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Author Topic: Does mathematical calculations really work in lotto or is it just guess work?  (Read 697 times)
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June 23, 2024, 12:40:55 PM
 #81

Gambling generally is centred on luck and that mean all we do is mere predictions. However it's only in sport betting that we use some of our experience to make quality predictions which might seem as though we are not guessing, and to be honest that what brings the fun from sport betting. But considering Lotto being a game of number prediction, it's obvious it's just guesses and nothing logical there. All those who think they've come to understanding the algorithm by studying and playing for long, they are only deceiving themselves.

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June 23, 2024, 01:09:20 PM
 #82

There is always a formula for it and if you knows it very well it will be more easier for you to handle it, I don't know where I can have this news backs again, because as then there was a news that came up that win heavily on lotto after having discuss the trick and secret behind the game.
Are you sure? Because if that is real, then we can think that many gamblers will buy lottery tickets rather than gamble in card games and sports betting.
I know some are doing this and in fact, some of my neighbors did this for many years but it is sad to say that they never win the jackpot prize. This claim never works in reality aside from having an inside job and manipulation.

There are some rumors spread in our country that some people pay millions to the operator to win the jackpot prize worth millions as well. This is a big secret behind all these winning numbers, not the said mathematical calculations that you hear.
The formula in the past may be more reliable when the rule framework as well as the lottery numbers are not complete, more accurate, the thinking ability in the past era was relatively low and so the formula is not easily discovered. As the times develop, the applicable formulas have become unknown, besides the organizers' calculations have constantly changed with the times, mathematical parameters are no longer valid because the organizer no longer maintains any rules, it is completely irregular and in this era we can only guess more, instead of calculating.

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June 23, 2024, 02:48:33 PM
 #83

There is always a formula for it and if you knows it very well it will be more easier for you to handle it, I don't know where I can have this news backs again, because as then there was a news that came up that win heavily on lotto after having discuss the trick and secret behind the game.
Are you sure? Because if that is real, then we can think that many gamblers will buy lottery tickets rather than gamble in card games and sports betting.
I know some are doing this and in fact, some of my neighbors did this for many years but it is sad to say that they never win the jackpot prize. This claim never works in reality aside from having an inside job and manipulation.

There are some rumors spread in our country that some people pay millions to the operator to win the jackpot prize worth millions as well. This is a big secret behind all these winning numbers, not the said mathematical calculations that you hear.
Who knows there is every possibility because gamblers are too desperate and I know what a desperate gambler can do to have themselves into as winners. Maybe I could be wrong or write but you know as news do fly around so, it could be a cooked story who knows provided that they have written something to convinced the media or it could be that such content creator did that to attract audience and make their article reach wider audience.

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June 23, 2024, 03:48:26 PM
Last edit: June 23, 2024, 06:00:12 PM by Saint-loup
 #84

Yes I would yes, in my country mathematical calculations work very nicely to show players should get away from our national lottery game and from the transnational one (Euro millions) available here, because RTPs of those games are just awful, respectively 53% and 50%. It means you're likely to lose half the money you bet in the long run, even if you get big winnings. Besides that, draws are always independent from the previous ones. If a number hasn't been drawn since long time or if it has been drawn several times recently it doesn't mean it has less chances or more chances to get drawn at the next round. It's just balls without any memory.

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June 23, 2024, 04:54:17 PM
 #85

In the case of gambling, no matter how much you calculate, it is ultimately your prediction and it is not a possible sure thing that will definitely happen. But these predictions increase your chances of winning a lot. But ultimately gambling always depends on luck. Therefore, I think that even if you can make a good calculation and prediction, there will still be a risk of loss.
No matter how much is counted in gambling, luck is required to win at gambling. Sometimes even after having good experience, gambling loses. I have seen that gambling is more likely to lose when time is wasted on gambling.  There are more. So I think we should be careful while gambling so that we can gamble with a good experience of gambling. Everyone is happy when they win in gambling and when they lose in gambling it hurts a lot.

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June 23, 2024, 04:59:48 PM
 #86

Who knows there is every possibility because gamblers are too desperate and I know what a desperate gambler can do to have themselves into as winners. Maybe I could be wrong or write but you know as news do fly around so, it could be a cooked story who knows provided that they have written something to convinced the media or it could be that such content creator did that to attract audience and make their article reach wider audience.

