Betting on political events

[$weetne$$]

That's true, USA politics is intense and it's even easier today that Joe Biden has already passed his torch to Kamala Harris. Stake's odd for Trump is a clear indication that we know who's about to win and this isn't just for the odds but for the entire world to see. With the Trump's attempt to be assasinated, whoever ployed that just gave him the edge to be liked more by the people. Not just by the Americans but the other countries as well that are following their election period. Less than four months to go until the election come and while others are suggesting that it's still possible for Michelle Obama to get in, IMO, the chance is there but she's not going to have a better chance of winning compared to Kamala and even Biden.

America election is the most anticipated election and you can make a lot of money betting on it, after Joe biden step down and handed over the mandate to Kamala Harris the odd for Donald Trump has increased because everybody knows he is going to be the next president. The donations the democrats are raising does not mean they are going to win the presidential election. They are just trying to make it look like they are still on the race when they have already lost. Americans are not ready to election a woman to be president and not a black woman too. America has only one black president and they would not want the next one to be a woman. Harry Clinton could not win against Donald trump when she was the front runner and she had more chances of becoming the president than Harris.

[KTChampions]

The option that the bet on Biden will be changed to a bet on Harris simply does not exist - this is contrary to all the rules and common sense.

The betting option on Biden is gone but Kamala Harris' name is visible with odds of 3.00 and Trump still has 1.44.

This means that with Biden's withdrawal appointing Kamala Harris with his statement of support, the bookmakers have changed the list of names but in terms of odds there seems to be no change that I know of.

The question was what would happen to the bets of those who made them on Biden. The fact that Harris' odds are the same as Biden's is beside the point.

Is anyone surprised that polls supposedly show Harris equal or even slightly ahead of Trump? Are the media brazenly wishful thinking or are they simply preparing the public for some kind of scam?

[passwordnow]

That's true, USA politics is intense and it's even easier today that Joe Biden has already passed his torch to Kamala Harris. Stake's odd for Trump is a clear indication that we know who's about to win and this isn't just for the odds but for the entire world to see. With the Trump's attempt to be assasinated, whoever ployed that just gave him the edge to be liked more by the people. Not just by the Americans but the other countries as well that are following their election period. Less than four months to go until the election come and while others are suggesting that it's still possible for Michelle Obama to get in, IMO, the chance is there but she's not going to have a better chance of winning compared to Kamala and even Biden.

America election is the most anticipated election and you can make a lot of money betting on it, after Joe biden step down and handed over the mandate to Kamala Harris the odd for Donald Trump has increased because everybody knows he is going to be the next president. The donations the democrats are raising does not mean they are going to win the presidential election. They are just trying to make it look like they are still on the race when they have already lost.

They have lost yet until the race is over. I'm saying that because it's not yet over but the obvious is that you're right that it's almost over and Trump is about to win the election.

Americans are not ready to election a woman to be president and not a black woman too. America has only one black president and they would not want the next one to be a woman. Harry Clinton could not win against Donald trump when she was the front runner and she had more chances of becoming the president than Harris.

I think whether the candidate is black, white, man or woman or whatever, it is about the platform that they're mentioning through the rallies that are gaining the votes. And that's the reason why Trump is likely getting all the votes and with the assasination attempt, he has garnered more trust from the people.

[Sunderland]

The question was what would happen to the bets of those who made them on Biden. The fact that Harris' odds are the same as Biden's is beside the point.

Is anyone surprised that polls supposedly show Harris equal or even slightly ahead of Trump? Are the media brazenly wishful thinking or are they simply preparing the public for some kind of scam?

From what I know, some platforms have void bets on Biden since the odds for Biden were removed from the betting markets.
Also, there has been a change in the odds since the Poll was announced, a few days ago I was still seeing Trump 1.46x and now it's 1.52x - I think the bookmakers still doubt the Poll results.

[o48o]

They have lost yet until the race is over. I'm saying that because it's not yet over but the obvious is that you're right that it's almost over and Trump is about to win the election.
-cut-
I think whether the candidate is black, white, man or woman or whatever, it is about the platform that they're mentioning through the rallies that are gaining the votes. And that's the reason why Trump is likely getting all the votes and with the assasination attempt, he has garnered more trust from the people.

I don't get why getting shot at would make people trust you more. And so far i haven't seen any polls that it would have affected to, people just seem to think it has.

Meanwhile Kamala Harris raised $81 million in the 24 hours right after biden announced withdrawing his candidacy. Majority of her donors are first-time donors, so there's that too. Not to mention that trump is that old confused man now in this race, so playing that card where they laughed biden being old could backfire now. So could their "tough on crime", when Kamala has actually done something about it, and been tough on crime. She has also experience dealing with criminals, so dealing with Trump isn't anything new to her.

