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Author Topic: You should have a post-bull run plan.  (Read 400 times)
Marykeller
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July 11, 2024, 06:37:19 PM
 #21

From the post-bull run plan you listed, the second category is where most of the bitcoin investors belong, including myself. We go with the flow of targeting every four years profit since the crypto market has its time of green candlelight and red zone. Towards the red zone(bearish market), we buy bitcoin at a low price, and at green candlelight(bull run), we begin to sell our Bitcoin, believing the fact the market will go bearish further times. This makes it the perfect entry for them to sell off their bitcoin holdings before the bearish take a big hold on the market because hodling bitcoin further will make the investor lose better selling opportunities to sell bitcoin at a very high price

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July 11, 2024, 11:26:32 PM
 #22

I'm a medium-term holder and DCAing (Dollar-Cost Averaging) is a big part of my strategy. But in my early years with Bitcoin, it seemed like I fell into the first category, where I really had no plans to sell because I just wanted to collect and save. I would only sell a little when I needed money for expenses, and I still had a lot left until it increased again. Back then, I believed that the price would always go up. But now, I'm waiting for the bull run and plan to sell when it reaches the all-time high.

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July 11, 2024, 11:43:30 PM
 #23

Given the pattern of the Bitcoin market, the post-halving event will bring us a Bitcoin bull run that records its new ATH. After recording the cycles ATH, the Bitcoin market will enter a bear market.  This is an indication that along this pattern profit can be repeatedly made.

I plan to sell any coins holding when the market is in a bull run, if possible, I will sell at near cycle's ATH price.  Then after selling I will observe the market and wait for some months after it enters the bear market.  Set a reasonable and realistic target buying price and start to DCA from there to re-enter the market.  This way I can replenish my holdings and can even bag more than what I had sold.  Wait for the next bull run.  Rinse and repeat.

It isn't that complicated to follow the market trend, what one need is updated information and patience.

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July 14, 2024, 03:51:30 AM
 #24

Given the pattern of the Bitcoin market, the post-halving event will bring us a Bitcoin bull run that records its new ATH. After recording the cycles ATH, the Bitcoin market will enter a bear market.  This is an indication that along this pattern profit can be repeatedly made.
With previous cycles, Bitcoin makes its new all time high and ATH or a new cycle many months before a halving day. In this market cycle, things are different because Bitcoin already made its new ATH that is a first time ever in its history. This makes people fearful that whether Bitcoin already completed its bull run and next months will be bearish.

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I plan to sell any coins holding when the market is in a bull run, if possible, I will sell at near cycle's ATH price.
You never can identify the ATH and finding it is impossible and unrealistic so your are planning well by only want to sell near ATH.

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Then after selling I will observe the market and wait for some months after it enters the bear market.  Set a reasonable and realistic target buying price and start to DCA from there to re-enter the market.
By waiting some months, you are doing smart or selective DCA, not traditional DCA but it's good, not bad.

If you want to be too selective with entries for DCA especially when you start your DCA for a new cycle, you can wait more than 1 year after the ATH, to start purchasing. Bitcoin bear market often lasts for two years and by waiting one year after ATH to start buying, you will purchase around the bottom range.
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July 14, 2024, 06:00:10 AM
 #25

I choose the second category because I can make a profit from my investment and I have a chance to re-start my investment in the next cycle. That will happens to me for some time in the Bitcoin bull run cycle so I will make sure that I can make a big profit in the next bull run cycle. But I also trade for some time if the market shows a good movement and I can take my part to make a profit. This year gives me a good chance to make some profit although I still gets lose for some trade but the progress is good for me.

I am trying to be a long term holders by holding for some Bitcoin in my wallets and while I choose the second category, that will helps me to increase my Bitcoin amount. DCA is the best for me because that helps me to accumulate more Bitcoin.

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July 14, 2024, 07:05:13 AM
 #26

However, my message is that as you are making a profit from the market this period don't forget that Bitcoin has better days ahead. So ensure that you have plans for the next four years.
Some people who invested late are still not sure if the bull run has come, they are still waiting for Bitcoin to get another ATH that will be close to $100, and most of the investors just come because of the halving with huge expectations in their minds, yet Bitcoin price has not gone up to their expectations.
Some people do take their profits to do something for their plans for some time, while people who use DCA are not to be worried because they are not taking all their money to invest.

