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Author Topic: The probability is unimaginable!  (Read 281 times)
satscraper
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July 12, 2024, 01:33:10 PM
 #21

Hm, it depends.

Once upon a time I have visited casino with my girlfriend and decided to try luck by triggering the lever of the slot machine. I did it virtually infinite times and all in vain. My pockets were almost empty. Then my girlfriend said - let me do it. I knew that she never played any  game of chance but I had nothing to lose at that moment, thus she slammed the lever on   and behold! we got three fruits in the row in frond of us  and plenty of chips in a drop box.  We have hit the high spots.

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July 12, 2024, 03:03:43 PM
 #22

But the question is, what if you know the real probability and you know your chance? Will you still continue to gamble?
Yes as long as I am gambling with the amount of money that I can afford to lose. Like I have mentioned before on a post today but of a higher percentage now that if you earn $500 weekly and you gamble with 5% of it which is $25 and you go for $1 slot games. You can gamble as many as possible times and you may hit the jackpot. If you did not hit the jackpot and you lose all, you can afford to lose the money and you stop when necessary that you should stop.

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Awaklara
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July 12, 2024, 03:16:18 PM
 #23

Hm, it depends.

Once upon a time I have visited casino with my girlfriend and decided to try luck by triggering the lever of the slot machine. I did it virtually infinite times and all in vain. My pockets were almost empty. Then my girlfriend said - let me do it. I knew that she never played any  game of chance but I had nothing to lose at that moment, thus she slammed the lever on   and behold! we got three fruits in the row in frond of us  and plenty of chips in a drop box.  We have hit the high spots.
In casino games, we never know whose luck is in whose hands or at whose table. we can't calculate the chances and chances of us getting a big win with the capital we use for several rounds. the possibility of victory that we can get is unimaginable. it can be very close or very far from us. I once saw my friend win in seconds on a slot game. but I also see my friends playing the long game by losing.
the possibilities are unimaginable.

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Moreno233
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July 12, 2024, 03:41:36 PM
 #24

Personally, I'd say it takes atleast 1 of 40/50 tries to secure a huge win on casino games! Could be more, could be less...(it all depends on the game in question, and what your favourite betting options are) On the other hand, it may take 1 of 100,000th tries to get lucky that a jackpot hits your ticket... It could take even longer tries and nothing of such comes...
I've registered atleast 500,000 tickets(including coupon tickets and virtual games) and more for the whole, lengthy period of my working experience; The thing is, I've never been awarded a jackpot on my customer's ticket so, I was left with no choice than to imagine the proportion of distribution of jackpots across several users and how lucky one might really need to be... Not until it fell on another cashier's account and the winner wasn't even surprised! Fifteen hundred dollars and he acted very cold!
He acted as though he's lost way too much to win $1,500 luckily. Meanwhile, I was more concerned about the probability, the odds of it happening atleast ONCE!
*What do y'all think of his reaction?
* According to your own prejudice, what's the probability that a jackpot hits a ticket?
I don't know how you arrived at those numbers but the fact is that luck differs so people will always have different experience in gambling. I know gamblers that got their major win within few months of gambling and I equally know gamblers that have not had their major win even after gambler for more than a decade. What I am saying in summary is that it is practically impossible to know the duration it will take to hit a jackpot, because it is entirely based on luck. I have won some money but that is not what I will consider a major win so I'm still waiting for my major win and I do not know when it will come.

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July 12, 2024, 03:51:38 PM
 #25

Personally, I'd say it takes atleast 1 of 40/50 tries to secure a huge win on casino games! Could be more, could be less...(it all depends on the game in question, and what your favourite betting options are) On the other hand, it may take 1 of 100,000th tries to get lucky that a jackpot hits your ticket... It could take even longer tries and nothing of such comes...
I've registered atleast 500,000 tickets(including coupon tickets and virtual games) and more for the whole, lengthy period of my working experience; The thing is, I've never been awarded a jackpot on my customer's ticket so, I was left with no choice than to imagine the proportion of distribution of jackpots across several users and how lucky one might really need to be... Not until it fell on another cashier's account and the winner wasn't even surprised! Fifteen hundred dollars and he acted very cold!
He acted as though he's lost way too much to win $1,500 luckily. Meanwhile, I was more concerned about the probability, the odds of it happening atleast ONCE!
*What do y'all think of his reaction?
* According to your own prejudice, what's the probability that a jackpot hits a ticket?

