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Author Topic: Betting on favorites or upsets?  (Read 1040 times)
EarnOnVictor
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July 19, 2024, 12:57:32 AM
 #81

This sounds like a plan but dangerous at the same time, it depends on the gambler and how far he wants to take the risk. Reasonably, I will prefer my favourite option, and as a matter of fact, that's what I've been using for years and I've never had any cause to regret it. But going against my favourite for the opposite (upsets) will certainly disarray my gambling plan, no, I wouldn't want that.
Gambling is a lways dangerous because of possibility of LOSS.
We can always lose a bet, even when betting on favorites because it can happen indeed for our favorite to lose and an upset will happen. Of course, possibility is lower for our favorite to lose and we should consider it when submitting a bet.
I do not agree with the fact you said it is always dangerous because gambling can be very fun when you're winning and depressing when losing. When you use the word dangerous it sounds like something that could take someone's life instantly but no. It is a two-sided thing, you lose, or you win.
Lol...your response baffled me, did you read my post at all? Your reply shows you were just responding to "gambling" as a dangerous context, but that is not the picture of the matter. In case you don't know, the contention was that, for instance, a gambler wants to bet on sports and was given 2 options (A and B), and after his analysis, he discovered that A is the right option. But for the fear that gambling is dangerous and people mostly lose with their preferred options, he now decided to choose the opposite option which is B. That awkward style is what I termed dangerous and not gambling itself.

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July 19, 2024, 03:31:09 AM
 #82

I think it should be betting on huge favorites or upsets.

Normally, when a team that is heavily favored to win loses, it's called an upset. But when a slightly favored team loses, they are called overvalued. Anyway, when it comes to betting, you don't just use one pattern like betting on the favorite or underdog all the time. That's why there are odds to use when analyzing the game. Sometimes you bet on the underdog, and sometimes on the favorites, but what's more important is to try to bet on the right side most of the time so you'll end up profitable.

The fact that see a team as the huge favorite doesn't mean that team has a better chance to win, that means the people will bet more on them to win, and if you see it that way is a smart time to bet in the underdog, that's the right way to earn a decent profit on sport bets. It happens a lot in the UFC, and other sports like Basketball are good to follow this practice. I remember two seasons ago in Basketball when i used to bet only in underdogs and i ended with a decent profit in the long run. This doesn't work all the time but when it does feels great.

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July 19, 2024, 04:47:16 AM
 #83

I've actively tried to bet more on the underdog /upsets..but I find myself in a difficult spot each and every NFL season in this regard.  I do pretty well with betting each year on NFL games, and tend to place 4-8 bets a week.  Most of the bets are simply choosing the winner in conjunction with the spread.  I would say 75% of my bets end up being on the favorite, to cover the spread.  I wonder if others find themselves in this position when betting their favorite sport.

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July 19, 2024, 06:22:22 AM
 #84

This questions answer depends on the favourite and the upset. Sometimes you see the favourite and you think they are not "that" favourite, and you want to bet on the unfavoured to win, because you think that the odds do not show the true potential of that team and they could still win it. Whereas sometimes you think there is no chance that favourites will lose the game, it is going to be totally different.

This is why I think it is going to be quite simple that we are going to end up with a result that will be easy to handle, we should probably consider how it is going to be easy for us to decide based on the teams.

So, you can't make a choice right here and right now and say that you prefer one or the other, it is not a general thing, it is not like some concept, you decide per game basis. This is basically true for everything in the crypto world, sometimes people bet on bull, sometimes bear, you don't say you trade based on anything but what you see that moment, similar.
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July 19, 2024, 06:50:43 AM
 #85

My question is that how is it going to be a prediction with having an upset? I think it's very unlikely to predict it correctly. At least you know that you are going to know what the gameplay can be in terms of the teams that you know and love. I think having research on it would help you decide whether or not you will get the team based on your favorites or just the opposite.