It’s mathematically impossible to calculate the exact winning combination since you will only winning numbers history as basis for your calculation while those records is useless due to the mechanism of how lottery draw works.

Developing a mathematical trick is useless or else math expert should dedicated their life for this formula just to have a great fortune. If you are watching the lottery draw, they are using balls and air suction to choose random ball which there’s no pattern on the draw.

Most of the news and articles that suggest this formula is obviously a click bait hoax.


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June 23, 2024, 06:16:12 PM
 #87

In my country I believe that there are more lotto shops and kiosks than sports bet shops, most Nigerians will be familiar with the popular Baba Ijebu lotto. If you come closer to any of these lotto shops and kiosks, you will notice gamblers of all ages, young and old busy calculating and coming up with probable combinations of numbers that can win. I notice that experienced forecasters and even scammers sells "sure numbers" and other gamblers will pay money to buy these numbers. Some times they win or one number or arrangements can spoil their tickets

Do you think that people can calculate and predict the numbers that machines draw or they're just guessing and picking random number combinations?

There is no way that anyone could possibly predict the combos. They are generated by complex algorithms and if they do guess the combo they hacked in to get the combo and they cheated lol there is no other way, otherwise everyone would win lol

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June 23, 2024, 06:28:38 PM
 #88

In my country I believe that there are more lotto shops and kiosks than sports bet shops, most Nigerians will be familiar with the popular Baba Ijebu lotto. If you come closer to any of these lotto shops and kiosks, you will notice gamblers of all ages, young and old busy calculating and coming up with probable combinations of numbers that can win. I notice that experienced forecasters and even scammers sells "sure numbers" and other gamblers will pay money to buy these numbers. Some times they win or one number or arrangements can spoil their tickets

Do you think that people can calculate and predict the numbers that machines draw or they're just guessing and picking random number combinations?

Anytime I'm going to work in the morning, I see a lot of people sitting on the bench waiting for the next game to play in those kiosk and I just pity the system of governance in Nigeria. I don't blame them though, the government isn't doing their part to secure jobs and basic things for people that's why you see this number increases, if you want to see the wonders maybe you should check those kiosk by weekends, that's when you will see the madness in gambling that loves lotto.

Regarding the mathematical calculation, I don't think there is any special equation that works for getting the real numbers. From look, the lotto looks easy and that's why you see many of them there but it's very difficult to predict and win, it's just guess and win and because you can stake a peanut amount to win big amounts, it attracts a lot of people to play and they don't feel like they loss because the amount they stake is very small but the lotto house is winning after accumulatimg thousands of those small numbers to pay small amount to few lucky winners.

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June 23, 2024, 06:29:44 PM
 #89

I just heard that people can calculating the probability of the combinations of numbers that can wins but not many people can calculates with right and gives that wins to them. Many people just wrong in the calculation and makes them losses their money.

It needs experience to have that skills so they can predict the right numbers that can gives them wins. But some people can guessing with right and only pick random number combinations and that's because their luck comes in the right time. We can see that some people can hit the jackpot while they don't knows about calculating the combination of the numbers. But they are lucky enough to wins the jackpot and bring the money to home.
Infact the major reason why I started this thread is because I spoke with a friend that claims that he knows how to calculate the string keys of how Baba Ijebu lotto machines combines numbers, and he can predict when a perticular combination of numbers will drop. I'll see him busy calculating and making comparison with sets of numbers that have won in the past, although I don't know how often that his predictions works. I've collected numbers once from him but I lost the game, and he called me after some days that the combination of numbers that he gave to me have won. Maybe there are few geniuses that can give near accurate guesses about lotto numbers, but I know that most of them are scammers.
First thing to believe is that gaming and gambling machines have algorithms that are truly unpredictable, even casino operators cannot solve the algorithms for the gambling they offer, I think the chances will remain small.
Unless it is game of skill such as various card games then I sure mathematical calculations will really help gamblers to win, but if it is in lottery machine then the chance of winning is probably only around 25% to 50% and will not be more.
I also know that there are many gamblers who always rely on certain calculations to be able to win the lottery, but basically everything they bet on only results in much more losses, winnings are still rare to get.
There is no guarantee that mathematical calculations will be able to provide definite win and this is only form of strategic effort for gamblers to produce predicted numbers in their bets to be more confident in the numbers they are betting on.