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I fall in the second category and I have plans to replenish my wallet as soon as possible if the price is good. For me I am not only going to depend on DCA, lump sum will also be considered.
Same here because I don't have enough capital to invest for long term due to my financial status, I only use DCA method, and sometimes hold as much as I can when I have money I am not using.

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July 14, 2024, 10:31:56 AM
 #27

Some people who invested late are still not sure if the bull run has come, they are still waiting for Bitcoin to get another ATH that will be close to $100, and most of the investors just come because of the halving with huge expectations in their minds, yet Bitcoin price has not gone up to their expectations.
I consider these people more like speculators rather than investors. If an investor already did due diligent research before investing, good knowledge on Bitcoin historic market cycles can help that investor to be confident with his investment, be determinant of holding and for more than only one cycle. My belief is Bitcoin makes new ATH for each cycle so if I miss chances to take profit in one market cycle, miss its ATH, I can hold and wait for next four years with a next cycle, to take profit at higher price than this cycle ATH.

This belief is based on history of Bitcoin market cycle and with a big assumption that history won't be changed.
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July 14, 2024, 12:52:40 PM
 #28

I fall in the second category and I have plans to replenish my wallet as soon as possible if the price is good. For me I am not only going to depend on DCA, lump sum will also be considered.

I guess I fall in the first category currently but I plan on to move to the second category.
I am waiting for the next pump in the market and ready to sell my stack.
The plan is to sell and then buy back when the price falls back lower.
I am assuming it will take around 5-6 months for the next ATH.

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July 16, 2024, 05:28:44 PM
 #29

Whenever Bitcoin prices dip and I see people complaining I always wonder why they complain that much, especially people who have money to buy. I understand that we all want Bitcoin to be bullish so we can make more profit on our investment, but we also have to turn a negative situation into a positive one. Bitcoin dip is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a relatively cheaper rate.
Now when the bull run is here, always have in mind that a time will come when the price will drop and while people are panic selling, don't be among them. It's okay for you to feel emotional but it will do you well to hold and if possible more so you can make more profit.

R


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July 16, 2024, 07:01:02 PM
 #30

Whenever Bitcoin prices dip and I see people complaining I always wonder why they complain that much, especially people who have money to buy. I understand that we all want Bitcoin to be bullish so we can make more profit on our investment, but we also have to turn a negative situation into a positive one. Bitcoin dip is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a relatively cheaper rate.
Now when the bull run is here, always have in mind that a time will come when the price will drop and while people are panic selling, don't be among them. It's okay for you to feel emotional but it will do you well to hold and if possible more so you can make more profit.

They complain because they kept hodling and regret not having sold at the peak. If they didn't sell, chances are that they have no money to buy the dip either.

It seems easy to time the market, but it isn't. Those who sell early miss the train, and those with strong hands may have to wait for the next cycle if their expectations where not met and waited for too long. The most comfortable position is that of the one who doesn't need the money, so can wait, and have recurring income with which he can invest if the price drops a lot; but I'm afraid that too many people need the money and they see their short-term dreams disappear when they get caught by the bear.

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July 19, 2024, 07:37:56 PM
 #31

Everyone is so excited about the bull run because we hope to make some profit. But I just want to say that this bull run will not be the best bull in the Bitcoin circle. There are still better days ahead, so we shouldn't just plan for this present profit without preparing for the future. Let me group Bitcoiners in this bull run thus:

1- Long term hodlers
2- Medium term hodlers
3-Traders

1. Some of these long-term hodlers don't have any plans to sell. Some of these are selling just a fraction of their Bitcoin for personal reasons. These set of people are more concerned about the future price of Bitcoin. They believe that there will always be a new ATH in several future bull runs

2- These sets of bitcoins are always targeting to make a profit every four years. Some of them use the DCA strategy to buy for four years and they sell during bull runs. After selling they can use the funds to invest or solve a need and will start DCAing for another four years.