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July 19, 2024, 07:10:29 PM
 #86

My question is that how is it going to be a prediction with having an upset? I think it's very unlikely to predict it correctly. At least you know that you are going to know what the gameplay can be in terms of the teams that you know and love. I think having research on it would help you decide whether or not you will get the team based on your favorites or just the opposite.

For me, to be honest, in an activity that involves money and risk, I will do it with full consideration, in the sense that when I know that one team is statistically stronger than the opposing team, then of course I will prefer that team, even if for example it is not my favorite team. , because as I said, this is an activity that involves money and risk, which means it is better for us to be wise and make decisions that can be more profitable.

Moreover, even if for example it turns out that your favorite team loses in the sense that you lose money then of course they won't care about you and the money you lost as a result of choosing them. What this means is that if I bet then honestly I will prefer a team that is predicted to be statistically stronger regardless of whether it is not my favorite team, but if for example I want to support my favorite team and it turns out they are statistically weaker than the opposing team then I don't would bet at all.

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July 20, 2024, 11:14:56 PM
 #87

Of course the goal is to make some money but sometimes if you set your sights on something too specific you can forget why you came in the first place. First of all betting is also for fun and for the rush. It's not just profit. If you come in chasing profits it's very much likely that you will eventually reach your point of meeting your risk of ruin and your balance becoming 0.

So in response to many people here saying we're to bet just on upsets, I think they if someone has calculated the amount he can risk in gambling without worrying about his quality of life... The. Let them bet on whatever they want just to have the most fun possible. Having a good time these days can be priceless so it's good either way.

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July 21, 2024, 06:13:08 PM
 #88

My question is that how is it going to be a prediction with having an upset? I think it's very unlikely to predict it correctly. At least you know that you are going to know what the gameplay can be in terms of the teams that you know and love. I think having research on it would help you decide whether or not you will get the team based on your favorites or just the opposite.

For me, to be honest, in an activity that involves money and risk, I will do it with full consideration, in the sense that when I know that one team is statistically stronger than the opposing team, then of course I will prefer that team, even if for example it is not my favorite team. , because as I said, this is an activity that involves money and risk, which means it is better for us to be wise and make decisions that can be more profitable.

Moreover, even if for example it turns out that your favorite team loses in the sense that you lose money then of course they won't care about you and the money you lost as a result of choosing them. What this means is that if I bet then honestly I will prefer a team that is predicted to be statistically stronger regardless of whether it is not my favorite team, but if for example I want to support my favorite team and it turns out they are statistically weaker than the opposing team then I don't would bet at all.
Numbers do not lie. You have to be wise, utilise reason rather than your heart. Choosing a squad based on performance, not only because you enjoy 'em? That is how winners view things. You have to balance the possibilities, much as in a deal.

One gamble is what gambling is: The worst might catch you by surprise; even the best team can choke. That is the excitement, then? Still, it is also the risk.

I enjoy winning. everyone does. You have to be clever about it though. Try not to gamble the farm. Have a great time and appreciate the game. Great if you win! Well, then thats life if you dont. It is about the voyage rather than only the end point.

Remember, its entertainment, not a retirement plan. Keep disciplined; recognise your boundaries; most importantly, have fun.

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July 21, 2024, 06:31:26 PM
 #89

The low or high risk of a match between two teams must be considered wisely if you really want to win. It's okay to win small amounts if it's often compared to one big win but losing frequently to a non-favorite team, so just consider the options wisely. If it were me, of course my favorite team would be an option I would often consider.

But however, I agree that gambling should be entertainment rather than a place to make a profit. You buy pleasure in gambling regardless of whether you lose or win. But if you aim to earn money, then you will regret it when you lose.

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July 21, 2024, 07:06:24 PM
 #90

I think it depends on the person. But to be fair I don’t think we should be gambling for profit because it takes away the fun and you are most likely to lose some money.
Either you gamble for profit or for fun, both ways the gambler must definitely lose money. For the fun, the more you're enjoying the game, the more you might be tempted to put in more money just to make sure that the fun continues.
 