Edit: I think I'd have to lock this topic after 40 replies.
I haven't won a jackpot before, but from anytime I visits a gambler center, after the games are ended only just one person that normally win the jackpot but it's unfortunate that the jackpot haven't fall on the ticket of someone I know so well, many times it falls on someone at a different location. Jackpots are different types, and the highest of them all doesn't fall so easily (IMO) just ones. It's good to know that gamble is by luck that's why it's harder for jackpot to fall on our tickets. And you should understand that even if you buy thousands of tickets you might not still be lucky for the jackpot to fall on any of your ticket.

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July 12, 2024, 04:06:32 PM
 #26

The probability depends on the game we used to play and it's nothing useful cause let's say you have a probability of winning 1/10 games but you can't say that you will win 1 in every 10 bets that's the probability so if a game has a probability of 1/50000 then you need to buy all that 50K tickets to ensure that win or else it's can go either way even if you bought 49,999 and failed to buy the remaining 1.

His reaction is due to that the amount he won is not huge for him or he win such kind of amount more often and that's what we call as lucky B***ard.... Roll Eyes

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July 12, 2024, 04:24:16 PM
 #27

Winning huge or hitting the jackpot in gambling is strictly based on luck and not on the amount of games that you have played or tickets that you bought which means there is no probability since gambling is not a guarantee of making profit.

It is better one stop thinking about winning big because that can affect your thoughts and it will male you gamble too much if you don't understand the purpose of gambling which is for fun. Only gamble with the amount of money that you can afford to lose so that you don't turn into a mathematician overnight on calculating on how to win big when it is not by our doings but luck.

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July 12, 2024, 04:40:15 PM
 #28

*What do y'all think of his reaction?
He must have thought about what he had lost so far in gambling which is not to be compared to what he got lucky with that day. I understand this feeling. Someone who may have just got into gambling for the first time then had opportunity to win a jackpot in a few tries would fee way happier than someone who had lost almost everything into gambling.

* According to your own prejudice, what's the probability that a jackpot hits a ticket?
The probability is low! Sometimes i do not want to believe that people actually win a jackpot at all. I felt it must have been a framed ticket number from the casino site. Which is possible.

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Ultegra134
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July 12, 2024, 04:43:51 PM
 #29

Winning huge or hitting the jackpot in gambling is strictly based on luck and not on the amount of games that you have played or tickets that you bought which means there is no probability since gambling is not a guarantee of making profit.

It is better one stop thinking about winning big because that can affect your thoughts and it will male you gamble too much if you don't understand the purpose of gambling which is for fun. Only gamble with the amount of money that you can afford to lose so that you don't turn into a mathematician overnight on calculating on how to win big when it is not by our doings but luck.
That's actually accurate. You may play once—it doesn't matter what game it is—dice, roulette, or lotto—and win a significant amount on your first try, while someone else might be playing for years, have played over thousands of times, but have never won. That's actually how random probabilities are. This is because the winning occurrence is entirely random, and statistically predicting the outcome of a game based on previous games is inaccurate. Although statistically, the more you gamble, the better your chances are, it's not something that necessarily occurs in the real world.

R


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July 13, 2024, 03:15:15 AM
 #30

The expression “beginners are lucky” often has a valid basis. But as for me, my approach to gambling is very cautious; I do not have a strong belief that I can win, and probably my power of thought works that way; there is always doubt.
Alright... Lemme ask - has this always been the case all round? Secondly, do you think it has anything to do with the rate of losses that you normally have, surpassing the usual? Personally, I think FEAR could also ignite/ stir up a certain form of imbalance, of which, with too much pressure, anyone would drown in pool of loses!
Then my girlfriend said - let me do it. I knew that she never played any  game of chance but I had nothing to lose at that moment, thus she slammed the lever on   and behold! we got three fruits in the row in frond of us  and plenty of chips in a drop box.  We have hit the high spots.
Lol.. how hilarious that would be. At the same time, that should also be a lesson to everyone that feels their chances of hitting a win is higher than any regular /newbie. Sad reality is that she may not experience anything like that again.