[alegotardo]

   Here I propose to discuss all political events in all countries on which bets are placed, and not just political events in the United States.

We know that any bet on real events (policy, sports, etc.) always has some possibility of being manipulated.

In the same way that sports betting on small tournaments has a greater risk (paying a player to do something immoral), politics is no different.
If we take a smaller country and a less important political position, the chances of that person running as a candidate just to manipulate a result are very high.

I like it when we have several betting niches in different segments to choose from, but I believe that bookmakers need to carefully analyze each scenario to minimize the possibility of manipulation.

[Dave1]

   Here I propose to discuss all political events in all countries on which bets are placed, and not just political events in the United States.

We know that any bet on real events (policy, sports, etc.) always has some possibility of being manipulated.

In the same way that sports betting on small tournaments has a greater risk (paying a player to do something immoral), politics is no different.
If we take a smaller country and a less important political position, the chances of that person running as a candidate just to manipulate a result are very high.

I like it when we have several betting niches in different segments to choose from, but I believe that bookmakers need to carefully analyze each scenario to minimize the possibility of manipulation.

What do you mean manipulation? from sports bookies or the actual results of the elections? Most likely the latter though as we all know that there could be current elections in a country wherein there is a rampant in vote buying . And that's where the corruption starts because once they are seated already, they want to recoup all the money that they've used.

In any case, I doubt though that the result in the US elections can be manipulated. Currently, Trump is leading Kamala Harris but plenty of time from the VP to catch up with Trump leading a slim 2-3 points as of the latest poll.

[LUCKMCFLY]

This radical view is mostly associated with religion. That's why there will never be any bet on religious activities in my country. Some radicals in my area lynch people because of mere words that they interpret as blasphemy. And they fail to practice love, sympathy, and empathy. You don't have the power to create humans then why do you harm or destroy what you cannot make? There has been some political violence in my country but people don't show much respect for political ideologies. Politics in my country is controlled by money and not ideologies. Anyway concerning the US elections, the result has become unpredictable since Joe Biden dropped out of the presidential race.

The situation in the USA is really very complicated, first with the attack against Trump, I consider that under no circumstances should one think of killing someone just for Belonging to a political group and much less for thinking differently, this lack of tolerance is what in the world makes the worst thing that any human being can do exist, in the end it does not lead to anything good, there will always be things that will go badly for those people in life, that is why I am very apolitical in politics, so far it is the most intelligent thing I have done, this is how friendships are Expanded and with different ways of thinking, I consider that the same thing happens in religions.

[bangjoe]

The question was what would happen to the bets of those who made them on Biden. The fact that Harris' odds are the same as Biden's is beside the point.

Is anyone surprised that polls supposedly show Harris equal or even slightly ahead of Trump? Are the media brazenly wishful thinking or are they simply preparing the public for some kind of scam?

From what I know, some platforms have void bets on Biden since the odds for Biden were removed from the betting markets.
Also, there has been a change in the odds since the Poll was announced, a few days ago I was still seeing Trump 1.46x and now it's 1.52x - I think the bookmakers still doubt the Poll results.

That is very normal in changing the odds, especially on the ongoing journey to the presidential election, polls will definitely change according to the political dynamics taking place in America, as in a political competition it is quite long and anything can happen on the ground, as well as yesterday Biden resigned and Trump had a shot at him, it made Trump have a considerable increase among voters in America.

Likewise, the bookie must have considered the possibility of the current glasses being changed, Kamala Harris may be experiencing a rise in attention in America which makes the bookie feel a little doubtful about Trump.

[ChiBitCTy]

I really don't know about any other political events other than those here in the United States.  What I can say is that what might be a bit of a source of amusement for those outside of the United States, I can certainly say is not very amusing for those of us here in the United States.  These last couple presidential elections have been pretty divisive for US citizens and has created quite a bit of turmoil.  I am just ready for a "normal" election to take place.  That being said I will be betting on this election as it seems, sadly, pretty one sided.

[Stable090]

We know that any bet on real events (policy, sports, etc.) always has some possibility of being manipulated.

I haven’t really heard about that before, but I don’t really think politician results can be manipulated just because people gambled in support of a candidate and the person is losing. Politics has nothing to do with gambling, so it’s a completely different thing, so I don’t think political result can be manipulated easily.

In the same way that sports betting on small tournaments has a greater risk (paying a player to do something immoral), politics is no different.

Paying players so that they can perform anyhow might be happening in local sports, but that’s what you will find difficult in international games because anyone caught will be properly punished. So many people are just so scared of doing things like that, but it might be happening locally. We know some regions are corrupt, but seriously, I haven’t heard about it before.

[KTChampions]

The question was what would happen to the bets of those who made them on Biden. The fact that Harris' odds are the same as Biden's is beside the point.