The same thing is applicable with gambling for profit; the desire to win and multiply will make the gambler spend more, which ever be the case. What's needed to reduce the amount that can be lost is self-control.

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July 27, 2024, 05:44:27 AM
 #91

But however, I agree that gambling should be entertainment rather than a place to make a profit. You buy pleasure in gambling regardless of whether you lose or win. But if you aim to earn money, then you will regret it when you lose.
By the phrase which you used above "Should be", it seems that it's compulsory gambling should always for be entertainment and not both for profit too, because let's not forget that gambling is just like a two edge sword, of which it's left for the gambler to decide which reason why he or she wants ro gamble on, as its totally okay for a person to gambler for money, likewise its also okay for he to gamble for fun too.

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July 27, 2024, 09:40:08 AM
 #92

Don't really focus with the favorites or underdogs, instead focus on your analysis.

If there's a match that I'm interested to bet, I will try to analysis which one that will win, then I will check the odds, if the reward and risk aren't worth to bet, then I will avoid to bet.

If you focus with the odds over your analysis, it will increase your greediness since you're looking to win streak (bet on favorites) or make a lot money with single shot (bet on underdogs).

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July 27, 2024, 10:03:59 AM
 #93

Don't really focus with the favorites or underdogs, instead focus on your analysis.
That is a good advice and that is right because if they focus on their analysis, they will know many things about each teams. They can knows which team that have more chances to wins against the other team. It is better if they analyzes on the match that they really knows the team so they will not gets any problem in analyzing.

Picking the right team is not easy because they must have much information and knowledge in the match and the team. Besides that, they must have skills to collects and compare the data to finds the potential team that can win. It is not easy as that will needs experience to analyze the match.

You need to be wise with your decision. If you don't have clues about the matches, you don't have to places your bet. You can wait for the next match that you know.

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July 27, 2024, 10:12:54 AM
 #94

I think it depends on the person. But to be fair I don’t think we should be gambling for profit because it takes away the fun and you are most likely to lose some money.
Either you gamble for profit or for fun, both ways the gambler must definitely lose money. For the fun, the more you're enjoying the game, the more you might be tempted to put in more money just to make sure that the fun continues.


It’s not always resulted to lose of money when you gamble because you are disregarding the winning chance factor on every game and assuming 100% lose on all casino games.

It’s just losing has higher chance to occur because of the house edge but that doesn’t mean no one will win in gambling or else only few will gamble by now due to losing percentage.

The point is, gambling can give you chance to have a profit and lose that’s why it’s important to enjoy playing so that you will be happy regardless of the result in general.

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July 27, 2024, 10:25:28 AM
 #95

Picking the right team is not easy because they must have much information and knowledge in the match and the team. Besides that, they must have skills to collects and compare the data to finds the potential team that can win. It is not easy as that will needs experience to analyze the match.
That is 100% true. Picking the right team as you bet for a sport or even esports isn't that easy at all. Even if I do my research before a match happens, I still end up 50-50 or even having more losses than wins. What matters here is if you're able to enjoy the game because if you're betting for a match, you should also watch it to have some fun. But if not, it's not an obligation at all after you place a bet.

You need to be wise with your decision. If you don't have clues about the matches, you don't have to places your bet. You can wait for the next match that you know.
Although there are bettors that are happy to do some YOLO bets but I don't encourage that. I do that but with an amount of money that I can gamble and afford to lose. But if someone is new to this, they need to spend their time knowing the games, teams and even themselves to build their own betting strategy because it takes time for them to be emotionally aware that gambling is like this and many times it will make you emotional.

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July 27, 2024, 03:32:28 PM
 #96

Some people are addicted to betting, some people are betting as a profession and there is a class of people who are betting just for fun. Be it as a profession or bet for fun but we need money to complete this task. I appreciate the activities of those who bet with understanding but I do not support the activities of those who bet without understanding themselves only motivated to bet by others. Because in following others we don't try to be experienced like others but only guess and bet in favor of one team but it is a big mistake for us. 