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July 13, 2024, 03:44:13 AM
 #31

Personally, I'd say it takes atleast 1 of 40/50 tries to secure a huge win on casino games! Could be more, could be less...(it all depends on the game in question, and what your favourite betting options are) On the other hand, it may take 1 of 100,000th tries to get lucky that a jackpot hits your ticket... It could take even longer tries and nothing of such comes...
I've registered atleast 500,000 tickets(including coupon tickets and virtual games) and more for the whole, lengthy period of my working experience; The thing is, I've never been awarded a jackpot on my customer's ticket so, I was left with no choice than to imagine the proportion of distribution of jackpots across several users and how lucky one might really need to be... Not until it fell on another cashier's account and the winner wasn't even surprised! Fifteen hundred dollars and he acted very cold!
He acted as though he's lost way too much to win $1,500 luckily. Meanwhile, I was more concerned about the probability, the odds of it happening atleast ONCE!
*What do y'all think of his reaction?
* According to your own prejudice, what's the probability that a jackpot hits a ticket?

Edit: I think I'd have to lock this topic after 40 replies.

Do you know how the odds are calculated? If you try to hit a jackpot with a bet that has a 1 in 100,000 chance of winning, do you know the probability you have of hitting the jackpot when you try a second time? And the 10th time? What about the 1,000nd time?

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July 13, 2024, 04:33:46 AM
 #32

The probability is low! Sometimes i do not want to believe that people actually win a jackpot at all. I felt it must have been a framed ticket number from the casino site. Which is possible.
Honestly it might seem that everyone is winning. You always see all these stories about people hitting a jackpot but once you start playing, it seems like the jackpot is avoiding you. Even though it might seem like a lot of people is winning, the reality is not really and you shouldn't hope too much to win yourself.

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July 13, 2024, 04:42:25 AM
Merited by Sandra_hakeem (1)
 #33

The expression “beginners are lucky” often has a valid basis. But as for me, my approach to gambling is very cautious; I do not have a strong belief that I can win, and probably my power of thought works that way; there is always doubt.
Alright... Lemme ask - has this always been the case all round? Secondly, do you think it has anything to do with the rate of losses that you normally have, surpassing the usual? Personally, I think FEAR could also ignite/ stir up a certain form of imbalance, of which, with too much pressure, anyone would drown in pool of loses!

Exactly. You are completely right about this. Fear, no matter how much you have to drive it away, is still present. It is especially surprising to watch how those who have much worse financial wealth rush into the game with the confidence of winning. But my efforts, no matter how hard I try to drive away negative thoughts, most often go unnoticed by Lady Luck. However, I have confidence that I will certainly be lucky in other endeavors. Smiley

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July 13, 2024, 04:51:30 AM
 #34

I would not count on winning a jackpot in gambling, as this is a very rare event. So rare that on the way to it you will most likely leave a huge amount of money in the casino. In addition, as far as I understand, the casino itself determines how often it should give out jackpots as a reward. And the casino will definitely not operate at a loss. The jackpot is such a special luring fire for butterflies, who are likely to burn their wings. There are many much more realistic strategies. Why should you choose the jackpot as your goal?

R


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July 13, 2024, 01:15:21 PM
 #35

Why should you choose the jackpot as your goal?
go big or go home, mate Wink

if i had the chance to spend as little as i can as possible to get the jackpot then that would be ideal though obviously not easily attainable in fact i don’t think any amount of money and effort can get you a jackpot you’ll have to rely on your luck alone

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July 13, 2024, 01:29:26 PM
 #36

I would not count on winning a jackpot in gambling, as this is a very rare event. So rare that on the way to it you will most likely leave a huge amount of money in the casino. In addition, as far as I understand, the casino itself determines how often it should give out jackpots as a reward. And the casino will definitely not operate at a loss. The jackpot is such a special luring fire for butterflies, who are likely to burn their wings. There are many much more realistic strategies. Why should you choose the jackpot as your goal?

Technically, Casino doesn’t have control on how often they will give jackpot since the game should use an RNG or blockchain to determine the result of the game which can’t be modify by the casino. Casino is just relying to the fact that they set a very low percentage for the jackpot to hit so they are confident that it will not be hit frequently.

This is just a speculation/rumor but I heard that some slot games especially physical slot game machine usually gather money first from player losses before they can give jackpot to random players that will play the machine when the target was hit.


