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Author Topic: US-China economy war + radical Trump = higher inflation + interest rates + war  (Read 360 times)
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Argoo
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September 06, 2024, 11:04:55 AM
 #21


There is a good chance that the next US president will be able to fulfill #1 by ending the NATO-Russian war (possibly recognizing occupied parts as Russia) as there are enough signals coming out from US making me confident about that possibility. Trump will probably have an easier time doing that because of his radical decisions.


Since this opinion was expressed, that is, since mid-July, there have been significant changes in the US presidential election campaign: Biden refused to run again for this post on July 21, and US Vice President Kamala Harris became an official participant instead. Since then, Trump has lost a lot of popularity and Harris is now leading in most states. This is very unpleasant news for Russia, which hoped to weaken support for Ukraine with Trump's help to protect it from Russian occupiers.

Therefore, the Kremlin's hope for freezing the war, recognizing the occupied territories of Ukraine for Russia and easing sanctions is unlikely to happen. And in the issue of the war and its end, Ukraine will always have the last word, even if Trump becomes US president again. In addition, if the borders along the front line are frozen, will the Kremlin agree to lose part of the Kursk region, which has already been "liberated" by Ukraine? A very interesting question.

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September 06, 2024, 02:13:21 PM
 #22

Since this opinion was expressed, that is, since mid-July, there have been significant changes in the US presidential election campaign: Biden refused to run again for this post on July 21, and US Vice President Kamala Harris became an official participant instead. Since then, Trump has lost a lot of popularity and Harris is now leading in most states. This is very unpleasant news for Russia, which hoped to weaken support for Ukraine with Trump's help to protect it from Russian occupiers.

Therefore, the Kremlin's hope for freezing the war, recognizing the occupied territories of Ukraine for Russia and easing sanctions is unlikely to happen. And in the issue of the war and its end, Ukraine will always have the last word, even if Trump becomes US president again. In addition, if the borders along the front line are frozen, will the Kremlin agree to lose part of the Kursk region, which has already been "liberated" by Ukraine? A very interesting question.
You are seeing things from a very narrow perspective since all your focus is on Ukraine and Ukraine alone.

If you expand your view, you can see things better.
US regime is already spread too thin around the world. They can not sustain this situation for long specially since they are hemorrhaging money, in trillions. They need to reduce their costs at some point and that means abandoning some of the wars they are participating in specially when the problems pile on back home.
Also since according to all the National Security thing they release, China is on top of the lists of countries US has to declare war on, they will shift all their focus to East Asia sooner or later.

Remember that the conflict in Ukraine has been helping China grow which is not something the US regime wants. The Chinese have not only increased their economic relations with Russia (lots of money in it) they've also started receiving a lot more cheap Russian gas since the European markets were lost to Russia. On top of that the deindustrialization of Europe has also helped China grow significantly as the capital flees Europe.

So THIS is what the US regime cares about not what territory Russia annexed in Ukraine!
This also means the only difference the winner of the upcoming election in US would make is the approach and radicalism. As I pointed out in OP as well.

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September 06, 2024, 04:05:11 PM
 #23

If you expand your view, you can see things better.
US regime is already spread too thin around the world. They can not sustain this situation for long specially since they are hemorrhaging money, in trillions. They need to reduce their costs at some point and that means abandoning some of the wars they are participating in specially when the problems pile on back home.
Also since according to all the National Security thing they release, China is on top of the lists of countries US has to declare war on, they will shift all their focus to East Asia sooner or later.

You should look into a mirror once in a while.

Where do you get the insider info from?
Please post income gross and outflow US Government 2020 to 2024.
So we could draw our own conclusions.

Only because the US sees China as a thread is not a declaration of war.

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September 06, 2024, 04:31:15 PM
 #24

Only because the US sees China as a thread is not a declaration of war.
War in this day and age with the existence of nuclear weapons that can wipe out both US and China at the same time does not mean "direct armed conflict" any more.

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September 06, 2024, 05:24:38 PM
 #25


Where do you get the insider info from?
Please post income gross and outflow US Government 2020 to 2024.
So we could draw our own conclusions.

War in this day and age with the existence of nuclear weapons that can wipe out both US and China at the same time does not mean "direct armed conflict" any more.

Please where does the info come from. Plus post income gross and outflow US Government 2020 to 2024.

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September 06, 2024, 07:04:37 PM
 #26


If you expand your view, you can see things better.
US regime is already spread too thin around the world. They can not sustain this situation for long specially since they are hemorrhaging money, in trillions. They need to reduce their costs at some point and that means abandoning some of the wars they are participating in specially when the problems pile on back home.
Also since according to all the National Security thing they release, China is on top of the lists of countries US has to declare war on, they will shift all their focus to East Asia sooner or later.


Well, let's broaden our view. The USSR, and then after its collapse Russia, have always been strategic opponents of the USA, and all the time after World War II the USA was preparing for a military confrontation with Russia. Russia's attack on Ukraine, the heroic and often effective resistance of Ukrainians to Russian aggression gave the USA the opportunity, with the hands of Ukrainians, if not to destroy their main potential enemy, then significantly weaken it to such an extent that Russia will no longer have such a big influence on the international arena as it did before. By helping Ukraine, the USA spends only material resources, while saving the lives of their soldiers, since the USA is not yet involved in a direct military contract with Russia. At the same time, the effectiveness of American weapons on the battlefield in Ukraine and, accordingly, the weak effectiveness of Russian weapons, led to the fact that third countries refuse to purchase weapons from Russia and buy them from NATO countries. And this, in turn, led to a sharp increase in the military-industrial complex, an increase in jobs, and so on.

The only thing that the USA still fears is the loss of control over nuclear weapons in the event of the collapse of the Russian Federation. Therefore, the US is not yet providing Ukraine with weapons in the required quantities and assortment, which can lead to a quick victory for Ukraine on the battlefield. But all these red lines are in motion and changing, which was demonstrated by the successful invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the Kursk region of the Russian Federation and the Kremlin's realization that this is for a long time, and also showed the world the far-fetched greatness of Russia.

On the other hand, the US cannot allow Russia to win the war against Ukraine. This would simultaneously mean the defeat of the US and its allies in the international arena, and the defeat of the US military doctrine, and a departure from the values it advertises, and the need for further military confrontation with Russia after it licks its mortal wounds and gets stronger. The only question is in what format this defeat will be recorded. And Ukraine has already proven that it is a good combat shield for NATO from Russian aggression.

Also, if the US allows Russia to win, this will significantly strengthen the positions of China, Iran, North Korea and the Russian Federation, their military and economic alliances and launch a new round of deadly wars on the planet.

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