While other gambling games are based on luck, betting on a team is definitely not based on luck as it requires a lot of strategy and a lot of skill.
I bet so far and apply my skills. Since I have to apply skill, most of the bets go in my favor, maybe some of my predictions are wrong and those wrong predictions go against me. However, I am satisfied with the current state of betting and will keep this betting in my favorites list

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July 27, 2024, 06:08:48 PM
 #97

Some people are addicted to betting, some people are betting as a profession and there is a class of people who are betting just for fun. Be it as a profession or bet for fun but we need money to complete this task. I appreciate the activities of those who bet with understanding but I do not support the activities of those who bet without understanding themselves only motivated to bet by others. Because in following others we don't try to be experienced like others but only guess and bet in favor of one team but it is a big mistake for us. 

While other gambling games are based on luck, betting on a team is definitely not based on luck as it requires a lot of strategy and a lot of skill.
I bet so far and apply my skills. Since I have to apply skill, most of the bets go in my favor, maybe some of my predictions are wrong and those wrong predictions go against me. However, I am satisfied with the current state of betting and will keep this betting in my favorites list

I get your point. There are myriad reasons why people gamble, be it for fun, as a means to make a living, or due to addiction. Anyway, we need money for it. I salute those who gamble out of informed choice and skill but not those who just do so because they were swayed without understanding the risks.

Betting on a team does demand some level of strategy and skill, rather than luck alone. If you place your bets in a strategic and skilled manner, you might just find yourself winning more often. But then again, there is also the risk of losing; make no mistake about that.

It’s very important to wager smartly and only with money you can afford losing. If you are happy with how you have been betting and are enjoying it, great! Keep betting responsibly, enjoying the game, and ensuring your financial and emotional well-being.

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July 27, 2024, 10:46:46 PM
 #98

During the time I've been betting on sports, I've seen that most of the time the underdogs lose, which is why when I watch 10 games, I start analyzing the games in which there is an apparent favorite. After analyzing the game, I see if the odds are good or not and if it's worth my while to bet. There are few cases in which I bet on the underdog. Even when I analyze the game and see that the underdog has a chance, I often think before betting on the underdog. This is because when the bookmakers put a favorite and have already analyzed the game well, there is little chance of surprises.

Only in the case of games in strange leagues, such as games between teams from Africa, Asia and Brazil, do I see that the bookmakers put high odds on the underdog. When I analyze the game, I realize that the underdog has a much better chance of winning, so I bet without any fear of losing. but I am shocked by some people who always bet on the underdog, according to such people, they are doing this because they want to win more, I confess that I did not understand how this strategy would be profitable

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July 27, 2024, 11:05:52 PM
 #99

I'll always prefer to bet for bigger chances instead of having my favorite teams like in sports, because even though I saw some good potential of it? that doesn't make sense if I purse betting without any huge probability.
Essential things must be observed, we can't just take rush decisions on every steps that we had on our betting strategies. Only luck brings the underdog into winning streak, so we should be more cautious on this situation of the game.

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July 28, 2024, 02:13:38 AM
 #100

That is 100% true. Picking the right team as you bet for a sport or even esports isn't that easy at all. Even if I do my research before a match happens, I still end up 50-50 or even having more losses than wins. What matters here is if you're able to enjoy the game because if you're betting for a match, you should also watch it to have some fun. But if not, it's not an obligation at all after you place a bet.
We must remember about use the money you can afford to lose. That is the key for us to enjoy the gambling games. We will not uses more money to have fun in gambling games because that will cause us lose more and more money.

Analyzing the match is a must if you wants to place your bet. That will helps you to determines which team that can wins. But you must remember that you can only analyzing and wait for the result. If you are lucky, you can win and vice versa.

We must remember about use the money you can afford to lose. That is the key for us to enjoy the gambling games. We will not uses more money to have fun in gambling games because that will cause us lose more and more money.

Analyzing the match is a must if you wants to place your bet. That will helps you to determines which team that can wins. But you must remember that you can only analyzing and wait for the result. If you are lucky, you can win and vice versa.

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