Logically the lottery is lucky bet and those who manage to win big and get the jackpot are the people who have that luck, the luck of once in lifetime.
Gambling machines are built on randomness. It is math, guys. The next number on a slot machine or winning lottery ticket cannot be predicted. Nobody can. There's skill involved in card games. You may improve, pick up card counting, read tells, etc. Still, lotto? That game is entirely luck.

So, you got these men trying to beat the odds with their fancy math strategies. I doubt it will work. You may, of course, guess with knowledge, but you will probably be off more frequently. And that is the big lesson here. You must understand what you are able to influence and what not. You can control how much you bet, when you walk away, but you can't control the outcome.

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June 23, 2024, 07:49:32 PM
 #90

Car accident being more common than lottery win doesn't really feel that shocking, we see one car accident per day and even average more than that for non-lethal ones, but fatal ones are over one per day in my nation alone, imagine how common that is.

This isn't to say some of these aren't shocking, like dying at plane crash being more common than winning lottery does feel like it's funny lol, but also you need to remember that the "odds" of that lottery is ticket based, not person based. Meaning it is 292 million to one for a ticket, if you buy two tickets then suddenly it is half that, if you buy four then it's quarter that. So that means if you buy 100 tickets, suddenly you beat out most of these easily and be more common, not that it would be easy to win, you still do not win, but the chances would be higher than dying at a plane crash at least.

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June 23, 2024, 10:51:12 PM
 #91

In my country I believe that there are more lotto shops and kiosks than sports bet shops, most Nigerians will be familiar with the popular Baba Ijebu lotto. If you come closer to any of these lotto shops and kiosks, you will notice gamblers of all ages, young and old busy calculating and coming up with probable combinations of numbers that can win. I notice that experienced forecasters and even scammers sells "sure numbers" and other gamblers will pay money to buy these numbers. Some times they win or one number or arrangements can spoil their tickets

Do you think that people can calculate and predict the numbers that machines draw or they're just guessing and picking random number combinations?
Like everything, the notion of some gambles being mathematical or at least something that can be put into equation is nuanced, cause we have lotto games that are literally deterministic at its core and are therefore easily calculated, like the windfall lottery tickets in that one movie where an old couple got rich gaming the lotto, and then there are unfathomably random lotto games that you're better off just guessing the numbers instead of putting too much thought into it, since it doesn't really going to change things at the end of the day and you'll only end up with an exhausted brain and a losing ticket.

In any case, this is the very reason why I don't like betting on lotto games, the fact alone that you literally have no hold whether you win or lose, despite all efforts on your end just takes away the fun factor of gambling from me.

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June 23, 2024, 11:39:11 PM
 #92

Forget Lotto, forget gambling, maths applies to everything you can think of.   Is it better then guess work, sure it is but do you want to put in the effort to work out really?   Not often will people put in the homework to calculate the odds properly, it could be a long draw out problem but some people like problems and crosswords.

I know someone doing a phd in mathematics of bubbles, the soapy ones you use to wash your dishes with.  Yes calculations can be drawn up for almost anything and in most sectors of industry maths is used most often statistics and probability for insurance purposes etc.

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June 24, 2024, 04:09:20 AM
 #93

~
Do you think that people can calculate and predict the numbers that machines draw or they're just guessing and picking random number combinations?
Calculations in lotto are pretty much useless. I'm not betting on lotto here in our country, but I know that there are some bettors who are picking 6 numbers (since 6 is the number of numbers we can bet most of the time), and they will just bet on those 6 numbers for years, and years.

Just for context, the chances of somebody to win on a lotto is 0.00000387% (assuming that there are 54 numbers, and you need 6 numbers to win). Even lower than my chances of getting struck by lightning which is 0.0000818%. This is the reason why I don't bet in lotto. The chances are low and even though the price money is huge, and it can change someone's life, the amount of money you need to win that price is huge as well.