Is anyone surprised that polls supposedly show Harris equal or even slightly ahead of Trump? Are the media brazenly wishful thinking or are they simply preparing the public for some kind of scam?

From what I know, some platforms have void bets on Biden since the odds for Biden were removed from the betting markets.
Also, there has been a change in the odds since the Poll was announced, a few days ago I was still seeing Trump 1.46x and now it's 1.52x - I think the bookmakers still doubt the Poll results.

The quote of 1.52 means that Trump is still a big favorite (I would even say gigantic, given that there are still 4 months before the election and a lot can happen during this time). But to my surprise, the corrupt media are already “showing” that the chances of Trump and Harris are almost equal. I can’t understand this impudence (although in the modern world where men pretending to be women participate in women’s sports, this is not the biggest lie).

[Egii Nna]

You have a point because a real gambler doesn’t depend on only sporting activities; they beat in everything. That is why they are called gamblers, so gambling on politics is also gambling as long as money is involved and a winner will be getting. But there is one thing to be considered because many gamblers depend on gambling on sports matters or casino games because that is what they have knowledge of, and they will be able to predict the results due to some consideration of the game, but when we are talking of politics, it is completely different from sports and games because this deals with the interests of a very large number of people, and you will not be able to tell them what they are supposed to do, or who they will vote for these things depends on the interest and acceptance of the person, so to me, I think it will be very difficult compared to that of spot and gaming. 

[Huppercase]

America election is the most anticipated election and you can make a lot of money betting on it, after Joe biden step down and handed over the mandate to Kamala Harris the odd for Donald Trump has increased because everybody knows he is going to be the next president. The donations the democrats are raising does not mean they are going to win the presidential election. They are just trying to make it look like they are still on the race when they have already lost. Americans are not ready to election a woman to be president and not a black woman too. America has only one black president and they would not want the next one to be a woman. Harry Clinton could not win against Donald trump when she was the front runner and she had more chances of becoming the president than Harris.

I don't think it's the most anticipated election in the US but the election is now a war between the republicans and the democrats and since they have strong side of battle between them, many people pick interest in it and most importantly one candidate seems to be making Bitcoin as his friends because over the years since Bitcoin has been live, there has never been a candidate that has come straight forward to like Bitcoin like Trump and what may may happen later.

To make the election even spicy, it's now a run up election between a woman and a man which has never happen in the history of US election, a sitting woman as president challenging a man like Trump and she is even confidence in her way of strategies in winning this election. The only thing I'm after is to see what Trump plans for Bitcoin and not abandoned it as soon as he get to office.

[Antotena]

We know that any bet on real events (policy, sports, etc.) always has some possibility of being manipulated.

In the same way that sports betting on small tournaments has a greater risk (paying a player to do something immoral), politics is no different.
If we take a smaller country and a less important political position, the chances of that person running as a candidate just to manipulate a result are very high.

I like it when we have several betting niches in different segments to choose from, but I believe that bookmakers need to carefully analyze each scenario to minimize the possibility of manipulation.

Manipulation happen even on sports games but the way they do it doesn't look so obvious but politics is a scary one that many people are emotional about. The last time Biden won the US election, some of his fans when to the whitehouse protesting and where climbing walls that were take down by security operations, this tells you how emotional people can be when it comes to elections and hence the reason many gambling platforms don't list political events.

Some Bookmakers can also be politically motivated to do their dirty tricks on people, imagine having Biden and Trump on their website with 48/52% odds on both candidates and after Biden step down, the odd would definitely be favoring Trump than any otter candidates and if they are Trump guys, who knows they can be paid off to increase the odd so people can place their money on Trump and emotionally, people will go to their polling units to vote Trump so that they will have it in mind of winning their bets, so many tricks in political gambling.

[wheelz1200]

America election is the most anticipated election and you can make a lot of money betting on it, after Joe biden step down and handed over the mandate to Kamala Harris the odd for Donald Trump has increased because everybody knows he is going to be the next president. The donations the democrats are raising does not mean they are going to win the presidential election. They are just trying to make it look like they are still on the race when they have already lost. Americans are not ready to election a woman to be president and not a black woman too. America has only one black president and they would not want the next one to be a woman. Harry Clinton could not win against Donald trump when she was the front runner and she had more chances of becoming the president than Harris.

I don't think it's the most anticipated election in the US but the election is now a war between the republicans and the democrats and since they have strong side of battle between them, many people pick interest in it and most importantly one candidate seems to be making Bitcoin as his friends because over the years since Bitcoin has been live, there has never been a candidate that has come straight forward to like Bitcoin like Trump and what may may happen later.