3- Traders are people who target to make a profit from Bitcoin within a short period.

However, my message is that as you are making a profit from the market this period don't forget that Bitcoin has better days ahead. So ensure that you have plans for the next four years.

I fall in the second category and I have plans to replenish my wallet as soon as possible if the price is good. For me I am not only going to depend on DCA, lump sum will also be considered.
So many investors we have in the markets currently do not have a post bull run plan because they think the market will continue favouring them without knowing that the market is not just for the lazy once that are in the market to make quick money and leave immediately. A lot of investors and traders would be taken unaware by the time we enter the bear market. A lit is going to happen that is going to make so many people lose trades because they do not have plans for the bear market that might come anytime soon. We all have been anticipating on the price of Bitcoin to reach 200K so that we can all make money from our various investments without looking back whether the price of Bitcoin could go back to the bear.

.
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July 21, 2024, 11:08:56 AM
 #32

We can learn everything, but I myself often do short-term (scalping), medium-term, and holder trading. At this time, the market has provided many facilities. Such as Future, Margin, Stake and other programs. So no matter what the conditions, those who understand it can be a strategy to make a profit. So even after the decline period comes, we can still trade futures or margin.

Well you are right because we cannot force people to choose a particular strategy, so any method that works better for them they should go for it, so if you see that short-term is more profitable for you based on your trading skills is actually cool but however I would also advise that while focusing on scalping the market you should also make a provision of investing some certain amount for holding because that way you can be regarded as a long term holder and also a short-term holder because the good thing about it is that whichever way the market moves you will still stand a good chance on the market because you will have have a diverse source, however this is actually the method most people has been using by doing there normal trading and at the same time investing using DCA for holding.

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July 21, 2024, 09:27:24 PM
 #33

Everyone is so excited about the bull run because we hope to make some profit. But I just want to say that this bull run will not be the best bull in the Bitcoin circle. There are still better days ahead, so we shouldn't just plan for this present profit without preparing for the future. Let me group Bitcoiners in this bull run thus:

When you say this bull run will not be the best bull run, what do you mean exactly because if you're using the percentage gain on investment to classify bull runs, we already had the best bull run when Bitcoin did incredible numbers (ROI) few years back that it'll be impossible for the market to recreate because the best we can be getting from the market now is 2x, 3x and we can't get the 5x/10x we use to have before but if your referring to the peak price of Bitcoin then we'll always have higher peak as the bull market keep coming. For me every bull market is the best because you never know what is ahead and you don't know if you'll be alive to see it but I don't wish that on anyone only just being realistic.

Quote
However, my message is that as you are making a profit from the market this period don't forget that Bitcoin has better days ahead. So ensure that you have plans for the next four years.

Same message we're all saying, buy and hodl don't sell under pressure or any circumstances. Don't only have plans for this bull market, plan for the next and others to come. Plan like you'll live forever but also know that anyday can be your last day on earth so also plan for that too by making sure your heirs will benefit from the bags you're accumulating incase you aren't around anymore.

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July 21, 2024, 11:39:22 PM
 #34

Even as it is, yet to get involved investors already think the price of Bitcoin has grown too high and it could explode like an inflated balloon. For this, a lot of users exercise a great deal of skepticism towards Bitcoin which would in a way prevent them from investing.
Should we be expecting that at every bullrun, the price of Bitcoin would sky rocket, it would seem like we running some scheme that takes money in circles and Bitcoin isn’t about that. Am okay with Bitcoin having to take its time and grow at a some worth regular pass, not really having to make 2X or 3X of a formal price from the previous bullrun.

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July 22, 2024, 05:20:21 PM
 #35

Whenever Bitcoin prices dip and I see people complaining I always wonder why they complain that much, especially people who have money to buy. I understand that we all want Bitcoin to be bullish so we can make more profit on our investment, but we also have to turn a negative situation into a positive one. Bitcoin dip is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a relatively cheaper rate.
Now when the bull run is here, always have in mind that a time will come when the price will drop and while people are panic selling, don't be among them. It's okay for you to feel emotional but it will do you well to hold and if possible more so you can make more profit.
Bitcoin price will continue to dip because there's presence of heavy volatility in the market, which also affects other projects. Why complain when we already know the up and down of the crypto market. One thing is simply sticking to crucial foundation, we should be able to place ourselves and brains on the heightens foundation of the market, knows the basis before going all full in the market.