In short, forget the calculations and sh*t. Whether it's lotto, or whatever is, it's all about luck and nothing more.

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June 24, 2024, 05:23:53 AM
 #94

Gambling generally is centred on luck and that mean all we do is mere predictions. However it's only in sport betting that we use some of our experience to make quality predictions which might seem as though we are not guessing, and to be honest that what brings the fun from sport betting. But considering Lotto being a game of number prediction, it's obvious it's just guesses and nothing logical there. All those who think they've come to understanding the algorithm by studying and playing for long, they are only deceiving themselves.
Well, even though there are stories of people who managed to win lotteries with mathematical calculations in the past, I don't believe it was all based on calculations, they used to collect a lot of money from a lot of people and use that money to buy tickets and then win the lottery multiple times in a row, but can't that be a coincidence and mere luck? Someone can win back-to-back lotteries if they are buying a bunch of tickets and if they are lucky enough.

Someone who doesn't have enough money to buy a lot of tickets or have any luck would barely be able to win a lottery because the odds are generally very low for someone to win a lottery because there are a lot of tickets sold to millions of people and among them, only a few would get lucky.

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June 24, 2024, 07:00:25 AM
 #95

I suspect that many of these lotto games are fixed. I remember back in the 90s they'd run a lottery in my country and after 10 or 15 years of running it someone made a map where every big win was scored and somehow most big winners lived in or around the capital. So, out of maybe 20 big wins, 15 were less than 50 km from the capital. That did not look like a coincidence, since maybe 10% of the country lived in that area, but it had over 70% win rate. Nobody managed to prove anything though Wink
There's no way to mathematically predict the numbers, forget about that.
Too many tales about lotto not being based on luck alone, I've even heard from some people that sells these so called "sure numbers" to ignorant gamblers, telling them that the lotto machines can be manipulated. That they get the numbers from the company's officials at a price and they're resellers. I know that most of these number sellers are scammers but the question is if some of the machines can actually be compromised? That's something that I can not answer because some of their numbers wins, and I wonder if it's coincidence and luck alone or whether there's really more to it.

R


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June 24, 2024, 07:03:49 AM
 #96

In my country I believe that there are more lotto shops and kiosks than sports bet shops, most Nigerians will be familiar with the popular Baba Ijebu lotto. If you come closer to any of these lotto shops and kiosks, you will notice gamblers of all ages, young and old busy calculating and coming up with probable combinations of numbers that can win. I notice that experienced forecasters and even scammers sells "sure numbers" and other gamblers will pay money to buy these numbers. Some times they win or one number or arrangements can spoil their tickets

Do you think that people can calculate and predict the numbers that machines draw or they're just guessing and picking random number combinations?

in my country there are several games like the lottery and similar games, I and other people interested in this game have experimented and done a lot of calculations but the result is that in the end the house always wins considering that they have studied well how winning is not possible mathematically make a prediction in some games, they have made them so complicated that it is impossible to make a prediction or calculate the probability of winning on many numbers in our country there are games with 6 numbers to play out of 100 it is easier to be struck by lightning than to win haha

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June 24, 2024, 10:37:01 AM
Last edit: June 24, 2024, 10:52:15 AM by C10H15N
 #97

Car accident being more common than lottery win doesn't really feel that shocking, we see one car accident per day and even average more than that for non-lethal ones, but fatal ones are over one per day in my nation alone, imagine how common that is.

This isn't to say some of these aren't shocking, like dying at plane crash being more common than winning lottery does feel like it's funny lol, but also you need to remember that the "odds" of that lottery is ticket based, not person based. Meaning it is 292 million to one for a ticket, if you buy two tickets then suddenly it is half that, if you buy four then it's quarter that. So that means if you buy 100 tickets, suddenly you beat out most of these easily and be more common, not that it would be easy to win, you still do not win, but the chances would be higher than dying at a plane crash at least.

You are correct.  You do increase the chances of winning by buying more tickets, but you also increase the amount of money you risk losing.  In order to have a 100% chance of winning a 292.2 million to 1 lottery (Powerball), you would have to buy 292.2 million tickets at $2 each.  Remember, sometimes multiple people pick the same winning numbers and the jackpot is shared.  Often, nobody picks the numbers and the jackpot grows.  