To make the election even spicy, it's now a run up election between a woman and a man which has never happen in the history of US election, a sitting woman as president challenging a man like Trump and she is even confidence in her way of strategies in winning this election. The only thing I'm after is to see what Trump plans for Bitcoin and not abandoned it as soon as he get to office.

Ypu can only partially listen to these people before they get elected.  Every race they say things to get the votes but once they are in they do an about face because they don't need votes anymore.  These groups find massive groups of people and side with them.  Now that crypto has grown large enough it makes sense to lean on them as a platform for more votes. 

[passwordnow]

They have lost yet until the race is over. I'm saying that because it's not yet over but the obvious is that you're right that it's almost over and Trump is about to win the election.
-cut-
I think whether the candidate is black, white, man or woman or whatever, it is about the platform that they're mentioning through the rallies that are gaining the votes. And that's the reason why Trump is likely getting all the votes and with the assasination attempt, he has garnered more trust from the people.

I don't get why getting shot at would make people trust you more. And so far i haven't seen any polls that it would have affected to, people just seem to think it has.

That's bravery for the people and the thought of why would someone want him down. Instead of him getting criticized, he's got the sentiment of the people and trust that he's willing to die for his country. That's how politics work. Are you from the US? because I am not and I can't speak entirely for it as these are my opinion. And someone from there also has theirs and has got more understanding to the politics that's happening there.

Meanwhile Kamala Harris raised $81 million in the 24 hours right after biden announced withdrawing his candidacy. Majority of her donors are first-time donors, so there's that too. Not to mention that trump is that old confused man now in this race, so playing that card where they laughed biden being old could backfire now. So could their "tough on crime", when Kamala has actually done something about it, and been tough on crime. She has also experience dealing with criminals, so dealing with Trump isn't anything new to her.

Someone who's running the race can have that campaign fund as much as they can. I didn't know the whole context of it as I just knew her as the vice president of Biden and not that much of her affairs.

[shasan]

Honestly, this is the first time I’ve heard about this, but I like the idea, it’s quite good, interesting and not ordinary. I think that there may be a very high demand for political events. I find these events no less interesting than sports ones. If I had to place a bet, I would bet on Trump’s victory in the upcoming elections and on the fact that Zelensky, before the end of the war, will be made to blame for all the ills of humanity.

Betting on political events is not the first thing. I saw Political betting a long ago on Bitsler. It might be the first discussion but not the event or betting. I think betting should be for political events which can't be manipulated eg: the selection of a person as the candidate can be manipulated based on the decision of the high command or chairman.

[LUCKMCFLY]

Many of those who though Biden would bring them a good win were wrong at bit waiting for the election to get closer, and now they are paying the consequences for it.

That is something very iterative, and although I am not a political expert, do you think that now the Democrats have or are at a disadvantage with respect to Trump? Trump is now the oldest politician in the USA, and he is obviously preceded by his intellect, to be honest I don't know much about Kamala, I haven't seen what her career is very well, well seeing the previous candidate Biden, there is more information about him, it is a fact that it is like that, only people in the USA know or should know much more detail about her, although to be honest, I think Trump has a lot of favoritism.

[Blitzboy]

That's true, USA politics is intense and it's even easier today that Joe Biden has already passed his torch to Kamala Harris. Stake's odd for Trump is a clear indication that we know who's about to win and this isn't just for the odds but for the entire world to see. With the Trump's attempt to be assasinated, whoever ployed that just gave him the edge to be liked more by the people. Not just by the Americans but the other countries as well that are following their election period. Less than four months to go until the election come and while others are suggesting that it's still possible for Michelle Obama to get in, IMO, the chance is there but she's not going to have a better chance of winning compared to Kamala and even Biden.

America election is the most anticipated election and you can make a lot of money betting on it, after Joe biden step down and handed over the mandate to Kamala Harris the odd for Donald Trump has increased because everybody knows he is going to be the next president. The donations the democrats are raising does not mean they are going to win the presidential election. They are just trying to make it look like they are still on the race when they have already lost. Americans are not ready to election a woman to be president and not a black woman too. America has only one black president and they would not want the next one to be a woman. Harry Clinton could not win against Donald trump when she was the front runner and she had more chances of becoming the president than Harris.

Connecting with individuals and understanding their priorities. The media is buzzing over Trump's odds after Biden's departure. Yeah, fine. Trump has always made deals and been savvy. If crypto is the next big thing, he'll hop on it. Indeed, its wise. Crypto's the future of finance, and early adopters will profit.

Its not just Bitcoin. Trump's vision for America, economic knowledge, and execution are key. He showed that in his first term and will again.

Some folks are saying America's not ready for a woman president, especially a black woman. Thats absurd. We've watched the country and people's attitudes alter. Strong and intellectual, Kamala Harris has plenty to contribute. Her policies, experience, and future vision matter more than her ethnicity or gender.