10. The Zionist's Khets (meaning Arrow) ABM system 2 and 3 Failed to intercept the missile despite desperately launching over 20 missiles at it!
11. US Airforce that is flying in the region (from their silly Cessna aircrafts to F-22 Raptors) providing air-defense for the Israeli terrorists Failed to detect or intercept the missile.
12. The other NATO Airforces in the region such as the French Airforce in the semi-secret base in Jordan Failed to detect or intercept the missile.
13. All the Western satellites, BMEWS, radars, monitoring stations, spies, and all other crap they have in the region Failed to detect the missile
14. These radars, etc. go from Djibouti and Gulf of Aden all the way to Turkey, Cyprus and Greece. They all Failed.

Based on the footage released by the Defense Ministry of Yemen, the missile appears to be Hatem hypersonic ballistic missile which is the Yemeni version of the Iranian Khaybar-Shekan. Remember when they claimed they've intercepted 99% of these things that was a pretty funny lie...

In any case, let me raise the same question once more. Was that enough to discourage stupidity? Was the message received? Or are we going to witness NATO countries bombed back to the stone age because NATO insists on supporting a terrorist organization to continue committing genocide? After all with that speed and precision, it takes only 30 minutes to reach US mainland and there is only a tiny fraction of this amount of radars and AMB systems concentration in that path...

[pooya87]

4 months later and the escalation continues. As I speculated in OP such an attack on Lebanon began with terrorist attacks targeting civilians.

If war breaks out, Israel as a terrorist organization would do the same thing they've been doing in Gaza, use US made bombers to kill unarmed civilians and by murdering children they'll try to create a chaos inside Lebanon to turn civilians against their own military. However, attacking civilians would only achieve one thing: it will turn every single target inside occupied Palestine into a legitimate target.

First terrorist attack was the electronics that blew up in Lebanon targeting civilians with the help of the US regime [1] 2 weeks ago. It was followed up by airstrikes on residential areas inside Lebanon which is still ongoing.

The only result was also as I speculated in OP, it turned every Israeli and American assets into legitimate military targets that went under heavy bombardments:
1. The Lebanese Resistance Hezbollah, increased its depth of attacks starting from northern borders of occupied Palestine and worked its way down to the center to occupied Tel-Aviv Yafa and occupied Haifa. The plan seems to be the same as before, to liberate these occupied Palestinian regions by depopulating them.
2. Attacks are coming in from Yemen and Iraq as well targeting the military sites and ports.
3. US bases have been under increasing number of attacks as well. For example last night the US illegal base in Iraq known as Victory Base Complex was attacked with 3 missiles and the footage showing subsequent explosions shows a significant target was destroyed and the damage is high.
4. US navy is under heavy attacks as well. For example 3 days ago 3 US Navy destroyers were heavily attacked using over 20 projectiles in the Red Sea [2] sustaining significant damage.

The two lase cases are the reasons for my title as well. This escalation has the potential of quickly reaching Eastern shores of Mediterranean sea into Cyprus and Greece and possibly more of Europe, specially since reports indicate that after some of the Zionist airbases were destroyed over the past weeks, some aircrafts were transferred to Cyprus.

This brings us to last night which was interesting from a propaganda and military perspective in my opinion.
From the propaganda perspective, the number of fake news the Western and Arab mouthpieces were publishing were unprecedently high. Which clarifies their cooperation (specifically Saudi dictatorship) with the Israeli terrorists in all aspects of this ongoing genocide which includes the propaganda (cold war,...).
According to these mouthpieces the Lebanese army had fled and Israel had invaded Lebanon and had taken territories!!! None of which were true which brings us to the military aspect of it...

From a military perspective the Israeli terrorists are trying to pave their way in. They think with large number of airstrikes and heavy shelling of southern Lebanon they can damage the Resistance capabilities to decrease their own future casualties when they actually invade.
I'd speculate that this plan has been a complete failure for the following reasons:
1. Hezbollah hasn't reported any casualties whatsoever and they always report their "martyrs" if there were any after each strike against them.
2. The plan I explained above hasn't changed at all. Rocket barrage and missile attacks and drone strikes against Israeli targets anywhere are still taking place at the same intensity as before, if not more.
3. Hezbollah has the upper had in reconnaissance as I explained before in this topic:
3.1. The plan to use chemical weapons (gas) to kill the defenders in Lebanon and make it easy for the Israeli terrorists to enter Lebanese soil failed miserably #centcomfail
3.2. The secret "hiding places" in the closed military zones with troops hiding inside waiting for the invasion (eg. the one in Misgav Am) were targeted and destroyed leaving the Zionist terrorists with heavy casualties, crippling their "secret" plans.
3.3. The Zionist ground forces and armor brigades are sitting docks waiting for the invasion to begin. They are under constant attacks now having their tanks and troops eliminated as they wait.

It is not possible for me to predict whether this stupid ground invasion is going to take place or not, specially due to the way the Israeli terrorist ground forces were crippled in the past 24 hours. But one thing seems to be certain. The Israeli terrorists are increasing their attacks on civilians the more they lose against the Armed Forces of Lebanon, specifically the Resistance.