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July 13, 2024, 01:54:47 PM
 #37

Personally, I'd say it takes atleast 1 of 40/50 tries to secure a huge win on casino games! Could be more, could be less...(it all depends on the game in question, and what your favourite betting options are)
I think you're exaggerating the odds of huge winning.

On the other hand, it may take 1 of 100,000th tries to get lucky that a jackpot hits your ticket... It could take even longer tries and nothing of such comes...
This figure already looks more plausible. Although, as it seems to me, here too, the figure is underestimated, otherwise the jackpot would appear too often.

He acted as though he's lost way too much to win $1,500 luckily. Meanwhile, I was more concerned about the probability, the odds of it happening atleast ONCE!
Did you expect him to rejoice with joy? You don’t know if he managed to lose $15,000 before that.

*What do y'all think of his reaction?
We know too little to objectively assess his reaction. It is even possible that he is simply emotionally reserved or that this amount of winnings is insignificant for him.

* According to your own prejudice, what's the probability that a jackpot hits a ticket?
This is not so much a prejudice, but rather a statistical prejudice, because only a few become jackpot winners, but millions of people buy tickets. Based on this, the probability remains extremely low.

Edit: I think I'd have to lock this topic after 40 replies.
Is this an incentive to write comments faster? Smiley

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July 13, 2024, 02:19:20 PM
 #38

You can calculate that, for example if the lotery has 64 numbers and the user need to choose 6 of them, then you do the math:

64x63x62x61x60x59...

that way the chance to hit that jackpot is 1/53981544960 or 0.000000000018% chance.

I remember when i decided to hit an x300,000 on Dice, it took me close to 500,000 bets, so, luck is a fact when we are talking about big multipliers, but with the right balance and lots of bets you can always chase them by brute-force.

This is a good proof of the fact that people don't understand probability. If they had it calculated and the number before their eyes, they'd never buy a ticket. They'd know it's money thrown away.
When we don't see the numbers we think that we have 1:1000 chance or something, but in reality it's not even 1:1m. When you actually visualize that you get a headache.
It reminds me of when people were being asked in the street by youtubers how much they could carry out of the bank in cash if they were allowed to in 100 dollar bills and most of them thought they could grab 10m, but in reality that would be a bag the size of a washing machine. Probably doable if you were able to divide that into 2 bags and a backpack, or drag the bag behind you on platform trolley.

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July 13, 2024, 02:40:12 PM
 #39

The probability is low! Sometimes i do not want to believe that people actually win a jackpot at all. I felt it must have been a framed ticket number from the casino site. Which is possible.
Honestly it might seem that everyone is winning. You always see all these stories about people hitting a jackpot but once you start playing, it seems like the jackpot is avoiding you. Even though it might seem like a lot of people is winning, the reality is not really and you shouldn't hope too much to win yourself.
But yes we do expect the jackpot to be present in our lives, at least once in the course of life, but I also haven't gotten it so far and it's quite boring because I've never hit the jackpot.

I often see a lot of people get jackpots from gambling that win very big, it's quite crazy and to change their lives for the better, and yes not a few people think that maybe those who don't get it say they haven't been lucky and always try and try for that very small possibility, especially when talking about lottery which is very difficult to win, so far I have played lottery gambling it is very difficult to win even for 4 numbers.

Likewise in other games my jackpot has not approached, only simple small wins that I can enjoy from gambling so far, it is very annoying when talking about the benefits that allow us to jackpot.

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YOSHIE
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July 13, 2024, 02:50:26 PM
 #40

*What do y'all think of his reaction?
There is no reaction, except: you have to try, try and keep trying so that your lucky jackpot appears and you get it in your favorite game, whatever it is in sports games, casinos, slots and so on.

How lucky are those who don't use the 1 in 40/50 formula, once they try and do it in their favorite game the jackpot immediately explodes, Is it luck or is his luck really good in the game?
 
My advice, switch to another casino that has a good reputation, who knows if your jackpot will be there, it's not there at the current casino you are playing at, I've done that, casinos [1] are not very friendly to me, I tried the second casino [2] they accepted me well, even though they haven't given me the jackpot, at least I played there was a pull, that's my experience.

* According to your own prejudice, what's the probability that a jackpot hits a ticket?
As I said above, some casinos privilege their users, almost a year's jackpot they get three to four times and some other casinos lurk until they fall, So there is no probability of jackpot for such users, all they get is loss.

R


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