You could easily spend $584.4 million on lottery tickets just to have to share half your jackpot with a little old lady who bought a single $2 ticket. 😋

Then there are the deductions from your winnings.  Instant payout opposed to annuity - you get half.  Federal and state taxes, you lose another half.

So to break even on a Powerball win, you must buy every combination of tickets $584.4 million dollars and be the only jackpot winner of a $2B jackpot.   

 

Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked. -Warren Buffett
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June 24, 2024, 11:11:47 AM
 #98

There is always a formula for it and if you knows it very well it will be more easier for you to handle it, I don't know where I can have this news backs again, because as then there was a news that came up that win heavily on lotto after having discuss the trick and secret behind the game.
Are you sure? Because if that is real, then we can think that many gamblers will buy lottery tickets rather than gamble in card games and sports betting.
I know some are doing this and in fact, some of my neighbors did this for many years but it is sad to say that they never win the jackpot prize. This claim never works in reality aside from having an inside job and manipulation.

There are some rumors spread in our country that some people pay millions to the operator to win the jackpot prize worth millions as well. This is a big secret behind all these winning numbers, not the said mathematical calculations that you hear.
The formula in the past may be more reliable when the rule framework as well as the lottery numbers are not complete, more accurate, the thinking ability in the past era was relatively low and so the formula is not easily discovered. As the times develop, the applicable formulas have become unknown, besides the organizers' calculations have constantly changed with the times, mathematical parameters are no longer valid because the organizer no longer maintains any rules, it is completely irregular and in this era we can only guess more, instead of calculating.
That is why I thought and we believe there is still we rely on luck not on any mathematical calculations that we think. Besides, even asking old gamblers, they couldn't tell or have proof that it works. Having this, winning still remains just a coincidence not because they are correct in their formula. If there is someone who could prove that the lottery machine runs with mathematical calculations. In that case, that is the time I would say hearsay is right but because no one, then we could think that the results are certainly out of control from the operator unless they manipulate it.
And they should as this will affect their reputation and the legality of the results where gamblers expect a clean and fair lottery.


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June 24, 2024, 12:02:12 PM
 #99

The purely mechanical ball drop machines used to select winning lottery numbers are so chaotic in their operation that manipulating or calculating their output is highly improbable and therefore effectively random. 

The computerized pseudo random number generators used to select quick pick numbers when you buy lottery tickets are ultimately deterministic, but since they cannot influence the mechanical selection process, they don't have to be.

Lotteries don't have to cheat.  They will always make more than they pay out by design.   

Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked. -Warren Buffett
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June 24, 2024, 01:12:09 PM
 #100

Gambling generally is centred on luck and that mean all we do is mere predictions. However it's only in sport betting that we use some of our experience to make quality predictions which might seem as though we are not guessing, and to be honest that what brings the fun from sport betting. But considering Lotto being a game of number prediction, it's obvious it's just guesses and nothing logical there. All those who think they've come to understanding the algorithm by studying and playing for long, they are only deceiving themselves.
Well, even though there are stories of people who managed to win lotteries with mathematical calculations in the past, I don't believe it was all based on calculations, they used to collect a lot of money from a lot of people and use that money to buy tickets and then win the lottery multiple times in a row, but can't that be a coincidence and mere luck? Someone can win back-to-back lotteries if they are buying a bunch of tickets and if they are lucky enough.

Someone who doesn't have enough money to buy a lot of tickets or have any luck would barely be able to win a lottery because the odds are generally very low for someone to win a lottery because there are a lot of tickets sold to millions of people and among them, only a few would get lucky.
These repeated winners are not merely lucky; they are also ambitious. They are clever. They developed a system and are playing the game more cleverly than more forcefully. Though, the lottery is a long shot; I would not lie to you. That is how it is intended. To win, though, you have to be wise about it. Do your homework, understand the odds, and maybe, just maybe, you'll hit the jackpot.

Not everyone can afford to engage in this game. Its a tough world out there, and some folks just dont have the cash to throw around. We gotta be mindful of that. Though it is a dream, the lottery may also be a trap. Thus, play wise, play safe, and who knows? Perhaps you will be the next great prize-winner.

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