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July 22, 2024, 06:30:50 PM
 #36

I personally like point 1, I am a beginner who is just starting out in my investment, accumulating bitcoin which is currently in a bull run, does not stop my intention to buy with the DCA method that I am using for now, the long term is my initial target and if I stop or temporarily stop buying for now it will slow down my planned bitcoin buildup,

point 3 for now, I don't really understand how the game works, for now I will avoid it first,
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July 23, 2024, 08:40:50 AM
 #37

Even as it is, yet to get involved investors already think the price of Bitcoin has grown too high and it could explode like an inflated balloon. For this, a lot of users exercise a great deal of skepticism towards Bitcoin which would in a way prevent them from investing.
Should we be expecting that at every bullrun, the price of Bitcoin would sky rocket, it would seem like we running some scheme that takes money in circles and Bitcoin isn’t about that. Am okay with Bitcoin having to take its time and grow at a some worth regular pass, not really having to make 2X or 3X of a formal price from the previous bullrun.
You are right my dear friend Bitcoin fast price growth can scare off new investors. They might think it is bubble that will pop soon. This fear is normal as Bitcoin ups and downs can be scary. But I also agree with you that Bitcoin value should grow slowly and naturally without sudden jumps. If it grows steadily people will trust it more and see it as reliable way to store and exchange value. This steady growth will help Bitcoin succeed in the long run.

.
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July 23, 2024, 01:10:20 PM
 #38

Regardless of the strategy which a person is using, I believe the whole thing balls down to making profits in the end, One thing is for sure, everybody aren't going to do same thing, So people will invest in the way that suits them,  There are people that bought Bitcoin for retirement sake and nothing concerns them about bull market and bear market until when their retirement age has come, whereas most are into Bitcoin for the short term volatility gains,  To me I love taking out some profits a long the line way and I have a percentage amout of Bitcoin that I don't usually touch regardless of the phase of the market, Bull or bear.

R


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July 23, 2024, 09:08:34 PM
 #39

Whenever Bitcoin prices dip and I see people complaining I always wonder why they complain that much, especially people who have money to buy. I understand that we all want Bitcoin to be bullish so we can make more profit on our investment, but we also have to turn a negative situation into a positive one. Bitcoin dip is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a relatively cheaper rate.
Now when the bull run is here, always have in mind that a time will come when the price will drop and while people are panic selling, don't be among them. It's okay for you to feel emotional but it will do you well to hold and if possible more so you can make more profit.

Only people who are new in business worry about the price going down. Experienced bitcoin holders Will become aroused since you know exactly what to do, and it will be more than that by the deep, as experienced holders are intended to do. Because you continue to worry about the price while others are busy planning how to get more. Everybody wants to make profits and there is no way you keep making profit in your investment. There will always be a time when you encounter the bear. But people always fail to understand that portion. All they want is profit. Always.

I know that the further we go, the more we will learn, because you will reach a point where you will not always be thinking about profit, but how to gather, should be their priority instead of crying about the money that they will eventually recover from the markets, so what are they supposed to do to focus or out to get more bitcoin and make more money when the markets recover?

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July 23, 2024, 10:36:52 PM
 #40

Being in the first category comes with a lot sacrifice and if you’re not willing to take on those sacrifices, you can’t be able to hold bitcoin for that long. You also need to have this enthusiastic mindset before you can be able to hold for that long, you’ll only not be hoping but be fully sure that bitcoin will attain a new all-time high after a certain period of time which cannot be compromised every cycle its about to to happen.

The medium holders are those that are found mostly in the market, they also contribute to some percentage of holder of bitcoin in the market but are far not worth the amount that long term holders put into the market. They’re the whales and have significant impact in the market more.

The traders will only come to look for profits at any given opportunity. They take the highest risk and could make more money in crypto than those holding intermediary or for a long time. The concept is just to have what it takes to understand and predict the market well in your favour.

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